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1.
中国青海省门源县于2022年1月8日发生6.9级地震。依据该地震震源断层信息设置4种不同的位错分布模式,基于Okada提出的地表位移解析解分别计算4种模式下地表同震位移场,结合现场观测数据,探讨发震断层的滑动形式及其对周边地表产生的影响。结果表明,此次地震发震断裂初步判断主要为冷龙岭断裂西侧延伸至托莱山断裂,以左旋走滑断层为主,断层面上最大位错量达到4 m左右;震中西南侧向NE方向运动,东南侧向SE方向运动,西北侧和东北侧分别向NW以及SW方向运动;震中附近小范围区域产生了超过1.5 m的地表水平位移,破裂带上存在竖向地表位移超过0.5 m的区域;现场监测到局部产生最大约2.1～2.3 m的水平位错,以及部分区段垂直位错量最大达到0.7 m;以震中位置为中心,断层引起的地表位移影响范围达到约30 km×36 km,此范围内产生的地表位移大于0.1m。研究为此次地震的震后恢复工作以及此区域后续的工程设防等提供参考。 相似文献
2.
We modeled a tsunami from the West Papua, Indonesia earthquakes on January 3, 2009 (M w?=?7.7). After the first earthquake, tsunami alerts were issued in Indonesia and Japan. The tsunami was recorded at many stations located in and around the Pacific Ocean. In particular, at Kushimoto on Kii Peninsula, the maximum amplitude was 43?cm, larger than that at Manokwari on New Guinea Island, near the epicenter. The tsunami was recorded on near-shore wave gauges, offshore GPS sensors and deep-sea bottom pressure sensors. We have collected more than 150 records and used 72 stations?? data with clear tsunami signals for the tsunami source modeling. We assumed two fault models (single fault and five subfaults) which are located to cover the aftershock area. The estimated average slip on the single fault model (80?×?40?km) is 0.64?m, which yields a seismic moment of 1.02?×?1020?Nm (M w?=?7.3). The observed tsunami waveforms at most stations are well explained by this model. 相似文献
3.
利用于田震中300 km范围内的1个GPS连续站和12个GPS流动站数据，解算得到了2014年新疆于田MS7.3地震地表同震位移，并反演了发震断层滑动分布，探讨此次地震对周边断裂的影响.地表同震位移结果显示，GPS观测到的同震位移范围在平行发震断裂带的北东-南西向约210 km，垂直发震断裂带的北西-南东方向约为120 km，同震位移量大于10 mm的测站位于震中距约120 km以内；同震位移特征整体表现为北东-南西方向的左旋走滑和北西-南东方向的拉张特征，其中在北东-南西方向，I069测站位移最大，约为32.1 mm，在北西-南东方向，XJYT测站位移最大，约为28.1 mm；位错反演结果表明，最大滑动位于北纬36.05°，东经82.60°，位于深部约16.6 km，最大错动量为2.75 m，反演震级为MW7.0，同震错动呈椭圆形分布，以左旋走滑为主并具有正倾滑分量，两者最大比值约为2.5：1，同震错动延伸至地表，并向北东方向延伸，总破裂长度约50 km，地表最大错动约1.0 m；同震水平位移场模拟结果显示贡嘎错断裂、康西瓦断裂和普鲁断裂等不同位置主应变特征具有差异性，这种差异特征是否影响断裂带以及周围区域的应力构造特征，值得关注. 相似文献
4.
We studied two tsunamis from 2012, one generated by the El Salvador earthquake of 27 August (Mw 7.3) and the other generated by the Philippines earthquake of 31 August (Mw 7.6), using sea level data analysis and numerical modeling. For the El Salvador tsunami, the largest wave height was observed in Baltra, Galapagos Islands (71.1 cm) located about 1,400 km away from the source. The tsunami governing periods were around 9 and 19 min. Numerical modeling indicated that most of the tsunami energy was directed towards the Galapagos Islands, explaining the relatively large wave height there. For the Philippines tsunami, the maximum wave height of 30.5 cm was observed at Kushimoto in Japan located about 2,700 km away from the source. The tsunami governing periods were around 8, 12 and 29 min. Numerical modeling showed that a significant part of the far-field tsunami energy was directed towards the southern coast of Japan. Fourier and wavelet analyses as well as numerical modeling suggested that the dominant period of the first wave at stations normal to the fault strike is related to the fault width, while the period of the first wave at stations in the direction of fault strike is representative of the fault length. 相似文献
5.
