共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 182 毫秒
1.
Hermann M. Fritz Christopher D. Blount Fawzi B. Albusaidi Ahmed Hamoud Mohammed Al-Harthy 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2010
Super Cyclone Gonu is the strongest tropical cyclone on record in the Arabian Sea. Gonu caused coastal damage due to storm surge and storm wave impact as well as wadi flooding. High water marks, overland flow depths, and inundation distances were measured in the coastal flood zones along the Gulf of Oman from 1 to 4 August 2007. The high water marks peaked at Ras al-Hadd at the eastern tip of Oman exceeding 5 m. The storm surge of Gonu is modeled using the Advanced Circulation Model (ADCIRC). The multi-hazard aspect is analyzed by comparing observations from Cyclone Gonu with the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami. 相似文献
2.
P. Yunus Ali 《Marine Geodesy》2013,36(1):26-39
The tsunami waves generated during the Sumatra-Andaman earthquake of 26 December 2004 devastated the coastal area along Trinkat Island, causing sudden changes to the morphology of the landforms. This study uses a series of satellite images to record the short-term morphological response and shoreline changes as well as the recovery of coastal land after its destruction. Results indicate that the island experienced substantial erosion and a significant reduction in land area. Shoreline erosion is more prevalent than accretion at an average linear regression rate of ～?9 m per year between 2004 and 2013. The major morphological changes at Trinkat Island were observed in coastal inlets, beaches, and bay head-lands. Straight beaches had almost recovered eight years after the tsunami; however, erosion is continually observed in other areas. Our study will help understanding the response and recovery of shorelines in Indian Ocean regions after the 2004 tsunami. 相似文献
3.
海平面上升的风险评估研究进展与展望 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
海岸带是海陆交互作用的集中区域,人类活动密集,面对未来海平面上升带来的影响具有敏感性和脆弱性。评估未来海平面上升对海岸带的风险,具有理论与实际意义。根据海平面上升风险评估研究框架,总结了海平面上升、海岸侵蚀、风暴潮淹没、海水入侵、湿地丧失等方面的研究现状,在此基础上,分析了目前研究存在的不足,并提出了海平面上升风险评估未来研究的关键问题。 相似文献
4.
This paper describes the results of investigations of the consequences of the storms on the Pacific coast of Shikotan Island
that occurred on October 7–10, 2006 and January 6–8, 2007. These storms and their impact on the coastal zone can be considered
as extreme events for the last 40–50 years. The heights and flooding area of the storm surges within bay coasts of different
types were measured. The coastal relief’s changes are described. During the storms, a cover of deposits was formed having
a size of up to 30 m outside the beach zone and up to 52 m in the near-mouth zones. The grain-size composition of the storm
deposits is analyzed and their difference from other coastal facies, including tsunami sands, are established. 相似文献
5.
Identification of the distinctive circulation patterns of storminess on the Atlantic margin of Europe forms the main objective of this study; dealing with storm frequency, intensity and tracking. The climatology of the extratropical cyclones that affect this region has been examined for the period 1940–1998. Coastal meteorological data from Ireland to Spain have been linked to the cyclone history for the North Atlantic in the analysis of storm records for European coasts. The study examines the evolution in the occurrence of storms since the 1940s and also their relationship with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Results indicate a seasonal shift in the wind climate, with regionally more severe winters and calmer summers established. This pattern appears to be linked to a northward displacement in the main North Atlantic cyclone track.
An experiment with the ECHAM4 A-GCM at high resolution (T106) has also been used to model the effect of a greenhouse gases induced warming climate on the climatology of coastal storms in the region. The experiment consists of (1), a 30-year control time-slice representing present-day equivalent CO2 concentrations and (2), a 30-year perturbed period corresponding to a time when the radiative forcing has doubled in terms of equivalent CO2 concentrations. The boundary conditions have been obtained from an atmosphere-ocean coupled OA-GCM simulation at low horizontal resolution. An algorithm was developed to allow the identification of individual cyclone movements in selected coastal zones. For most of the northern part of the study region, covering Ireland and Scotland, results describe the establishment by ca. 2060 of a tendency for fewer but more intense storms.
