共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 125 毫秒
1.
Simulation of the asian monsoon by IAP AGCM coupled with an advanced land surface model (IAP94) 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
ＳｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｔｈｅＡｓｉａｎＭｏｎｓｏｏｎｂｙＩＡＰＡＧＣＭＣｏｕｐｌｅｄｗｉｔｈａｎＡｄｖａｎｃｅｄＬａｎｄＳｕｒｆａｃｅＭｏｄｅｌ（ＩＡＰ９４）ＺｅｎｇＱｉｎｇｃｕｎ（曾庆存）,ＤａｉＹｏｎｇｊｉｕ（戴永久）ａｎｄＸｕｅＦｅｎｇ（薛峰... 相似文献
2.
ＴｅｌｅｃｏｎｎｅｃｔｉｏｎＰａｔｅｒｎｓｉｎｔｈｅＮｏｒｔｈｅｒｎＨｅｍｉｓｐｈｅｒｅＳｉｍｕｌａｔｅｄｂｙＩＡＰＧＣＭＸｕｅＦｅｎｇ（薛峰）ａｎｄＺｅｎｇＱｉｎｇｃｕｎ（曾庆存）ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＡｔｍｏｓｐｈｅｒｉｃＰｈｙｓｉｃｓ，Ｃｈｉｎ... 相似文献
3.
MICAPS的开发应用分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
引 言 ＭＩＣＡＰＳ（Ｍｅｔｅｏｒｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌ ＩｎｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎＣｏｍｂｉｎｅ Ａｎａｌｙｓｉｓ ａｎｄ Ｐｒｏｃｅｓｓ Ｓｙｓｔｅｍ）全称为：“气象信息综合分析处理系统”,是与９２１０通信、数据库系统相配套,支持天气预报制作的人机交互系统。其目标是利用９２１０工程得到的各种数据构成预报员工作的平台。ＭＩ－ＣＡＰＳ系统由中国气象局组织开发,现已在全国气象台站安装使用。作为面向全国的平台,ＭＩＣＡＰＳ具有强大的功能模块和数据处理能力。但仍以中纬度为主要对象,其分析图以２５°Ｎ为界,对热带天气的… 相似文献
4.
ＡＧＣＭＳｔｕｄｙｏｎｔｈｅＭｅｃｈａｎｉｓｍｏｆＳｅａｓｏｎａｌＡｂｒｕｐｔＣｈａｎｇｅｓＷａｎｇＨｕｉｊｕｎ（王会军）ａｎｄＺｅｎｇＱｉｎｇｃｕｎ（曾庆存）（ＬＡＳＧ，ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＡｔｍｏｓｐｈｅｒｉｃＰｈｙｓｉｃｓ，ＣｈｉｎｅｓｅＡｃ... 相似文献
5.
《中国气象科学研究院年报》1994,(1)
ＰＥＲＳＰＥＣＴＩＶＥＳＯＦＴＲＯＰＩＣＡＬＣＹＣＬＯＮＥＵＮＵＳＵＡＬＭＯＴＩＯＮＳ──ＴＨＥＤＩＦＦＩＣＵＬＴＩＥＳＩＮＣＵＲＲＥＮＴＴＲＯＰＩＣＡＬＣＹＣＬＯＮＥＦＯＲＥＣＡＳＴＩＮＧＣｈｅｎＬｉａｎｓｈｏｕ（陈联寿）ＣｈｉｎｅｓｅＡｃａｄｅｍ... 相似文献
6.
ＡｎＥｃｏｎｏｍｉｃａｌＣｏｎｓｉｓｔｅｎｔＤｉｓｉｐａｔｉｏｎＯｐｅｒａｔｏｒａｎｄＩｔｓＡｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｓｔｏｔｈｅＩｍｐｒｏｖｅｍｅｎｔｏｆＡＧＣＭ①ＷａｎｇＢｉｎ（王斌）ａｎｄＪｉＺｈｏｎｇｚｈｅｎ（季仲贞）ＬＡＳＧ，Ｉｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅ... 相似文献
7.
The African Climate as Predicted by the IAP Grid-Point Nine-Layer Atmospheric General Circulation Model (IAP-9L-AGCM) 总被引：4，自引：3，他引：4
ＴｈｅＡｆｒｉｃａｎＣｌｉｍａｔｅａｓＰｒｅｄｉｃｔｅｄｂｙｔｈｅＩＡＰＧｒｉｄ－ＰｏｉｎｔＮｉｎｅ－ＬａｙｅｒＡｔｍｏｓｐｈｅｒｉｃＧｅｎｅｒａｌＣｉｒｃｕｌａｔｉｏｎＭｏｄｅｌ（ＩＡＰ－９Ｌ－ＡＧＣＭ）ＣｈｉｎｅｋｅＴｈｅｏＣｈｉｄｉｅｚｉｅ①，... 相似文献
8.