Tsunami Warning Centers issue rapid and accurate tsunami warnings to coastal populations by estimating the location and size of the causative earthquake as soon as possible after rupture initiation. Both US Tsunami Warning Centers have therefore been using Mwp to issue Tsunami Warnings 5–10 min after Earthquake origin time since 2002. However, because Mwp (Tsuboi et al., Bulletin of the Seismological society of America 85:606–613, 1995) is based on the far-field approximation to the P-wave displacement due to a double couple point source, we should only very carefully apply Mwp to data obtained in the near field, at distances of less than a few wavelengths from the fault. On the other hand, the surface waves from Great Earthquakes, including those that occur just offshore of populated areas, such as the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, clip seismographs located near the fault. Because the first arriving P-waves from such large events are often on scale, Mwp should provide useful information, even for these Great Earthquakes. We therefore calculate Mwp from 18 unclipped STS-1 broadband P-wave seismograms, recorded at 2–15° distance from the Tohoku epicenter to determine if Mwp can usefully estimate Mw for this earthquake, using data obtained close to the epicenter. In this case there should be a good chance to get reliable Mwp values for stations at epicentral distances of 9–10°, since the source duration for the Tohoku earthquake is less than 200 s and the time window used to estimate Mwp is 120 s in duration. Our analysis indicates that Mwp does indeed give reliable results (Mw ~ 9.1) beginning at about 11° distance from the epicenter. The values of Mwp from seismic waveforms obtained at 11–15° epicentral distance from the Mw 9.1 off the east coast of Tohuku earthquake of March 11, 2011 fell within the range 9.1–9.3, and were available within 4–5 min after origin time. Even the Mwp values of 7.7–8.4, obtained at less than 5° epicentral distance, exceed the PTWC’s threshold of Mw 7.6 for issuing a regional tsunami warning to coastal populations within 1,000 km of the epicenter, and of Mw 6.9 for issuing a local tsunami warning to the coastal populations of Hawaii. 相似文献
6.
Heterogeneous fault motion of the 1993 Hokkaido Nansei-Oki earthquake is studied by using seismic, geodetic and tsunami data, and the tsunami generation from the fault model is examined. Seismological analyses indicate that the focal mechanism of the first 10 s, when about a third of the total moment was released, is different from the overall focal mechanism. A joint inversion of geodetic data on Okushiri Island and the tide gauge records in Japan and Korea indicates that the largest slip, about 6 m, occurred in a small area just south of the epicenter. This corresponds to the initial rupture on a fault plane dipping shallowly to the west. The slip on the northernmost subfault, which is dipping to the east, is about 2 m, while the slips on the southern subfaults, which are steeply dipping to the west, are more than 3 m. Tsunami heights around Okushiri Island are calculated from the heterogeneous fault model using different grid sizes. Computation on the smaller grids produces large tsunami height that are closer to the observed tsunami runup heights. Tsunami propagation in the nearly closed Japan Sea is examined as the free oscillation of the Japan Sea. The excitation of the free oscillation by this earthquake is smaller than that by the 1964 Niigata or 1983 Japan Sea earthquake. 相似文献
7.
