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1.
1Introduction Indian Ocean dipole(IOD),a kind of localcharacteristics of variation of sea surface temperature(SST)in the Indian Ocean,behaves with an oppo-site SSTA symbol between the east and west parts ofthe tropical Indian Ocean(Yu and Liu,2004;Rongand…  相似文献   

2.
利用卫星测高技术监测厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜现象   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
利用美国宇航局和法国空间局联合公布的T/P数据(1993-2000年)和Jason-1数据(2002—2006年),由共线法计算了热带太平洋地区海平面高度的变化。根据T/P和Jason-1数据计算的海面月变化异常图,分别研究了和分析了1997-1998年的厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜现象、2002-2003年厄尔尼诺现象的变化发展过程。  相似文献   

3.
-By using the sea surface temperature (SST) index of the Equatorial Pacific Ocean provided by Climate Analysis Center of U. S. A. , the numerical criteria of El Nino and La Nina events and their quantitative characteristics were calculated. Results show that the El Nino event was characterized with strong intensity, shorter life cycle and significant mature phase; however, the La Nina event has longer live cycle, weak intensity, insignificant mature phase. Through teleconnection analysis, it is found that the intensity index of SST over the Equatorial Pacific Ocean leads the intensity index of subtropical high by six months or so. During the El Nino years, the tropical cyclone over the northwestern Pacific is fewer than normal but stronger, and its genesis area shifts southeastward apparently; while in the La Nina years the number of tropical cyclones are larger.  相似文献   

4.
1 INTRoDUcTIONThe study results from Nov. 1986 to Aug. 1990 in sea area (ll5"E - 165"E, 20"N -l0"S) during TOGA experiments, indicated that there were outstanding responses of differenceof partial pressure of CO, between sea and air (APCO,) and total dissolved concentrationof CO, (TCO,) to El Nino and La Nina in NW region of the Western Tropical Pacific,including the cruise lines from ll4ofy 22"N to l30"E, l8"N and that from l8"N to 8"N,along l30"E. The characteristics of dis…  相似文献   

5.
近60年西北太平洋台风年代际变化特征及成因的初步分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用60年台风资料,对西北太平洋台风的频数、路径和强度变化做统计分析。结果表明:西北太平洋的台风活动在20世纪60年代是高峰期,70年代则是低谷期,从20世纪90年代后期开始,台风活动总体处于低谷期;台风路径主要以转向为主,在20世纪60、70年代平均路径比较偏南,而进入21世纪后平均路径比较偏北;强度在20世纪50、60年代总体较强,后25年总体较弱;西北太平洋台风异常偏多时,西北太平洋副高弱且位置偏东,太平洋海温分布呈"拉尼娜"特征;台风异常偏少时,副高强且位置偏西,太平洋海温分布呈"厄尔尼诺"特征。  相似文献   

6.
利用60年台风资料,对西北太平洋台风的频数、路径和强度变化做统计分析。结果表明:西北太平洋的台风活动在20世纪60年代是高峰期,70年代则是低谷期,从20世纪90年代后期开始,台风活动总体处于低谷期;台风路径主要以转向为主,在20世纪60、70年代平均路径比较偏南,而进入21世纪后平均路径比较偏北;强度在20世纪50、60年代总体较强,后25年总体较弱;西北太平洋台风异常偏多时,西北太平洋副高弱且位置偏东,太平洋海温分布呈"拉尼娜"特征;台风异常偏少时,副高强且位置偏西,太平洋海温分布呈"厄尔尼诺"特征。  相似文献   

7.
上升流是海洋中最重要的海洋现象之一,通过ROMS数值模型模拟并研究了2000—2013年间琼东上升流对ENSO信号(2002和2009年作为典型El Nio年; 2008和2010年作为典型La Nia年)的响应。结果表明,琼东上升流对ENSO气候事件有明显的响应。在El Nio信号较强时琼东上升流减弱,近岸海域水温升高;而在La Nia信号较强时琼东上升流加强,沿岸海域水温降低。对海面风场以及琼东海域沿岸流的分析表明,ENSO信号通过局地海面风场以及沿岸流对琼东上升流产生影响,并且风和沿岸流对琼东上升流的影响是协同的,在El Nio期间均不利于上升流的发展,而在La Nia期间二者的变化均有助于上升流的强化。  相似文献   

8.
宋德众  张容焱 《台湾海峡》1999,18(3):239-242
资料统计分析显示,ElNino年,影响福建的热带气旋较常年显著偏少,LaNina年,影响福建热带的气旋较常年偏多,t检验表明,两者之间差异显著。其机制是,ElNino活动期间,西太平洋副热带高压强度大,位置偏南、偏西、ITCZ位置偏南,热带气旋生成区对流活动弱,不利于热带气旋的生成和北上影响福建,LaNine年,副热带高中度北,位置偏北,偏东,ITCZ位置偏北,热带气旋生成区对流活动旺盛,有利于热  相似文献   

