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1.
基于MODIS数据的博斯腾湖流域植被变化及其与气候因子的关系 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
以博斯腾湖流域为研究区,基于2001-2016年时间序列的MODIS NDVI数据分析了研究区植被的时空变化趋势,并结合流域气象站点的气温、降水、日照时数和相对湿度数据分析了植被生长季累积NDVI和16天NDVI与气候因子之间的响应特征.结果表明:(1)流域植被覆盖变化呈改善趋势,生长季累积NDVI年变化率为0.014 a-1,16天NDVI变化率均为正值,植被改善趋势显著区域主要分布在高山草原湿地和农业灌溉区边缘的新增农田.(2)植被生长季累积NDVI主要受降水和相对湿度影响,植被总体生产力与水分条件关系最密切,生长季逐16天NDVI与同期气温和日照时数在植被生长初期和末期关系显著,而与降水没有显著的相关性,说明植被短期瞬时长势对热量条件更为敏感.(3)在植被生长不同阶段对气候变化具有不同的滞后效应,其中植被生长初期和末期对气温有0.5~1个月的滞后,生长盛期对降水有0.5~3个月的滞后、日照时数有1.5~2.5个月的滞后、相对湿度有0.5~2.5个月的滞后,揭示了植被不同生长阶段水热条件对其生长韵律的控制差异. 相似文献
2.
利用NOAA/AVHRR归一化植被指数（NDVI）及观测气温与再分析地表气温的差值（Observation Minus Reanalysis, OMR）分析了植被覆盖状况对中国地表气温变化的影响.结果表明,地表气温OMR趋势值与NDVI在空间上呈现出显著的负相关关系,植被覆盖状况差（NDVI小于0.1）的区域地表升温较为显著,气温OMR趋势值超过0.2℃/10a,而植被覆盖度高（NDVI大于0.5）的区域气温OMR趋势值则变化不大,甚至出现降温.气温OMR趋势值对植被的季节变化还有着敏感的响应.不同区域植被覆盖状况的差异可能导致中国地表气温变化对全球变暖的响应不同,预测中国未来气候变化需要考虑植被覆盖状况及其动态变化的影响. 相似文献
3.
干旱是影响社会发展和农业生产的重要因素之一。本文基于EOS/MODIS卫星遥感资料,选取江西省2001-2006年的NDVI时间序列数据,分析了NDVI对干旱的响应规律。计算了NDVI与气温、降水之间的关系。并提取植被状态指数(VCI),分析VCI与气温距平、降水距平的空间分布规律。结果表明:2003年江西夏季旱灾以高温少雨天气为主。这一时期的NDVI数值明显低于其他年份同一时期的NDVI值。气温温度越高,NDVI值越大;日照时数时间越长,NDVI值越大;降水量越高,NDVI值越大;降水距平百分率越高,VCI值越高;平均温度距平越小,VCI值越高。说明气候因素对NDVI指数和VCI指数有很大影响。研究表明,基于MODIS的植被指数可以反映旱灾的时空分布规律。 相似文献
4.
气候变化和人类活动对黄土高原植被覆盖变化的影响 总被引：24，自引：0，他引：24
利用GIMMS和SPOT VGT两种归一化植被指数(NDVI)数据对黄土高原地区1981~2006年期间植被覆盖的时空变化进行了研究, 并从气候变化和人类活动的角度分析了植被覆盖变化的原因. 黄土高原地区植被覆盖经历了以下4个阶段: ① 1981~1989年植被覆盖持续增加时期; ② 1990~1998年以小幅波动为特征的相对稳定时期; ③ 1999~2001年植被覆盖迅速下降时期; ④ 2002~2006年植被覆盖进入迅速上升时期. 黄土高原地区植被覆盖变化存在显著的空间差异, 内蒙古和宁夏沿黄农业灌溉区和鄂尔多斯退耕还林还草生态恢复区的植被覆盖明显提高, 而黄土丘陵沟壑区和六盘山、秦岭北坡等山地森林区的植被覆盖明显退化. 从不同的植被类型来看, 沙地、草地和耕地的NDVI上升趋势显著, 而森林植被的NDVI呈明显的下降趋势. 研究表明: 植被覆盖变化是气候变化和人类活动共同作用的结果. 黄土高原地区气候变暖在加剧土壤干燥化抑制夏季植被生长的同时, 提高了春、秋季节植被生长活性, 延长了植被生长期. 黄土高原地区植被覆盖和降水关系密切, 降水变化是植被覆盖变化的重要原因. 农业生产水平的提高致使农业区NDVI在不断上升, 同时, 正在黄土高原大规模进行的退耕还林还草工程建设, 其生态效应也正在呈现. 相似文献
5.