Simulation of East Asian Summer Monsoon with IAP CGCM 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
ＳｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆＥａｓｔＡｓｉａｎＳｕｍｍｅｒＭｏｎｓｏｏｎｗｉｔｈＩＡＰＣＧＣＭＣｈｅｎＱｉｙｉｎｇ（陈起英），①ＹｕＹｏｎｇｑｉａｎｇ（俞永强）ａｎｄＧｕｏＹｕｆｕ（郭裕福）ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＡｔｍｏｓｐｈｅｒｉｃＰｈｙｓｉｃｓ，Ｃｈ... 相似文献
9.
Lu Peisheng 《大气科学进展》1995,12(3):311-318
卢佩生ＥｖｏｌｕｔｉｏｎｏｆＡｓｉａｎＳｕｍｍｅｒＭｏｎｓｏｏｎａｎｄｔｈｅＳｌｏｗｌｙＶａｒｙｉｎｇＤｉｓｔｕｒｂａｎｃｅｓ￥ＬｕＰｅｉｓｈｅｎｇ（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＡｔｍｏｓｐｈｅｒｉｃＰｈｙｓｉｃｓ，ＣｈｉｎｅｓｅＡｃａｄｅｍｙｏｆＳｃｉｅ... 相似文献
10.
Monsoons over China 总被引：14，自引：0，他引：14
《大气科学进展》1994,(2)
ＭｏｎｓｏｏｎｓｏｖｅｒＣｈｉｎａ￥ｂｙＤｉｎｇＹｉｈｕｉ（ＣｈｉｎｅｓｅＡｃａｄｅｍｙｏｆＭｅｔｅｏｒｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＳｃｉｅｎｃｅｓ，Ｂｅｉｇｕｇ，Ｃｈｉｎａ）ＡＴＭＯＳＰＨＥＲＩＣＳＣＩＥＮＣＥＳＬＩＢＲＡＲＹ，１６Ｔｈｅｍｏｎｓｏｏｎｏｖｅｒ... 相似文献
11.
东亚夏季风与中国夏季降水年际异常的分型研究 总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10
以海陆气压差定义的夏季风强度指数为依据,讨论了东亚夏季风年际异常与中国夏季降水的关系,发现东亚夏季风强时,中国夏季降水可能多也可能少,但以少雨为主,季风弱时,中国降水也是或多或少,但以多雨为主,依此可以将季风与降水的异常关系分成强季风强降水（Ａ）,强季风弱降水（Ｂ）,弱季风强降水（Ｃ）,弱季风弱降水（Ｄ）四种关系,其中（Ａ）型和（Ｄ）型,（Ｂ）型和（Ｃ）型的降水呈反相似性分布,主要特殊性反映在东北 相似文献
12.
Projected changes in South Asian summer monsoon by multi-model global warming experiments 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
S. S. Sabade Ashwini Kulkarni R. H. Kripalani 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2011,103(3-4):543-565
South Asian summer monsoon (June through September) rainfall simulation and its potential future changes are evaluated in a multi-model ensemble of global coupled climate models outputs under World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (WCRP CMIP3) dataset. The response of South Asian summer monsoon to a transient increase in future anthropogenic radiative forcing is investigated for two time slices, middle (2031–2050) and end of the twenty-first century (2081–2100), in the non-mitigated Special Report on Emission Scenarios B1, A1B and A2 .There is large inter-model variability in the simulation of spatial characteristics of seasonal monsoon precipitation. Ten out of the 25 models are able to simulate space–time characteristics of the South Asian monsoon precipitation reasonably well. The response of these selected ten models has been examined for projected changes in seasonal monsoon rainfall. The multi-model ensemble of these ten models projects a significant increase in monsoon precipitation with global warming. The substantial increase in precipitation is observed over western equatorial Indian Ocean and southern parts of India. However, the monsoon circulation weakens significantly under all the three climate change experiments. Possible mechanisms for the projected increase in precipitation and for precipitation–wind paradox have been discussed. The surface temperature over Asian landmass increases in pre-monsoon months due to global warming and heat low over northwest India intensifies. The dipole snow configuration over Eurasian continent strengthens in warmer atmosphere, which is conducive for the enhancement in precipitation over Indian landmass. No notable changes have been projected in the El Niño–Monsoon relationship, which is useful for predicting interannual variations of the monsoon. 相似文献
13.