9.
利用1949~2003年热带气旋年鉴资料,对55年来影响山东热带气旋(TC)活动的气候特征与太平洋海温的关系进行了分析.结果表明:(1)在厄尔尼诺年,影响山东的TC频数较常年明显偏少.厄尔尼诺次年TC频数较常年稍有增加;拉尼娜年影响山东的TC频数较常年显著偏多,增加明显的月份主要是8月和9月,拉尼娜次年,影响山东TC频数偏少.厄尔尼诺事件强度越大,影响山东的TC频数越少;(2)影响山东的TC数和菲律宾以东洋面的海温呈正相关,并具有很好的持续性.影响山东的TC多年,赤道中东太平洋有较强的负距平区,影响山东的TC少年,赤道中东太平洋为正距平区;(3)厄尔尼诺年,影响山东的TC强度偏强.拉尼娜年,影响山东的TC强度明显偏弱.影响山东的TC强度厄尔尼诺年要比拉尼娜年强很多;(4)影响山东TC偏强年在赤道中东太平洋有较强的正距平区,影响山东TC偏弱年在赤道中东太平洋地区有较强的负距平.综上说明赤道中东太平洋的海温高低对影响山东的TC频数和强度有较好的指示作用.  相似文献   

10.
基于模糊系统理论,讨论了从实测信号中滤除特定干扰噪音的途径和过程,研究了从观测资料中辩识El Nino/La Nina主要影响因子的诊断检测方法。结果表明,由于模糊系统具有非线性、容错性和自适应学习等特性,因此能够比较有效地辨认和检测出El Nino/La Nina事件的主要影响因子,并大致分析出它们对不同El Nino/La Nina事件的影响程度和贡献大小。  相似文献   

11.
用赤道太平洋长达21a的温度资料以及经验正交函数(EOF)分析方法,讨论了在5°S-5°N平均纬向垂直剖面上赤道太平洋垂向温度梯度距平的时空变化,得到了一些有意义的结果。赤道太平洋垂向温度梯度距平EOF分析第1模态的正/负位相反映了El Nino/La Nina发生前赤道太平洋温跃层的分布,第2模态的正/负位相反映了El Nino/La Nina鼎盛以及开始衰减时赤道太平洋温跃层的分布。根据我们对赤道太平洋温跃层核心位置的定义,在El Nino向LaNina转换的过程中,赤道东太平洋温跃层上升了30-40m,而赤道中太平洋温跃层先是上升了40-50m,然后又下降了40-50m,赤道西太平洋温跃层下降了90m;随着赤道西太平洋暖水的堆积以及东移,温跃层首先在赤道西太平洋加深,El Nino发生前赤道中东太平洋温跃层开始加深,El Nino达到鼎盛时赤道西太平洋温跃层抬升,而赤道中东太平洋温跃层加深;赤道太平洋垂向温度梯度距平EOF分析第1特征向量的时间系数与Nino3区的SST距平有非常好的相关,并且超前于Nino3区的SST距平,超前3个月的相关系数高达0.7017,超前6个月的相关系数高达0.6467,因此可以用该量来预测Nino3区的SST距平。  相似文献   

12.
TheconcentrationoftotaldissolvedCO_2insurfacewaterinENSOevent──TheresultsofinvestigationduringTOGAexpeditions¥MaLiming;ZhangB?..  相似文献   

13.
Analyses were performed on hydrographic data gathered along the 137°E meridian by the R/V Ryofu Maru of the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Distributions were obtained of the mean and standard deviation of water temperature and salinity along the section. Relationships between interannual variations of these variables and wind forcing were examined. A correlation analysis revealed that temperature change, which occurred in the equatorial region of the western North Pacific accompanied by El Nino and La Nina events, reached about 20°N with the inclination of isotherms across the north equatorial current fluctuating around 20°N. Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of the winter water temperatures in the section was performed to extract variations following El Nino and La Nina events as the first mode and those corresponding to decadal changes of sea surface temperature (SST) in the North Pacific as the second mode. Interannual variations in the area of the North Pacific tropical saline water (NPTSW) and the North Pacific intermediate water (NPIW) along the section correspond well to interannual variations of the wind-stress curl minimum (negative value) in the area southeast of Japan. A remaining problem is to quantitatively evaluate the lag times of the variations to the wind-stress curl variation. In the equatorial region of the section, the northward extension of saline water is weak, and negative water temperature anomalies have often occurred in connection with El Nino events since the latter half of the 1970s. These changes may be part of the decadal variation of the North Pacific.  相似文献   

