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1.
埋地管道震害预测方法简述   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6       下载免费PDF全文
埋地管道是城市生命线工程的重要组成部分,在地震时较易发生震害。影响埋地管道在地震中破坏特点的因素,主要是强烈的地面运动或场地失效以及管材、管径等因素。研究方法以基于经验统计的方法在实际应用中比较多。本文分别对基于理论计算和经验统计的震害预测方法进行了简述和比较,最后提出了基于综合概率的埋地管道分析预测模型。  相似文献   

2.
地下管道的震害预测方法简述   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
强烈的地面运动或场地失效等因素是造成地震中地下管道破坏的主要因素。本文对地震波作用下和砂土液化条件下管道的震害预测方法进行了概述,并基于综合概率法对埋地管道进行了分析预测。  相似文献   

3.
叙述了地震时埋地管道可能遭受的破坏形式、影响管道震害的因素及破坏等级的划分。论述了用模糊数学法进行埋地管线震害预测的方法和步骤,利用这一方法对忻州市供水管网主干线进行了震害预测,给出了在地震烈度Ⅶ度~Ⅸ度作用下的震害预测结果。  相似文献   

4.
考察了历史地震震害特点,认为自然震害多受自然条件控制,对震害类型起定性作用的是地质地貌条件,地质因素只影响震害的程度。因此,可望在烈度区划的基础上,利用地貌与震害关系的研究成果,对强震的自然震害进行宏观预测。总结了河北省历史上遭遇强震影响所出现的自然震害特点,对全省各地貌单元可能出现的震害进行了宏观预测。在此基础上考虑到工程对场地的要求,将全省区划为四类场地,即无震害或汉有轻微震害的A类场地;场地条件好,但烈度区划高,或者场地条件差,但烈度区划低震害轻的B类场地;可产生各类较重震害的C类场地;以及场地条件差,烈度区划高,可产生严重震害的D类场地。  相似文献   

5.
公路桥区域性震害预测   总被引:8,自引:1,他引:8  
地震区桥址地基失效或岸坡失稳,对于桥梁的震害程度有明显的影响。本文基于这一特点,将历史地震桥梁震害资料,依据无液化场地及可液化场地或岸坡失稳的影响,分别以几个主要灾害影响因素对应于不同震害程度进行数理统计,并应用模糊数学方法,综合评判在未来地震中大面积范围桥梁可能出现的震害状态,它对于地震区部署桥梁的抗震防灾工作有着重要的现实意义。  相似文献   

6.
1303年洪洞8级地震GIS系统与震害分布特征分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
采用GIS技术,建立了1303年洪洞地震的地理信息系统. 应用GIS平台空间分析功能研究了1303年洪洞地震的震害空间分布特征和地震等震线的特点. 通过与标准地震烈度衰减关系的对比,分析了地震烈度异常分布的空间特征及其与构造、场地条件、盆地之间的关系. 研究了震源与近源地下结构对地表地面运动的影响,探讨了这种烈度分布特征对区域地震区划、抗震设防、震害预测以及地震应急响应等方面的影响.   相似文献   

7.
架空管道震害预测实用方法的研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
根据震害调查分析和试验研究结果,建立了由环境因素和管道结构参数组成的,对架空管道震害预测进行二级多因素模糊综合评判的方法。文中给出了计算、评价构成二级评判因素地震烈度、场地类型、工作状态和结构种类各档次正态模糊数范数ak的参数和对实际情况如何确定的方法。本文为面广量大的已建架空管道的震害预测工作提供了一套科学性强,方便实用的计算方法。  相似文献   

8.
基于经验统计方法的桥梁震害预测辅助决策系统   总被引:4,自引:2,他引:4  
选择场地、结构、地震动和抗震设防4大类18个因素作为考虑因素,以国内外桥梁震害预测经验统计方法为主体构成了知识库,开发了与GIS结合的桥梁震害预测辅助决策系统BSVAS。该系统可初步用于大中城市防震减灾桥梁震害预测工作,并为基于GIS的防震减灾管理系统的更新提供可能。  相似文献   

9.
供水系统震害预测专家系统   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
本文建立了供水系统震害预测专家系统,把计算分析方法和专家经验相结合,形成了知识库和推理判断。其中,计算方法考虑了管段的地震反应机理和管土相互作用的特征,包括在地震地质灾害场地的管道震害预测方法。经验判断来的于震害数据和专家经验,较全面地考虑了影响管道震害的主要因素。在GIS软件平台上形成了专用程序,界面友好,数据交换方便,已应用于实际工程。  相似文献   

