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浙江省北部及邻区中强地城前地倾斜异常特征及其预测意义 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
钟羽云 《地震地磁观测与研究》1998,19(3):27-32
解释并讨论湖州和宁波台１９９３年以来的地倾斜资料,总结了地震前有异常显示的６次地震。发现：①异常在现场记录资料中均有显示,异常形态的认识对预报地震有重要的意义;②能观测到异常全过程的倾斜仪与震中的距离基本符合式ｌｇＤｊ＝０．３０３（Ｍｓ＋１．６）给出的监测能力半径,大于这个半径的台有时也能观测到异常,但多为短临异常。如果震前记录到异常的全过程,则利用单台资料可能对地震三要素进行预测。 相似文献
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对苍山５．２级地震前距震中２３ｋｍ的临沂台深井地电观测资料进行了分析．结果表明,震前该台电阻率和自然电位出现了长达５年的与地震活动性异常同步的趋势异常．震前６个月电阻率出现下降异常．震前２４天自然电位和电阻率同时急剧下降,震后又同时急剧回升 相似文献
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根据山西多年的倾斜形变观测资料，综合研究了大同－阳高６．１级地震前的中长期孕育过程、中短期前兆异常特征、震前微破裂所显示的固体潮畸变临震异常，以及震前山西地震带形变应力场状况。采用“实用化攻关”方法识别异常进行分析得出，震前山西大部分倾斜形变台站存在一定的异常变化的结论。 相似文献
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大同—阳高地震香山,易县台形变前兆分析 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
大同—阳高地震前,香山台连通管观测到中短期形变异常。易县台金属摆倾斜仪记录到长达数年的趋势变化,震前一年,速率加快。震前数天,倾斜固体潮汐曲线出现阶变。伸缩仪在震前数小时记录到应变脉冲和短周期扰动,在震后的几次较强余震中,亦有前兆脉冲显示。 作者依据这些震前记录,分析了这两个台各手段形变特征,结合历史资料进行论证。确认可能是大同—阳高地震的前兆信息。文中最后对综合预报过程中的若干问题作了讨论。 相似文献
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１９９６年１１月９日长江口以东海域发生ＭＳ６．１地震,震前距震中２９０ｋｍ的湖州地倾斜台观测到中期异常和短临异常,距震中２４０ｋｍ的宁波地倾斜台也观测到短临异常．这里简单介绍了地倾斜异常的演化过程以及地震三要素的预测．震前我们进行了中短期预报,取得较好效果,但没有提交短临预报意见,这主要是由于短临异常出现较晚和台站资料报送不及时所致． 相似文献
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《地震地磁观测与研究》2015,(5)
对宕昌地震台洞体应变观测资料异常变化进行分析,认为EW分量记录到岷县—漳县6.6级地震地形变过程,即震间形变→震前形变(包括加速变化期和失稳期)→同震形变→震后形变(包括震后滑动和震后调整)→震间形变。长时间的震后滑动记录在中国较为少见,此观测资料为地震孕育过程的研究提供了宝贵资料。 相似文献
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D. M. Pechersky A. A. Lyubushin Z. V. Sharonova 《Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth》2010,46(7):613-623
The data on geomagnetic reversals are compared with the changes in the organic world and with the lower-mantle plumes. The
times of the formation of plumes and the times of their appearance on the Earth’s surface relate to the intervals characterized
by the different frequencies of geomagnetic reversals, i.e., there is no interrelation between the formation of plumes and
the frequency of the changes in the geomagnetic field polarity. At the same time, a certain synchronism is observed between
the frequency of the geomagnetic reversals and the boundaries of the biostratigraphic ages, i.e., the changes in the organic
world in the long-period range. A hypothesis is proposed, which explains the change in the sign of the geomagnetic field by
the combined effect of the irregular rotation of the internal core relative to the mantle and the changes in the slope angle
of the axis of the Earth’s rotation, which, in turn, results in synchronous events on the Earth’s surface: the rates of changes
in the organic world. 相似文献
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Milan Burša 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》1970,14(4):363-375
Summary It was shown in [5] that the flattening of parallel sections of the geoid (ϕ=const.) differs in the northern and southern
hemispheres. This leads up to the idea of studying further the size and shape of the Earth and the structure of the gravity
field separately for the northern and for the southern hemispheres. In this paper attention is devoted especially to the mean
values of the radius-vectors, to the best fitting ellipsoid parameters and to the mean values of gravity for the whole hemispheres,
on the one hand, and for their ϕ=const. sections, on the other. The symbols used are the same as in [5,6].
