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1.
因地球温室效应等原因,据估计下一世纪,全球海平面上升速率将加快3-6倍,海平面上升首先侵袭并淹没海岸带,在地壳沉降带和沿海低洼地区,海平面上升尤其是一个重大的环境问题。天文潮、风暴潮、河口水位都以当地海平面为基底,在其上传播导致多种灾害。它使风暴潮害加剧、洪涝威胁增大、港口功能减弱、城镇排污困难、海水入侵强度加大等。从世界范围来看,全球变化的研究代表了当今世界科学发展的趋势。对全球海平面变化的系统研究,能带动相关学科的发展,全球海平面的分布、变化与陆地冰川、全球气候、局部地壳升降等都直接相关。利用…  相似文献   

2.
中国近海海平面变化研究进展   总被引:9,自引:0,他引:9  
回顾和总结了近年来有关我国近海地区海平面变化的研究进展。综述了海平面变化的原因,海平面资料获取手段的发展,分析研究海平面变化的方法和模型以及海平面上升速率方面的主要成果;简要介绍了海平面均衡基准订正的意义和主要结论;阐述了1985国家高程基准研究工作和成果。  相似文献   

3.
三沙市海域海平面变化   总被引:5,自引:3,他引:2  
使用1993-2011年的台站和卫星高度计资料详细分析了三沙市海域近19 a的海平面变化特征及规律。结果表明:三沙市周边海域海平面存在明显的季节变化,且区域特征明显。海平面变化除了明显的年和半年周期,2~3 a、4~7 a和准9 a的周期也较显著。海平面长期变化呈现明显的波动上升趋势,且空间分布上区域特征显著,西沙群岛南部海域海平面上升趋势最强,西沙群岛北部与中沙群岛西部次之,南沙群岛东部海平面上升速率较快,南沙群岛西部上升趋势最弱。受大气环流等异常气候事件的影响,1998年和2010年海平面的年际变化波动较大,年变化振幅显著偏高。未来三沙市海平面将继续上升,预计2030年、2050年、2070年和2100年海平面将比常年分别升高约11 cm、20 cm、30 cm和45 cm。  相似文献   

4.
太平洋海域海平面变化的灰色系统分析   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3  
应用灰色系统理论,对太平洋海域48个长期验潮站的月均海平面分别建立了GM(1,1)模型。GM(1,1)模型能较好地反映太平洋海域的海平面变化的趋势,它除了能给出连续的海平面变化速率外,同时能方便地给出海平面变化的加速率。模拟结果表明,在太平洋地壳均衡假设下,太平洋海域的月均海平面以平均速率0.17cm/a上升。在太平洋海域所取的48个长期验潮站中,有40个站在加速上升,全部站的平均加速度为0.00029cm/a2。且加速率逐渐增大。当然这些加速率都很小,但作为一种普遍性的趋势,这已足以说明:太平洋海域的海平面在加速上升  相似文献   

5.
格陵兰南部冰盖的高程变化CurtH.Davis等了解极地冰盖现今的状况是确定其对海平面上升的作用和预测其对气候变化的响应的关键。数十个潮汐观测数据的近期估算表明在过去近一个世纪全球性海平面上升了10~20cm。然而,不能确定的是极地冰盖对当时海平面上...  相似文献   

6.
于道永 《海洋预报》1996,13(2):43-50
本文用线性回归分析方法,分1985年以前和1992年以前两个时段,对我国沿岩25个验潮站近百年来的海平面资料进行了系统分析,计算了两个时段相对海平面变化的年速率和平均海面高度,论述了海平面变化的主要控制因素,并对未来海平面变化趋势进行了预测。计算结果表明,近百年来我国沿岸相对海平面在总体上不但持续上升,而且近年来上升速率普遍加快;根据海平面变化的主要控制因素变化趋向,预计到下世纪中叶前后,全球性海  相似文献   

