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1.
The results of numerical experiments involving data assimilation by linear and non-linear models for synoptic ocean dynamics are presented. This paper considers the model's response to data assimilation at diverse values of the relative error in the determination of the initial fields and space-time discreteness of data assimilation. The data obtained using the optimal filtering are compared with those provided by the optimal interpolation (OI). A qualitative difference in the response of the linear and non-linear models to data assimilation is noted. The limiting values of the time-space discreteness of observations assimilation are determined, which allow correct application of OI.Translated by Vladimir A. Puchkin. 相似文献
2.
A. V. Grigor'ev 《Physical Oceanography》1993,4(3):221-228
The results of numerical experiments with data assimilation in a non-linear model of the synoptic dynamics of the world's oceans are reported. The model's response to the data assimilation is studied at different values of the relative error in determining the initial fields and assimilation discreteness. The results of application of the algorithms of optimum filtration and optimum interpolation are compared. The advantages of the filtration algorithm employed are discussed only for the case of small errors in determining the initial fields and low assimilation discreteness. The possibility of deterioration of the prediction estimates in data assimilation with discreteness less than the typical time of variability of the average fields is noted.Translated by Mikhail M. Trufanov. 相似文献
3.
V. V. Knysh G. K. Korotaev A. I. Mizyuk A. S. Sarkisyan 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2012,48(1):57-73
This paper considers the main steps in improving the methods for calculating the ocean (sea) dynamics on the basis of observational
data on sea-water temperature and salinity. The results of diagnostic and adaptation calculations for the near-equatorial
area of the West Atlantic in the area of the Lomonosov countercurrent formation are presented. We consider the problem of
the complex use of measurements of temperature, salinity, and current velocity in the POLYMODE polygons with their assimilation
into the model using a Kalman filter. The results of calculations of the coordinated fields with the mechanism of geostrophic
adaptation and using asynchronous measurements obtained by the Razrezy program are given. We discuss further modifications
of the assimilation algorithms for hydrological observation data in models of sea dynamics and the principles of adaptation
of hydrophysical fields that made it possible to reconstruct the climate fields of the Black Sea and to reproduce the basin
dynamics for 23 years. 相似文献
4.
V. B. Zalesny V. I. Agoshkov V. P. Shutyaev F. Le Dimet B. O. Ivchenko 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2016,52(4):431-442
Models and methods of the numerical modeling of ocean hydrodynamics dating back to the pioneering works of A.S. Sarkisyan are considered, with emphasis on the formulation of problems and algorithms of mathematical modeling and the four-dimensional variational assimilation of observational data. An algorithm is proposed for studying the sensitivity of the optimal solution to observational data errors in a seasurface temperature assimilation problem in order to retrieve heat fluxes on the surface. An example of a solution of the optimal problem of the World Ocean hydrodynamics with the assimilation of climatic temperature and salinity observations is offered. 相似文献
5.
A. V. Grigor'ev 《Physical Oceanography》1993,4(6):471-477
The results of numerical experiments involving data assimilation by a non-linear model for synoptic dynamics of the ocean are given. The results of application of simplified optimal filtration algorithms (with the correlation error function being parametrized for both linear and non-linear variants) and of the optimal interpolation are intercompared. The use of a non-linear equation to predict average values and a linear one to predict dispersion in the filtration algorithm is suggested as most appropriate for the cases, when anisotropy of the correlation function is to be included. In other cases, it is considered worth-while to apply optimal interpolation.Translated by V. Puchkin. 相似文献
6.
混合层深度是研究海洋上层动力过程及海气相互作用的一个至关重要的物理量,准确估算混合层深度对上层海洋动力学和热力学的深入研究具有重要的科学意义。本文基于Argo实时观测剖面数据,分海域、分季节对比分析了目前常用的几种混合层深度算法的异同与优缺点。结果表明,理论上最大角度法的精确度最高,曲率法其次,然后是阈值法和最优线性拟合法。最大角度法和曲率法的结果比较接近,实测数据表明曲率法的时空适用性更广。阈值法、最优线性拟合法分别受梯度阈值和密度（或温度）梯度变化的制约,其计算的混合层深度相对较浅。各种算法的差异性随着季节跃层的增强而逐渐减小,且北半球的差异小于南半球。 相似文献
7.
The CTD survey data collected in the course of implementation of the POLYGON-70 and POLYMODE projects are applied to gain
a deeper insight into the structure of the sound speed field and elements of its vertical stratification in the areas of synoptic-scale
vortical formations of the North-West Atlantic. The effect of vortical features on the structure of the acoustic fields is
studied in the ray approximation.