本文假设马尼拉海沟北段为潜在海啸源,基于中国地震台网对马尼拉海沟地区震级测定偏差,采用COMCOT(comell Multi-grid Coupled Tsunami Model)海啸数值模型,模拟南海海啸波传播.选取南海北缘3个特定地点,其中两个位于华南近海区域,另一个位于台湾岛南端近海区域,此外还在临近马尼拉海沟北段的深海地区选取了1个特定地点.分析这些特定地点最大海啸波以及最大海啸波到时对于震级测定偏差的敏感性.结果表明:马尼拉海沟北段地震如触发海啸,华南近海区域以及台湾岛南部近海区域最大海啸波振幅对震级偏差敏感,但最大海啸波振幅到时对于震级测定偏差不敏感;振幅最大的海啸波,二十几分钟即可波及台湾岛南端近岸区域,大约1小时后波及大陆华南近海北部区域. 相似文献
8.
利用精河M_W6.3地震有限断层破裂模型,计算了精河地震产生的位移场、应力场、周围主要断层上的静态库仑应力变化以及主震对余震的触发作用。结果表明:(1)精河地震产生的地表隆升最大值约为6.6cm,沉降最大值约为1.8cm;水平位移方向呈现震中南北侧向震中汇聚、震中东西侧向外"流出"的特点。(2)精河地震产生的水平面应力场展布南北侧物质主要受到指向震中的拉张力作用,东西两侧物质主要受到因震中过剩物质东西向排出而导致的东西向挤压力作用。(3)震中西侧距震中约20km的库松木契克山前断裂中段和震中东北部距震中约50km的四棵树-古尔图南断裂西段的库仑应力加载均大于0.01MPa,即2处为地震危险区。(4)在震源深度为8~12km的余震事件中,约有85.5%处于库仑应力加载区,即受到主震的的触发作用;在深度为4~8km的余震事件中,约有87%受到主震的应力触发作用。 相似文献
9.
M. A. Baptista J. M. Miranda Fernando C. Lopes Joaquim F. Luis 《Journal of Seismology》2007,11(4):371-380
The 27 December 1722 Algarve earthquake destroyed a large area in southern Portugal generating a local tsunami that inundated
the shallow areas of Tavira. It is unclear whether its source was located onshore or offshore and, in any case, what was the
tectonic source responsible for the event. We analyze available historical information concerning macroseismicity and the
tsunami to discuss the most probable location of the source. We also review available seismotectonic knowledge of the offshore
region close to the probable epicenter, selecting a set of four candidate sources. We simulate tsunamis produced by these
candidate sources assuming that the sea bottom displacement is caused by a compressive dislocation over a rectangular fault,
as given by the half-space homogeneous elastic approach, and we use numerical modeling to study wave propagation and run-up.
We conclude that the 27 December 1722 Tavira earthquake and tsunami was probably generated offshore, close to 37°01′N, 7°49′W. 相似文献
10.
基于九寨沟MS7.0地震的破裂模型及均匀弹性半空间模型，本文计算了该地震在周围主要活动断层上产生的库仑应力变化、在周围地区产生的应力场和位移场和同震库仑应力变化对余震的触发.结果表明：（1）九寨沟地震造成虎牙断裂中段库仑破裂应力有较大增加，已经超过0.01 MPa的阈值，虎牙断裂北段、塔藏断裂中段和岷江断裂北段北部的库仑破裂应力有较大降低，因此尤其要注意虎牙断裂中段的危险性.（2）水平面应力场在该地震震中东西两侧增加（拉张），张应力起主要作用.在震中南北两侧降低（压缩），压应力起主要作用.从水平主压和主张应力方向来看，均呈现出条形磁铁的磁场形态.从剖面上的应力场来看，在上盘的面膨胀区域内，大部分点的主张应力方向与地表是垂直的，在其他区域内，主张应力和主压应力均以震中为中心，向外呈辐射状.（3）从地表水平位移场来看，震中东西两侧物质朝震中位置汇聚，南北两侧物质向外流出，在震中处的最大水平位移量达43 mm.从地表垂直位移场来看，震中南北两侧出现明显的隆升，隆升最大值达56.8 mm.震中东西两侧出现明显的沉降，沉降最大值达74.5 mm.从剖面的位移场来看，九寨沟地震为左旋走滑地震，且有一定的正断成分.由分析可以推测该断层破裂在大致22~26 km的深度上就截止了.并推测下盘物质运动的动力来自震源北东东方向（四川块体）深度在6~30 km的下盘下层物质，上盘物质运动的动力来自震源北西西方向（巴颜喀拉块体）深度在0~6 km的上盘上层物质.（4）通过计算不同深度上主震对余震的触发作用可知，主震后的最大余震受到了主震的触发作用，多数其他余震也受到主震的触发作用.主震的发生促使了库仑应力增加地区余震的发生，抑制了一部分库仑应力减少地区余震的发生. 相似文献
11.
