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1.
中国大陆浅源强震分布与地球自转速率变化的关系   总被引:6,自引:1,他引:5  
傅征祥  邵辉成  丁香 《地震》2004,24(3):15-20
考查了1900~2001年中国大陆不同活动地块浅源强震分布与地球自转速率变化的关系,并讨论将其应用在地震趋势预测中的问题。研究结果表明,大陆西部的天山、祁连一柴达木、羌塘一拉萨及川滇地块的强震活动(Ms≥7.0)和大陆东部的中朝一鲁东黄海地块和华南地块东边界(东南沿海地震带)东半段中的强震活动(Ms≥6.0),大多数(70%以上)发生在地球自转加快的年份中;大陆西部滇东一滇西地块的强震活动(Ms≥7.0),以及大陆东部中蒙一华北平原地块和华南地块东边界(东南沿海地震带)的西半段强震活动(Ms≥6.0),大多数(67%以上)发生在地球自转减慢的年份中。并且讨论了地球自转速率变化在地震预报中可能作用的R值评分。  相似文献   

2.
杨云  田韬  冯志生 《华南地震》2011,31(1):92-97
根据太阳黑子活动和地球自转数据,分析了两者对江苏及邻区中强地震的影响.结果显示:太阳黑子活动下降段及地球自转加速度上升和转折段有利于该地区中强地震的发生;且在太阳黑子活动的下降时间内,每一个地球自转加速度的转折都会使得该地区中小地震频度增高:另外,从幅相法统计以及太阳黑子活动预测数据来看,2012年2月以后江苏及邻区的...  相似文献   

3.
太阳活动与华北强震关系的分析   总被引:10,自引:2,他引:8  
统计了太阳黑子活动11年周期和22年周期与华北地区(E108°~124°,N34°~42°)1815年~2002年187年6级以上强震的关系。结果显示,它们之间存在着较好的对应关系,华北地区的强震自1815年第4高潮以来,有84.6%的强震集中在太阳黑子11年变化周期的峰年段(±1年)和谷年段(±1年)内发生;其中尤以双周峰年段、单周谷年段较为集中;而单周下降时段却从未有过强震发生。目前正处于太阳黑子活动第23周单周峰年之后的下降时段,该统计区内强震发生的概率极低。  相似文献   

4.
制约和影响中国大陆地震活动大形势的动力因素研究   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
从地球动力学角度,研究制约和影响我国大陆地震活动的兴衰起伏的内在原因,揭示我国大陆地震活动期(300年)、幕(20年左右)、段(几年)实际是由于太阳黑子活动、地球自转速率变化、全球强震活动水平在不同阶段迭加和组合的结果。  相似文献   

5.
田韬  冯志生  祝涛  李鸿宇  王维  叶碧文 《地震》2018,38(2):137-144
统计分析了1962—2017年全球强震活动与地球自转角加速度变化过程的关系, 结果显示, 全球8级以上地震发生在地球自转角加速度下降期的概率相对自然概率高出12%, 达到64%, 统计结果具有显著性, 但7.5级和7.8级以上地震的统计结果没有显著性。 分区统计结果表明, 全球强震活动具有明显的区域性特征: 在地球自转角加速度上升期, 高于自然概率的强震主要分布在阿尔卑斯带中西段、 环太平洋地震带的琉球—菲律宾地区以及中国东部; 在地球自转角加速度下降期, 高于自然概率的强震主要分布在环太平洋地震带、 阿尔卑斯带中段(喜马拉雅弧)、 阿尔卑斯带东段(印尼岛弧海沟)以及中亚大陆地区。 分析认为地球自转角加速度变化过程与全球区域地震活动之间存在较强的相关性, 可能与地球自转角加速度变化引起板块间相互作用的强弱有关。  相似文献   

6.
华南强震动力分析   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
根据华南陆缘扩张的动力来源和现代构造运动特征及强震震源断层最新活动性质,通过对华南地震活动与地球自转速率变化、GPS观测基线变化、理论面应变的关系分析,认为地幔流向洋侧的蠕散是造成华南现今地壳变形和张剪性构造运动为主的原因,而区域地球的波动膨胀拉张是引发强震的动力。  相似文献   