中国当代土地利用对区域气候影响的数值模拟 总被引：20，自引：0，他引：20
使用RegCM3区域气候模式，嵌套欧洲数值预报中心(ECMWF)ERA40再分析资料，分别进行了中国区域在实际植被和理想植被分布情况下各15年时间长度（1987-2001）的积分试验，以研究我国土地利用状况对气候的影响。通过两个试验结果的对比，研究了我国土地利用状况对气候的影响。分析主要集中于气温、降水等的变化上，并对结果进行了统计显著性检验。结果表明，当代土地利用/植被覆盖变化加强了中国地区冬、夏季的季风环流，同时改变了地表能量平衡状况，从而对各气候要素产生重要影响。冬季，植被改变引起长江以南降水减少、气温降低，长江以北降水增加。夏季，植被改变显著影响了南方地区的气候，使得这里降水增多，黄淮、江淮气温降低，华南气温上升；同时引起中国北方降水减少，气温在西北部分植被退化地区升高。植被变化对日最低、最高气温的影响更大。总体来说，土地利用引起了年平均降水在南方增加、北方减少，年平均气温在南方显著降低。 相似文献
6.
近30年中国陆地植被活动遥感监测 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
陆地植被作为地球陆地表面重要的组成部分,其变化直接影响着地球系统物质与能量的平衡.采用1982~2006年NOAA/AVHRR的NDVI数据和2001~2009年MODIS的NDVI数据,从全国尺度上,分析了近30年来农业植被、森林植被、草地植被与稀疏植被区植被活动的变化特征,并利用气候数据与农业生产统计数据探讨了他们之间的关系.研究结果显示:近30年来中国陆地植被活动整体趋于增强,但在不同时期、地区差异较大;植被活动变化在区域上受人为因素的影响明显,如在西北稀疏植被区与南方森林植被区;通过对农业生产统计数据的分析发现,植被活动直接左右着农业生产,但在时间上存在一定的滞后性. 相似文献
7.
博斯腾湖水盐动态变化(1951-2011年)及对气候变化的响应 总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4
分析了1951-2011年博斯腾湖历史水位和湖水矿化度的动态变化特征,解析了博斯腾湖水量与水质对气候变化的响应及未来变化趋势.结果表明,博斯腾湖水位在60年内经历了两个突变时期,突变时间分别为1974年和1994年,湖水矿化度也相应地呈现了三个动态变化阶段,水量与水位呈极显著负相关,但水质变化滞后于水位变化1年;流域气温呈显著增加趋势,气温升高的突变时间为1993年,与开都河出山口径流突变时间一致,但降水变化不显著;1993年前,博斯腾湖水量主要受气温和人类活动双重影响,1993年后博斯腾湖水量主要受气温的显著影响,气温主要通过改变入湖水量及湖区蒸发损耗来调控湖泊水位和水质;未来气温持续升高情景下,博斯腾湖水位将面临降低趋势,水质也将有恶化趋势.因此,为合理开发利用博斯腾湖水资源,减少水资源无效损耗,抑制水质恶化趋势,确保流域可持续发展,建议将博斯腾湖调水时间集中在5-9月,并严格控制孔雀河流域工农业用水量及工农业、生活污染源,减少污水排放量,减少周边地下水开发量. 相似文献
8.
