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本文研究了服从双状态变量本构律的单自由度摩擦系统准静态运动。通过对相平面上运动轨迹的直接观察，以及运用Ｐｏｉｎｃａｒｅ截面和功率谱分析方法，对该系统的倍周期分岔和混沌行为进行了分析。 相似文献
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利用武汉电离层观象台高频多普勒台阵的覆盖太阳活动高、低年份，长达５年的连续观测数据，采用小波分析等方法估算电离层声重波扰动（ＴＩＤ）的传播参量，通过这些参量对武汉地区电离层扰动形态和变化规律进行了系统分析研究．结果表明，观测到的中尺度电离层声重波扰动（ＭＳＴＩＤ）存在二个显著季变化，在传播速度和周期上有明显差异的优势传播方向：一个指向东北方，传播的方位角主要分布在３０°─７０°之间（０°为正北，以顺时针方向表示传播方位角），它在夏季出现率最大，冬季基本消失；另一个优势方向指向正南，方位角主要分布在１５０°─２２０°范围，主要出现在冬季．文中还给出了ＭＳＴＩＤ的年、日变化，并进一步探讨了其变化特性的可能形成机理． 相似文献
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为明确前期风场对太湖北部湖湾水动力及蓝藻水华分布的影响,对2008年9月梅粱湾及贡湖湾水文、水质及气象开展了同步观测,结果表明:受前期东北风影响,梅梁湾及贡湖湾表层、中层及底层湖流流向均顺风向自湾内流向湾外,两个湖湾均不存在补偿流.表层湖流对风场变化响应敏感,而中场及底层流场对风场变化响应存在显著滞时.在偏南风作用下,梅梁湾表层湖流能快速形成顺时针环流.在偏西风作用下,贡湖湾表层湖流流向虽未发生偏转,但是湖流流速显著减小并导致流速沿水体垂向呈递增分布.观测期间水动力强度对太湖北部湖区叶绿素a浓度垂向分层及蓝藻水华水平漂移均具有重要影响.在水动力滞缓水域,蓝藻水华易在水表发生漂移堆积.在水动力强度较大水域,强烈的垂向混合作用能使蓝藻沿水深方向混合均匀,降低水华暴发风险.相对于水动力条件,营养盐对叶绿素a浓度空间分布的影响较弱. 相似文献
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前期风场控制的太湖北部湖湾水动力及对蓝藻水华影响 总被引：7，自引：6，他引：1
为明确前期风场对太湖北部湖湾水动力及蓝藻水华分布的影响,对2008年9月梅梁湾及贡湖湾水文、水质及气象开展了同步观测,结果表明:受前期东北风影响,梅梁湾及贡湖湾表层、中层及底层湖流流向均顺风向自湾内流向湾外,两个湖湾均不存在补偿流.表层湖流对风场变化响应敏感,而中场及底层流场对风场变化响应存在显著滞时.在偏南风作用下,梅梁湾表层湖流能快速形成顺时针环流.在偏西风作用下,贡湖湾表层湖流流向虽未发生偏转,但是湖流流速显著减小并导致流速沿水体垂向呈递增分布.观测期间水动力强度对太湖北部湖区叶绿素a浓度垂向分层及蓝藻水华水平漂移均具有重要影响.在水动力滞缓水域,蓝藻水华易在水表发生漂移堆积.在水动力强度较大水域,强烈的垂向混合作用能使蓝藻沿水深方向混合均匀,降低水华暴发风险.相对于水动力条件,营养盐对叶绿素a浓度空间分布的影响较弱. 相似文献
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太湖梅梁湾水动力及相关过程的研究 总被引：56，自引：13，他引：43
太湖是位于长江下游的一个大型水湖泊,水动力过程和要素对浅水湖泊的环境演化有着复杂和深远的影响,本文基于１９９８年开展的有关太湖梅梁湾的水动力过程的野外调查结果,总结了梅梁湾在夏季盛行风向条件下湖流特征,发现了梅梁湾在夏季偏南风条件下,表层湖流以顺时针环流为主要特征,但在湾内靠近梁溪河口地区,流场受地形影响而有所不同,反映在叶绿素浓度和总磷、总氮浓度分布上,因受湖流影响较大而富集在梁溪河口周转,即偏 相似文献
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在大多数地震面波的研究中,观测到的群走时被解释为全部由波沿传播路径产生的时延迟,并且认为震源效应非常小而可忽略不计。这与观测的震相时间不同。因为对震源相进行校正一般认为是必须做的。一个重要的但尚未解决的问题是宽频带面波研究中对震源群走时（ＳＧＴ）的忽略如休影响测量的群速度曲线和利用观测数据进行层析成像的精度,本文考虑ＳＧＴ对基阶瑞利波群速度测量的范围,并论述其对周期（１０－２００ｓ）震源机制和震源 相似文献
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对Ｓｃｈｍｉｄｔ地磁经纬仪在Ｈ分量观测中有关周期Ｔ测定的更新改进马世贵，高祥真（新疆维吾尔自治区地震局，乌鲁木齐）０引言乌鲁木齐地震台使用Ｓｃｈｍｉｄｔ地磁经纬仪在Ｈ分量绝对值观测中，通过对分频器的更新改进，不但大大简比了操作程序，缩短了周期７”的测... 相似文献
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考虑到内地核较小（其半径为外核的１／３）,许多地球发电机模型将内核完全忽略（Ｈｏｌｌｅｒｂａｃｈ ｅｔ ａｌ．,１９９２）,要不然就将其处理为不导电的绝缘体（ Ｚｈａｎｇ ａｎｄ Ｂｕｓｓｅ,１９９０;Ｇｌａｔｚｍａｉｅｒ ａｎｄ Ｒｏｂｅｒｔｓ,待出版）。在我们以前的稳态模型（Ｈｏｌｌｅｒ－ｂａｃｈ ａｎｄ Ｊｏｎｅｓ,１９９３）中,普考虑了有限导电内地核的某些效应,尤其是引起内外核之间的电磁耦 相似文献
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地球液核旋转产生近周日晃动（NDFW）．利用周日波的液核共振效应解算液核自由章动（FCN）常数是液核研究的一个方面．1987年以来一些国家的学者相继开展了由潮汐资料解算FCN常数的研究,他们基本上都采用了5个周日波参与解算的迭积法(stackingmethod)．本文提出了一种有直观几何意义的Akp-Btk方法,仅用信噪比最高的3个周日波就可完成FCN常数的解算,并选用3个超导重力台站Cantley（北美洲）、武汉（亚洲）和布鲁塞尔（欧洲）的资料进行计算．解算的液核自由章动常数（TFCN和Q）与VLBI的观测结果基本一致,这在十几年来尚属首次． 相似文献
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为满足流域防洪规划工作的需要,针对鄱阳湖湖区暴雨洪水特点,分别用面积比拟法,修正总入流法,单水源模型（现预报方案）,新安江三水源模型,对湖区４个实际大水年份进行分析计算．在新安江三水源模型中分析了鄱阳湖高低水位时水陆面积变化对产汇流的影响,并给出了相应的计算公式．结果表明,复杂的概念性降雨径流模型能充分地模拟径流洪水过程;而在合理的条件下,运用简单的方法亦能取得较好的效果,通过比较分析,提出鄱阳湖 相似文献