Translated by Vladimir A. Puchkin. 相似文献
8.
在悬沙输运的数值模拟中,初始场的准确给定至关重要。目前诸多确定初始场的方案均存在一定的缺陷,初始场的准确性有待进一步提高。本文基于一个三维悬沙输运伴随同化模型,通过孪生实验和实际实验,对模型初始场进行了伴随法反演研究。在孪生实验中,首先验证了初始场的相对重要性;其次,探讨了初始场的反演结果对优化算法、初始猜测值、卫星遥感数据数量、同化时间窗口宽度和背景流场误差的敏感性;最后,比较了伴随法和插值法重构初始场的能力。孪生实验结果表明:最速下降法对初始场的优化反演效果要优于三种共轭梯度法和有限记忆BFGS法;初始场的反演效果对初始猜测值、卫星遥感数据数量和背景流场误差不敏感,而对同化窗口宽度较为敏感;与插值法相比,伴随法是重构模型初始场更有效的手段。实际实验中,在杭州湾海域同化典型的小潮时期和大潮时期的GOCI卫星遥感资料所得表层悬沙浓度数据,优化反演了初始场。实际实验结果表明:数据同化后,得到了更符合实际的最优初始场,表明伴随法是实现初始场优化反演的有效手段。该研究对进一步改进悬沙输运模型的初始化方案具有一定的参考价值,也对其他数值模型的初始化方案具有一定的借鉴价值。 相似文献
9.
集合资料同化方法的理论框架及其在海洋资料同化的研究展望 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
在海洋动力系统的数值模拟中,海洋资料同化是一种能够有效融合多源海洋观测资料和数值模式的方法。它不仅可以显著地提高数值模拟的效果,构造海洋再分析资料场,还能有效减少海洋和气候预报时模式初始条件的不确定性。因此,海洋资料同化对于海洋研究和业务化应用具有非常重要的意义。资料同化方法的研究一直是大气、海洋科学的热门课题之一。其中,集合卡尔曼滤波器(EnKF)是一种有效的资料同化方法,自提出以来经过了20多年的发展和改进,已经在海洋资料同化中得到了广泛的研究和应用。近年来,随着动力模式的不断发展和计算能力的提高,粒子滤波器由于不受模型线性和误差高斯分布假设的约束,也逐渐成为了当前资料同化方法研究的热点。本文分析和总结了目前关于集合卡尔曼滤波器和粒子滤波器的一些最新理论研究结果,在贝叶斯滤波理论的框架下讨论了这两类算法的关联和区别,以及各自在资料同化实践中的优势和不足。在此基础上,我们探讨了粒子滤波器应用于海洋模式资料同化的主要困难和目前可行的一些解决方法,展望了集合资料同化方法研究的新趋势,为集合资料同化方法的进一步发展和应用提供理论基础。 相似文献
10.
A conceptual framework in which the model-based, space-time acoustic signal processing procedure known as matched field processing (MFP) can be handled in a consistent manner is established. A framework for strong-signal MFP based on standard statistical estimation theory, in which MFP is regarded as essentially an estimation problem in the strong-signal regime, is developed. In the weak-signal case, the necessary requirement of detection dictates that MFP then be considered a joint detection-estimation task. It is demonstrated that, generally, MFP is essentially a space-time processing problem rather than simply an array processing (spatial processing only) procedure. An overview of the processing schemes used to date in MFP is given, showing how these methods relate to the optimal space-time structure. Weak-signal detection and estimation scenarios relevant to MFP are then noted. Present methods for dealing with the inherent instability of MFP algorithms (mismatch) are discussed. The current status of MFP is summarized, and recommendations for future research are made 相似文献
11.
The evolution of the mesoscale cyclonic eddy is analysed by means of a dynamic baroclinic quasi-geostrophic model. The initial field and boundary conditions defined in the course of observations made in the POLYMODE area during 24 July–23 August 1978 are used. The estimation model eddy field obtained is compared with the observation results.Translated by Mikhail M. Trufanov. 相似文献
12.
Reconstruction of eddies by assimilating satellite altimeter data into Princeton Ocean Model 总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1
An optimal interpolation assimilation model for satellite altimetry data is developed based on
Princeton Ocean Model (POM), which is applied in a quasi-global domain, by the method of
isotropic correlation between sea level anomaly (SLA) and sea temperature anomaly. The perfor-
mance of this assimilation model is validated by the modeled results of SLA and the current patterns.
