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1.
宋欣  邢曼曼  袁静  杨萌 《山东气象》2015,35(4):29-33
利用潍坊地区1981—2010年的气象资料,根据主要农业气象灾害指标,统计潍坊地区冬小麦生长周期发生干旱、晚霜冻和干热风等主要气象灾害的发生频次,分析了冬小麦生产主要气象灾害的时空变化规律,结果表明:潍坊冬小麦发生干旱程度以轻旱为主,中旱次之,重旱发生较少,特旱在返青至抽穗期间发生较多;潍坊冬小麦发生晚霜冻的程度以轻霜冻为主,重霜冻次之;潍坊冬小麦灌浆成熟期间发生干热风的程度以轻干热风日数为主,重干热风日数次之,发生干热风年型的程度是轻干热风年型较多,重干热风年型较少。  相似文献   

2.
利用河南省121个国家级地面气象观测站1980 2014年冬小麦生育后期的逐日气象观测资料,分析了河南省冬小麦干热风发生演变趋势和时空分布特征。结果表明:干热风在全省范围内呈减少趋势,其中轻干热风日数递减率为1.6日/a,重干热风日数递减率为0.1日/a。全省轻干热风年均发生日数为0.3日/a,发生概率为10年2遇;重干热风年均发生日数为0.1日/a,发生概率为10年1遇。河南省干热风发生日数和概率整体呈"北部、中部和东部多,西部、南部少"的分布态势。干热风发生日数年代间差异较大,20世纪80年代为多发期和频发期,其次是90年代及21世纪00年代。基于干热风发生日数、发生概率和区域化发生指数指标,建立评估模型对全省范围内干热风的危险性分布进行分析和评估,并结合ArcGIS技术对干热风危险性评估结果进行区划和制图表达。河南省干热风高危险区主要分布在豫北、豫中及豫东的部分地区,其中宜阳干热风危险性风险指数最高;宜阳、孟津、许昌、修武、温县、鹤壁、浚县、原阳、巩义、上蔡、舞阳、襄城地区,干热风发生的危险程度相对较高;西部山区三门峡、洛阳大部分地区和南阳、信阳等南部降水充沛地区为干热风相对低危险区域。  相似文献   

3.
柴达木盆地干热风气象灾害分布规律及对气候变化的响应   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
祁贵明  汪青春 《青海气象》2007,(2):20-22,27
利用柴达木盆地的7个气象台(站)1961~2005年干热风气象灾害资料,对盆地干热风发生规律及干热风对气候变化的响应关系进行分析。得出盆地干热风气象灾害日数呈现明显的区域性,小灶火为干热风重灾区;盆地干热风灾害月分布在每年6~8月份,8月上旬为整个盆地干热风灾害多发时段。  相似文献   

4.
河北省干热风对小麦千粒重影响分析   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
利用河北省冬麦区1971~2005年5月10日至6月10日逐日降水、气温、湿度、风速及1981~2005年逐年小麦千粒重等资料,采用小波分析、回归分析等统计方法,对冬麦区35年来干热风时空分布、周期等特征进行分析;同时还就河北省干热风对小麦千粒重的影响进行了初步分析。分析表明:轻度和重度干热风年平均发生日数分布具有一致性,而轻度和重度干热风的年代际变化等也具有相同特征,干热风总日数与小麦千粒重具有负相关关系。  相似文献   

5.
利用通辽气象站1971—2017年大风资料,分析了近47a大风的气候特征,结果表明:通辽气象站年大风日数表现为明显的阶段性特征;各年代大风日数也有所差异;大风日数四季均呈明显的减少趋势,减少幅度最大的是春季,秋季减少幅度最小;平均大风日数的各月分布很不均匀,以4、5月居多;各月大风日数的变化速率均呈递减趋势;年大风日数在2004—2005年有一次突变过程,突变后大风日数明显减少,其原因,可能与观测高度和周围环境变化有关。  相似文献   

6.
利用乌审旗3个站的1965—2016年逐时、逐日冰雹资料,分析乌审旗近52a来冰雹发生的空间分布、年际变化、月际变化和持续时间等特征。结果表明,乌审旗近52a平均降雹日数总体呈减少趋势,平均每10a减少0.8d;1965-1990年冰雹较多;2000—2015年相对较少;3—10月为降雹月,主要集中在6—9月,其中8月最多;一日发生降雹的时间主要集中在14—18时,以15—16、17—18时最多;降雹持续时间以5min以内居多;空间分布为北部降雹日数多于中部及南部。  相似文献   

7.
招远地区大雾气候特征分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
该文采用1961—2010年招远气象站大监站地面气象观测资料,对所选大雾的气候资料进行整理归纳,利用统计方法统计出历年各月、季、年际和年代大雾的平均日数等特征量,并进行大雾的变化特征分析。结果表明,招远地区大雾年际间差异很大,20世纪70—80年代为大雾多发年代,90年代开始呈缓慢增加趋势,年日数呈振荡增加趋势,季节分布特别明显,以冬季最多,春季最少,出现最多月份为12月和1月,生成主要是在夜间至清晨,消散多在上午到中午。  相似文献   