14.
本文揭示了冷气候、飓风、强潮汐、流行性感冒世界大流行和强震相互对应的物理机制,对气候及其相关灾害的预测有重大科学意义。规律表明,在“拉马德雷”冷位相时期,全球强震、低温、飓风伴随拉尼娜、全球性流感伴随厄尔尼诺将越来越强烈。面对日益增大的全球灾害,海洋预报意义重大。  相似文献   

15.
源自南海东北部海区热带气旋的若干统计特征   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
1949-1998年50a中,源自南海东北部海区的热带气旋共67个,其中有17a无热带气旋产生,45a无台风。该海区产生的热带气旋及其有关的统计特征与南海南部和热带西太平洋的热带气旋不同:平均个数是厄尔尼诺年较反厄尔尼诺年少;春季型的厄尔尼诺过程中热带气旋生成较多;1970-1990的的强厄尔尼诺过程中热带气旋个数当年较次年多,1990年后则相反,与历次厄尔尼诺过程比较,1997-1998年特强厄尔尼诺过程中的热带气旋生成较多、发展较快、其异常的气候特征为有史以来所罕见。  相似文献   

16.
To study how the air and sea interact with each other during El Nino/La Nina onsets, extended associate pattern analysis (EAPA) is adopted with the simple ocean data assimilation (SODA) data. The results show that as El Nino/La Nina' s parents their behaviors are quite different, there does not exist a relatively independent tropical atmosphere but does exist a relatively independent tropical Pacific Ocean because the air is heated from the bottom surface instead of the top surface and of much stronger baroclinic instability than the sea and has a very large inter-tropical convergence zone covering the most tropical Pacific Ocean. The idea that it is the wester burst and wind convergence, coming from middle latitudes directly that produce the seawater eastward movement and meridional convergence in the upper levels and result in the typical El Nino sea surface temperature warm signal is confirmed again.  相似文献   

17.
Abstract-In this paper, the monthly averages and deviations of temperature, pressure, tonal wind, specific humidity, cloud rover and the components of heat budget have been remputed on the equatorial (5°S-3°N) Pacific surface (EPS) based on the 2*×2* grid data of CORDS from 1950 to 1987 and the evolutions of tt0ese elements have been provided. Two feedback mechanisms of El Nino-La Nina cycle which include the dynamic, thermal and hydrological processes in the coupled air-sea system are verified. During El Nino, the pressure gradient and trade wind decreased on the EPS, the sensible and latent heat exchanges enlarged on the central-eastern EPS, the water vapor and cloud cover rose in the atmo sphere, the net longwave radiation and incident solar radiation decreased and the net gain (loss) of the heat reduced (increased) on the central and eastern EPS:During La Nina the circumstances were opposite  相似文献   

18.
ENSO-induced interannual variability in the southeastern South China Sea   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
In this study, El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-induced interannual variability in the South China Sea (SCS) is documented using outputs from an eddy-resolving data-assimilating model. It is suggested that during an El Niño (La Niña) event, off-equatorial upwelling (downwelling) Rossby waves induced by Pacific equatorial wind anomalies impinge on the Philippine Islands and excite upwelling (downwelling) coastal Kelvin waves that propagate northward along the west coast of the Philippines after entering the SCS through the Mindoro Strait. The coastal Kelvin waves may then induce negative (positive) sea level anomalies in the southeastern SCS and larger (smaller) volume transport through the Mindoro and Luzon Straits during an El Niño (La Niña) event.  相似文献   

19.
1 IntroductionIt is well known that interaction between the trop-ical ocean and atmosphere produces the largest inter-annual climate signal, El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO). In past decades many efforts have been madein understanding and predicting ENSO: such as the hy-pothesis of Bjerknes (1969) that ENSO arises as aself-sustained cycle in which SSTA in the Pacific O-cean causes the trade winds to strengthen or slackenand that this in turn drives the ocean circulation changesthat …  相似文献   

20.
台湾海峡生态系统对海洋环境年际变动的响应分析   总被引:13,自引:2,他引:13  
通过比较1985~2001年的海表温度与其间收集的现场营养盐、浮游植物和浮游动物丰度及群落结构变动信号,以及1971~1998年的中上层鱼类渔获量变动信息,发现了台湾海峡生态系统对物理环境年际变动产生的响应迹象.1997 年夏季台湾海峡处于偏冷状态,南部近岸上升流强度减弱;1997年冬季正值一个较强的暖事件发展到顶峰,北上入侵暖水强度增强、浙闽沿岸冷水强度减弱.导致这两个时期营养盐分布特征改变,发生了一系列从浮游植物到浮游动物,从生物量到群落结构的异常响应,暖水性中上层鱼类渔获量则似乎呈现出El Niño年偏高的趋势.根据有限的辅助证据推测,El Niño很可能不是控制台湾海峡海洋环境年际变动的强信号,而台湾海峡的气候海洋生态长期低频变动可能更多地受到东亚季风中国边缘海系统的控制.  相似文献   

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