7.
运用Morlet小波分解方法检验太阳黑子相对数变化的显著周期,并分析太阳黑子数活动的趋势。运用太阳黑子和地球自转数据分析两者对华北地区中强地震的影响。结果显示,太阳黑子相对数变化、地球自转速率变化与华北地区中强地震活动水平存在较好的对应关系。当太阳黑子相对数周期上升段与地球日长数据Demy小波三阶分解的18.6年周期波谷段叠加时,对华北地震活动的影响达到最大,存在触发区域内中强地震发生的可能。  相似文献   

8.
王云  张济世 《高原地震》2008,20(4):27-31
对1811-2008年近200年来全球地震活动与月相、日地距离、地球自转速度这三个天文因素的统计分析表明,月相不论与全球地震还是全球大地震之间似乎无统计关系,全球地震的发生与日地距离似乎无统计关系。本文还进一步对全球M≥7.5的大地震进行了统计,结果表明M≥7.5的大地震与地球处于近日点似乎有一定的关系,但关系不太明显。全球除了8.0〉M≥7.0的地震基本上符合发震的自然概率外,在M≥9.0、9.0〉M≥8.0、6.0〉M≥5.0、4.0〉M≥3.0这些震级段地震发生的机率在地球自转减速期比较小,在地球自转加速期发生的机率比较大,似乎地球自转速度的变化对全球地震活动有一定的促发作用,但不明显。  相似文献   

9.
Ei Nio(La Nia)对全球气候变化产生显著影响并造成严重自然灾害,其形成与发生受多因素复杂影响.对其影响因素与事件发生预测的研究,有助于对其成因机制加深理解,减弱其造成的灾害影响.本文运用经验模态分解法(EMD)与动力力学预测模型等数学方法,对近60年地球自转、日食、太阳黑子等因素与Ei Nio(La Nia)事件相关性进行多尺度分析,探讨日食对Ei Nio(La Nia)热动力诱因,构建日食、太阳黑子、地球自转与Ei Nio(La Nia)事件间相关系数与预测定理(E1-E2),并对未来10年Ei Nio(La Nia)事件进行预测.研究结果表明:日食、太阳黑子、地球自转等现象与Ei Nio、La Nia事件具有密切相关性,是其发生重要影响因素.日食发生对Ei Nio(La Nia)事件具有热动力诱因,太阳黑子峰值年与Ei Nio事件发生有较好关联性,地球自转速率增加,诱发或增强La Nia事件,地球自转速率降低时,诱发或增强Ei Nio事件.通过构建日食、太阳黑子、地球自转与Ei Nio(La Nia)事件间相关系数与预测定理(E1-E2)进行Ei Nio(La Nia)事件的资料验证与预测,准确率达86.05%,得到预测结论:2016、2018、2019、2020、2023年发生Ei Nio事件,2017、2021、2024年发生La Nia事件.  相似文献   

10.
本文计算了地球自转速度季节性变化与全球强震季节性频度曲线的相关性,相关系数与震级有关,並发现强震频度的纬度分布与离心力大小有关,从而可能找到地球自转触发地震的某些依据。並用地下水异常、激光锁相应变仪测到的地震前兆,分析了地球自转短周期与地震的关系。  相似文献   

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12.
正Director:Shangfu Kuang,China Vice-directors:Chunhong Hu,China Duihu Ning,China Guangquan Liu,China The International Research and Training Center on Erosion and Sedimentation(IRTCES)was jointly set up by the Government of China and UNESCO on July 21,1984.It aims at the promotion of international exchange of knowledge and cooperation in the studies of erosion and  相似文献   

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正SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences,an academic journal cosponsored by the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the National Natural Science Foundation of China,and published by Science China Press and Springer,is committed to publishing high-quality,original results in both basic and applied research.  相似文献   

17.
Feedback mechanisms, which operate upstream through drawdown and backwater effects and downstream through sediment discharge are responsible for channel evolution. By combining these mechanisms with channel processes it euables a dynamic process-response model to be developed to simulate the initial evolution of straight gravel-bed channels. When erosion commences on a land surface, sediment entrained in the headwater reach by hydraulic action is selectively transported, deposited and reworked. This produces a damped oscillation between degradation and aggradation as the channel and valley respond to spatial and temporal variations in sediment calibre and hydraulic conditions. The initial cut and fill phases are responsible for valley incision and floodplain development while secondary and subsequent activity can produce river terraces. Eventually sediment entrainment in the headwaters declines as slopes are reduced. Subsequent channel evolution is relatively insignificant because it is dependent on local weathering activity producing material that can be transported on declining slopes. Therefore landforms produced during the initial phase of development, when local weathering was non-limiting, dominate the landscape.  相似文献   

