共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
The improved calculation method ofb value is presented in this paper. The method can enlarge the role of earthquake occurrence frequency inb value calculation and thus increase theb value variation amplitude. In this case, the combination structure variation between earthquake magnitudes and corresponding frequencies could be shown clearly. According to the calculation and analysis for limited mainshocks in the complete seismicity data of selected monitored area with assigned consistent lowest magnitude, the precursor anomaly features, quantitative indexes and the calculation formula of relative subject function ofb value variation have been preliminarily worked out. The prediction in short period (from 1 to 3 months) for damage earthquakes in the monitored area mentioned above can be put forward on the basis of the results of quantitative calculation and analysis. 相似文献
2.
ＣａｌｃｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｂｖａｌｕｅａｎｄｉｔｓａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｉｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎＨｕａ－ＣｈｅｎＤＵＡＮ（段华琛）；Ｃｈａｎｇ－ＱｉｎｇＦＡＮ（范长青）ａｎｄＹｕｅ－ＭｉｎＸＵ（许跃敏）（Ｓｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌ... 相似文献
3.
b值是研究地震活动的重要指标,其广泛应用于地震危险性分析和地震预测研究之中,与实际资料的完整性、样本量的大小、计算方法等因素有着重要的关系。常见的b值计算方法有最小二乘法和最大似然法,样本量的大小对这2种方法影响很大。本文利用蒙特卡罗模拟地震目录和汾渭地震带实际目录作为样本,从中抽取不同大小的样本量进行计算,研究不同样本量下这2种方法计算得到的b值与设定值或真实值之间的差别。结果表明,最小二乘法需要的最低样本量为1000,最大似然法为200;当样本量达不到要求时,计算出的b值是不可靠的;由于对样本量的要求不同,前者适用于计算区域的整体b值,而后者在研究某区域b值在时间轴上的变化方面更有优势。本研究为确定2种b值计算方法对样本量的最低要求提供了参考依据。 相似文献
4.
2022年9月5日四川泸定发生M6.8地震,为研究泸定地震孕震区的应力变化,选取b值、小震调制比和丛集率这3个参数,对泸定地震前的区域地震活动状态进行计算研究。结果显示:泸定及周边区域几次强震发生前,区域地震活动均存在持续时间较长的低b值时段,且在低b值状态下震前短期内出现小震高丛集、高调制比的现象;鲜水河断裂带的地震活动状态分析显示,此次泸定地震前该断裂带存在持续时间近10个月的低b值状态,且短期内出现丛集率升高、调制比高值现象。通过对比分析,认为泸定地震是鲜水河断裂带构造运动的结果。综合分析认为,结合应力场背景和构造条件研究地震活动b值、固体潮调制比和丛集率的时空变化有助于理解大地震的孕育演化过程。 相似文献
5.
A lot of researches onb value have been made in seismology. Since the 1960’s Mogi, Scholz and others have studied AE of rock specimens in laboratory
and discovered that it is related to natural earthquakes. All former researchers used integral specimens to studyb value in the laboratory. However a major earthquake is usually related to a existing seismic-fault in that area. For this
reason, a series of fracture experiments with rock and glass specimens having pre-existing crack or notch is performed in
order to examine the effect of preexisting crack tob value. The experimental results show that theb value begins to decrease as soon as the initiation of the crack and finally drop to a very low value when the specimen breaks
unstably. Based on these, a brief discussion on the possible mechanism ofb value change for natural earthquakes is given.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,9, 393–400, 1987.
Projects sponsored by the Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation. 相似文献
6.
2017年8月8日青藏高原东缘四川九寨沟地区发生7.0级强震,依据前人研究结果分析九寨沟7.0级地震发震构造,并计算震前应力状态。结果显示:本次地震受到构造和历史强震的影响,是发生在历史强震引起的应力加载区域。另外,采用中国地震台网1990年以来的地震目录,在评估目录完整性的基础上,利用最大似然法计算得到2017年8月8日九寨沟7.0级地震前震源区及邻区地震b值空间图像。结果显示,九寨沟7.0级地震发生在四川北部地区显著低b值高应力异常区域内部(0.82b0.75)。所以,研究区域内外历史强震可能促进了九寨沟7.0级地震的发生。 相似文献
7.