10.
场地震害预测需要考虑区域地震地质背景和具体的场地条件本史分析了抚顺钢厂场地对震害有影响的各个因素,并利用模糊数学的方法划分出强、中、弱三种场地类型.研究结果表明.钢厂的场地大部分是好的和比较好的.  相似文献   

11.
管道抗震设计规范有关地震作用的综述   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
本文通过介绍中国、日本、美国、英国、挪威的相关管道抗震规范,阐述了目前管道应变设计和性能设计的理念、方法以及对地震作用输入的要求。通过比较各国管道抗震设计规范,保证震后管道维持其服务功能的抗震设计理念已经得到了全世界范围的认可。现在的管道设计正向性能设计的方向发展,并提出了两级抗震设防的方法。其中,第二级以管道不发生泄漏为抗震设防目标,对管道的地震安全性评价工作提出了更高的要求,管道设计需要的地震动和地面永久变形参数也越来越多。在目前管道工程的地震安全性评价工作中,存在概率方法和确定性方法这两种方法并举的局面。针对管道的抗液化和滑坡设计,地面永久位移可以利用分解的地震安全性评价概率方法得到。针对管道的抗断设计,断层未来位错量的估计方法现在仍以确定性方法为主,概率方法因为断层位错量沿着破裂带的分布较为复杂仍有待进一步研究。  相似文献   

12.
Estimates of the earthquake ground motion intensity over a geographical area have multiple uses, that is, emergency management, civil protection and seismic fragility assessment. In particular, with reference to fragility assessment, it is of interest to have estimates of the values of different ground-motion intensity measures in order to correlate them with the observed damage. To this purpose, the present paper uses a procedure recently proposed in the literature to estimate the ground-motion intensity for the 2012 Emilia mainshocks, considering different ground motion intensity measures and directionality effects. Ground motion prediction equations based on different site effect models, and spatial correlation models are calibrated for the Emilia earthquakes. The paper discusses the accuracy of the shakemaps obtained using the different soil effect models considered and presents the obtained shakemaps as supplementary material. The procedure presented in the paper is aimed at providing ground motion intensity values for seismic fragility assessment and is not intended as a tool to estimate shakemaps for rapid emergency assessment.  相似文献   

13.
A methodology for seismic microzonation and earthquake damage scenarios may be considered as composed of two stages. In the first stage, microzonation maps with respect to estimated earthquake characteristics on the ground surface are generated for an investigated urban area. The effects of local geological and geotechnical site conditions are taken into account based on site characterization with respect to representative soil profiles extending down to the engineering bedrock. 1D site response analyses are performed to calculate earthquake characteristics on the ground surface using as many as possible, hazard compatible real acceleration time histories. In the second stage, vulnerability of buildings and pipeline systems are estimated based on site-specific ground motion parameters. A pilot study is carried out to evaluate seismic damage in a district in Istanbul, Turkey. The results demonstrate the significance of site characterization and site response analysis in calculating the earthquake characteristics on the ground surface in comparison to simplified empirical procedures.  相似文献   

14.
The investigation on damages to frozen soil sites during the West Kunlun Mountains Pass earthquake with Ms 8.1 in 2001 shows that the frozen soil in the seismic area is composed mainly of moraine, alluvial deposit, diluvial deposit and lacustrine deposit with the depth varying greatly along the earthquake rupture zone. The deformation and rupture of frozen soil sites are mainly in the form of coseismic fracture zones caused by tectonic motion and fissures,liquefaction, seismic subsidence and collapse resulting from ground motion. The earthquake fracture zones on the surface are main brittle deformations, which, under the effect of sinlstral strike-slip movement, are represented by shear fissures, tensional cracks and compressive bulges. The distribution and configuration patterns of deformation and rupture such as fissures, liquefaction, seismic subsidence and landslides are all related to the ambient rock and soil conditions of the earthquake area. The distribution of earthquake damage is characterized by large-scale rupture zones, rapid intensity attenuation along the Qinghai-Xizang (Tibet) Highway, where buildings distribute and predominant effect of rock and soil conditions.  相似文献   

15.
建筑群震害评估计算对城市区域地震损失评估和震后快速援助救灾有着重要意义。考虑到地震中建筑物相互作用对震害的影响,进行考虑结构间相互作用的区域建筑群震害评估计算。在已有的基于结构—土—结构动力相互作用(SSSI)分析的简化离散模型基础上,扣除基础转动对输出响应的影响,引入基础上部建筑结构非线性多自由度模型,得到考虑SSSI的简化的非线性多自由度离散模型,建立考虑SSSI的区域建筑群震害评估方法。以四川大学望江校区的建筑群在汶川地震中的震害评估为例,采用该方法对该校区建筑群在汶川地震中的震害进行评估计算。同时,也对未考虑SSSI情况下的该校区建筑群震害进行计算。运用HAZUS对建筑群在汶川地震中的震害进行计算。通过对比分析实际震害调查数据、HAZUS震害计算结果和本文建筑群震害计算结果可知,相比HAZUS震害计算结果,本文建筑群震害计算结果更接近实际震害调查数据;与未考虑SSSI的建筑群震害计算结果相比,考虑SSSI的建筑群震害计算结果精确度更高,更能反映建筑群的实际震害情况。  相似文献   