18.
Based on relocating the Jiujiang-Ruichang earthquake sequence which occurred on November 26, 2005 in Jiangxi Province with the double-difference (DD) algorithm and master event technique, the paper discusses the focal mechanism of the main shock (MsS.7) and the probable seismo-tectonics. The precise relocation results indicate that the average horizontal error is 0.31kin in a EW direction and 0.40kin in a NS direction, and the average depth error is 0.48kin. The focal depths vary from 8kin to 14kin, with the predominant distribution at 10kin - 12kin. The epicenter of the main shock is relocated to be 29.69^oN, 115.74^oE and the focal depth is about 10.Skin. Combining the predominant distribution of the earthquake sequence, the focal mechanism of the main shock and the tectonic conditions of N-E- and NW-strike faults growth in the seismic region, we infer that the main shock of the earthquake sequence was caused by a NW striking buried fault in the Rnichang basin. The nature of seismic faults needs to be further explored.  相似文献   

19.
Abstract

The western reservoirs represent the principal groundwater system in Morocco. Demographic, industrial and agricultural developments during the last decade have markedly altered groundwater quality. The Mamora coastal aquifer system is among the Atlantic systems which are most heavily threatened by pollution. Agricultural and industrial activities, and rapid urban growth contribute to the pollution of the groundwater. Contamination transport is facilitated by a high permeability of the aquifer formations. In order to assess the actual groundwater quality of the Mamora aquifer and to understand the influence of the factors generating the pollution, an extensive multidisciplinary research programme is in progress, with hydrochemistry and microbiology playing essential roles. The present paper concerns the spatial distribution of physico-chemical parameters in the groundwater, subjected to domestic, industrial and agricultural pollution. Fifty-seven samples were analysed for several parameters (Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+, K+, Cl?, SO4 2?, HCO3 ?, NO3 ?, pH, electrical conductivity and temperature). The microbiological analysis of 143 samples reveals the presence of four kinds of indicator bacteria in the groundwater resources: faecal Streptococci, faecal coliform, Escherichia coli and Clostridium. The physico-chemical results and bacteriological monitoring show that the nitrate and bacteria concentrations exceed the maximum admissible levels, notably around pumping stations in the sectors of Sidi Taibi, Sidi Ahmed Taleb and Aïn Sbaâ. Contamination is generated by uncontrolled anthropogenic activities and accentuated by the high intrinsic vulnerability of the aquifer system. Several parameters appeared to exceed admissibility standards. Measures are recommended to prevent groundwater pollution in the region.  相似文献   

20.
Zinc in the Environment. In 1990 the world production of zinc ammounted to 7 Mio. metric tons. The main areas of application were: galvanization, alloys like brass and zinc metal. The content in the earth crust varies between 10–300 ppm zinc with a mean of 70 ppm. Uncontaminated surface waters contain less than 10 mg/m3 zinc. Apart from civilization air contains 1–10 ng zinc per m3. These background concentrations are exceeded by orders of magnitude in zinc deposit areas and where anthropogenic influences predominate. Accumulation can occur in sediments and sewage sludge. Molluscs and Algae also accumulate zinc. Zinc is essential for live. With normal food the zinc supply of man is just sufficient. Bioaccumulation of zinc towards man or chronic oversupply of man is not known. Zinc has no teratogenic or mutagenic effects, a suspicion on a carcinogenic effect proved wrong. In stockbreeding and plant cultivation a minimum supply of zinc is necessary. Plants are relatively less sensitive against higher soil contents of zinc. Considering the toxicological and ecotoxicological effects of zinc in the environment, the critical organismens are marine invertebratae like tubifex, daphnia, gammarus and algae. But normally only a minor part of the total zinc contest is biologically available, depending on salt content and pH of the waters.  相似文献   

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