7.
RCP4.5情景下预测21世纪南海海平面变化   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2  
张吉  左军成  李娟  陈美香 《海洋学报》2014,36(11):21-29
结合卫星高度计资料和SODA温盐数据,本文利用CCSM(Community Climate System Model version4)气候系统模式在代表性浓度路径RCP4.5情景下对全球海平面变化趋势的预测模拟结果作为强迫场,用POP模式模拟预测21世纪南海海平面长期趋势变化及空间分布。模拟结果显示,在RCP4.5情景下,南海海域在21世纪末10年平均海平面相对于20世纪末10年上升了15~39cm,明显上升海域位于中南半岛东部的南海中部、南部海域和吕宋海峡东西两侧海域,上升值最大可达39cm。如果加上格陵兰和南极等陆地冰川融化的影响,21世纪南海总海平面上升值将可能达到35~75cm。南海比容海平面明显上升区域位于吕宋岛东面的深水海域,广东沿岸流和吕宋冷涡之间海域,以及中南半岛东南部海域。总比容海平面的变化主要来自热比容,盐比容贡献比较小。南海南部和西部比容海平面上升速率较低,如加里曼丹岛西北侧、泰国湾和海南岛西侧有下降趋势。  相似文献   

8.
用统计学的方法对浙江沿岸海平面进行了研究, 采用多种海平面上升预测模式进行了计算和预测, 结果表明: 浙江沿岸的海平面存在明显的季节变化, 其变化曲线浙北、浙中沿岸为单峰型, 而浙南沿岸为双峰型, 南北地域差异较大。浙江沿岸过去30 a 间海平面平均上升速率为(2.63±0.06) m m /a。研究还表明, 未来浙江沿岸海平面还将上升, 按模式计算, 至2050年上升29 cm , 到2100 年估计上升值为60 cm 。  相似文献   

9.
笔者以粤西阳江-电白近岸海域地质调查的大量资料基础上,对该区沉积进行了较详细研究。本文重点论述调查区第四纪沉积物分布特征,形成时代、海平面变化以及未来海面变化趋势进行探讨,认为本区近代海平面与珠江三角洲有异,相对而言海平面在下降,而不是在上升。  相似文献   

10.
南沙群岛永暑礁90多万年以来的海平面变化   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
于1990年5-6月在永暑礁坪上打一全采芯的地质研究钻井,编号为南永1总进尺为152.07m,对岩芯详细的地质年代学,地层学,相学和岩石学等进行多学科的分析研究,结果表明,永暑礁地区的海平面自早更新世晚期以及经历了4次上升和间隔的3次下降,形成了4个沉积旋回及其间的3个沉积间断。海平面呈波动式上升趋势。  相似文献   

11.
The interdependence between the seismo-acoustic properties of a marine sediment and its geotechnical/physical parameters has been known for many years, and it has been postulated that this should allow the extraction of geotechnical information from seismic data. Though in the literature many correlations have been published for the surficial layer, there is a lack of information for greater sediment depths. In this article, a desktop study on a synthetic seafloor model illustrates how the application of published near-surface prediction equations to subsurface sediments (up to several tens of meters burial depth) can lead to spurious predictions. To test this further, acoustic and geotechnical properties were measured on a number of sediment core samples, some of which were subjected to loading in acoustically-equipped consolidation cells (oedometers) to simulate greater burial depth conditions. For low effective pressures (representing small burial depths extending to around 10 meters subsurface), the general applicability of established relationships was confirmed: the prediction of porosity, bulk density, and mean grain size from acoustic velocity and impedance appears generally possible for the investigated sedimentary environments. As effective pressure increases through, the observed relationships deviate more and more from the established ones for the near-surface area. For the samples tested in this study, in some instances increasing pressure even resulted in decreasing velocities. There are several possible explanations for this abnormal behavior, including the presence of gas, overconsolidation, or bimodal grain size distribution. The results indicate that an appropriate depth correction must be introduced into the published prediction equations in order to obtain reliable estimates of physical sediment properties for greater subsurface depths.  相似文献   

12.
Specific properties of the interannual sea level variations and annual tides in the Northwestern Pacific were studied. Several tide stations were monitored. The monthly mean sea level for the year of 1995 was analyzed at each tide station. A seismic event in 1995, some tectonic activity around the subject area, and the Kuroshio (the oceanic western boundary current) may possibly contaminate results which would have occurred from the astronomical annual tide alone.  相似文献   

