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1.
万永革 《内陆地震》2008,22(2):97-103
对加卸载响应比理论在地震预测中的应用进行分析,提出了对“正地震”和“负地震”震级根据加载库仑应力的半日潮振幅进行加权的研究思路,并应用于1999年台湾集集地震、2002年阿拉斯加Denali地震和2003年日本Hokkaido地震的震前加卸载响应比的计算。结果表明,相比较传统加卸载响应比,权重加卸载响应比更能突出震前的异常信息。  相似文献   

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加卸载响应比理论是近年来提出的地震预测方法。本文进行了加卸载响应比异常时间尺度的统计研究,其中包括中国大陆地区5.0~8.1级的部分中强地震共30个震例,并得出加卸载响应比异常的时间尺度与未来地震震级之间的拟合函数。结果表明,地震前加卸载响应比异常的时间尺度与未来地震的震级具有正变关系,即震级越高,地震前加卸载响应比异常的时间尺度越长。根据加卸载响应比异常的时间尺度与震级之间的关系可以估计未来地震的发震时间,同时,可以确定加卸载响应比时空扫描过程中时问长度的大小。  相似文献   

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多年的实测数据表明,大桥水库的坝前水位年变化约40m,库水对库盆的静压变化大约为4×105Pa,比固体潮的作用大2个量级,水库的蓄水和放水是对库区影响最大的加卸载力源。根据加卸载响应比理论(LURR),用库区的地震频次和能量分别研究在大桥水库诱发M_S4.6地震前后加卸载响应比的变化。结果表明:在大桥水库及附近相对较大的范围和水体附近相对较小的范围内,当库水加载过程中发生小震群时,地震频次加卸载响应比Y_n和C_r值显示高值异常,表明研究区岩石处于临近破裂状态,其后发生4.6级水库诱发地震;蓄水前后地震频次库水加卸载响应比Y_n和C_r值的平均值有明显差异;在大桥水库诱发的4.6级地震前,库水加卸载作用导致的地震频次及能量的加卸载响应比在震前存在明显的高值异常,震后异常消失。大桥4.6级震例表明库水加卸载响应比可有效应用于水库诱发地震的监测预报  相似文献   

4.
针对2019年9月12日营口地震台地磁数据加卸载响应比和逐日比超阈值异常,从仪器观测系统,环境干扰等方面对异常信息进行了科学严谨的分析,结果认为这次地磁加卸载响应比和逐日比异常是地震前兆异常的可能性较大。  相似文献   

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针对2019年11月5日四川地区出现的地磁加卸载响应比异常现象,通过初步异常判断、仪器运行状态检查、观测资料可靠性检查、环境干扰调查、高压直流输电情况调查、磁扰活动影响分析和台站基础数据对比,综合认为该日出现的地磁加卸载响应比的异常受外界干扰可能性很小,该日异常是地震前兆异常的可能性较大;结合地磁加卸载响应比法的震例总结和预测指标,认为此次异常出现后的约6个月,阈值线附近区域存在发生MS≥5.0中强地震的可能。  相似文献   

6.
祁连山地震带两次中强地震前的加卸载响应比异常   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
研究了祁连山地震带两次中强地震前的加卸载响应比异常特征,讨论了基于天然地震序列的样本条件对加卸载响应比计算结果的影响,提出处理序列中4.0级以上地震的新方法。  相似文献   

7.
应用地磁加卸载响应比方法,统计分析山西地磁台网1987—1998年模拟资料、2008年以来数字化资料的加卸载响应比异常及与其周围Ms4.0以上地震之间的关系。提出适用于山西地区地磁加卸载响应比的异常判据阈值为3.0,得出地磁加卸载响应比异常的短临指标。  相似文献   

8.
苍山5.2级地震前测震学参数的异常分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用山东省地震台网的地震资料,分析研究了鲁南地区1991-1995年地震波速比的时空变化,地震活动性参数及加卸载响应比。研究发现巷山5.2级地震前,该地区的波速比时空变化出现了明显的低值异常;地震活动出现3,4级地震集中,应变能释放速度加速,转平;加卸载响应比在震中及邻近区域出现高值等明显异常,并分析了某些异常的发展及转化过程,提出了某些短临异常指标。  相似文献   

9.
加卸载响应比在伊朗地区地震活动性研究中的应用   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文应用加卸载响应比理论,分别对2005年2月22日伊朗东南部克尔曼省扎兰德Ms6.4地震和2006年3月31日伊朗西部洛雷斯坦省Ms6.1地震2个震例进行了时程曲线分析;并用加卸载响应比方法对伊朗地区进行了时空扫描。通过考察加卸载响应比异常区域的演化过程,对该地区未来的地震活动性进行了研究。  相似文献   

10.
三原井水位固体潮加卸载响应比的地震异常   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
讨论了三原井水位在泾阳4.8级地震前的变化特征,重点是泾阳地震前水位对固体潮响应的变化,即固体潮加卸载响应率与加卸载响应比的变化,对水位观测资料的计算分析表明,震前加卸载响应率及响应比有“平稳-升高-恢复”的特征,说明水位固体潮加卸载响应比方法有可能捕捉5级左右近震的前兆信息。  相似文献   