8.
A fissural eruption occurred from the northern flank of Mt. Etna on March 17, 1981, and the associated earthquake activity,
recorded by the seismic network operating on the volcano, was carefully examined to detect possible variations ofb values, according to the frequency-magnitude relationship, before the start of the eruption.
The analysis of 4000B-type earthquakes was carried out according to the maximum likelihood method.
A significant increase in theb value was noticed since the beginning of February 1981, followed by a sharp decrease in the days before the eruption started.
The observed variation pattern was related to possible changes on the stress field acting on the volcano. 相似文献
9.
张家口-渤海断裂带西段及中西段b值时空扫描 总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0
张家口-渤海断裂带作为华北平原地区重要的活动断裂带,地震活动频繁,是我国地震监测预测重点区域之一。本文选取该断裂带西段及中西段1970-2016年的地震目录,采用最大似然法进行时间扫描,分析显示研究区b值为0.28-1.52,其随时间变化的特点是在大地震发生前降至最低,震后逐渐恢复;研究区空间扫描结果显示,该区b值的平均值为0.93,其中怀安-万全盆地北缘断裂和蓟运河断裂平均b值较低,反映该区域应力水平较高。综合以上结果,本次研究揭示出研究区地震危险性的时间和空间差异,为对研究区地震危险性评价提供基础数据。 相似文献
10.
The July 3, 2015 Pishan MS6.5 earthquake occurred in the intersection area of the Tarim block and West Kunlun block where the moderate-strong earthquakes have become active in recent years. This paper has studied the seismicity parameters of the earthquake sequences such as the b-value in the Pishan region and its vicinity. In addition, we also relocated the aftershocks of the Pishan MS6.5 earthquake using the seismic phase report by the double-difference method. The temporal and spatial variation characteristics of the Pishan earthquake sequence in the rupture zone are analyzed. The study is of great significance in the seismic hazard assessment in this region. 相似文献
11.
Kiran Kumar Singh Thingbaijam Sankar Kumar Nath Abhimanyu Yadav Abhishek Raj M. Yanger Walling William Kumar Mohanty 《Journal of Seismology》2008,12(1):107-123
Recent seismicity in the northeast India and its adjoining region exhibits different earthquake mechanisms – predominantly
thrust faulting on the eastern boundary, normal faulting in the upper Himalaya, and strike slip in the remaining areas. A
homogenized catalogue in moment magnitude, M
W, covering a period from 1906 to 2006 is derived from International Seismological Center (ISC) catalogue, and Global Centroid
Moment Tensor (GCMT) database. Owing to significant and stable earthquake recordings as seen from 1964 onwards, the seismicity
in the region is analyzed for the period with spatial distribution of magnitude of completeness m
t, b value, a value, and correlation fractal dimension D
C. The estimated value of m
t is found to vary between 4.0 and 4.8. The a value is seen to vary from 4.47 to 8.59 while b value ranges from 0.61 to 1.36. Thrust zones are seen to exhibit predominantly lower b value distribution while strike-slip and normal faulting regimes are associated with moderate to higher b value distribution. D
C is found to vary from 0.70 to 1.66. Although the correlation between spatial distribution of b value and D
C is seen predominantly negative, positive correlations can also be observed in some parts of this territory. A major observation
is the strikingly negative correlation with low b value in the eastern boundary thrust region implying a possible case of extending asperity. Incidentally, application of
box counting method on fault segments of the study region indicates comparatively higher fractal dimension, D, suggesting an inclination towards a planar geometrical coverage in the 2D spatial extent. Finally, four broad seismic source
zones are demarcated based on the estimated spatial seismicity patterns in collaboration with the underlying active fault
networks. The present work appraises the seismicity scenario in fulfillment of a basic groundwork for seismic hazard assessment
in this earthquake province of the country. 相似文献
12.
