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1.
The problem of simulation of possible scenarios of the development of processes running in ecological economic systems is studied as a part of the general problem of control over natural economic complexes. The consumption of mineral, food, and ecological resources is regarded as credits given by the society to the producer and then refunded as a part of his gains. If this nature-protective tax does not compensate the damage to the environment caused by production, then the debt of the producer (called accumulated credit) appears and, finally, the process of consumption of the resources is terminated. A universal simulation model is constructed by using a new method of adaptive balance of causes (ABC method). We present basic concepts of this method and some examples of application of the simulation model to the analysis of various scenarios of consumption of marine bioresources under variable economic conditions for a marine environment with variable assimilation capacity. 相似文献
2.
We consider the problem of stable development of natural economical complexes from the viewpoint of basic balances in an ecological
economical system. We construct a basic dynamical model of the complex capable of predicting various scenarios of the industrial
development, consumption of natural resources, and pollution of the environment and propose a mechanism of control over the
process of development by introducing rent payments for the use of natural resources and ecological fines for the pollution
of the environment. The efficiency of the applied model is demonstrated by analysing the process of control over the concentration
of biological resources in marine media as an example. We describe the results of numerical experiments performed to show
the possibility of creation of the information technology of control over marine bioresources.
Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev 相似文献
3.
On the basis of systems analysis of the consumption and reproduction of marine resources, a conceptual model for the management
of maritime-industrial complexes is suggested. The management of such complexes calls for simulation experiments, with involvement
of models for the respective marine ecological-economic systems. A new method of dynamic-stochastic modelling is suggested
to generate models synthesizing the expert-and-analytical approach to the estimation of the system's dynamic operator with
the method of Kalman's adaptive filtration.
Translated by Vladimir A. Puchkin. 相似文献
4.
5.
We propose a new information technology aimed at modeling of biochemical processes in marine ecosystems and based on the use of logical operators of control (intelligent agents) in the dynamic equations of the models. We develop a conceptual model of an ecosystem reflecting the interaction of 17 biochemical processes and 5 external factors. The equations of the model are obtained by the method of adaptive balance of causes (ABC method), which enables one to simulate complex scenarios of the processes running in the investigated systems and guarantees the possibility of robust calculations. Some examples of the behavior of ecosystems under the conditions of deficiency of oxygen caused by the action of natural and anthropogenic factors are presented. As a result, it is possible to make a conclusion that the combined application of the ABC-equations and intelligent agents of control in models of marine ecosystems is quite promising. 相似文献
6.
海洋生物技术是规模化生产和利用海洋生物资源获取海洋生物产品和服务的系统工程技术。自1989年日本东京第一届国际海洋生物技术会议以来,国际海洋生物技术在促进海水养殖业健康可持续发展、开发海洋生物制品、保护海洋环境、保护海洋生物多样性以及建设“和谐海洋”等领域得到迅猛发展,不仅促进了传统海洋生物产业的转型升级,还催生了包括海洋天然药物、海洋生物材料等许多新的产业生长点。第十二届国际海洋生物技术会议于2019年9月9?13日在日本静冈召开,会议以“下一代的海洋生物技术”为主题,旨在全球范围内交流海洋生物技术研究和开发的最新进展,强化一个国际层面的“政府?学术?产业”之间的交流与合作平台。这次会议最大的特点是把青年科学家、企业家和政策制定者推向了大会交流的一线。本文针对本次会议反映的新进展,提出我国未来5～10年特别值得关注的重点方向,建议把青年人才特别是学术、工程和产业融合型人才的培养放到最重要的位置,及时布局下一代海洋生物技术的原始创新和新兴产业孵化的战略制高点。 相似文献
7.
Karen Wilson Michael Thorndyke Frank Nilsen Alex Rogers & Pedro Martinez 《Marine Ecology》2005,26(1):3-16
The study of biological systems has been revolutionized by the use of genomic technologies. Most of the knowledge gathered over the last few years refers to terrestrial models. The study of marine systems using genomic technologies has, apart from a focus on microbial systems, been generally neglected although there are signs that this situation may be changing. This review analyses recent progress made in the field of marine genomics and identifies the broad areas in which this new technology is having the greatest impacts. These studies include comparative, functional and environmental genomics of metazoan animals. In many cases, as well as benefiting marine science, studies on marine taxa are having wide‐ranging impacts on our global understanding of genomes and genomics. 相似文献
8.