The impacts of these changes in storminess for the vulnerability of European Atlantic coasts are considered. For low-lying, exposed and ‘soft’ sedimentary coasts, as in Ireland, these changes in storminess are likely to result in significant localised increases in coastal erosion. 相似文献
6.
基于多致灾因子相似的热带气旋检索方法研究:以风暴潮-海浪灾害预评估为例 总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1
热带气旋引起的风暴潮-海浪灾害成灾频率高、致灾强度大,对我国沿海地区造成的人员和经济损失惨重。预评估阶段需要在灾前对研究区可能造成的损失等进行快速的综合判定。从历史热带气旋中检索出与目标热带气旋位置及各种致灾因子强度相似的热带气旋是快速、准确地预评估风暴潮-海浪灾害的重要方法。面向风暴潮-海浪灾害预评估,提出了一种基于多致灾因子的相似热带气旋检索方法。用于相似检索的致灾因子数据包括:从中国气象局西北太平洋热带气旋最佳路径数据集中提取并经处理得到的1949~2013年影响湛江市的112场热带气旋的路径中心点位置、中心气压、最大风速、最大风速半径及移动速度数据,112场热带气旋的模拟风场、风暴潮及海浪数据。首先,利用相似离度方法对热带气旋进行路径相似性检索;其次,利用最优相似系数方法计算中心气压、最大风速半径、最大风速、移动速度、风场、风暴潮及海浪强度指标的相似系数进行一次检索;然后,根据风场、风暴潮及海浪模拟数据的获取情况,分别基于路径-强度及风场-风暴潮-海浪综合相似性指标进行二次检索;最终给出历史热带气旋的综合相似排序。以2013年尤特热带气旋为例,利用上述方法检索了与其最为相似的5场历史热带气旋。该方法综合考虑了热带气旋路径及多种致灾因子的相似,兼顾了检索的速度及质量,是进行快速、准确的风暴潮-海浪灾害预评估的重要基础。 相似文献
7.
漠阳江入海口东侧海岸侵蚀现状及成因分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
对漠阳江入海口东侧海岸的侵蚀情况进行了详细的野外调查,在2年的调查时间内对监测岸段的海岸线位置及海滩地形开展了5次重复测量。各次测量结果的对比表明,漠阳江入海口东侧海岸遭受了严重的侵蚀,岸线平均后退速率达15m.a 1;海滩地形剖面的动态变化则显示海岸侵蚀和淤积情况随季节而改变,在2008年台风"黑格比"登陆后,研究区岸线大幅后退,岸滩地形发生了深刻变化。通过对研究区海岸侵蚀特点的分析,认为砂质海岸的脆弱性和水动力作用是该区海岸侵蚀的基本条件,风暴潮是造成该区海岸严重侵蚀的重要因素;另外,人类活动也加剧了研究区的海岸侵蚀。 相似文献
8.
Shigehisa Nakamura 《Marine Geodesy》2013,36(3):265-272
Abstract Tsunami occurrence and invasive tsunami at a local area in the circum‐Pacific seismic zone were studied as a Poisson process. The tsunami height at Osaka, Japan, was related to tsunami magnitude. The exceedence frequency of invaded tsunami at Osaka showed a good fitness to the Poisson process. However, an adapted process should be introduced for exceedence frequency of tsunami occurrence in the western Pacific. The exceedence probability of invasive tsunami at Osaka was shown as a function of tsunami magnitude on a diagram with a parameter of the time period. The obtained result might be useful for the planning of coastal area, warning of invasive tsunami, and designing coastal structures as protection within the scope of tsunami economics. 相似文献
9.
10.
