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地下水动态的异常变化既有可能是地震前兆异常信息, 也有可能是某种环境干扰所引起, 如降雨和地下水开采等. 如何及时识别并排除环境干扰, 对于成功判定地震前兆异常至关重要. 云南姚安井水位于2009年10月后出现了下降趋势的异常变化, 截止2011年底, 最大下降幅度达3 m. 为分析该井水位异常变化的形成原因, 依据姚安井水文地质环境特征, 建立了相关的数学物理模型, 定量分析了降水量和地下水开采量对该井水位的影响. 分析结果表明, 姚安井2009年后出现的水位大幅下降可能与区域降水量减小导致的地下水开采活动增强有一定的相关性. 文中所采取的异常识别与分析方法, 对今后地下水动态异常识别及前兆信息判定工作具有一定的借鉴意义. 相似文献
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地下水位动态是各种因素综合作用的结果。研究含水岩体应力-应变造成的地下水动态(即微动态),不能单纯用地下水动力学方法进行分析,我们从其他学科引入一些方法,试图解决这个问题。当分离水位趋势变化和短周期变化时,用别尔采夫滤波方法;当分析并排除影响水位动态的相关因素时,用回归分析方法;分析水位固体潮的若干潮波时,用调和分析方法;综合预测水位动态,寻找异常时段时,用多道维纳滤波方法。最后,通过北京塔院井水位观测的具体震例,来说明资料处理对了解水位的正常动态、异常动态,提取地震前兆信息有实用意义 相似文献
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长期过量开采地下水,使地下水位持续下降、水质发生变化,动水位观测井断流;地面沉降造成井管上窜,观测管路系统被损坏等,这些现象对地震地下流体观测地震前兆异常的正确判断带来很大困难。应用水文地质理论与方法,分析含水层的水均衡状态、应力-应变状态及其与水位动态的关系,初步探讨了超采区井水位异常性质的理论与方法。结果表明,根据井孔所在区水位下降漏斗的扩散特征,结合以上所提到的理论和方法,依据资料多年变化特征,可以较准确地判断异常的性质。研究结果有助于区分单一集中抽水与长期地下水超采对水位观测的影响,有助于正确识别超采区水位前兆异常,有助于地震分析预报水平的提高 相似文献
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地下水动态的异常变化既有可能是地震前兆异常信息,也有可能是某种环境干扰所引起,如降雨和地下水开采等.如何及时识别并排除环境干扰,对于成功判定地震前兆异常至关重要.云南姚安井水位于2009年10月后出现了下降趋势的异常变化,截止2011年底,最大下降幅度达3m.为分析该井水位异常变化的形成原因,依据姚安井水文地质环境特征,建立了相关的数学物理模型,定量分析了降水量和地下水开采量对该井水位的影响.分析结果表明,姚安井2009年后出现的水位大幅下降可能与区域降水量减小导致的地下水开采活动增强有一定的相关性.文中所采取的异常识别与分析方法,对今后地下水动态异常识别及前兆信息判定工作具有一定的借鉴意义. 相似文献
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使用距１９９８年１月１０日张北Ｍｓ６．２地震３００ｋｍ范围内的内蒙古自治区前兆台网５口水井的地下水位资料,分析了地下水位趋势异常特征及张北Ｍｓ６．２级地震前后１０天地下水位的微动态特征,表明在北张Ｍｓ６．２地震前后地下水位确实存在的明显的异常反应,并用“八五”攻关水化,水位地震短临预报新方法分析研究了张北Ｍｓ６．２地震前后水位群体异常的变化特征与张北地震的关系,对张北Ｍｓ６．２地震做出中期,短期, 相似文献
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地下水动态受水文因素影响较大，对地震和构造活动具有较灵敏的响应。判别并排除各种水文干扰，确认地下水在地震前的异常变化，对提高地震分析预报能力，具有重要作用。马家沟矿井水位动态观测层与地下水开采层为同一含水层，井水位于2010年出现破年变异常，加速持续上升，截至2015年，最大上升幅度约30 m。依据该井水文地质环境特征，根据唐山市区2001-2015年地下水位、降雨量、地下水开采量实测资料，建立合理多元回归模型和三维地下水流动模型，发现地下水开采量减少应为影响马家沟矿井水位动态的可能因素。文中采取的异常识别与分析方法，可为其他类似井孔的地下水动态异常识别及判定提供一定借鉴。 相似文献
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水氡观测作为地震活动的一种前兆观测项目,由于受地下水动力条件的影响,会出现不稳定的因素。通过对潜水不完整井氡值变化规律的研究,运用地下水动力学原理,得出潜水不完整井在达到动态平衡状态时取样,可保持氡含量的相对稳定的结论。 相似文献
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简要介绍了北京市良乡井水温动态的观测条件与环境,系统分析了水温年月日动态特征,认识了水温的正常动态变化规律与干扰因素,研究了典型震例,发现了同震异常与远兆异常等现象。 相似文献
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影响因素及埋藏类型是地下水观测数据前兆分析的重要资料.通过海原甘盐池拉分盆地内两口地震水位观测井(GYC 和 GYCN 井)的气压、降雨与水位资料,综合分析水位变化的影响因素,并分别利用阶跃响应函数、频谱分析法、潮汐波群相位超前或滞后法分析地下水埋藏类型.结果表明:(1)气压和降雨是影响海原甘盐池两口地震观测井水位动态变化的主要因素.(2)GYC井地下水埋藏类型为混合水,与该井成井时的判定资料不一致(承压水),可能与其时间较长、长年失修、存在破损现象有关,或受地表水影响较大 ;GYCN 井地下水埋藏类型为承压水.该研究结果为该地区地震水位观测井的准入(退出)机制、今后观测井点的勘选等提供科学依据,对今后异常识别和震情跟踪具有重要意义. 相似文献
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Overexploitation of groundwater resources has supported rapid social and economical developments in Beijing City in last 30 years. The newly constructed emergency well fields have saved Beijing from a critical water crisis caused by a long drought spell of eight consecutive years from 1999 to 2006. But this unsustainable development has resulted in serious consequences: discharges to rivers ceased, large number of pumping wells went dry, and land subsidence caused destruction of underground infrastructure. The completion of the middle route of South to North water transfer project to transfer water from Yangtze river to Beijing City by 2010 provides opportunity to reverse the trend of groundwater depletion and to achieve a long-term sustainable development of groundwater resources in Beijing Plain. Four options of groundwater development in Beijing Plain were formulated and assessed with a regional transient groundwater flow model. The business as usual scenario was used as a reference for the comparative analysis and indicates fast depletion of groundwater resources. The reduction of abstraction scenario has immediate and fast recovery of groundwater levels, especially at the cone of depression. The scenario of artificially enhanced groundwater recharge would replenish groundwater resources and maintain the capacity of present water supply well fields. The combined scenario of the reduction of abstraction and the increase of recharge could bring the aquifer systems into a new equilibrium state in 50 years. A hydrological sustainability of groundwater resources development could then be achieved in Beijing Plain. 相似文献