We propose a method for the construction of dynamic-stochastic models of natural systems based on the assimilation of the data of observations in the prognostic equations of coupled processes. In these models, the method of adaptive balance of causes is used to deduce evolutionary equations of the analyzed processes and assimilate the data of observations in these equations. The deduced general equations are considered for an example of a marine ecosystem characterized by the development of four coupled processes. It is shown that the optimal prediction of these processes requires the solution of 11 systems of equations with simultaneous adaptation of prognostic estimates and the coefficients of the models to the data of observations. A numerical simulation experiment explaining the algorithm of the proposed method of modeling is considered. A conclusion is made that the application of this method in the geoinformation systems of monitoring of the environment is quite promising.__________Translated from Morskoi Gidrofizicheskii Zhurnal, No. 6, pp. 31–42, November–December, 2004. 相似文献
9.
不同海洋动力过程之间的相互作用决定了海洋系统内部的结构,外观表征上则反映了海洋动力要素的空间及剖面精细化分布与演变特征,海洋动力系统相互作用理论愈来愈成为支撑海洋耦合数值模式与数值预报发展的重要基础。不同于Reynolds尺度平均概念,基于局域平稳均匀统计意义下的集合平均可易于实现集合层级和系统划分。在此基础上提出了一种实用的集合平均方法,分析了不同海洋动力过程之间的相互作用机理,包括大尺度动力过程对中、小尺度过程的输运、剪切生成作用,以及后者对前者的混合作用。重点揭示了湍流、波动对涡旋/环流的输运通量剩余量主要分量所起的作用,探讨了波动强剪切生成湍流的能量贡献效应等性质,为海浪-海流耦合实用模块的研发及数据资料处理提供设计方法。 相似文献
10.
We propose an information technology of integrated management of sea-land systems containing 17 correlated biochemical processes
and an economic model of industry consuming biological, mineral, and ecological marine resources. Both models are constructed
by the method of adaptive balance of causes (ABC-method) and contain intelligent management agents. The technology of integrated
management includes the resource rent, environmental-protection taxes, and ecological fines. We consider an example of integrated
management for simulated external actions upon the marine ecosystem and the land-based economic system.
__________
Translated from Morskoi Gidrofizicheskii Zhurnal, No. 4, pp. 59–76, July–August, 2005. 相似文献
11.
The coastal regions of the Mediterranean are the site of countless economic and recreational activities, but are threatened by dramatic dangers of misuse and pollution. Adequate tools are needed to study the environmental pressure imposed on these regions by the conflicting needs of protecting their ecological balance and exploiting their natural resources. Coastal ecosystems are very sensitive to the environmental impact of land use in watersheds, along the coast and further inland, of fluvial discharges, and of marine processes. Weathering, erosion, or waste disposal on land, as well as other activities at sea, such as shipping, dumping or oil extraction, are but a few of the factors which would require that the coastal areas be suitably monitored. Modern techniques of environmental assessment call for the use of integrated observation systems. The collection of data with traditional coastal installations remains an important component of such research. However, the large space scales and short time scales of many near-coastal and/or marine processes require the use of (orbital) remote sensors. In particular, optical sensors, operating in the visible/infrared spectral region, have shown their usefulness for providing novel information on physical, geo-chemical and biological processes of the coastal area. Optical remote sensing of the coastal zone finds applications in studies of land use, surface cover, hydrology and coastal ecology at large; of water quality and sediment transport, coastal runoff and circulation, or dynamical processes (looking, e.g., at the evolution of pigment and/or temperature patterns, and their distribution as related to plankton dynamics, currents or river plumes); as well as in those of energy transfer, carbon cycling and climatology in general. Selected applications of optical observation techniques in the Mediterranean region, conducted in the framework of international demonstration programmes (i.e. the Ocean Colour European Archive Network, OCEAN, Project), provide examples of the remote sensing potential in the field of integrated coastal/marine environmental management. 相似文献
12.
