共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 62 毫秒
1.
利用总体平均经验模态分解算法(EEMD),对南京地区2010—2011年6—8月近地面大气电场资料进行分析,研究了晴天、弱雷暴和强雷暴天气条件下大气电场的振荡特征。在单站电场仪观测范围内,以晴天大气为背景场,根据固有模态函数(IMF)方差最大值对应层数的动态特性,建立并验证了两种强度的雷暴临近预报模型。结果表明:弱雷暴发生前IMF方差最大值对应层数跳变幅度较平稳,而强雷暴跳变幅度逐渐加剧。对IMF方差最大值对应层数进行三次样条插值,可直观地表征雷暴发生发展过程,延长预报时间至1 h。利用这些特征对92个独立样本进行预报效果检验,预报的准确率为73.3%,虚警率为14.5%。 相似文献
2.
3.
利用2004年8月—2005年11月近地面大气电场仪的观测资料, 对北京地区不同天气条件下近地面大气电场特征进行分析。结果表明:北京地区晴天近地面大气电场日变化呈双峰双谷, 谷值分别出现在北京时05:00和12:00, 峰值分别出现在07:00和23:00, 并且表现出一定的季节变化; 晴天大气电场的变化与气溶胶含量的变化有密切关系, 两者呈正相关; 晴天大气电场与绝对湿度之间也表现出很强的相关性, 在一定程度上反应了水汽对大气电场的作用; 沙尘天气下风速均达到一定强度, 近地面大气电场为负值, 并且变化剧烈, 电场强度与PM10之间呈现较强的负相关, 而电场强度与风速之间没有表现出明显的相关性。 相似文献
4.
5.
1988年9—11月西太平洋海区大气电场特征分析 总被引：4，自引：3，他引：4
本文利用西太平洋海区平均电场资料分析晴天和雷暴天气下地面电场特征。分析指出:雷暴下海面电场多正极性。极性通常与云顶温度有关,弱雷暴的云下部带正电荷。海洋雷暴闪电频数很低,且正闪多于负闪。分析又指出:晴天海面电场的脉动变化和近海面湍流活动有很好的对应关系,利用电场峰值宽度和间隔来估算湍流尺度和间隔距离,和湍流活动的实测结果有较好的一致性。 相似文献
6.
7.
基于小波分析的地面大气电场观测数据处理技术研究 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
使用南京信息工程大学实验场的AMEO340电场仪一年观测试验资料,将大气电场仪采样序列数据经快速傅里叶变换,得到序列的功率谱,对晴天和伴有闪电天气的地面大气电场数据进行小波函数为sym5的7层分解,某种程度上降低了地面大气电场数据波形的重叠度。通过对伴有闪电天气的地面大气电场数据进行小波7层分解,地面大气电场信号的低频部分不仅突出显示出地面大气电场值的主要变化趋势,而且能清晰地分辨出闪电过程中较强的正负地闪次数,为利用地面大气电场强度值的变化特征进行闪电预警提供了更有效的信息。 相似文献
8.
地面大气电场资料在强对流天气预报中的应用 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
利用大气电场仪对2008年6～10月天津地面大气电场变化进行连续监测。讨论晴空、稳定型降水、飑线和暴雨天气下地面大气电场强度特点,结合新一代多普勒天气雷达资料和闪电定位资料,对2008年9月4日飑线过程和2008年7月14日暴雨过程进行分析。结果发现:大气电场仪曲线在雷暴发生前15～50min剧烈变化,在强对流天气的雷电监测中有明显的指示作用。结合雷达资料和闪电定位仪资料能够提高雷电预警和短时临近预报的准确率,多站点的大气电场仪数据能够扩大雷暴监测范围并且判断雷暴云移动路径。 相似文献
9.
对某一地区大气电场的研究有助于了解该地区大气电场特征,对分析该地区各种天气过程的特征提供很大帮助。本文利用成都地区2009~2015年大气电场资料,分析结果表明:成都地区晴天大气电场日变化基本上呈现出双峰双谷型,峰值出现在06:00和14:00,谷值出现在03:00和22:00;阴天大气电场有明显的双峰值,相对于晴天大气电场值更小;大雾大气电场强度均为正值,电场强度小于该时段晴天大气电场值;雷电条件下地面电场的起始、发展、结束阶段地面电场变化明显。 相似文献
10.