8.
近53年江淮流域梅汛期极端降水变化特征   总被引:6,自引:2,他引:4  
杨玮  程智 《气象》2015,41(9):1126-1133
基于1961—2013年江淮流域梅汛期(6—7月)逐日降水资料,利用百分位法确定极端降水阈值,对江淮流域梅汛期极端降水的时空分布及突变特征进行分析,结果表明:95%分位极端降水阈值多在50 mm以上,大值中心主要位于湖北东部到安徽南部一带;平均极端降水强度与阈值大小的空间分布相似。极端降水量和极端降水日数整体呈现由安徽南部向四周递减的空间分布特征,极端降水量约占梅汛期降水总量的1/4~1/3。从季节内分布上看,极端强降水站次在梅汛期呈单峰型分布,各候间差异明显,其中6月第5候到7月第2候最多。极端降水量、极端降水日数以及极端降水量占梅汛期总降水量百分比均具有明显的年际变化,且上升趋势显著;江淮流域梅汛期极端降水量和极端降水站次的这种上升趋势均在1980年发生突变。  相似文献   

9.
利用1970—2010年共41年清远市7个观测站点的地面观测资料,采用趋势分析等方法,对清远市高温天气的气候特征进行了统计分析。结果表明:清远市高温日数分布呈现出明显的由西北向东南递减的空间分布特征,并且南北差异明显,日数最多站(阳山站)月平均(夏季)高温日数是最少站(连山站)的3倍以上;从年代际总体变化趋势来看,清远市的高温日数呈现出逐渐增多的趋势。但有"两波一谷"的多波动不稳定变化趋势,20世纪80年代和2000年以后是高温天气的高发阶段,1997年是41年来的最少年,2009年是最多年。时间分布上集中在夏季的7—8月。  相似文献   

10.
合浦县暴雨气候特征及成因分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用合浦县台站1971—2010年40a暴雨观测资料,分析了暴雨日数的年际变化、年代际变化和暴雨季节分布特征,分析得出,合浦县暴雨日数呈上升趋势,且上升幅度明显;暴雨主要集中分布在5-9月,以7月份出现暴雨、大暴雨及特大暴雨日数最多。合浦县特殊的地理位置和地形特点有利于暴雨天气的形成和发展,影响暴雨的最主要天气系统为锋面、高空槽、切变线、急流、热带气旋等。  相似文献   

11.
The spatial and temporal variations of daily maximum temperature(Tmax), daily minimum temperature(Tmin), daily maximum precipitation(Pmax) and daily maximum wind speed(WSmax) were examined in China using Mann-Kendall test and linear regression method. The results indicated that for China as a whole, Tmax, Tmin and Pmax had significant increasing trends at rates of 0.15℃ per decade, 0.45℃ per decade and 0.58 mm per decade,respectively, while WSmax had decreased significantly at 1.18 m·s~(-1) per decade during 1959—2014. In all regions of China, Tmin increased and WSmax decreased significantly. Spatially, Tmax increased significantly at most of the stations in South China(SC), northwestern North China(NC), northeastern Northeast China(NEC), eastern Northwest China(NWC) and eastern Southwest China(SWC), and the increasing trends were significant in NC, SC, NWC and SWC on the regional average. Tmin increased significantly at most of the stations in China, with notable increase in NEC, northern and southeastern NC and northwestern and eastern NWC. Pmax showed no significant trend at most of the stations in China, and on the regional average it decreased significantly in NC but increased in SC, NWC and the mid-lower Yangtze River valley(YR). WSmax decreased significantly at the vast majority of stations in China, with remarkable decrease in northern NC, northern and central YR, central and southern SC and in parts of central NEC and western NWC. With global climate change and rapidly economic development, China has become more vulnerable to climatic extremes and meteorological disasters, so more strategies of mitigation and/or adaptation of climatic extremes,such as environmentally-friendly and low-cost energy production systems and the enhancement of engineering defense measures are necessary for government and social publics.  相似文献   

12.
正While China’s Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan on particulate matter since 2013 has reduced sulfate significantly, aerosol ammonium nitrate remains high in East China. As the high nitrate abundances are strongly linked with ammonia, reducing ammonia emissions is becoming increasingly important to improve the air quality of China. Although satellite data provide evidence of substantial increases in atmospheric ammonia concentrations over major agricultural regions, long-term surface observation of ammonia concentrations are sparse. In addition, there is still no consensus on  相似文献   

