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变分伴随数据同化方法在断面海温数值计算中的应用研究   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
以二维断面海温分布模型为例,利用海温实际观测数据,将变分伴随方法应用于断面海温初始场的优化。讨论了变分伴随方法的基本思想,分别从模型方程的连续和离散形式出发推导伴随模型系统,并对这两种途径建立的伴随系统之间的相互关系进行了分析。数值试验的结果表明了变分伴随数据同化方法在海温数值计算和数值预报业务中的良好的应用前景。  相似文献   

3.
本研究基于最优控制理论,采用变分数据同化法,通过建立伴随模型,把观测资料同化到陆架海域潮汐数值模型中去,优化开边界条件,以便提高数值预报的精度.潮汐模型的控制方程为考虑平流项、非线性底摩擦和侧向涡动粘性项的非线性浅水方程组.在第Ⅰ部分建立伴随模型和进行“孪生”数值试验的基础上,给出利用验潮站的水位资料以及TOPEX/Poseidon卫星测高数据在黄海、东海进行变分数据同化试验的数值结果.试验表明利用上述资料对模型进行变分同化校正是可行的.  相似文献   

4.
A near-bottom pressure equation consistent with the original set of difference equations is derived in the framework of a numerical energetically-balanced model. The model is used to simulate numerically three-dimensional density and current velocity fields and in the Black Sea for a specific season. The climatic values of temperature, salinity, and tangential wind stress during summer are applied as the original conditions. Analysis of the hydrophysical fields at the final moment of integrating is performed. The difference between new data and data derived earlier is demonstrated.Translated by V. Puchkin.  相似文献   

5.
Aquasi-three-dimensionalnumericalpredictionmodelofsalinitystructureinBohaiSeaandHuanghaiSea¥SunWeiyangandWangZongshan(Receive...  相似文献   

6.
A numerical experiment with assimilation of hydrological observational data from a survey in October 2007 on the northwestern shelf of the Black Sea was carried out using the hydrodynamic model with nonlinear equations of motion, equations of heat and salt advection, and data assimilation. The results of this calculation are compared with thermohydrodynamic fields obtained without taking into account temperature and salinity measurements. It is shown that allowance for the observation data leads to qualitative and quantitative differences in the structure of the hydrophysical fields. Mesoscale eddies and intense jet streams that agree with satellite observations were found in the field of currents and were investigated. These eddies are not resolved in low-resolution field experiments.  相似文献   

7.
A procedure for the four-dimensional (4D) analysis of the hydrophysical fields in the Black Sea with an assimilation of the temperature and salinity (T, S) data was realized on the basis of a numerical model which involves the primitive equations of motion, and the heat and salt advection equations. Two experiments were carried out which differed by the observation data assimilation procedure. Analysis has shown that the observation data assimilation procedure realized using the energy-balanced model allows the reproduction of some synoptic features of the circulation in the Black Sea. A comparison of two computations demonstrates the efficiency of assimilating the measurement data on the basis of the 4D analysis as compared with the sequential objective analysis.Translated by Mikhail M. Trufanov.  相似文献   

8.
We present the results of an analysis of the seasonal variability of current fields in the Caspian Sea, reconstructed by assimilation of climatic temperature and salinity into the primitive-equation model of water circulation on the basis of an algorithm for adaptive statistics of prediction errors. The sources in heat and salt transfer-diffusion equations depend on the spatial and temporal variability of the variances of prediction errors and one-dimensional (in the vertical coordinate) variances of measurement errors for temperature and salinity. The variances of prediction errors are adjusted at the moments of data assimilation in accordance with a simplified Kalman filter. The climatic circulation of waters in the Caspian Sea is shown to be highly varying. The maximum of its intensity over the entire depth is reached in February. The minimum of kinetic energy is observed in April. The currents in deep-sea areas are determined by the balance between wind and baroclinic factors of the formation of circulation with wind currents prevalent.  相似文献   