Address: Politickych vězňů 12, Praha 1-Nové Město. 相似文献
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Changes in low and high flows in the Vistula and the Odra basins: Model projections in the European‐scale context 
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下载免费PDF全文 Mikołaj Piniewski Mateusz Szcześniak Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Abdelkader Mezghani Øystein Hov 《水文研究》2017,31(12):2210-2225
A number of extensive droughts and destructive floods have occurred in Poland in the last 25 years; hence, projections of low and high river flows are of considerable interest and importance. In the first part of this paper, projections of low and high flows in the rivers of the Vistula and the Odra basins (VOB region), for two future time horizons, are presented. Projections are based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model simulations driven by results of the EURO‐CORDEX experiment under Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5. The VOB region covers most of Poland and parts of five neighboring countries, giving this study an international relevance. In the second part of the paper, a review of projections of low and high flows in rivers in Central and Eastern Europe is presented. Despite a substantial spread of flow projections, the main message of the modelling part is that increases of both low and high flows are dominating. The magnitude of increase of low flow is considerably higher than that of high flow. In other words, future streamflow droughts are projected to be less severe, whereas, in contrast, river floods are projected to increase, which is a challenge for flood risk reduction, water management, and climate change adaptation. There is an overall agreement of our findings for the VOB region with projections of hydrological extremes from large‐scale models forced by EURO‐CORDEX results in the European‐scale studies. 相似文献
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太湖鱼类产量、组成的变动规律及与环境的关系 总被引：30，自引：3，他引：27
湖泊生态系统健康包含两个方面的内涵:满足人类社会合理要求的能力和湖泊生态系统自我维持与更新的能力.获知湖泊生态系统健康状况及其区域分异特征,对于湖泊管理具有重要意义.本文基于对太湖的野外调查,计算了表征湖泊生态系统健康的系统能、系统能结构、生态缓冲容量和湖泊营养状态指数.聚类分析结果表明,太湖不同湖区生态系统健康状况存在一定差异,东部湖区较好,西部湖区较差,呈现由东南部湖区向西北部湖区递减的趋势.该结果对进一步研究湖泊生态系统健康评价指标阈值具有重要的参考意义. 相似文献
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Lena flow showed considerable, mostly climate-induced, changes in the recent 30–40 years. The character of these changes at the river watershed–sea border somewhat differs from that in the basin outlet station because of flow transformations in the near-mouth reach and, especially, in the delta. The new stationary and occasional expedition observations were used to improve the estimates of the major characteristics of the discharges of water, suspended sediment, and heat in the Lena outlet section and to identify the features and causes of their long-term and seasonal variations. Another important result is the estimation of flow characteristic in the reach downstream of the basin outlet station, at delta head, and on its coastline. New data are given on the present-day distribution of water and suspended sediment discharges between the major delta branches, their long-term variations, and the character of inundation of the near-head delta area during spring floods. 相似文献
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Chun-Chan Kung Ryoichi Hayatsu Martin H. Studier Robert N. Clayton 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1979,46(1):141-146
Nitrogen isotope fractionations have been measured in Fischer-Tropsch and Miller-Urey reactions in order to determine whether these processes can account for the large15N/14N ratios found in organic matter in carbonaceous chondrites. Polymeric material formed in the Fischer-Tropsch reaction was enriched in15N by only 3‰ relative to the starting material (NH3). The15N enrichment in polymers from the Miller-Urey reaction was 10–12‰. Both of these fractionations are small compared to the 80–90‰ differences observed between enstatite chondrites and carbonaceous chondrites. These large differences are apparently due to temporal or spatial variations in the isotopic composition of nitrogen in the solar nebula, rather than to fractionation during the production of organic compounds. 相似文献
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Geomagnetism and Aeronomy - A global problem facing humanity today is the changing planetary climate. The Earth’s northern regions play an important role in processes that affect the... 相似文献
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The continuous increase in concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is expected to cool higher levels of the atmosphere. There is some direct and indirect experimental evidence of long-term trends in temperature and other parameters in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT). Here we look for long-term trends in the annual and semiannual variations of the radio wave absorption in the lower ionosphere, which corresponds to the MLT region heights. Data from central and southeastern Europe are used. A consistent tendency to a positive trend in the amplitude of the semiannual wave appears to be observed. The reality of a similar tendency in the amplitude of the annual wave is questionable in the sense that the trend in the amplitude of the annual wave is probably induced by the trend in the yearly average values of absorption. The phases of both the annual and semiannual waves display a forward tendency, i.e. shift to an earlier time in the year. A tentative interpretation of these results in terms of changes of the seasonal variation of temperature and wind at MLT heights does not contradict the trends observed in those parameters. 相似文献