Jeremy R. Henderson Ian G. Main Calum Maclean Michael G. Norman 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1994,142(3-4):545-565
We present a cellular automaton model which simulates the process of seismogenesis using rules for evolution which are derived from the field of fracture mechanics, and include an interplay of positive and negative feedbacks. We describe the implementation of this model, and its analysis, in a massively parallel environment using the Connection Machine. Starting from a lattice with a fractal distribution of fracture toughnesses, theb value evolves in a way which closely mimics both the evolutions ofb value observed in the laboratory and derived from earthquake catalogues, reaching a broad and irregular maximum in the period preceding a major event, and declining rapidly during catastrophic failure. We conclude that the processes modelled are a reasonable representation of those occurring in Nature, and that the cellular automaton paradigm is a valuable way of simulating these processes on a large scale in an economical manner. 相似文献
13.
Karel Holub 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1996,146(2):265-280
The values of parameters of the relation logN=a–b logE characterize in general the level of seismicity of individual regions. In the present paper, a detailed analysis ofb values of the frequency-energy distributions was carried out with the aid of a database of seismic events recorded by the seismological networks in the Ostrava-Karviná Coal Mine District (Czech Republic), using the least squares regression and maximum likelihood method, as well. The determination ofb value was performed for a relatively large number of regions investigated and for different time series of observations. Special attention has been paid to induced seismic events statistics for the vicinity of one of the coalfaces in the Lazy Mine. It could be generally stated that lowerb values correspond to a higher level of induced seismic activity, while the higher ones correspond to a low and a moderate seismic activity. 相似文献
14.
The paper deals with the mechanical origin and rules ofen echelon folds and their secondary fractures by means of elastic stability theory and nonlinear fracture criterion. Obtains the quantitative
relations amongen echelon angles ofen echelon folds, ratios of boundary stresses anden echelon pitches of shear zone under an action of general boundary forces (tension shear, pure shear or compression shear). As an
applied example, the paper researches the displacement field, stress field, distortion energy distribution, state of secondary
fractures and energy released by fracturing ofen echelon fold structure developed at the east foot of Taihang Mountain. The results of research show that maximum principal (compressive)
stresses, maximum shear stresses, high value area of distortion energy are in the nuclear parts ofen echelon folds. In these parts compressive fractures were easily developed in approximately parallel with fold axis. So it is verified
that the secondary fracture ofen echelon folds is a mechanism controlling a strong earthquake. 相似文献
15.
利用宁夏地区2011—2013年期间多期重力观测资料,采用中国地震局推广的LG-ADJ程序对观测资料进行平差处理,给出地震前后3年的区域重力场变化和点值变化图像。结合构造活动分析,对2012永宁4.6级地震前后宁夏地区重力异常变化进行研究。认为：2012年永宁地震前,测区重力场出现较好的中期前兆性变化图像,临震前短期异常突增,重力场在空间和量值上均出现大幅的上升变化,重力点值震前趋势下降-转折上升-加速上升-发震的变化,是非常值得关注的前兆异常。 相似文献
16.
利用华北地区近44年地震资料,在区域地震序列完整性分析的基础上,用最小二乘法进行b值时间扫描计算,用最大似然法进行b值空间扫描计算。时间扫描中的b值为研究区内每个扫描窗口的平均b值,因此其变化幅度不大,基本保持在0.62~1.05之间。研究区b值空间分布范围基本维系在0.5~1.4,低b值区域为昌平—宝坻断裂段和唐山—迁安断裂段,变化范围为0.5~0.7,表明该区域地壳介质正处于相对高应力或闭锁状态,存在未来可能发生中强以上地震的潜在危险。 相似文献
17.