植被恢复对黄土高原局地降水的反馈效应研究 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
《中国科学:地球科学》2021,(7)
自开展大规模植被恢复以来,黄土高原大量坡耕地被转化为草地和林地,其植被覆盖状况得到了显著改善.然而,大规模植被恢复通过改变下垫面性质导致大气与地表间的能量和水分循环过程发生变化,进而对区域气候和局地降水产生反馈.如何定量评估该反馈效应是水文气象学领域亟需解决的重要科学问题.本研究通过构建考虑植被动态变化的陆气双向耦合模式,分析黄土高原不同土地利用类型和地表参数的时空变化趋势,在考虑植被恢复对流域水热循环和陆气交互作用影响的基础上,定量评估植被建设对黄土高原局地降水的反馈效应,并阐明其作用机理.通过设立考虑植被恢复的真实情景和不考虑植被恢复的假设情景两组模拟试验,对比分析植被建设对局地降水过程的净影响.结果表明,植被恢复对黄土高原局地降水量的增加具有积极效应.观测数据显示,2000～2015年黄土高原降水量以7.84mm a~(-2)的速率显著增加,模拟结果显示大规模植被恢复对研究区降水量增加速率的贡献约为37.4%,而外部水汽环流变化对研究区降水量增加速率的贡献约占62.6%.考虑植被恢复情景比不考虑植被恢复情景下的黄土高原年均降水量高12.4%.上述研究结果对黄土高原生态保护和高质量发展,以及植被建设的可持续性管理具有重要的理论与现实意义. 相似文献
9.
新安江对千岛湖外源输入总量的贡献分析(2006-2016年) 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
运用新安江模型,计算了千岛湖25条主要入湖河流在2006-2016年间的入湖流量,结合同时期入湖河道的逐月水质监测数据,分析了最大入流新安江的营养盐——总氮(TN)、总磷(TP)、氨氮(NH3-N)和高锰酸盐指数(CODMn)总量输入在该时段内的年际变化和季节变化规律,研究了新安江营养盐输入总量变化与新安江水质水量、黄山市人口、GDP和土地利用的关系,探讨了影响新安江营养盐总量的关键影响因素及其对千岛湖水质的影响.结果表明,研究时段内新安江多年平均年入湖水量占千岛湖多年平均年入湖水量的51.4%,占25条主要河流年总入流量的67.3%,新安江CODMn、TP、TN、NH3-N多年平均的输入总量分别为11458.4、214.9、7649.2和756.5 t/a,分别占千岛湖年总负荷的50.7%、34.3%、63.7%和48.4%.各指标的年入湖总量在统计期间均呈上升趋势,且春、夏两季高于秋、冬两季.相关性分析表明,黄山市GDP与新安江CODMn、TN和TP入湖总量呈显著正相关关系,农业面源污染对新安江TN输入总量有显著影响.作为千岛湖最大的入湖河流,新安江营养盐(TP、TN、NH3-N)的输入能显著影响千岛湖的生态系统健康. 相似文献
10.
基于随机森林模型的太湖水生植被遥感信息提取 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
水生植被作为太湖湿地的重要组分,其数量和范围变化影响着湖泊生态系统的平衡,故利用遥感技术对水生植被的空间分布开展研究有助于太湖湿地生态系统的保护.以Landsat 8多光谱遥感影像为主要数据源,利用光谱指数和图像变换方法构建多个特征变量,结合随机森林(RF)模型,提取太湖水生植被的空间分布.结果表明:(1)通过对比分析训练样本特征值的平均值、标准差和变异系数,NDVI、NDWIF、SR等指数更易于区分开敞水域和沉水植被、浮叶植被和挺水植被;(2)当设置1000棵分类树和4个分割节点的随机变量时,RF分类模型的袋外误分率小于6%,误分主要受SR、MNDWI和NDVI等特征变量影响;(3)通过验证分析,基于RF模型获得的2014年7月太湖水生植被覆盖面积约为306.0km2,分类精度为88.56%(Kappa系数为0.88),主要分布在湖体的东部和南部,以沉水和浮叶植被为主,两者占水生植被覆盖总面积的84.9%. 相似文献
11.