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Discharge, especially during flood periods, is among the most important information necessary for flood control, water resources planning and management. Owing to the high flood velocities, flood discharge usually cannot be measured efficiently by conventional methods, which explains why records of flood discharge are scarce or do not exist for the watersheds in Taiwan. A fast method of flood discharge estimation is presented. The greatest advantage of the proposed method is its application to estimate flood discharge that cannot be measured by conventional methods. It has as its basis the regularity of open‐channel flows, i.e. that nature maintains a constant ratio of mean to maximum velocities at a given channel section by adjusting the velocity distribution and the channel geometry. The maximum velocity at a given section can be determined easily over a single vertical profile, which tends to remain invariant with time and discharge, and can be converted to the mean velocity of the entire cross‐section by multying by the constant ratio. Therefore the mean velocity is a common multiple of maximum velocity and the mean/maximum velocity ratio. The channel cross‐sectional area can be determined from the gauge height, the water depth at the y‐axis or the product of the channel width multiplied by the water depth at the y‐axis. Then the most commonly used method, i.e. the velocity–area method, which determines discharge as the product of the cross‐sectional area multiplied by mean velocity, is applied to estimate the flood discharge. Only a few velocity measurements on the y‐axis are necessary to estimate flood discharge. Moreover the location of the y‐axis will not vary with time and water stage. Once the relationship of mean and maximum velocities is established, the flood estimation can be determined efficiently. This method avoids exposure to hazardous environments and sharply reduces the measurement time and cost. The method can be applied in both high and low flows in rivers. Available laboratory flume and stream‐flow data are used to illustrate accuracy and reliability, and results show that this method can quickly and accurately estimate flood discharges. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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太湖地区的圩及其对洪涝的影响 总被引：17，自引：5，他引：12
本文介绍了圩的概念,太湖地区圩区的现状,以及修圩筑提对太湖流域洪涝形势的影响,筑圩有效地抵御了洪涝,但对太湖流域的洪涝形势产生了影响;（１）洪涝调蓄水面积减少,流域调蓄能力下降;（２）河网的自然状况被破坏,引起洪涝泄流不畅;（３）人类活动影响了流域的交,汇流情况,排涝动力的增加使圩内汇流时间缩短。 相似文献
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Aline Anderson de Castro Luz Adriana Cuartas Michael T. Coe Celso Von Randow Andrea Castanho Alex Ovando 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(13-14):1954-1966
ABSTRACTWe coupled the hydrologic routing and flood dynamics model Terrestrial Hydrology Model with Biogeochemistry (THMB) to the Integrated LAND Surface Model (INLAND) and compared simulations of the discharge and flood extent area against gauge station and satellite-based information in the Amazon Basin. The coupled model represents well the seasonality of the flooding and discharge, but underestimates both of them. This can be related to an already discussed underestimate of the precipitation in the east of the Andes Mountains. A photosynthesis limitation on the flooded area was also included, showing changes in plant productivity and reduction in vegetation carbon stocks. Despite its limitations, the model proves to be a valuable tool for studies of the hydrological cycle and flood dynamics response to climate change projections, allowing it to be used to represent the feedbacks between continental surface water cycle and vegetation. 相似文献