Comparisons between modeling and satellite data show that both the magnitudes and distribution
patterns of the simulated SLA are improved by assimilation. The most signiˉcant improvement is
that meso-scale systems, e.g., eddies, are well reconstructed. The evolution of an eddy located in
the northwest Paciˉc Ocean is traced by using the assimilation model. Model results show that
during three months the eddy migrated southwestward for about 6 degrees before merging into the
Kuroshio. The three dimensional structure of this eddy on 12 August 2001 is further analyzed.
The strength of this warm, cyclonic eddy decreases with the increase of depth. The eddy shows
di?erent horizontal patterns at di?erent layers, and the SLA and temperature ˉelds agree with each
other well. This study suggests that this kind of data assimilation is economic and reliable for eddy
reconstruction, and can be used as a promising technique in further studies of ocean eddies as well
as other ˉne circulation structures. 相似文献
13.
Parameter sensitivity of three Kalman filter schemes for assimilation of water levels in shelf sea models 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
In applications of data assimilation algorithms, a number of poorly known assimilation parameters usually need to be specified. Hence, the documented success of data assimilation methodologies must rely on a moderate sensitivity to these parameters. This contribution presents a parameter sensitivity study of three well known Kalman filter approaches for the assimilation of water levels in a three dimensional hydrodynamic modelling system. The filters considered are the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), the reduced rank square root Kalman filter (RRSQRT) and the steady Kalman filter. A sensitivity analysis of key parameters in the schemes is undertaken for a setup in an idealised bay. The sensitivity of the resulting root mean square error (RMSE) is shown to be low to moderate. Hence the schemes are robust within an acceptable range and their application even with misspecified parameters is to be encouraged in this perspective. However, the predicted uncertainty of the assimilation results are sensitive to the parameters and hence must be applied with care. The sensitivity study further demonstrates the effectiveness of the steady Kalman filter in the given system as well as the great impact of assimilating even very few measurements. 相似文献
14.
An ensemble optimal interpolation (EnOI) data assimilation method is applied in the BCC_CSM1.1 to investigate the impact of ocean data assimilations on seasonal forecasts in an idealized twin experiment framework. Pseudo-observations of sea surface temperature (SST), sea surface height (SSH), sea surface salinity (SSS), temperature and salinity (T/S) profiles were first generated in a free model run. Then, a series of sensitivity tests initialized with predefined bias were conducted for a one-year period; this involved a free run (CTR) and seven assimilation runs. These tests allowed us to check the analysis field accuracy against the “truth”. As expected, data assimilation improved all investigated quantities; the joint assimilation of all variables gave more improved results than assimilating them separately. One-year predictions initialized from the seven runs and CTR were then conducted and compared. The forecasts initialized from joint assimilation of surface data produced comparable SST root mean square errors to that from assimilation of T/S profiles, but the assimilation of T/S profiles is crucial to reduce subsurface deficiencies. The ocean surface currents in the tropics were better predicted when initial conditions produced by assimilating T/S profiles, while surface data assimilation became more important at higher latitudes, particularly near the western boundary currents. The predictions of ocean heat content and mixed layer depth are significantly improved initialized from the joint assimilation of all the variables. Finally, a central Pacific El Ni?o was well predicted from the joint assimilation of surface data, indicating the importance of joint assimilation of SST, SSH, and SSS for ENSO predictions. 相似文献
15.
In this study the assimilation of HF radar data into a high resolution, coastal Wavewatch III model is investigated. An optimal interpolation scheme is used to assimilate the data and the design of a background error covariance matrix which reflects the local conditions and difficulties associated with a coastal domain is discussed. Two assimilation schemes are trialled; a scheme which assimilates mean parameters from the HF radar data and a scheme which assimilates partitioned spectral HF radar data. This study demonstrates the feasibility of assimilating partitioned wave data into a coastal domain. The results show that the assimilation schemes provide satisfactory improvements to significant wave heights but more mixed results for mean periods. The best improvements are seen during a stormy period with turning winds. During this period the model is deficient at capturing the change in wave directions and the peak in the waveheights, while the high sea state ensures good quality HF radar data for assimilation. The study also suggests that there are both physical and practical advantages to assimilating partitioned wave data compared to assimilating mean parameters for the whole spectrum. 相似文献
16.