1973-2013年红碱淖水域水质变化及驱动力分析 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
对1973-2013年8期Landsat MSS、TM、ETM+、OLI影像进行了辐射定标、大气校正、辐射归一化和波段运算等处理;利用归一化差值植被指数（NDVI）,分期提取了红碱淖水域面积,分析了湖水水质及红碱淖周围植被变化.研究表明：40 a间红碱淖水域面积呈阶段性萎缩趋势,1990s后萎缩速率加剧,水域面积总体缩小45.7%;湖区周边NDVI波动性增加显示了水退草进的变化趋势;湖面NDVI值的骤增,暗示叶绿素a或悬浮物浓度增加,间接表明湖区水质变差.根据40 a来水域面积变化,红碱淖的演变进程可依据湖泊面积动态度划分为稳定期（1973-1994年）和萎缩期（1994-2013年）两个阶段,气候暖干化是影响稳定期（1973-1994年）湖泊变化的主要因素,在萎缩期（1994-2013年）气候暖干化叠加人类活动是湖泊水量减少和水质变差的诱因,高强度的人为干扰如人工筑坝、灌溉耗水和煤炭开采是红碱淖水域面积锐减的主要原因. 相似文献
12.
Aierken Tuersun Yusufujiang Rusuli Aizezitiyuemaier Maimaiti Miriayi Maitudi Kadiayi Alimu 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2020,48(5-6)
The Bosten Lake watershed investigated in this study has seen significant land cover and climate change. The spatiotemporal relationship between evapotranspiration (ET) and environmental factors remain unclear. In this study, trend analysis and correlation methods are applied to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of ET and the relationship between ET and its driving factors using remotely sensed ET data and measured climate data between 2001 and 2018. During the study period, high values of ET primarily occurr in the wetlands of the plain area and the mid‐elevation mountain areas. The ET values show a significantly increasing trend in the different vegetation types due to climate change and other factors. The ET change trend in the study area is in the range of ?13.4 to ≈35.9 mm per year; the desert area exhibits a significant decrease and most of the mountain areas show a significantly increasing trend. ET is significantly correlated with land surface temperature, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and solar radiation. The dominant factor affecting ET is NDVI, accounting for 15.2% of the study area. The results of this study highlight the need for appropriate land‐use strategies for managing water resources in arid land ecosystems. 相似文献
13.
抚仙湖有近210亿m3的优质淡水资源,具有重要战略价值,但是近年来出现水质退化的现象.沉水植被是湖泊生态系统功能维持的重要生物门类,其演变过程能反映和影响整个生态系统的变化,目前还缺乏对抚仙湖沉水植被长期连续地观测记录.本文基于Landsat遥感数据分析了抚仙湖北部沉水植被面积的动态变化,结合气候变化和水质水文要素分析发现：抚仙湖北部湖区沉水植物在1987—2020年间存在先减少后增加的变化趋势;1987—1995年,沉水植物分布面积约占北部湖区面积的1.64%;1996—2010年北部湖区沉水植被分布面积缩减,湖泊处于高水位低营养状态,水位上升是此时期沉水植物面积减少的主要原因;2011—2020年,水位降低,营养增加,营养和水位的共同作用导致抚仙湖北部湖区沉水植物面积显著增加.沉水植物覆盖度变化伴随着沉水植被以苦草为优势种群转为以穗花狐尾藻为优势种群,沉水植被结构转向耐污染性更强的属种.通过抚仙湖北部湖区沉水植被发育与营养、水位等驱动因子的关系分析,建议现阶段需要严格限制入湖氮磷排放,强化水生植被的长期动态监测,构建水量、水质、水生态一体化监测体系,并开展抚仙湖生态系统演变的模拟和预测,防止抚仙湖生态系统出现突变,以维持抚仙湖生态系统功能多样性. 相似文献
14.