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The three-dimensional groundwater flow patterns in a gravel bar at the Danube east of Vienna were investigated and are discussed in this paper. The observed groundwater level gradients are highly dynamic and respond very quickly to changes in the river water levels. A variably saturated groundwater model was calibrated to the data to describe the complex dynamics of flow in the gravel bar. The model results suggest that short-term (6–48 h) fluctuations of river water levels cause variations in the exchange flow rates from − 35 l/s to 82 l/s. The highest rates occur during brief infiltration after rapidly rising river water levels. Simulations of different scenarios indicate that riverbank clogging will decrease the exchange fluxes by up to 80%, while clogging of both riverbank and riverbed essentially stops the flow exchange. The groundwater model is also used to simulate the transport of a conservative tracer. The variation of river water levels over time is shown to increase the extent of the active river–aquifer mixing zone in the gravel bar. These dynamic factors significantly enhance the dilution of conservative tracer concentrations in this zone. 相似文献
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介绍了近年来华北地区宝龙等 3口井稀有气体的显著异常 ,并据其特征与井孔水位动态的关系 ,对稀有气体异常的成因进行了理论分析与实验研究。结果表明 ,水位下降 10 0mm ,岩层孔隙、裂隙中的气体体积膨胀 0 0 0 90 % (气体体积百分比 ,下同 )左右。由于地下水位大幅度下降 ,岩层孔隙压力减小 ,积聚在岩层孔隙、裂隙中的气体体积膨胀溢出 ,导致井孔地下水中稀有气体含量出现异常变化。这些异常是干扰因素所致 ,不是地震异 相似文献
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Quantitative analysis of riverbank groundwater flow for the Qinhuai River,China, and its influence factors 
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下载免费PDF全文 Interactions of surface water and groundwater (SW–GW) play an important role in the physical, chemical, and ecological processes of riparian zones. The main objective of this study was to describe the two‐dimensional characteristics of riverbank SW–GW interactions and to quantify their influence factors. The SW–GW exchange fluxes for six sections (S1 to S6) of the Qinhuai River, China, were estimated using a heat tracing method, and field hydrogeological and thermodynamic parameters were obtained via inverse modelling. Global sensitivity analysis was performed to compare the effects of layered heterogeneity of hydraulic conductivity and river stage variation on SW–GW exchange. Under the condition of varied river stage, only the lateral exchange fluxes at S1 apparently decreased during the monitoring period, probably resulting from its relatively higher hydraulic conductivity. Meanwhile, the SW–GW exchanges for the other five sections were quite stable over time. The lateral exchange fluxes were higher than the vertical ones. The riverbank groundwater flow showed different spatial variation characteristics for the six sections, but most of the higher exchange fluxes occurred in the lower area of a section. The section with larger hydraulic conductivity has an apparent dynamic response to surface water and groundwater level differences, whereas lower permeabilities severely reduced the response of groundwater flow. The influence of boundary conditions on SW–GW interactions was restricted to a limited extent, and the impact extent will expand with the increase of peak water level and hydraulic conductivity. The SW–GW head difference was the main influence factors in SW–GW interactions, and the influence of both SW–GW head difference and hydraulic conductivity decreased with an increase of the distance from the surface water boundary. For each layer of riverbank sediment, its hydraulic conductivity had greater influence on its groundwater flow than the other layers, whereas it had negligible effects on its overlying/underlying layers. Consequently, the variations in river stage and hydraulic conductivity were the main factors influencing the spatial and temporal characteristics of riverbank groundwater flow, respectively. 相似文献
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利用云南地区多年的水位资料, 使用水位年变化率动态图像方法进行分析, 结果表明: ① 云南地区水位的年变化幅度似与未来地震强度有一定正比关系, 特别当某年水位最大变化率上升幅度大于0.35或下降幅度大于-0.35时, 次年往往会发生MS≥6强震; ② 水位异常对应地震有区域性特征, 滇西北至滇东北地区以水位上升对应地震为主, 滇西南和滇西以水位下降对应地震为主; ③ 2000年以来云南绝大部分MS≥5地震的发震地点都位于前一年水位上升(或下降)极值区或次极值区附近水位梯度较大的地带上。 相似文献