Adrian St?nic? Sebastian Dan José A. JiménezGheorghe V. Ungureanu 《Ocean & Coastal Management》2011,54(12):898-906
The most severe shoreline retreat (over 20 m/year) along the Danube Delta coast has been recorded in the coastal stretch confined by the Sulina branch (north) and Sahalin spit island (south). This erosive trend is caused by the natural evolution of some stretches of the Danube Delta coast, but strongly enhanced by the human activities. Human interventions result in the dramatic decrease in quantity of sediments reaching the coast and in the disruption of natural sediment circulation in the coastal area. EUROSION FP5 Project developed four concepts to be used in coastal studies: coastal sediment cell, coastal resilience, favourable sediment status and strategic sediment reservoir. The main objectives of this study regard the application of the CONSCIENCE methodology and test of the concepts in order to identify and understand the main threats for Sulina - Sahalin littoral cell, especially the coastal erosion one, as well as to provide a sound working methodology for coastal managers to deal with these threats. The sediment budget computed in previous studies, as well as the field observations, indicate a lack of sediments for the littoral cell (unfavourable sediment status). In order to asses the vulnerability of the coast to short term extreme events (especially storms), simulations of water level changes were performed and calibrated with the field observations. A processes based numerical model was used to simulate the storm induced water level variations and the main input data were the bathymetry of the active beach, wind direction and speed (storm scenarios) and the characteristics of water and air. The results show large water level increases for the central part of the study zone, especially for northern wind directions.The main solution proposed to deal the problems arising from a sediment-starved coast, vulnerable to the extreme events, is artificial nourishment. Two strategic sediment reservoirs were identified, both of them at the northern boundary of the cell: the sediments dredged periodically from Sulina mouth and the sediments accumulated in Musura Bay, just north of Sulina jetties. The transfer of these sediments towards the central part of the littoral cell Sulina - Sahalin would decrease the erosion rates to a natural level and restore the natural coastal resilience. The methodology developed in CONSCIENCE Framework and applied to Danube Delta coastal zone provided good results when problems and solutions for the coastal zone were to be identified and tested. This methodology and its related results can be applied by the local coastal managers to Sulina - Sahalin littoral cell, while this experience can be extended to other similar environments facing the same problems. 相似文献
11.
遥感技术由于具有强大的对地观测能力,因而在灾害评估方面表现出了巨大的潜力。本文基于灾害风险评估理论,利用ASTER GDEM高程数据,NPP/VIIRS灯光数据和LANDSAT卫星影像3种遥感数据对台州市海啸脆弱性进行了评估。主要从暴露性,敏感性和恢复能力3个方面进行了研究:暴露性主要分析了离岸距离因子;敏感性除了考虑到高程、坡度和海岸形状等自然地理因子外,同时也兼顾了社会经济因子;恢复能力主要由土地利用进行分析。利用层次分析法(AHP)计算了敏感性四因子的权重值。最后将脆弱性分为高、较高、中等、较低和低5个等级。脆弱性分析结果显示,台州市沿海研究区域中,78.1%的区域属于低脆弱性,5.9%区域是稍微脆弱,5.4%属于中等脆弱,8.8%是稍高脆弱性,还有1.8%属于高脆弱性区域。脆弱性偏高的地区大多位于近岸6 km内,高程和坡度较小的区域。该脆弱性分析方法可推广到全国其他县市区域的海啸风险评估工作中,为政府海啸防灾减灾工作提供科学参考。 相似文献
12.
最近50年来莱州湾东部典型砂岸潮上带土地利用变化研究 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
以不同时期测量和成像的地形图和高分辨率遥感影像为数据源,综合使用野外调查、遥感(RS)、全球定位系统(GPS)和地理信息系统(GIS)等方法,对最近50多年来莱州湾东部砂岸典型岸段(界河口—刁龙嘴)的土地利用变化进行研究。结果表明,最近50多年来,莱州湾东部海岸土地利用/土地覆被变化显著,土地利用类型转化的总趋势是风沙地、林地、耕地向养殖池及居民地转化。从20世纪90年代初以来,该岸段潮上带风沙地大部分已为养殖池(塘、大棚)等所覆盖,在沿海防护林和海域之间新出现了一条平行于岸线、基本连续展布的水产养殖设施带,其外侧建有高出当地最高潮位的防浪堤。潮上带土地覆被的如此深刻变化,必然深刻地改变风暴潮作用时的水动力边界条件,导致风暴潮作用过程中沿水下岸坡—海滩—潮上带方向的能量分布发生调整,进一步会对海岸地貌及冲淤发生的范围、强度、性质和形式等带来变化。因此,大面积的潮上带土地利用可能是莱州湾东部砂岸,最近30年来海岸地貌冲淤演变的重要影响因素之一,这为今后深入研究并预测该段海岸地貌冲淤变化提供了新的视角。 相似文献
13.