3‐dimensional variational algorithms are widely used for atmospheric data assimilation at the present time, particularly on the synoptic and global scales. However, mesoscale and convective scale phenomena are considerably more chaotic and intermittent and it is clear that true 4‐dimensional data assimilation algorithms will be required to properly analyze these phenomena. In its most general form, the data assimilation problem can be posed as the minimization of a 4‐dimensional cost function with the forecast model as a weak constraint. This is a much more difficult problem than the widely discussed 4DVAR algorithm where the model is a strong constraint. Bennett and collaborators have considered a method of solution to the weak constraint problem, based on representer theory. However, their method is not suitable for the numerical weather prediction problem, because it does not cycle in time. In this paper, the representer method is modified to permit cycling in time, in a manner which is entirely internally consistent. The method was applied to a simple 1‐dimensional constituent transport problem where the signal was sampled (perfectly and imperfectly) with various sparse observation network configurations. The cycling representer algorithm discussed here successfully extracted the signal from the noisy, sparse observations 相似文献
17.
This paper investigates the use of data assimilation in coastal area morphodynamic modelling using Morecambe Bay as a study site. A simple model of the bay has been enhanced with a data assimilation scheme to better predict large-scale changes in bathymetry observed in the bay over a 3-year period. The 2DH decoupled morphodynamic model developed for the work is described, as is the optimal interpolation scheme used to assimilate waterline observations into the model run. Each waterline was acquired from a SAR satellite image and is essentially a contour of the bathymetry at some level within the inter-tidal zone of the bay. For model parameters calibrated against validation observations, model performance is good, even without data assimilation. However the use of data assimilation successfully compensates for a particular failing of the model, and helps to keep the model bathymetry on track. It also improves the ability of the model to predict future bathymetry. Although the benefits of data assimilation are demonstrated using waterline observations, any observations of morphology could potentially be used. These results suggest that data assimilation should be considered for use in future coastal area morphodynamic models. 相似文献
18.
《Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers》2000,47(10):1787-1827
Physical and biological data are assimilated into a time-evolving, mesoscale-resolution three-dimensional (3-D) ocean model using optimal interpolation. Simulations are conducted in the Gulf Stream region during the BIOSYNOP/Anatomy of a Meander Experiment in September–October of 1988. Physical data assimilation only or biological data assimilation only resulted in misalignment of the physical and biological fronts, causing spurious cross-frontal fluxes of biological quantities. Assimilation of both physical and compatible biological fields was necessary for adequate equilibration of the simulated fields. The resulting combined 4-D fields substantially extend the value of the observations alone. A technique is presented for deriving the necessary, dynamically consistent 3-D physical and biological field estimates from data for initialization and assimilation into time-evolving model simulations. 相似文献
19.
粒子滤波器(PF)是一种非常具有应用前景的非线性资料同化方法。但由于其算法本身存在的粒子退化问题,目前尚未被广泛地应用于大型地球物理模式。目前主流的集合同化系统仍然倾向于使用集合卡尔曼滤波器(EnKF)及其衍生方法。一种新近被提出的局地化粒子滤波器(LPF)在经典的粒子滤波器算法中引入局地化技术,可以使用较小的计算成本有效地避免退化问题,具有非常大的业务应用潜力。本文在全耦合的通用地球系统模式中开展了LPF和EnKF的同化实验,同化资料为模拟的卫星海表温度资料。着重考察了不同局地化参数对两种方法的不同影响,对比了局地化粒子滤波器与集合卡尔曼滤波器的同化效果差异。比较的结果表明,LPF的同化效果对于局地化参数的选择非常敏感,在使用最优局地化参数的条件下,LPF能达到与EnKF相当甚至优于后者的同化效果,并具有较大的改进空间。 相似文献
20.
V. I. Agoshkov S. A. Lebedev E. I. Parmuzin 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2009,45(1):69-101
The problem of variational assimilation of satellite observational data on the ocean surface temperature is formulated and numerically investigated in order to reconstruct surface heat fluxes with the use of the global three-dimensional model of ocean hydrothermodynamics developed at the Institute of Numerical Mathematics, Russian Academy of Sciences (INM RAS), and observational data close to the data actually observed in specified time intervals. The algorithms of the numerical solution to the problem are elaborated and substantiated, and the data assimilation block is developed and incorporated into the global three-dimensional model. Numerical experiments are carried out with the use of the Indian Ocean water area as an example. The data on the ocean surface temperature over the year 2000 are used as observational data. Numerical experiments confirm the theoretical conclusions obtained and demonstrate the expediency of combining the model with a block of assimilating operational observational data on the surface temperature. 相似文献