16.
The great Wenchuan earthquake (Ms = 8.0) in 2008 caused severe damage in the western part of the Chengdu Plain. Soil liquefaction was one of the major causes of damage in the plain areas, and proper evaluation of liquefaction potential is important in the definition of the seismic hazard facing a given region and post-earthquake reconstruction. In this paper, a simplified procedure is proposed for liquefaction assessment of sandy deposits using shear wave velocity (Vs), and soil liquefaction from the Banqiao School site was preliminarily investigated after the earthquake. Boreholes were made at the site and shear wave velocities were measured both by SASW and down-hole methods. Based on the in-situ soil information and Vs profiles, the liquefaction potential of this site was evaluated. The results are reasonably consistent with the actual field behavior observed after the earthquake, indicating that the proposed procedure is effective. The possible effects of gravel and fines contents on liquefaction of sandy soils were also briefly discussed.  相似文献   

17.
考虑地基土液化影响的高层建筑地震反应分析   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
为了研究地基土液化对高层建筑地震反应的影响,本文简要介绍了分时段等效线性有效应力动力分析方法,且将其中的等效线性化方法改进为逐步迭代非线性方法,并利用ANSYS程序的参数化设计语言将这一分析方法并入ANSYS程序中,最后分析了考虑液化时桩基-高层建筑体系的地震反应。认为对于单层砂土-桩基-高层建筑体系来说,砂土的液化对上部结构地震反应有较大的影响;而对于本文采用的上海土-桩基-高层建筑体系来说,砂土层的液化未对上部结构的地震反应产生明显的影响。  相似文献   

18.
传统基于GIS的地震破坏程度估计模型,对于大数据的分析和处理性能差,评估效果不够理想,所以要设计基于大数据的地震多发区域破坏程度估计模型。塑造的模型体系结构由数据服务层、业务模型层、应用展现层构成。模型由基础数据控制模块、地震危险性模块、结构破坏性模块、损失评估模块、决策控制模块、文档控制模块五大功能结构构成,设计直接经济损失模块的逻辑流程和页面展示结果。模块采用随机权神经网络实现大数据环境下地震灾害破坏程度快速评估。实验结果说明,所设计模型实现了大数据环境下地震多发区域破坏程度的有效评估,具有较高的评估效率和精度。  相似文献   

19.
Estimating the possible region of liquefaction occurrence during a strong earthquake is highly valuable for economy loss estimation, reconnaissance efforts and site investigations after the event. This study identified and compiled a large amount of liquefaction case histories from the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, China, to investigate the relationship between the attenuation of seismic wave energy and liquefaction distance limit during this earthquake. Firstly, we introduced the concept of energy absorption ratio, which is defined as the absorbed energy of soil divided by the imparted energy of seismic waves at a given site, and the relationship between the energy absorption ratio and the material damping ratio was established based on shear stress–strain loop of soil element and the seismic wave propagation process from the source to the site. Secondly, the threshold imparted seismic energy of liquefaction was obtained based on existing researches of absorbed energy required to trigger liquefaction of sandy soils and the ground motion attenuation characteristics of the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, and the liquefaction distance limit of this earthquake was estimated according to the proposed magnitude–energy–distance relationship. Finally, the field liquefaction database of 209 sites of the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake was used to validate such an estimation, and the field observed threshold imparted seismic energy to cause liquefaction in recent major earthquakes worldwide was back-analyzed to check the predictability of the present method, and several possible mechanisms were discussed to explain the discrepancy between the field observations and the theoretical predictions. This study indicates that seismic energy attenuation and liquefaction distance limit are regional specific and earthquake dependent, and 382 J/m3 is the average level of threshold imparted seismic energy to cause liquefaction for loose saturated sandy soils, and the corresponding liquefaction distance limit is approximately 87.4 km in fault distance for a Mw?=?7.9 event in the Chengdu Plain. The proposed regional energy attenuation model and threshold imparted seismic energy may be considered as an approximate tool in evaluating the liquefaction hazard during potential earthquakes in this area.  相似文献   

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