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12.
正Director:Shangfu Kuang,China Vice-directors:Chunhong Hu,China Duihu Ning,China Guangquan Liu,China The International Research and Training Center on Erosion and Sedimentation(IRTCES)was jointly set up by the Government of China and UNESCO on July 21,1984.It aims at the promotion of international exchange of knowledge and cooperation in the studies of erosion and  相似文献   

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正SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences,an academic journal cosponsored by the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the National Natural Science Foundation of China,and published by Science China Press and Springer,is committed to publishing high-quality,original results in both basic and applied research.  相似文献   

17.
Feedback mechanisms, which operate upstream through drawdown and backwater effects and downstream through sediment discharge are responsible for channel evolution. By combining these mechanisms with channel processes it euables a dynamic process-response model to be developed to simulate the initial evolution of straight gravel-bed channels. When erosion commences on a land surface, sediment entrained in the headwater reach by hydraulic action is selectively transported, deposited and reworked. This produces a damped oscillation between degradation and aggradation as the channel and valley respond to spatial and temporal variations in sediment calibre and hydraulic conditions. The initial cut and fill phases are responsible for valley incision and floodplain development while secondary and subsequent activity can produce river terraces. Eventually sediment entrainment in the headwaters declines as slopes are reduced. Subsequent channel evolution is relatively insignificant because it is dependent on local weathering activity producing material that can be transported on declining slopes. Therefore landforms produced during the initial phase of development, when local weathering was non-limiting, dominate the landscape.  相似文献   

18.
Based on relocating the Jiujiang-Ruichang earthquake sequence which occurred on November 26, 2005 in Jiangxi Province with the double-difference (DD) algorithm and master event technique, the paper discusses the focal mechanism of the main shock (MsS.7) and the probable seismo-tectonics. The precise relocation results indicate that the average horizontal error is 0.31kin in a EW direction and 0.40kin in a NS direction, and the average depth error is 0.48kin. The focal depths vary from 8kin to 14kin, with the predominant distribution at 10kin - 12kin. The epicenter of the main shock is relocated to be 29.69^oN, 115.74^oE and the focal depth is about 10.Skin. Combining the predominant distribution of the earthquake sequence, the focal mechanism of the main shock and the tectonic conditions of N-E- and NW-strike faults growth in the seismic region, we infer that the main shock of the earthquake sequence was caused by a NW striking buried fault in the Rnichang basin. The nature of seismic faults needs to be further explored.  相似文献   

19.
Abstract

The western reservoirs represent the principal groundwater system in Morocco. Demographic, industrial and agricultural developments during the last decade have markedly altered groundwater quality. The Mamora coastal aquifer system is among the Atlantic systems which are most heavily threatened by pollution. Agricultural and industrial activities, and rapid urban growth contribute to the pollution of the groundwater. Contamination transport is facilitated by a high permeability of the aquifer formations. In order to assess the actual groundwater quality of the Mamora aquifer and to understand the influence of the factors generating the pollution, an extensive multidisciplinary research programme is in progress, with hydrochemistry and microbiology playing essential roles. The present paper concerns the spatial distribution of physico-chemical parameters in the groundwater, subjected to domestic, industrial and agricultural pollution. Fifty-seven samples were analysed for several parameters (Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+, K+, Cl?, SO4 2?, HCO3 ?, NO3 ?, pH, electrical conductivity and temperature). The microbiological analysis of 143 samples reveals the presence of four kinds of indicator bacteria in the groundwater resources: faecal Streptococci, faecal coliform, Escherichia coli and Clostridium. The physico-chemical results and bacteriological monitoring show that the nitrate and bacteria concentrations exceed the maximum admissible levels, notably around pumping stations in the sectors of Sidi Taibi, Sidi Ahmed Taleb and Aïn Sbaâ. Contamination is generated by uncontrolled anthropogenic activities and accentuated by the high intrinsic vulnerability of the aquifer system. Several parameters appeared to exceed admissibility standards. Measures are recommended to prevent groundwater pollution in the region.  相似文献   

20.
Zinc in the Environment. In 1990 the world production of zinc ammounted to 7 Mio. metric tons. The main areas of application were: galvanization, alloys like brass and zinc metal. The content in the earth crust varies between 10–300 ppm zinc with a mean of 70 ppm. Uncontaminated surface waters contain less than 10 mg/m3 zinc. Apart from civilization air contains 1–10 ng zinc per m3. These background concentrations are exceeded by orders of magnitude in zinc deposit areas and where anthropogenic influences predominate. Accumulation can occur in sediments and sewage sludge. Molluscs and Algae also accumulate zinc. Zinc is essential for live. With normal food the zinc supply of man is just sufficient. Bioaccumulation of zinc towards man or chronic oversupply of man is not known. Zinc has no teratogenic or mutagenic effects, a suspicion on a carcinogenic effect proved wrong. In stockbreeding and plant cultivation a minimum supply of zinc is necessary. Plants are relatively less sensitive against higher soil contents of zinc. Considering the toxicological and ecotoxicological effects of zinc in the environment, the critical organismens are marine invertebratae like tubifex, daphnia, gammarus and algae. But normally only a minor part of the total zinc contest is biologically available, depending on salt content and pH of the waters.  相似文献   

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