13.
Observed daily precipitation data from the National Meteorological Observatory in Hainan province and daily data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis-2 dataset from 1981 to 2014 are used to analyze the relationship between Hainan extreme heavy rainfall processes in autumn (referred to as EHRPs) and 10–30 d low-frequency circulation. Based on the key low-frequency signals and the NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2) model forecasting products, a dynamical-statistical method is established for the extended-range forecast of EHRPs. The results suggest that EHRPs have a close relationship with the 10–30 d low-frequency oscillation of 850 hPa zonal wind over Hainan Island and to its north, and that they basically occur during the trough phase of the low-frequency oscillation of zonal wind. The latitudinal propagation of the low-frequency wave train in the middle-high latitudes and the meridional propagation of the low-frequency wave train along the coast of East Asia contribute to the ‘north high (cold), south low (warm)’ pattern near Hainan Island, which results in the zonal wind over Hainan Island and to its north reaching its trough, consequently leading to EHRPs. Considering the link between low-frequency circulation and EHRPs, a low-frequency wave train index (LWTI) is defined and adopted to forecast EHRPs by using NCEP CFSv2 forecasting products. EHRPs are predicted to occur during peak phases of LWTI with value larger than 1 for three or more consecutive forecast days. Hindcast experiments for EHRPs in 2015–2016 indicate that EHRPs can be predicted 8–24 d in advance, with an average period of validity of 16.7 d.  相似文献   

14.
Based on the measurements obtained at 64 national meteorological stations in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) region between 1970 and 2013, the potential evapotranspiration (ET0) in this region was estimated using the Penman–Monteith equation and its sensitivity to maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), wind speed (Vw), net radiation (Rn) and water vapor pressure (Pwv) was analyzed, respectively. The results are shown as follows. (1) The climatic elements in the BTH region underwent significant changes in the study period. Vw and Rn decreased significantly, whereas Tmin, Tmax and Pwv increased considerably. (2) In the BTH region, ET0 also exhibited a significant decreasing trend, and the sensitivity of ET0 to the climatic elements exhibited seasonal characteristics. Of all the climatic elements, ET0 was most sensitive to Pwv in the fall and winter and Rn in the spring and summer. On the annual scale, ET0 was most sensitive to Pwv, followed by Rn, Vw, Tmax and Tmin. In addition, the sensitivity coefficient of ET0 with respect to Pwv had a negative value for all the areas, indicating that increases in Pwv can prevent ET0 from increasing. (3) The sensitivity of ET0 to Tmin and Tmax was significantly lower than its sensitivity to other climatic elements. However, increases in temperature can lead to changes in Pwv and Rn. The temperature should be considered the key intrinsic climatic element that has caused the "evaporation paradox" phenomenon in the BTH region.  相似文献   

15.
Storms that occur at the Bay of Bengal (BoB) are of a bimodal pattern, which is different from that of the other sea areas. By using the NCEP, SST and JTWC data, the causes of the bimodal pattern storm activity of the BoB are diagnosed and analyzed in this paper. The result shows that the seasonal variation of general atmosphere circulation in East Asia has a regulating and controlling impact on the BoB storm activity, and the “bimodal period” of the storm activity corresponds exactly to the seasonal conversion period of atmospheric circulation. The minor wind speed of shear spring and autumn contributed to the storm, which was a crucial factor for the generation and occurrence of the “bimodal pattern” storm activity in the BoB. The analysis on sea surface temperature (SST) shows that the SSTs of all the year around in the BoB area meet the conditions required for the generation of tropical cyclones (TCs). However, the SSTs in the central area of the bay are higher than that of the surrounding areas in spring and autumn, which facilitates the occurrence of a “two-peak” storm activity pattern. The genesis potential index (GPI) quantifies and reflects the environmental conditions for the generation of the BoB storms. For GPI, the intense low-level vortex disturbance in the troposphere and high-humidity atmosphere are the sufficient conditions for storms, while large maximum wind velocity of the ground vortex radius and small vertical wind shear are the necessary conditions of storms.  相似文献   

16.
正AIMS AND SCOPE Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters (AOSL) publishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmosphere sciences and physical oceanography.  相似文献   

17.
《大气和海洋科学快报》2014,7(6):F0003-F0003
AIMS AND SCOPE
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters (AOSL) publishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmosphere sciences and physical oceanography. Contributions from all over the world are welcome.  相似文献   

18.
《大气和海洋科学快报》2014,(5):F0003-F0003
AIMS AND SCOPE Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters (AOSL) pub- lishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmos- phere sciences and physical oceanography. Contributions from all over the world are welcome.  相似文献   

19.
20.
正Aims Scope Advances in Atmospheric Sciences(AAS)is an international journal on the dynamics,physics,and chemistry of the atmosphere and ocean with papers across the full range of the atmospheric sciences,co-published bimonthly by Science Press and Springer.The journal includes Articles,Note and Correspondence,and Letters.Contributions from all over the world are welcome.  相似文献   

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