Subseasonal forecast skills and biases of global summer monsoons in the NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Xiangwen Liu Song Yang Qiaoping Li Arun Kumar Scott Weaver Shi Liu 《Climate Dynamics》2014,42(5-6):1487-1508
Subseasonal forecast skills and biases of global summer monsoons are diagnosed using daily data from the hindcasts of 45-day integrations by the NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2. Predictions for subseasonal variability of zonal wind and precipitation are generally more skillful over the Asian and Australian monsoon regions than other monsoon regions. Climatologically, forecasts for the variations of dynamical monsoon indices have high skills at leads of about 2 weeks. However, apparent interannual differences exist, with high skills up to 5 weeks in exceptional cases. Comparisons for the relationships of monsoon indices with atmospheric circulation and precipitation patterns between skillful and unskillful forecasts indicate that skills for subseasonal variability of a monsoon index depend partially on the degree to which the observed variability of the index attributes to the variation of large-scale circulation. Thus, predictions are often more skillful when the index is closely linked to atmospheric circulation over a broad region than over a regional and narrow range. It is also revealed that, the subseasonal variations of biases of winds, precipitation, and surface temperature over various monsoon regions are captured by a first mode with seasonally independent biases and a second mode with apparent phase transition of biases during summer. The first mode indicates the dominance of overall weaker-than-observed summer monsoons over major monsoon regions. However, at certain stages of monsoon evolution, these underestimations are regionally offset or intensified by the time evolving biases portrayed by the second mode. This feature may be partially related to factors such as the shifts of subtropical highs and intertropical convergence zones, the reversal of biases of surface temperature over some monsoon regions, and the transition of regional circulation system. The significant geographical differences in bias growth with increasing lead time reflect the distinctions of initial memory capability of the climate system over different monsoon regions. 相似文献
14.
南海夏季风变化及其与全球大气和海温的关系 总被引：5，自引：3，他引：2
本文分析了1948～2006年南海夏季风的年际变化, 讨论了南海夏季风与全球气象要素场如环流、相对湿度、海表温度 (SST) 等的关系。结果表明: 南海夏季风与全球各物理量之间有较好的大范围统计相关。选出了10个强南海夏季风年, 8个弱南海夏季风年, 利用合成分析研究了季风强、 弱年的环流和SST特征及其差异, 结果表明南海夏季风强弱年各特征量之间存在显著差异。尤其表现在SST上, 强弱季风年不仅在夏季东印度洋－西太平洋区域有明显差异, 并且前期春季此区域的SST与南海夏季风有持续的显著负相关, 可以作为南海夏季风强度变化的一个预报因子。 相似文献
15.
南海夏季风槽的年际变化和影响研究 总被引：7，自引：1，他引：7
南海夏季风槽是南海夏季风的重要组成部分，它的活动不仅对大气环流和气候有明显影响，其本身也具有明显的年际变化特征。首先定义了一个描写南海夏季风槽强度的指数，然后分别对强、弱南海夏季风槽年的例子进行了合成分析。分析结果表明，对应强、弱不同的南海夏季风槽年份，在大气环流背景、对流活动以及海温背景场方面都有很明显的区别，说明南海夏季风槽的异常不是偶然的，有其十分明显的大背景。合成分析的结果还表明，南海夏季风槽的强弱异常不仅对中国夏季降水有重要影响，还会通过遥相关过程影响北半球的其他区域。 相似文献
16.
The study on the interannual variation and the mechanism of the south china sea monsoon 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
l.Intr0ductionTheonset0ftheSouthChinaSea(SCS)monsoonisasignofthecomingoftheAsianmonsoon.Inaverage,theonsetoftheSCSmonsoonisinthemiddleofMay,butitsstrengthandtheonsetdatediffergreatlyfromoneyeartoanother.TheanomaliesoftheSCSmon-soonhighlydePendonnotonIytheprecipitationinSCS,butalsotheanomaliesofthecircu-lationintheworld.WhyisthemonsoononsetearliestinSCS?Whatisthemechanismoftheonsetanditsvariation?Thisisascientificproblemthatisinterestedinbymeteorologistsbothathomeandabroad.TaoandChen… 相似文献
17.