9.
Studyonshort-rangenumericalforecastingofoceancurrentintheEastChinaSea-ⅢThree-dimensionalbaroclinicanomalyforecastingmodelandi...  相似文献   

10.
We present a numerical model of Black Sea circulation based on primitive equations with improved spatial resolution in the coastal zone. The model equations are formulated in a two-pole orthogonal coordinate system with arbitrary locations of the poles and a vertical σ coordinate. Increased horizontal resolution is gained by displacing the pole into the vicinity of the separated subdomain. The problem is solved over a grid with a variable step. The northern coordinate pole is displaced to the vicinity of Gelendzhik; the grid step varies from 150 m in the coastal zone to 4.6 km in the main basin. We simulated the fields of currents, sea level, temperature, and salinity under the given atmospheric forcing in 2007. The model is capable of reproducing the large-scale Black Sea circulation and submesoscale variations in the coastal currents.  相似文献   

11.
This paper discusses the results of a numerical experiment on modelling the seasonal variability of the water circulation and temperature/salinity fields in the Black Sea. A multi-layered quasi-isopycnic model is used based on primitive equations and incorporating the upper mixed layer (UML). It is shown that during springtime warming, relatively cold layers emerge in some areas, due to subduction, from the UML, which then spread virtually over the entire basin and persist until they become absorbed by the rapidly deepening UML during the period of cooling in winter. Translated by Vladimir A. Puchkin.  相似文献   

12.
变分伴随数据同化在海表面温度预报中的应用研究   总被引:8,自引:1,他引:8  
将变分伴随数据同化技术应用于海表面温度(SST)数值预报.采用中国近海海表面温度短期数值预报模式,将船舶测报海表面温度同化到该模型中,对SST初始场进行优化.文中给出了中国近海SST数值预报同化模型5d试报结果与观测值的比较,整个区域的均绝差由同化前的2.71℃降至0.87℃,即变分伴随数据同化对改进SST数值预报的效果是比较明显的,表明它可成为SST数值预报初始化的新方法.  相似文献   

13.
The Black Sea dynamics for two decades (1993–2012) is analyzed. The study is carried out in numerical simulation with the use of a circulation model and assimilation of satellite measurements of free surface elevations and sea-surface temperatures (SSTs). The Black Sea circulation model has a spatial resolution of 4.8 km and 35 vertical levels, which thicken toward the surface. Arrays of ERA-Interim data are used for simulating the atmospheric forcing. A set of 3D arrays of the Black Sea hydrophysical fields is calculated on a regular grid with a time resolution of 24 h. The results are analyzed and compared with available contact measurements of temperature and salinity. This comparison shows a quite good quality of the resulted hydrophysical fields of the Black Sea.  相似文献   

14.
A method for combined assimilation of climatic hydrologic fields of temperature, salinity, and the climatic dynamic level of the Black Sea into a model of sea dynamics is proposed. The monthly mean fields of the dynamic sea level were obtained from the results of assimilation of satellite altimetry data into the model. The statistical characteristics of errors in the forecasts of the level, salinity, and temperature were assumed to be proportional to the statistical characteristics of the differences between monthly mean climatic fields of temperature, salinity, and sea level calculated by means of assimilating altimetry observations of the sea level and analogous climatic hydrologic fields. The climatic fields of currents are reconstructed and analyzed. The assimilation of the climatic altimetry level allows the reproduction (in current fields) of quasi-stationary synoptic anticyclonic eddies located along the periphery of the Black Sea Rim Current.  相似文献   

15.
Studyonshort-rangenumericalforecastingofoceancurrentintheEastChinaSea—II.Three-dimensionaldiagnosticmodelanditsapplicationint...  相似文献   