《African Journal of Marine Science》2013,35(2):351-382
Despite a human presence in the Benguela region for at least one million years, exploitation of marine resources by European seafarers only began in earnest in the 1400s. Ecopath with Ecosim was used to construct and compare mass-balanced foodweb models of the southern Benguela ecosystem, representing the following eras of human influence: aboriginal (10 000 BP–1651), pre-industrial (1652–1909), industrial (1910–1974) and post-industrial (1975–present). Biomass at higher trophic levels (TLs) decreased over the periods examined, whereas that of sardine and anchovy increased in the early 2000s, reflected by the decline in weighted TL of the community (excluding plankton). Fishing became an important predatory impact, taking over consumption of small pelagics and horse mackerel from declined natural predators such as hake. Harvesting of apex predators such as seals and seabirds during the pre-industrial era meant that the mean TL of the catch declined markedly between the pre-industrial (1900) and industrial (1960) models. Biomass removals by fishing have increased substantially over time. Total biomass, consumption, respiration, production and throughput decreased from the pristine model to 1960 and then increased again in the 2000s, probably influenced by the abnormally high small pelagic biomass in the early 2000s. Three additional alternate scenarios were examined for each of the retrospective models, in particular to explore the effects of removing large fish and forage fish from the system. Although biomasses and consumption of various groups in these scenarios differed from base models, indicators such as TL of the community and piscivore groups, and the diversity indices, were not altered much, suggesting that outputs from such retrospective models in the form of derived, relative indicators, may be more robust than comparisons of absolute flows, although the latter provide supplementary inferences. Although South African fisheries have certainly impacted ecosystem structure since their commencement, these effects are in addition to natural (specifically environmental) forcing that has always been influencing the system. Fishing stress at the ecosystem level and the collapse of small pelagic stocks may lead to a shift toward a bottom-up trophic control mechanism becoming the dominant driver of ecosystem dynamics, increasing the impact of environmental events including climate change. It is thus possible that pristine systems were not as severely affected by environmental anomalies as are modern systems. 相似文献
13.
在海洋环境中的酵母菌分布与多样性 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
最近几年作者对不同海洋环境中的酵母资源、分布和多样性进行的大量研究,从中发现了22属63种1051株。并且发现这些广泛分布在海水、海泥、高盐海水、深海、各种大型海藻表面、各种海鱼体表和体内和红树林生态系统中。不同种的酵母可以产生蛋白酶、脂酶、植酸酶、菊糖酶、纤维素酶、β-1,3-葡聚酶、嗜杀因子、核黄素、铁载体等活性产物,所以这些酵母菌具有广泛的实际用途。 相似文献
14.
海洋生物资源由于保护不力、开发过度、海水污染等问题而面临严峻挑战,编制海洋生物资源资产负债表以实现资产化管理刻不容缓。党的十八届三中全会明确提出探索编制自然资源资产负债表,然而海洋生物资源资产负债表涉及的基本概念尚缺乏研究。本文探索性解析与海洋生物资源资产负债表相关的基本概念,界定海洋生物资源资产、负债及净资产等会计要素的定义,深入剖析三者的内涵与联系;借鉴企业资产负债表与国家资产负债表编制经验,依据海洋生物资源特点,阐述海洋生物资源资产负债表内涵,以期为海洋生物资源资产负债表编制奠定理论基础,推动海洋生物资源资产负债表的形成与发展。 相似文献
15.
New Zealand fisheries legislation provides commercial fishing rights to holders of individual transferable quota (ITQ). The settlement of fisheries claims against the Crown by Mäori, New Zealand's indigenous people, brought about the transfer of ITQ holdings to Mäori, and an obligation on the Crown to recognise and provide for indigenous (customary) fishing rights over fishing grounds and other areas that have been of special significance to Mäori. Some types of customary fishing areas exclude commercial fishing and could affect recreational fishing. Fisheries legislation requires that regulatory measures be put in place to avoid, remedy or mitigate the adverse effects of fishing. The Government also aims to protect marine biodiversity by having 10% of New Zealand waters in some form of protection by 2010. The legislative processes for protecting the marine environment and establishing customary fishing areas include assessment of effects on fishing rights. This paper explores the conflicts that arise from legislative obligations to uphold the rights of fishers, to sustain fishstocks and to protect the marine environment. The paper concludes that inconsistent legislative obligations and their disparate processes have led to spatial conflicts and a race for the allocation of space. Legislative obligations need to be integrated to maintain a balance between use of fisheries resources and protection of the marine environment. 相似文献
16.