在已有的凹凸体震源模型基础上考虑凹凸体位错非均匀性,提出改进的凹凸体位错模式.新的位错模式随机设置凹凸体上各子断层位错量,同时在凹凸体与背景区交界处设置位错平缓变化的区域.以1989年美国 LomaPrieta地震为例,计算不同断层位错模式下引起的地表位移,并与反演得到真实情况下地表的位移作对比,验证改进凹凸体位错模式的可靠性.结果显示,使用改进的渐变凹凸体非均匀位错模式计算时,与真实情况下竖向地表位移差大于8cm 的区域面积为 43km2,相较凹凸体均匀位错模式缩减25%;水平地表位移差大于8cm 区域面积为117km2,相较凹凸体均匀位错模式缩减达31%.利用改进的渐变凹凸体非均匀位错模式,计算1679年三河—平谷大地震在北京地区形成的地表位移场.北京市外,最大竖向地表位移大于4．8m,最大水平地表位移大于2．6m,均出现在三河附近;北京市内,通州区至平谷区一带地表位移最大,最大水平地表位移大于 2．6m,最大竖向地表位移大于1m.研究结果可为今后北京地区的抗震设防提供参考. 相似文献
12.
利用InSAR技术,采用地震前后日本ALOS/ PALSAR数据,提取了2008年5月12日四川汶川地震7个条带的地表同震形变场.每个形变条带南北向500 km,东西向70 km,7个形变场覆盖了映秀镇、都江堰、茂县、北川、平武和青川.结果显示,此次地震地表破裂带在北川—映秀断裂带上.地表破裂带从汶川县映秀镇西南震中附近一直到青川县苏河北侧,全长约为230 km.发震断层西北盘为抬升盘,南东盘断层附近,仍然表现为隆起区,显示出以逆冲为主的断层性质.在汶川县映秀镇西侧震中区,最大相对卫星视线向形变量达260 cm,如果全部换算成垂直形变,则两个区域的垂直相对形变达3.3 m.从北川至平通一带,卫星视线向形变范围在120～180 cm的隆起带.其中,擂鼓镇隆起形变范围170～180 cm,换算成垂直形变约在2.2～2.3 m之间.在青川苏河北附近,有70～80 cm范围的隆起形变.在雅安、峨眉山一带,以及射洪至重庆北侧一带有大范围沉降区.在重庆及其南侧区域有幅度在20～30 cm小范围隆起.由青川向东至广元、宁强一带,有形变幅度在60～70 cm的隆起区.整个形变场影响范围较大,四川盆地出现了不同程度的地表形变. 相似文献
13.
2010年9月4日新西兰南岛Canterbury平原发生了Mw7.1地震,震源深度约为10 km.本次地震发生在一条震前不为人所知的断层上.我们利用覆盖整个震区的合成孔径雷达(SAR)观测资料,通过干涉处理分析获得雷达视线向(LOS)同震形变场;以此资料为约束反演了断层的几何参数以及同震破裂分布.结果显示,该地震造成四条相对独立断层的破裂.大部分的地震矩释放发生在Greendale断层(编号1-4),其错动以右旋走滑为主,最大破裂约为8.5 m.其它三条断层中,经过震源的逆冲断层最大破裂为5.1 m (编号6),位于Greendale断层以西的逆冲断层最大破裂为3.5 m (编号5),位于Greendale断层北面的走滑断层最大破裂为1.9 m(编号7).反演的Greendale断层地表滑动与地质调查得到的地表破裂在形态和数值上均吻合较好.本次地震释放的地震矩为5.0×1019N·m,矩震级为7.1.板块边界带形变场分析表明,Darfield地震的发生受边界带应变分配在该地区残留构造应力场控制,其复杂性体现了区域构造应力场的特点.地震对其周围地区的应力场影响较大,库仑应力增加区与余震分布有一定对应关系,并在2011年Christchurch 6.3级地震发震断层区域造成约0.1bar的库仑应力增加,对此地震有一定的触发作用. 相似文献
14.