16.
We analyze the seasonal variability of the climatic hydrophysical fields of the Black Sea reporduced in three numerical experiments carried out according to the model of circulation. The numerical predictions are performed for a period of 12.5 yr on the basis of the hydrological data accumulated in 1983–1995. The monthly average climatic fields of the current speed are reconstructed according to the data on the climatic fields of temperature and salinity by the method of hydrodynamic adaptation (standard). It is shown that, in prognostic calculations, the seasonal variability of temperature and salinity is qualitatively close to the “standard” dependence. At the same time, the quantitative difference between the climatic behavior of the model and the standard dependence may be significant. The annual cycle of the currents is characterized by the intensification of the Main Black-Sea Current in winter. The structure of the hydrophysical fields of the sea in the model becomes much more realistic if it is based on the actual hydrological data. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

17.
We propose an improvement of the algorithm of joint assimilation of the data on climatic temperature, salinity, and altimetric sea level in a model of circulation. Unlike the previous works, the variances of the forecast errors of temperature and salinity and the cross-covariance functions of of the forecast errors of salinity-level and temperature-level depend on the dynamics of waters. It is shown that the structure of the fields of cross-covariance functions in the upper mixed layer is formed by the vertical turbulent diffusion of the variances of forecast errors of temperature and salinity. At greater depths, these statistical characteristics are mainly determined by the vertical advection. We compared the results of calculations with and without taking into account the dynamics of the statistical characteristics. The analysis of the influence of the dynamics of these characteristics makes it possible to reconstruct the mutually adapted climatic fields of temperature, salinity, and horizontal and vertical current velocities in the Black Sea with the assimilation of data in the numerical model in each time step. Translated from Morskoi Gidrofizicheskii Zhurnal, No. 4, pp. 18–31, July–August, 2008.  相似文献   

18.
A regional ocean circulation model with four-dimensional variational data assimilation scheme is configured to study the ocean state of the Indian Ocean region (65°E–95°E; 5°N–20°N) covering the Arabian Sea (AS) and Bay of Bengal (BoB). The state estimation setup uses 10 km horizontal resolution and 5 m vertical resolution in the upper ocean. The in-situ temperature and salinity, satellite-derived observations of sea surface height, and blended (in-situ and satellite-derived) observations of sea surface temperature alongwith their associated uncertainties are used for data assimilation with the regionally configured ocean model. The ocean state estimation is carried out for 61 days (1 June to 31 July 2013). The assimilated fields are closer to observations compared to other global state estimates. The mixed layer depth (MLD) of the region shows deepening during the period of assimilation with AS showing higher MLD compared to the BoB. An empirical forecast equation is derived for the prediction of MLD using the air–sea forcing variables as predictors. The surface and sub-surface (50 m) heat and salt budget tendencies of the region are also investigated. It is found that at the sub-surface, only the advection and diffusion temperature and salt tendencies are important.  相似文献   

19.
A numerical model of online forecasting Black Sea currents   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
A numerical three-dimensional nonlinear model of the hydrophysical fields of the Black Sea is presented. The properties of model discrete equations are described. The results of test experiments on the choice of model finite-difference approximations and parameters (as applied to the online forecasting of currents) are given. The results of prognostic calculations of the hydrophysical fields of the Black Sea are given for the period of March 31, 2005, to September 26, 2006. These results show that this numerical model with consideration for real atmospheric forcing can yield a satisfactory forecast of the parameters of the upper layers of the sea for 18 months of model time.  相似文献   

20.
The paper analyses results of the numerical simulation of upwelling events in the north-western part of the Black Sea, mostly near the South Crimea. The calculations were performed using a numerical model based on primitive hydrodynamics equations. Emphasis is laid on the case when a salinity front simulating the Black Sea rim current is prescribed in the initial conditions. The interaction of the Black Sea rim current's stream with the coastline and bottom topography leads to the development of an upwelling near the Crimea's coast, even in the absence of wind forcing. The paper discusses the structure of the three-dimensional circulation of waters in the shelf area of the NW Black Sea. Numerical modelling results are matched up with the satellite data obtained by the HRPT receiving station. Translated by Vladimir A. Puchkin.  相似文献   

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