Shigehisa Nakamura 《Marine Geodesy》2005,28(4):305-312
A note is presented on tsunami bore front. This tsunami bore front is an old dynamical problem but also a new problem to be understood. The tsunami event on 2004 December 26 has raised this is an urgent problem. The author introduces here a model in order to see a hydrodynamical specific property of the tsunami bore front. This modeling gives us a new understanding about what mechanics is for the interested tsunami bore front, especially, around a coastal zone. This work adds a new understanding about mechanics of water motions as the tsunamis generated by the earthquake undersea at a distant area from the coast. The model in this work points out a specific transitional pattern as a function of time and space of tsunami bore front. This modeling gives what is essential at considering tsunami bore front. 相似文献
14.
Shigehisa Nakamura 《Marine Geodesy》2013,36(4):305-312
A note is presented on tsunami bore front. This tsunami bore front is an old dynamical problem but also a new problem to be understood. The tsunami event on 2004 December 26 has raised this is an urgent problem. The author introduces here a model in order to see a hydrodynamical specific property of the tsunami bore front. This modeling gives us a new understanding about what mechanics is for the interested tsunami bore front, especially, around a coastal zone. This work adds a new understanding about mechanics of water motions as the tsunamis generated by the earthquake undersea at a distant area from the coast. The model in this work points out a specific transitional pattern as a function of time and space of tsunami bore front. This modeling gives what is essential at considering tsunami bore front. 相似文献
15.
莱州湾东部潮上带土地利用对海岸蚀退的影响 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
基于二维浅水方程、波作用守恒方程和对流扩散方程, 建立了波浪-潮流-泥沙耦合数值模型, 分析了最近20 年来莱州湾东部潮上带土地利用对海岸蚀退的影响。结果显示, 潮上带土地利用改变 了风暴潮时的水动力边界条件, 显著增大了岸线附近的水流流速。随着潮上带养殖设施覆盖比例的 提高, 从平面分布看, 岸线附近侵蚀显著加重, 侵蚀条带平行岸线并向下游延伸、向海侧拓展; 从剖 面分布看, 岸线两侧侵蚀深度显著增大、范围明显扩展, 水下岸坡的闭合水深加大, 闭合点外移; 从 动力条件变化看, 岸线附近水流流速最大。分析表明, 最近20 年来大规模的潮上带土地利用是莱州 湾东部海岸蚀退的重要影响因素。 相似文献
16.
海岸开发工程回淤问题的动床波浪输沙试验研究 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
利用动床波浪输沙物理模型,试验研究了海岸开发工程引起的冲刷和回淤问题,直观预演了工程竣工后可能引起的;中淤现象。试验研究对象为南山滨海开发区旅游项目开发工程,试验结果给出了工程布置的各部分的淤积情况,表明淤积量较大,会引起工程区域及邻近海岸带的冲淤,并针对该工程提出建议。通过该试验的淤积情况表明：在实施海岸工程特别是在海岸带上做旅游项目开发时,要尽可能地不改变自然形成的原有海岸,否则可能会打破动态平衡,改变原有动力条件,破坏海洋环境,同时增加工程风险。强调了在海岸工程的设计和施工前要重视通过水工物模试验研究新平衡的演变过程。 相似文献
17.