TYPE AND DISPLACEMENT CHARACTERISTICS OF LINGSHAN M6¾ EARTHQUAKE SURFACE RUPTURE ZONE IN 1936, GUANGXI 
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下载免费PDF全文 LI Xi-guang PAN Li-li LI Bing-su NIE Guan-jun WU Jiao-bing LU Jun-hong YAN Xiao-min 《地震地质》2017,39(5):904-916
On April 1, 1936, an M6¾ earthquake occurred on the Fangcheng-lingshan Fault. So far, the Lingshan M6¾ earthquake is the biggest one in South China. There are some reports about the Lingshan earthquake fissures, but its surface rupture hasn't been systemically studied. Based on the geological mapping and measurement of the right-lateral displacement and vertical offset, the surface rupture zone caused by the Lingshan M6¾ earthquake was found, which contains two secondary surface rupture zones in the east and west respectively, its strike varies from N55°E to N60°E with en echelon-like distribution along the north section of Lingshan Fault, and its total length is about 12.5km. The western surface rupture zone locates intermittently along Gaotang-Xiatang-Liumeng, about 9.4km in length, with a right-lateral displacement of 0.54~2.9m and a vertical offset of 0.23~1.02m; the other one appears between Jiaogenping and Hekou, about 3.1km in length, with a right-lateral displacement of 0.36~1.3m and a vertical offset of 0.15~0.57m. The maximum right-lateral displacement and vertical offset are 2.9m and 1.02m, appearing at the east of Xiatang reservoir. The types of surface rupture mainly contain earthquake fault, earthquake scarp, earthquake fissure, earthquake colluvial wedge, earthquake caused landslide and liquefaction of sand and so on. The earthquake fault develops at the east of Xiatang and Jiaogenping, earthquake scarp appears at Xiaoyilu and Xiatang, earthquake fissure locates at Xiatang, there are multiple earthquake landslides along the surface rupture zone, and the trench LSTC03 exposes the earthquake colluvial wedge. In order to further investigate the Lingshan earthquake surface rupture zones, the author compares the parameters of Lingshan M6¾ earthquake with the similar typical earthquakes in western China, the results show that the parameters of Lingshan earthquake are similar to the typical earthquakes in western China. The length of Lingshan earthquake surface rupture is shorter, but the dislocation is bigger. The author considers that this is mainly related with the parameters of Lingshan earthquake, site condition and structural environment of surface rupture zone, the symbols of dislocation measuring, human activity and weather condition and so on. The research of surface rupture zone features and analysis of Lingshan M6¾ earthquake provides important and basic data for exploring the seismogenic structure of Lingshan M6¾ earthquake, and it has important scientific significance. 相似文献
15.
2017年8月8日四川省九寨沟县发生了7.0级地震，中国大陆构造环境网络与北斗地基增强系统的GNSS连续观测共同监测到了此次地震的同震位移（坐标：东向为正，北向为正），结果显示：3个站点记录到了明显的同震位移，距离震中43 km的九寨沟台站（SCJZ）在东西向的位移为-9.8±1.5 mm，在南北向的位移为3.3±0.7 mm；距离震中65 km的松潘站（SCSP）在东西向的位移为-1.8±0.7 mm，在南北向的位移为-7.7±0.6 mm；距离震中77 km的舟曲站（GSZQ）在东西向的位移为0.4±1.2 mm，在南北向的位移为3.6±0.8 mm.通过同震位移分布特征，可以推测此次地震为一次左旋走滑型事件，引起水平向同震位移大致不超过150 km范围，地震对东南侧的龙门山断裂带影响非常小，对北侧的塔藏断裂和西侧的岷江断裂处引起的同震位移为厘米级.同震位移的反演结果显示：断层面上滑动量主要集中在7 km深度，最大量值约为0.4 m，平均滑动角为-15°，利用滑动分布计算的相应矩震级为MW6.4，与地震波反演结果相当.结合同震滑动分布、同震主应变分布、余震分布和震源机制解等特征，推测此次地震破裂极值区累积的能量得到较充分释放，进一步分析得出此次地震在塔藏断裂、岷江断裂和虎牙断裂处产生了一定的应力变化，值得持续关注. 相似文献
16.