利用安装于广州塔塔顶500 m的大气电场仪(简称电场)数据、广州双偏振雷达资料、粤港澳闪电定位系统数据和ERA5再分析资料等数据,对比分析了2020年8月15日和9月23日广州两次雷暴天气过程的地闪活动特征以及地闪活动与电场变化特征的关系。结果表明：由局地热力不稳定引起的“局地性雷暴”地闪频次低、伴随弱降水,而由中尺度系统引发的“系统性雷暴”地闪频次高、伴随短时强降水。两次过程的地闪频次和电场变化呈双峰分布,地闪爆发时电场变化显著,频域能量达到峰值。“系统性雷暴”的消亡阶段电场在正负极之间大幅度缓慢波动,呈现阻尼振荡(End Of Storm-Oscillation,EOSO)特征,而“局地性雷暴”消亡时电场未出现此特征。时域下电场剧烈变化和频域能量明显提高时,意味着雷暴云团正在靠近或附近有闪电发生;电场频域能量迅速减小且集中于低频段,表明雷暴正在消亡或远离测站。电场的时频特征对雷暴的生消具有指示性作用,为电场数据与其他资料融合应用于雷电风险预警予以参考。 相似文献
11.
Observed daily precipitation data from the National Meteorological Observatory in Hainan province and daily data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis-2 dataset from 1981 to 2014 are used to analyze the relationship between Hainan extreme heavy rainfall processes in autumn (referred to as EHRPs) and 10–30 d low-frequency circulation. Based on the key low-frequency signals and the NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2) model forecasting products, a dynamical-statistical method is established for the extended-range forecast of EHRPs. The results suggest that EHRPs have a close relationship with the 10–30 d low-frequency oscillation of 850 hPa zonal wind over Hainan Island and to its north, and that they basically occur during the trough phase of the low-frequency oscillation of zonal wind. The latitudinal propagation of the low-frequency wave train in the middle-high latitudes and the meridional propagation of the low-frequency wave train along the coast of East Asia contribute to the ‘north high (cold), south low (warm)’ pattern near Hainan Island, which results in the zonal wind over Hainan Island and to its north reaching its trough, consequently leading to EHRPs. Considering the link between low-frequency circulation and EHRPs, a low-frequency wave train index (LWTI) is defined and adopted to forecast EHRPs by using NCEP CFSv2 forecasting products. EHRPs are predicted to occur during peak phases of LWTI with value larger than 1 for three or more consecutive forecast days. Hindcast experiments for EHRPs in 2015–2016 indicate that EHRPs can be predicted 8–24 d in advance, with an average period of validity of 16.7 d. 相似文献
12.
Based on the measurements obtained at 64 national meteorological stations in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) region between 1970 and 2013, the potential evapotranspiration (ET0) in this region was estimated using the Penman–Monteith equation and its sensitivity to maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), wind speed (Vw), net radiation (Rn) and water vapor pressure (Pwv) was analyzed, respectively. The results are shown as follows. (1) The climatic elements in the BTH region underwent significant changes in the study period. Vw and Rn decreased significantly, whereas Tmin, Tmax and Pwv increased considerably. (2) In the BTH region, ET0 also exhibited a significant decreasing trend, and the sensitivity of ET0 to the climatic elements exhibited seasonal characteristics. Of all the climatic elements, ET0 was most sensitive to Pwv in the fall and winter and Rn in the spring and summer. On the annual scale, ET0 was most sensitive to Pwv, followed by Rn, Vw, Tmax and Tmin. In addition, the sensitivity coefficient of ET0 with respect to Pwv had a negative value for all the areas, indicating that increases in Pwv can prevent ET0 from increasing. (3) The sensitivity of ET0 to Tmin and Tmax was significantly lower than its sensitivity to other climatic elements. However, increases in temperature can lead to changes in Pwv and Rn. The temperature should be considered the key intrinsic climatic element that has caused the "evaporation paradox" phenomenon in the BTH region. 相似文献
13.