中强地震序列的主震发生后,短时间内受台站距震中较远、尾波干扰和波形重叠等因素的影响,往往会遗漏大量的地震,而地震目录的完整性会直接影响到震后趋势判定和余震序列特征分析的科学性和可靠性。本文利用基于GPU加速的模板匹配方法对2017年8月1～12日的连续波形进行扫描计算,检测九寨沟MS7.0地震前后遗漏的地震事件,选取台网目录中信噪比较高的1033个地震事件作为模板,在主震前7天至震后5天期间识别出4854个检测地震事件,为台网可定位目录的3.3倍,除去对台网单台地震事件的修正外,还检测到1797个遗漏地震事件,将完备震级从1.6级降低到1.4级。基于补充了遗漏地震的完整地震目录,对2017年8月8日九寨沟MS7.0地震序列活动特征进行分析。结果表明,前震序列在主震前短时间内出现了地震活动的密集增强,b值也显示为低值状态,可能是深部断层发生破裂之前的加速蠕动的结果。随着时间的推移,余震序列的完备震级逐渐下降并趋于稳定,b值存在缓慢升高的趋势,未来较长时期内余震序列仍将处于持续衰减的状态。 相似文献
18.
四川盆地南部的长宁页岩气开发区附近地震频发,近年来已发生近10次ML>4.0的中型地震和万余次ML1.0~3.0的小微地震,灾害风险持续增高。由于国家地震台网的固定台站较为分散,难以捕捉到1级以下微震事件的精确信息,通过近场微震监测数据来分析页岩气开发区的地震风险演化趋势,已经成为势在必行的科学问题。本文基于专门布设的13个近场流动台站和国家地震台网固定台站2017年2月至2018年6月监测拾取到的1万余个地震事件,采用最大似然估计法计算了双差定位后地震目录的b值,详细探讨了长宁页岩气开发区的b值演化特征。基于更低的最小完整震级,估计出区域总体b值为0.98±0.02,略高于前人研究结果。拟合直线的双线性特征和错位分布指示出b值演化可能存在明显的时空差异特征。通过分析验证了这一结果,并且发现5个地震事件数量快速增加的时间段恰好伴随着b值的强振荡特征和相关空间距离SCL值的稳定低值分布,认为可能与附近的页岩气压裂开采存在关联。分析认为4个较大震级事件发生之前出现的b值下降应归因于震前的应力累积过程,类似于一般的大型天然地震事件。 相似文献
19.
利用模板匹配方法对2015年11月23日青海省祁连县M_S5.2地震进行遗漏地震检测研究,由于主震后短时间内目录中遗漏事件较多,故对主震后1天的连续波形进行检测。主震后1天内青海测震台网记录到的余震个数(包括单台)共62个,选取主震后M_L1.0以上余震30个作为模板事件,通过匹配滤波的方式扫描出遗漏地震31个,约为台网目录给出的0.5倍。基于包络差峰值振幅与震级的线性关系估测检测事件的震级参数,最后将检测后的余震目录与台网余震目录在主震后1天内的最小完备震级进行对比分析,结果发现检测后最小完备震级从M_L1.2降到了M_L0.7,得到青海测震台网在祁连地区最小完整性震级为M_L0.7。 相似文献
20.
The G-R relation lgN=a-bM (1954) is an empirical formula used widely in the seismicity research. But the linearity of b curves has great difference in different time and space domains. An interested question in this paper is that in how large
a space-time-strength domain the b value has certain physical connotation. This study told us that we can get optimal statistical results of b value in those space-time domains which can develop correspondent strong shocks with magnitude interval (M
s≥8.5, 8.0≤M
s<8.5, 7.0≤M
s<8.0). Thus, the possible seismogenic areas in which strong shocks with different magnitude intervals develop can be inferred
in different regions of the mainland of China. Finally, some new problems are proposed, such as the delimitation of seismic
province, the seismicity parameter determination in seismic hazard analysis and in earthquake predictions by using b value.
Contribution No. 96A-0074, Institute of Geophysics, SSB, China. 相似文献