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BMA集合预报在淮河流域应用及参数规律初探 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
以淮河流域吴家渡水文站作为试验站点,采用基于贝叶斯平均法(BMA)的集合预报模型处理来源于马斯京根法、一维水动力学方法、BPNN(Back Propagation Neural Network)的预报流量序列,通过分析BMA的参数以及其预报结果,对各方法在淮河典型站点流量预报中的适用性进行验证与分析.经2003—2016年19场洪水模拟检验可知,BMA模型能够有效避免模型选择带来的洪水预报误差放大效应,可以提供高精度、鲁棒性强的洪水预报结果.通过进一步比较各模型统计最优的频率与BMA权重值之间的相关性,发现权重值不适用于对单场洪水预报精度评定,而适用于描述多场洪水预报中,模型为最优的统计频率;基于大量先验信息,提前获取BMA的权重等参数,将是指导模型选择、降低洪水预报不确定性、改进洪水预报技术的有效手段. 相似文献
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Gauging extreme floods on YouTube: application of LSPIV to home movies for the post‐event determination of stream discharges 
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下载免费PDF全文 Raphaël Le Boursicaud Lionel Pénard Alexandre Hauet Fabien Thollet Jérôme Le Coz 《水文研究》2016,30(1):90-105
Movies taken by witnesses of extreme flood events are increasingly available on video sharing websites. They potentially provide highly valuable information on flow velocities and hydraulic processes that can help improve the post‐flood determination of discharges in streams and flooded areas. We investigated the troubles and potential of applying the now mature large‐scale particle image velocimetry (LSPIV) technique to such flood movies that are recorded under non‐ideal conditions. Processing was performed using user‐friendly, free software only, such as Fudaa‐LSPIV. Typical issues related to the image processing and to the hydrological analysis are illustrated using a selected example of a pulsed flash‐flood flow filmed in a mountainous torrent. Simple corrections for lens distortion (fisheye) and limited incoherent camera movement (shake) were successfully applied, and the related errors were reduced to a few percents. Testing the different image resolution levels offered by YouTube showed that the difference in time‐averaged longitudinal velocity was less than 5% compared with full resolution. A limited number of GRPs, typically 10, is required, but they must be adequately distributed around the area of interest. The indirect determination of the water level is the main source of uncertainty in the results, usually much more than errors because of the longitudinal slope and waviness of the free‐surface of the flow. The image‐based method yielded direct discharge estimates of the base flow between pulses, of the pulse waves, and of the time‐averaged flow over a movie sequence including a series of five pulses. A comparison with traditional indirect determination methods showed that the critical‐depth method may produce significantly biassed results for such a fast, unsteady flow, while the slope‐area method seems to be more robust but would overestimate the time‐averaged flow rate if applied to the high‐water marks of a pulsed flow. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
17.