Storms that occur at the Bay of Bengal (BoB) are of a bimodal pattern, which is different from that of the other sea areas. By using the NCEP, SST and JTWC data, the causes of the bimodal pattern storm activity of the BoB are diagnosed and analyzed in this paper. The result shows that the seasonal variation of general atmosphere circulation in East Asia has a regulating and controlling impact on the BoB storm activity, and the “bimodal period” of the storm activity corresponds exactly to the seasonal conversion period of atmospheric circulation. The minor wind speed of shear spring and autumn contributed to the storm, which was a crucial factor for the generation and occurrence of the “bimodal pattern” storm activity in the BoB. The analysis on sea surface temperature (SST) shows that the SSTs of all the year around in the BoB area meet the conditions required for the generation of tropical cyclones (TCs). However, the SSTs in the central area of the bay are higher than that of the surrounding areas in spring and autumn, which facilitates the occurrence of a “two-peak” storm activity pattern. The genesis potential index (GPI) quantifies and reflects the environmental conditions for the generation of the BoB storms. For GPI, the intense low-level vortex disturbance in the troposphere and high-humidity atmosphere are the sufficient conditions for storms, while large maximum wind velocity of the ground vortex radius and small vertical wind shear are the necessary conditions of storms. 相似文献
14.
The spatial and temporal variations of daily maximum temperature(Tmax), daily minimum temperature(Tmin), daily maximum precipitation(Pmax) and daily maximum wind speed(WSmax) were examined in China using Mann-Kendall test and linear regression method. The results indicated that for China as a whole, Tmax, Tmin and Pmax had significant increasing trends at rates of 0.15℃ per decade, 0.45℃ per decade and 0.58 mm per decade,respectively, while WSmax had decreased significantly at 1.18 m·s~(-1) per decade during 1959—2014. In all regions of China, Tmin increased and WSmax decreased significantly. Spatially, Tmax increased significantly at most of the stations in South China(SC), northwestern North China(NC), northeastern Northeast China(NEC), eastern Northwest China(NWC) and eastern Southwest China(SWC), and the increasing trends were significant in NC, SC, NWC and SWC on the regional average. Tmin increased significantly at most of the stations in China, with notable increase in NEC, northern and southeastern NC and northwestern and eastern NWC. Pmax showed no significant trend at most of the stations in China, and on the regional average it decreased significantly in NC but increased in SC, NWC and the mid-lower Yangtze River valley(YR). WSmax decreased significantly at the vast majority of stations in China, with remarkable decrease in northern NC, northern and central YR, central and southern SC and in parts of central NEC and western NWC. With global climate change and rapidly economic development, China has become more vulnerable to climatic extremes and meteorological disasters, so more strategies of mitigation and/or adaptation of climatic extremes,such as environmentally-friendly and low-cost energy production systems and the enhancement of engineering defense measures are necessary for government and social publics. 相似文献
15.
《大气和海洋科学快报》2013,(1):67
正AIMS AND SCOPE Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters (AOSL) publishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmosphere sciences and physical oceanography. Contributions from all over the world are welcome.SUBMISSIONAll submitted 相似文献
16.
17.
<正>With the support of specialized funds for national science institutions,the Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration set up in October 2008 an experiment base for marine meteorology and a number of observation systems for the coastal boundary layer,air-sea flux,marine environmental elements,and basic meteorological elements at Bohe town,Maoming city,Guangdong province,in the northern part of the South China Sea. 相似文献
18.
《大气和海洋科学快报》2014,7(6):F0003-F0003
AIMS AND SCOPE
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters （AOSL） publishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmosphere sciences and physical oceanography. Contributions from all over the world are welcome. 相似文献
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters （AOSL） publishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmosphere sciences and physical oceanography. Contributions from all over the world are welcome. 相似文献
19.
《大气和海洋科学快报》2014,(5):F0003-F0003
AIMS AND SCOPE Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters （AOSL） pub- lishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmos- phere sciences and physical oceanography. Contributions from all over the world are welcome. 相似文献
20.
《大气和海洋科学快报》2012,(3):273
正AIMS AND SCOPE Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters (AOSL) publishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmosphere sciences 相似文献