2017年8月8日四川阿坝州九寨沟发生M_W6.6地震,震源机制解显示该地震为左旋走滑型地震。对震中周围的GPS连续站观测资料进行处理,获得高频GPS动态形变和静态同震水平位移。震中100km范围内四川松潘和甘肃武都站观测到1 Hz动态形变。距离震中约69km的松潘站观测的同震水平位移为7.4mm。根据少量的GPS静态同震位移反演的同震破裂模型显示本次地震的最大滑动量为376mm,地震矩为7.25×1018 N·m,等效矩震级为M_W6.6。正演计算的同震三维形变场显示本次地震的最大水平位移可达4~5cm,垂直位移呈四象限分布,最大可达1.5cm,区域内10个流动GPS站可观测到同震形变。 相似文献
17.
Local Tsunamis and Distributed Slip at the Source 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
—Variations in the local tsunami wave field are examined in relation to heterogeneous slip distributions that are characteristic of many shallow subduction zone earthquakes. Assumptions inherent in calculating the coseismic vertical displacement field that defines the initial condition for tsunami propagation are examined. By comparing the seafloor displacement from uniform slip to that from an ideal static crack, we demonstrate that dip-directed slip variations significantly affect the initial cross-sectional wave profile. Because of the hydrodynamic stability of tsunami wave forms, these effects directly impact estimates of maximum runup from the local tsunami. In most cases, an assumption of uniform slip in the dip direction significantly underestimates the maximum amplitude and leading wave steepness of the local tsunami. Whereas dip-directed slip variations affect the initial wave profile, strike-directed slip variations result in wavefront-parallel changes in amplitude that are largely preserved during propagation from the source region toward shore, owing to the effects of refraction. Tests of discretizing slip distributions indicate that small fault surface elements of dimensions similar to the source depth can acceptably approximate the vertical displacement field in comparison to continuous slip distributions. Crack models for tsunamis generated by shallow subduction zone earthquakes indicate that a rupture intersecting the free surface results in approximately twice the average slip. Therefore, the observation of higher slip associated with tsunami earthquakes relative to typical subduction zone earthquakes of the same magnitude suggests that tsunami earthquakes involve rupture of the seafloor, whereas rupture of deeper subduction zone earthquakes may be imbedded and not reach the seafloor. 相似文献
18.
Xuejun Qiao Shaomin Yang Ruilin Du Linlin Ge Qi Wang 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2011,168(10):1749-1758
Coseismic deformation fields of the 6 October 2008 M w6.3 Damxung earthquake were obtained from interferometric synthetic aperture radar by using three descending and two ascending Envisat images. Significant coseismic surface deformation occurred within 20?km?×?20?km of the epicenter with a maximum displacement of ~0.3?m along the satellite line of sight. We model a linear elastic dislocation in a homogeneous half space and use a nonlinear constraint optimized algorithm to estimate the fault location, geometry and slip distribution. The results indicate a moment magnitude M w6.3, and the earthquake is dominated by oblique normal and right-lateral slip with a maximum slip of 2.86?m at depth of 8?km. The rupture plane is about 15?km?×?14?km with strike S190°W and dip 55° to NW, located at a secondary fault of the Southeastern Piedmont of the Nyainqentanglha Mountains. Slip on normal faults in the Tibetan Plateau contributes to the rift evolution. 相似文献
19.