湖泊作为一种蓄水单元,尤其是大型过水性湖泊,是一种典型的平原型水库,在功能上与山谷型水库具有许多相似之处,但由于其特殊的地理地形构造,使得入湖洪水过程与入库洪水过程存在着较大的差异.在防洪安全设计研究中,山谷型水库关注的多是坝址洪水,即总的入库洪水过程,而对于湖泊来说,还需要关注各个分区的入湖洪水过程对湖区洪水演进的影响.针对大型过水性湖泊入湖洪水特征,本文采用Copula函数构造了多个联合分布函数,提出了一套基于总的入湖洪水过程推导各个分区入湖洪水过程置信区间的方法.以洪泽湖为应用实例,结果表明:1)在联合重现期已知的情况下,该方法能够确定总入湖洪量与洪峰的95%置信区间;2)该方法通过径流相关性分析对入湖河道合并聚类,形成分区入湖过程,既考虑了河道间天然的水文、水力联系,又避免了联合分布函数维度过高的问题;3)在总入湖洪量已知的情况下,该方法能够确定各分区入湖洪量分配95%置信区域.该方法具有较强的统计理论基础,拓展了多变量洪水频率分析技术在水利工程实际中的应用范围. 相似文献
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Application of an automated LSPIV system in a mountainous stream for continuous flood flow measurements 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 An imaging‐based automated large‐scale particle image velocimetry (LSPIV) system for flash flood monitoring is developed and deployed in a mountainous stream in the Longchi Catchment, Chengdu, China. This system is built from a low‐cost Raspberry Pi board‐level computer with a camera module, which can acquire continuous images/videos automatically at programmed intervals. The minimum quadratic difference algorithm tracks surface patterns as flow tracers to estimate the distribution of surface velocities. Meanwhile, a stereo imaging‐based ‘virtual pole’ method has been developed to reconstruct the three‐dimensional topography with a stereo digital camera, and a cross‐sectional bathymetry has been generated without manual surveying. The varying water stage and water surface gradient, which are critical parameters that affect image rectification and surface velocity measurements, can also be directly resolved by applying the two imaging modules together. Discharge can then be estimated with the velocity–area method through selected cross sections. A flash flood that occurred between 24 July 2014 and 25 July 2014 is selected for analysis. The water surface level reconstructed from image processing was validated with marked water levels, and a good agreement was found with a root mean square error of 3.7 cm. The discharge recorded during the flood recession process ranged from approximately 3.5 to 27 m3/s. The rating curve obtained can be well described by a power function, and the linear regression suggested a Manning's n roughness coefficient of 0.18 of one specific cross section. Some limitations of the presented large‐scale particle image velocimetry system are also put forward, and possible solutions are provided for future improvements. With these proposed upgrades, the system can provide valuable datasets of flash floods in steep mountainous streams, which are critically needed for improving our understanding and modelling of many hydrological processes associated with flood generation, propagation and erosion, as well as for real‐time forecasting. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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Keisuke Hoshikawa Yoichi Fujihara Sokly Siev Seiya Arai Takashi Nakamura Hideto Fujii Ty Sok Chihiro Yoshimura 《水文研究》2019,33(21):2745-2758
Large, shallow‐water lakes located on floodplains play an important role in creating highly productive ecosystems and are prone to high concentrations of suspended solids due to sediment resuspension. In this study, the aim was to determine the dominant processes governing the total suspended solid (TSS) concentration at the water surface in Tonle Sap Lake, Cambodia, which is a large, shallow‐water lake. Satellite remotely sensed daily reflectance data from 2003 to 2017 were used. Seasonal changes in TSS concentration indicated that bottom sediment resuspension during dry seasons was mostly caused by wind and the TSS concentration was closely correlated with the water depth of the lake. The TSS concentration during flood periods was controlled by both wind and inflow currents from the Tonle Sap River. Additionally, we confirmed that surface/subsurface flow with a low TSS concentration from forests on the floodplain lowered the TSS concentration year round, except during August and September. This fact implied that the floodplain forest area decrease may increase the lake TSS concentration. An analysis of the long‐term changes in TSS indicated that a decrease in the water level during flood periods resulted in the high TSS concentrations observed during the subsequent dry periods. Therefore, climate change and water resource development, which are likely to cause water level reductions in the Mekong River during flood periods, may increase the TSS concentration in Tonle Sap Lake, particularly during the dry season. 相似文献
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We have developed a flood water level estimation method that only employs satellite images and a DEM. The method involves three steps: (1) discriminating flood areas and identifying clumps of each flood area, (2) extracting the edges of the identified flood area using a buffering technique, and (3) performing spatial interpolation to transform the extracted elevation to flood water levels. We compared the estimated flood water levels with the observed ones. The RMSE using the RADARSAT was 1.99 and 1.30 m at river and floodplain points, respectively, whereas the RMSE using the MODIS was 4.33 and 1.33 m at the river and floodplain points, respectively. Given that most errors are attributed to the DEM, the method exhibited good performance. Furthermore, the method reproduced the flow directions and flood water level changes during the flooding period. Thus, we demonstrated that the characteristics of flood inundation can be understood even when ground observation data cannot be obtained. 相似文献