Lilin Zheng Pengfei Zhan Jinying Xu Ligang Xu Zhiqiang Tan Xiaolong Wang 《水文研究》2020,34(11):2645-2659
Water regime characteristics have been recognized as critical factors for aquatic vegetation. In this study, we examined changes in aquatic vegetation coverage area in two shallow sub-lakes of Poyang Lake (Bang Lake and Cuoji Lake) during the dry season from 1987 to 2017. The relationships between eight water regime components (annual average water level, annual maximum water level, annual minimum water level, and flooded days at five water levels [11, 13, 15, 17, and 19 m]) and aquatic vegetation coverage area were determined. The most critical water regimes were identified and results demonstrated that aquatic vegetation coverage area in Bang Lake and Cuoji Lake peaked in drier years (2005 and 2009, respectively) with no obvious up or down trend. Water regimes indicating high flow events such as annual maximum water level, flooded days at water level 19 m, and annual average water level were found to be more important for predicting aquatic vegetation. High-flow events appear to be essential for understanding aquatic vegetation dynamics in pit lakes, yet overall the influences of water level fluctuation on aquatic vegetation varied among wetland units of Poyang Lake. This study helps to understand the hydroecological dynamics in connected lakes further and provide a reference for the lake management and protection. 相似文献
15.
太湖流域LUCC对水文过程的影响 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
基于1971年枯水年、1989年丰水年、2000年平水年3类典型代表年的逐日降雨量、逐日蒸发量以及不同时期地表覆盖遥感分类数据,以城市化快速发展地表覆盖变化明显的太湖流域为研究区域,利用太湖流域河网水量模型进行了土地利用/覆被变化的水文响应研究,分析了太湖流域1990 2000年与2000 2006年间的土地利用/覆被变化及其对水位过程的影响.不仅有利于对城市化地区水文特征变化规律深入了解,也为典型城市化地区防洪减灾提供科学可靠的依据.研究表明,太湖流域城镇化进程的加快引起了土地利用/覆被变化的主要表现是水田、水域等面积向城镇面积转化,城镇化进程加快,2000 2006年期间的城镇化速度大于1990 2000年间;下垫面的变化对太湖流域水文过程产生了明显的影响,随着城市化进程地表覆盖的变化,水位有整体升高的趋势,并且增幅加大,与城镇化速率变化趋势相一致,城镇化程度高的地方水位上升更为明显;降雨量也是水位过程的影响因素之一. 相似文献
16.
17.
Spatiotemporal variations of vegetation cover on the Chinese Loess Plateau(1981―2006):Impacts of climate changes and human activities 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Spatiotemporal variations of Chinese Loess Plateau vegetation cover during 1981-2006 have been investigated using GIMMS and SPOT VGT NDVI data and the cause of vegetation cover changes has been analyzed, considering the climate changes and human activities. Vegetation cover changes on the Loess Plateau have experienced four stages as follows: (1) vegetation cover showed a continued increasing phase during 1981―1989; (2) vegetation cover changes came into a relative steady phase with small fluctuations during 1990―1998; (3) vegetation cover declined rapidly during 1999―2001; and (4) vegetation cover increased rapidly during 2002―2006. The vegetation cover changes of the Loess Plateau show a notable spatial difference. The vegetation cover has obviously increased in the Inner Mongolia and Ningxia plain along the Yellow River and the ecological rehabilitated region of Ordos Plateau, however the vegetation cover evidently decreased in the hilly and gully areas of Loess Plateau, Liupan Mountains region and the northern hillside of Qinling Mountains. The response of NDVI to climate changes varied with different vegetation types. NDVI of sandy land vegetation, grassland and cultivated land show a significant increasing trend, but forest shows a decreasing trend. The results obtained in this study show that the spatiotemporal variations of vegetation cover are the outcome of climate changes and human activities. Temperature is a control factor of the seasonal change of vegetation growth. The increased temperature makes soil drier and unfavors vegetation growth in summer, but it favors vegetation growth in spring and autumn because of a longer growing period. There is a significant correlation between vegetation cover and precipitation and thus, the change in precipitation is an important factor for vegetation variation. The improved agricultural production has resulted in an increase of NDVI in the farmland, and the implementation of large-scale vegetation construction has led to some beneficial effect in ecology. 相似文献
18.