Multiyear (1983?C2006) hindcast simulation of summer monsoon over South Asia has been carried out using the regional climate model of the Beijing Climate Centre (BCC_RegCM1.0). The regional climate model (hereafter BCC RCM) is nested into the global climate model of the Beijing Climate Centre BCC_CGCM1.0 (here after CGCM). The regional climate model is initialized on 01 May and integrated up to the end of the September for 24?years. Compared to the driving CGCM the BCC RCM reproduces reasonably well the intensity and magnitude of the large-scale features associated with the South Asia summer monsoon such as the upper level anticyclone at 200?hPa, the mid-tropospheric warming over the Tibetan plateau, the surface heat low and the 850?hPa moisture transport from ocean to the land. Both models, i.e., BCC RCM and the driving CGCM overestimates (underestimates) the 850?hPa southwesterly flow over the northern (southern) Arabian Sea. Moreover, both models overestimate the seasonal mean precipitation over much of the South Asia region compared to the observations. However, the precipitation biases are significantly reduced in the BCC RCM simulations. Furthermore, both models simulate reasonably the interannual variability of the summer monsoon over India. The precipitation index simulated by BCC RCM shows significant correlation (0.62) with the observed one. The BCC RCM simulates reasonably well the spatial and temporal variation of the precipitation and surface air temperature compared to the driving CGCM. Further, the temperature biases are significantly reduced (1?C4°C) in the BCC RCM simulations. The simulated vertical structure of the atmosphere show biases above the four sub-regions, however, these biases are significantly reduced in the BCC RCM simulations compared to the driving CGCM. Compared to the driving CGCM, the evolution processes of the onset of summer monsoon, e.g., the meridional temperature gradient and the vertical wind shear are well simulated by the BCC RCM. The 24-year simulations also show that with a little exception the BCC RCM is capable to reproduce the monsoon active and break phases and the intraseasonal precipitation variation over the Indian subcontinent. 相似文献
18.
利用1948—2005年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料, 定义了一个可以反映中高纬度间冬季风强弱差异的冬季风经向变化指数 (WMMCI), 该指数与东亚冬季风指数有较好的对应关系。强 (弱) 冬季风年后期嘉兴梅雨偏多 (少) 为主, 年际、年代际关系对应为正相关, 并对后期降水有持续影响, WMMCI指数持续增强 (减弱) 2年并处于强 (弱) 冬季风年时, 后期嘉兴梅雨持续偏多 (少), 嘉兴梅雨降水升高或降低的变化趋势滞后于该指数变化。对500 hPa高度场距平合成分析表明:强 (弱) 冬季风年北正 (负) 南负 (正) 的距平分布使中高纬度经向 (纬向) 环流发展, 有利 (不利) 于冷空气南下影响, 并对后期大气环流产生持续影响, 从而有利 (不利) 于降水。冬季风经向异常对嘉兴后期降水持续影响的一个可能解释是, 持续增强 (减弱) 的强 (弱) 冬季风使赤道太平洋地区盛行风向发生改变, 使赤道太平洋海温变化出现异常, 触发El Ni?o (La Ni?a) 事件, 从而对后期大气环流造成持续影响。 相似文献
19.
中国华南春季季风及其与大尺度环流特征的关系 总被引：13，自引：2，他引：13
定义了中国华南春季季风，并用NCEP／NCAR再分析资料研究了春季风的气候特征以及春季风降水和大尺度环流在年际变化上的关系。结果表明，从降水和大气环流的变化来看，华南春季风在气候上发生于4月和5月；与华南春季风相联系的大气环流特征与夏季风和冬季风所对应的大气环流特征完全不同。华南春季风降水的年际变化主要与太平洋北部的异常环流相关联，而这种异常环流又与亚洲北部的西风急流和极地涡旋有联系；华南春季风降水的年际变化还与太平洋的海表温度异常有关；而亚洲热带大气环流的年际变化与华南春季风降水的变化关系不大。 相似文献
20.
l.Intr0ductionThoughseasonalvariationoftheatmosphericgeneralcirculationismainlycausedbythatofthesolarradiation,itsdistributionsareinhomogeneousovertheglobe,forinstance,itismoresignificantinmonsoonregionthaninanyotherregions.Inatraditionalsense,mon-soonsummarisesalldrasticseasonalvariationsinthetropicsandsubtropics(e.g.,IndiaandEastAsia).Besidestheclassicmonsoonregions,thereexistsomeotherregionsovertheglobe,wheretheseasonalvariationisclearorevendrastic.Inordertodescribequantitativelysea-sonal… 相似文献