Field survey of the 1994 Mindoro Island,Philippines tsunami 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Fumihiko Imamura Costas E. Synolakis Edison Gica Vasily Titov Eddie Listanco Ho Jun Lee 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1995,144(3-4):875-890
This is a report of the field survey of the November 15, 1994 Mindoro Island, Philippines, tsunami generated by an earthquake (M=7.0) with a strike-slip motion. We will report runup heights from 54 locations on Luzon, Mindoro and other smaller islands in the Cape Verde passage between Mindoro and Luzon. Most of the damage was concentrated along the northern coast of Mindoro. Runup height distribution ranged 3–4 m at the most severely damaged areas and 2–4 in neighboring areas. The tsunami-affected area was limited to within 10 km of the epicenter. The largest recorded runup value of 7.3 m was measured on the southwestern coast of Baco Island while a runup of 6.1 m was detected on its northern coastline. The earthquake and tsunami killed 62 people, injured 248 and destroyed 800 houses. As observed in other recent tsunami disasters, most of the casualties were children. Nearly all eyewitnesses interviewed described the first wave as a leading-depression wave. Eyewitnesses reported that the main direction of tsunami propagation was SW in Subaang Bay, SE in Wawa and Calapan, NE on Baco Island and N on Verde Island, suggesting that the tsunami source area was in the southern Pass of Verde Island and that the wave propagated rapidly in all directions. The fault plane extended offshore to the N of Mindoro Island, with its rupture originating S of Verde Island and propagating almost directly south to the inland of Mindoro, thereby accounting for the relatively limited damage area observed on the N of Mindoro. 相似文献
20.
Nurcan Meral Ozel Necmioglu Ocal Yalciner Ahmet Cevdet Dogan Kalafat Mustafa Erdik 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2011
Tsunami mitigation, preparedness and early warning initiatives have begun at the global scale only after the tragic event of Sumatra in 2004. Turkey, as a country with a history of devastating earthquakes, has been also affected by tsunamis in its past. In this paper we present the Tsunami Hazard in the Eastern Mediterranean and its connected seas (Aegean, Marmara and Black Sea) by providing detailed information on historically and instrumentally recorded significant tsunamigenic events surrounding Turkey, aiming to a better understanding of the Tsunami threat to the Turkish coasts. In addition to the review of the Tsunami hazard, we have studied a possible Tsunami source area between Rhodes and SW of Turkey using Tsunami numerical model NAMI DANCE-two nested domains. We have computed a maximum positive amplitude of 1.13 m and maximum negative amplitude of −0.5 m at the Tsunami source by this study. The distribution of maximum positive amplitudes of the water surface elevations in the selected Tsunami forecast area and time histories of water level fluctuations near selected locations (Marmaris, Dalaman, Fethiye and Kas towns) indicate that the maximum positive amplitude near the coast in the selected forecast area exceeds 3.5 m. The arrival time of maximum wave to Marmaris, Dalaman, is 10 min, while that of Fethiye and Kas towns is 15–20 min. The maximum positive amplitudes near the shallow region of around 10 m depth are 3 m (Marmaris), 1 m (Dalaman), 2 m (Fethiye) and 1 m (Kas). Maximum positive amplitudes of water elevations in the duration of 4 h simulation of the Santorini-Minoan Tsunami in around 1600 BC in the Aegean Sea are also calculated based on a simulation performed using 900 m grid resolution of Aegean sea bathymetry with a 300 m collapse of 10 km diameter of Thera (Santorini) caldera. We have also presented the results of the Tsunami modeling and simulation for Marmara Sea obtained from a previous study. Last part of this paper provides information on the establishment of a Tsunami Warning Center by KOERI, which is expected to act also as a regional center under the UNESCO Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission – Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami Early Warning and Mitigation System in the North-Eastern Atlantic, the Mediterranean and Connected Seas (ICG/NEAMTWS) initiative, emphasizing on the challenges together with the future work needed to be accomplished. 相似文献