Vegetation cover plays an important role in linking the atmosphere, water, and land and is deemed as a key indicator in the terrestrial ecological system. Therefore, it is of great importance to monitor vegetation dynamics and understand the mechanisms of vegetation change, including that driven by climate change. This study examines (a) the evolution of vegetation dynamics over the Heihe River Basin in the typical arid zone in north‐western China using nonparametric Mann–Kendall test and Thiel Sen's slope; (b) the relationships between remotely sensed vegetation indices (normalized difference vegetation index [NDVI] and enhanced vegetation index [EVI]) and hydroclimatic variables based on correlation analysis; and (c) the prediction of vegetation anomalies using a multiple linear regression model. For the analysis, the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer NDVI/EVI product and the gridded daily meteorological data at a spatial resolution of 0.125° over the period 2001–2010 are considered. The results indicate that vegetation cover improved over a large proportion during 2001–2010, with a significant trend towards warm and wet, characterized by an increase in average annual temperature and precipitation by 0.042 °C/year and 5.8 mm/year, respectively. We test the feasibility of NDVI and EVI in quantifying the responses of vegetation anomaly to climate change and develop a statistical model to predict vegetation dynamics in the basin. The NDVI‐based model is found to be more reliable than the EVI‐based model, partly due to the vegetation characteristics and geomorphologic properties of the study region. The proposed model performs well when there is no lag time between meteorological factors and vegetation indices for grassland and cropland, whereas 1‐month lead time prediction is found to be best for forest. The soil water content is introduced as an extra explanatory variable, which effectively improves the prediction accuracy for different land use types. In general, the predictive ability of the proposed model is stable and satisfactory, and the model can provide useful early warning information for regional water resources management under changing climate. 相似文献
19.
Paul E. Todhunter 《水文科学杂志》2018,63(9):1275-1291
Devils Lake, a terminal lake in eastern North Dakota, rose more than 9 m between 1992 and 2013, producing a 286% increase in lake area, and causing more than US$1 billion in direct damages. An annual volumetric lake water budget is developed from monthly hydroclimatological variables for the period 1951–2010 to investigate the rapid lake expansion. The lake is an amplifier terminal lake in which long-term climatic changes are amplified by positive feedback mechanisms, causing the lake to transition from a precipitation-dominated to a runoff-dominated water budget. Factors specific to the Devils Lake Basin further amplify this positive feedback relationship. These include principles of fill–spill hydrology that operate between individual sub-basins within the closed basin, and between the innumerable wetland complexes within each sub-basin. These factors create a pronounced non-stationary precipitation–runoff relationship in the basin during both long-term wetting and drying phases. 相似文献
20.
Spatiotemporal variations of Chinese Loess Plateau vegetation cover during 1981–2006 have been investigated using GIMMS and
SPOT VGT NDVI data and the cause of vegetation cover changes has been analyzed, considering the climate changes and human
activities. Vegetation cover changes on the Loess Plateau have experienced four stages as follows: (1) vegetation cover showed
a continued increasing phase during 1981–1989; (2) vegetation cover changes came into a relative steady phase with small fluctuations
during 1990–1998; (3) vegetation cover declined rapidly during 1999–2001; and (4) vegetation cover increased rapidly during
2002–2006. The vegetation cover changes of the Loess Plateau show a notable spatial difference. The vegetation cover has obviously
increased in the Inner Mongolia and Ningxia plain along the Yellow River and the ecological rehabilitated region of Ordos
Plateau, however the vegetation cover evidently decreased in the hilly and gully areas of Loess Plateau, Liupan Mountains
region and the northern hillside of Qinling Mountains. The response of NDVI to climate changes varied with different vegetation
types. NDVI of sandy land vegetation, grassland and cultivated land show a significant increasing trend, but forest shows
a decreasing trend. The results obtained in this study show that the spatiotemporal variations of vegetation cover are the
outcome of climate changes and human activities. Temperature is a control factor of the seasonal change of vegetation growth.
The increased temperature makes soil drier and unfavors vegetation growth in summer, but it favors vegetation growth in spring
and autumn because of a longer growing period. There is a significant correlation between vegetation cover and precipitation
and thus, the change in precipitation is an important factor for vegetation variation. The improved agricultural production
has resulted in an increase of NDVI in the farmland, and the implementation of large-scale vegetation construction has led
to some beneficial effect in ecology.
Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40671019) and the Knowledge Innovation Project of
the Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research of Chinese Academy of Sciences 相似文献