海堤是海岸带地区社会经济活动的重要保护屏障。海岸侵蚀的加剧将导致海堤稳定性和安全性降低, 增加海岸带地 区遭受极端风暴洪水的风险, 进而影响到海岸带地区的安全。本文选择上海石化这一遭受海岸侵蚀较为严重的区域作为研究 区, 利用 GIS 分析了 1972—2020 年近岸海床侵蚀特征, 并基于 2000—2020 年-5 m 等深线变化评估了上海石化近岸海堤的 稳定性。结果表明： 1972—2020 年间上海石化前沿海床整体以侵蚀为主, 石化近岸东侧以及西侧局部的浅滩侵蚀明显, 城 市沙滩中段、第 6 次围堤处以及码头东岸海堤稳定性最低。基于上述研究结果, 考虑海堤稳定性薄弱段出现极端风暴洪水漫 堤或溃堤情景, 模拟并分析了上海石化 2010 年 、2030 年和2050 年遭受千年一遇极端风暴洪水的风险。结果显示： 在 2010 年基准年情景下, 受海岸侵蚀作用最明显的城市沙滩和第6 次围堤区域遭遇极端风暴洪水的风险最高, 到 2050 年, 当前稳 定性较好的海堤安全性也将大大降低, 与 2010 年相比, 上海石化近岸地区的直接经济损失将会增加近 3 倍。 相似文献
18.
以典型海洋灾害风暴潮为研究对象,以国家海洋局统计公报数据、国家统计局和各省市统计数据为数据源,将粗糙集理论(RST)与组合赋权策略(CWM)结合建立了基于RST-CWM的风暴潮灾害脆弱性组合评价模型。利用粗糙集的知识简约属性、投影寻踪组合赋权思想进行沿海各省市地区海洋风暴潮灾害脆弱性的综合评价。测算结果表明:沿海地区基于RST-CWM模型的风暴潮灾害脆弱性呈现出一定的空间差异性,但研究区各省市海洋风暴潮灾害脆弱性与地理位置分布没有必然的联系,说明在沿海地区开展海洋防灾减灾工作,若只注重地理区划并不一定能改善当地风暴潮脆弱程度。研究区各省市海洋灾害脆弱程度大小排序为:山东、天津、福建、广东、广西、辽宁、江苏、浙江、海南、河北、上海,同时,各省市的脆弱性要素即暴露性、敏感性及适应性构成有所差异,说明完备海洋风暴潮防灾减灾机制的驱动力是多样的,风暴潮防治应综合考虑灾害本身和人为因素。 相似文献
19.
Visualising coastal zone inundation is crucial for both a quick assessment of coastal vulnerability and a full understanding of possible implications to population, infrastructure and environment. This study presents a simple but effective method of assessing the spatial extent of coastal zone inundation due to predicted sea level rise using commonly available elevation and image data as well as GIS software. The method is based on the geometrical principle of matching the raised sea level with the corresponding elevation contour line on land. Results for a test area along the south-west coast of Western Australia (∼200 km of coast line) show that a sea level rise of less than 0.5 m over the 21st century will have only minor impact but will become important when added to an extreme sea level event (e.g. storm surge). Both century-scale (∼0.5 m) based on tide gauge records and larger (>few metres) longer-term sea level rise predictions based on the melt of ice covered areas show essentially the same areas that are most vulnerable. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the method is demonstrated by the detection of areas that can be protected by relatively small flood protective structures at river and estuary entrances, thus providing valuable information for policy makers and local councils. 相似文献
20.
为改善临高县海岸带生态环境、提升海岸带生态价值及保障海岸带生态安全,文章在实地考察、文献查阅和资料梳理的基础上,概述了当前临高县海岸带面临的典型生态环境问题,分析生态环境退化的主要原因,提出了海岸带保护修复的对策建议。研究结果表明：临高海岸带地区砂质海岸、红树林、珊瑚礁和白蝶贝等面临较严重的海岸侵蚀、生态环境退化和生物资源枯竭等问题;砂质海岸侵蚀主要受海平面上升、风暴潮等自然因素影响,红树林生态系统主要受围海养殖、环境污染影响,珊瑚礁、白蝶贝等海洋生态系统则主要受渔业捕捞、水体污染等人为活动影响;基于海岸生态退化现状及原因分析,提出文澜河口、抱吴港等岸段开展沙滩喂养及生态堤建设,新盈湾、黄龙湾、金牌湾等重点区实施红树林修复,珊瑚礁、白蝶贝保育区加强自然封育、严防人工干扰等建议措施。 相似文献