Where do fishmeal and fish oil products come from? An analysis of the conversion ratios in the global fishmeal industry 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
As a result of the stagnation of commercial fishery landings, aquaculture activities are expected to increase over the next decades to match the growing demand for marine protein. Overall, it is expected that the aquaculture sector could reduce some of the fishing pressure applied to wild stocks. However, this development is likely to be limited by the availability of key aquaculture inputs, specifically fishmeal and fish oil products (FMFOP). Aquaculture provided 60 % (fish meal) and 80 % (fish oil) of the world total consumption of these products in 2007. FMFOP are generally derived from small pelagic fish species, but can also be derived from other sources. Identifying the origin of FMFOP is crucial to understanding the effects of this new pressure on marine social-ecological systems. Two factors are of particular importance in the reduction sector transforming wild fish into fishmeal or fish oil: the two “conversion ratios” (i.e. the ratio between the quantity of wild fish harvested and the resulting quantity of FMFOP, and the ratio between the quantity of FMFOP and aquaculture production), and the type of raw material used by the reduction sector. Based on trade and production databases from FAO and the International Fishmeal and Fish oil Organisation (IFFO), this paper proposes an approach to identify the origin of FMFOP. It shows that whereas different countries use different pelagic resources to produce FMFOP, other countries use non-pelagic sources, and some countries use pelagic resources for human consumption. 相似文献
17.
Time-domain models of marine structures based on frequency domain data are usually built upon the Cummins equation. This type of model is a vector integro-differential equation which involves convolution terms. These convolution terms are not convenient for analysis and design of motion control systems. In addition, these models are not efficient with respect to simulation time, and ease of implementation in standard simulation packages. For these reasons, different methods have been proposed in the literature as approximate alternative representations of the convolutions. Because the convolution is a linear operation, different approaches can be followed to obtain an approximately equivalent linear system in the form of either transfer function or state-space models. This process involves the use of system identification, and several options are available depending on how the identification problem is posed. This raises the question whether one method is better than the others. This paper therefore has three objectives. The first objective is to revisit some of the methods for replacing the convolutions, which have been reported in different areas of analysis of marine systems: hydrodynamics, wave energy conversion, and motion control systems. The second objective is to compare the different methods in terms of complexity and performance. For this purpose, a model for the response in the vertical plane of a modern containership is considered. The third objective is to describe the implementation of the resulting model in the standard simulation environment Matlab/Simulink. 相似文献
18.
It is suggested to describe the ecological and economic features of the local sites of natural environments (dry-land and
water areas) by their resource potential conditional relative to the technologies of their application. An information model
aimed at the prediction of scenarios of conditional resource potentials capable of evaluation of the efficiency of consumption
of the resources is developed. The model is based on the monitoring of the amount of debt for the consumption of the resources
accumulated by a branch of economy (plant) in the unfavorable economic situation or in the case of deterioration of environmental
conditions. Examples of simulation of the processes of consumption of the resources aimed at the realization of control over
the stable development of ecological and economic systems are presented.
__________
Translated from Morskoi Gidrofizicheskii Zhurnal, No. 2, pp. 24–42, March–April, 2006. 相似文献
19.
为了保护环境、合理开发利用海洋资源、更好地进行海洋行政管理、实现政府决策科学化、从源头上抑制环境污染和生态破坏,通过分析、比较和例证的方法,研究了环境影响评价制度与海域使用论证制度的异同,主张积极转变政府职能,充分利用各种资源,通过联合管理、联合办公的方法,为协调两种制度寻找一个平台,理顺两种制度的实施体系。 相似文献
20.
We propose a system approach to the development of information technologies of control over the processes of consumption of
natural resources. On the basis of the method of system dynamics, we construct a dynamic economical model of an ecological
system relating the factor of economical profitability of consumption of the resources to the ecological state of the natural
environment. The model enables one to estimate the environmental deductions from the profit of factories and plants required
to compensate damage caused by their operation. As an example, we consider the process of control over the consumption of
biological resources in the water area of the Azov Sea suffering the action of a coastal industrial plant withdrawing sea
resources and polluting the water area with wastes. We also propose a procedure of assimilation of the data of observations
in the models of system dynamics by converting these data into the information technologies of control.
Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev 相似文献