13.
The effect of different fixation and storage protocols on the flow cytometric (FCM) simultaneous analysis of bacterioplankton and phytoplankton in coastal seawater samples (Mediterranean coastal lagoons) was investigated. FCM measurements (cell number, fluorescence and scatter characteristics) were obtained through DAPI staining. Three fixatives [glutaraldehyde (GA), formaldehyde (FA) and paraformaldehyde (PFA)] and two storage (3 months duration) methods (5 °C and −196 °C) were tested. Two dominant populations were detected in studied samples: bacteria and eukaryotic picophytoplankton. Adding fixatives (2% final concentration) appears necessary to obtain FCM exhaustive counts of all the bacteria and phytoplanktonic cells. This was related to the permeation effect of fixatives which allowed a better DAPI staining of the cells. Maximum fluorescence, i.e. optimal staining of the cells was obtained with FA or PFA, and significant lower fluorescences with GA. Fixed samples stored at 5 °C induced rapid cell loss. Only storage in liquid nitrogen of samples fixed with FA or PFA, allows mid-term (≥4 months) preservation of bacteria or picophytoplankton cell numbers, and limited evolution of DAPI-induced fluorescence and scatter characteristics.  相似文献   

14.
Coastal inundation associated with extreme sea levels is the main factor which leads to the loss of life and property whenever a severe tropical cyclonic storm hits the Indian coasts. The Andhra and Orissa coasts are most vulnerable for coastal inundation due to extreme rise in sea levels associated with tropical cyclones. Loss of life may be minimized if extreme sea levels and associated coastal flooding is predicted well in advance. Keeping this in view, location specific coastal inundation models are developed and applied for the Andhra and Orissa coasts of India. Several numerical experiments are carried out using the data of past severe cyclones that struck these regions. The simulated inland inundation distances are found to be in general agreement with the reported flooding.  相似文献   

15.
16.
《海洋学报(英文版)》2014,(9):F0003-F0003
<正>Acta Oceanologica Sinica(AOS)is a comprehensive academic journal edited by the Editorial Committee of Acta Oceanologica Sinica and is designed to provide a forum for important research papers of the marine scientific community which reflect the information on a worldwide basis.The journal publishes scholarly papers on marine science and technology,including physics,chemistry,biology,  相似文献   

17.
Grain size and water content in box-core sediments from the Clarion-Clipperton fracture zone (C-C zone) in the northeast equatorial Pacific were analyzed in detail to understand the downcore variations across a hiatus between Quaternary and Tertiary layers. Grain-size distributions in the topmost core sediments show two modes: a coarse mode (peaked at 50 μm) and a fine mode (at 2-25 μm). The coarse mode disappears gradually with depth accompanied by the dissolution of siliceous fossil tests, whereas the fine mode coarsens due to the formation of authigenic minerals. Water content increases abruptly across a color boundary between an upper pale brown layer and a lower dark brown layer that is the hiatus between Quaternary and Tertiary layers. Abundant smectites and microvoid molds, which are created by the prolonged fossil dissolution in the underlying sediment, are attributed for the abrupt downcore variation of water content. Overall variations in grain size and water content in the topmost core sediments in the western C-C zone are possibly constrained by the dissolution of biogenic siliceous fossils. Variations in geotechnical properties related to these changes must be considered in the design of nodule collectors.  相似文献   

18.
This article concerns an interrelation between the sea levels and the western boundary flow near a tectonic boundary in a local zone in the Northwestern Pacific. In this zone, sea level variations at stations located on the coast facing the Pacific are studied to find the interrelation between variations of the Kurosio flow as an index of the distance of the flow axis off a specific coast. The result is discussed after data processing of the monthly means of the sea levels, and a notice is taken of variations caused by active crustal upheavals during a seismic event, a local earthquake.  相似文献   

19.
This study tests the hypothesis that the in situ void ratio of surficial marine sediments may be predicted from shear wave velocity-depth data with a reliability equal to that of other methods currently available. Shear wave velocity is fundamentally controlled by the number of grain-to-grain contacts per unit volume of material and by the effective stress across those contacts. In this study, three previously established empirical formulae are used to predict void ratio from velocity-depth data. Field data were acquired along a transect off the northern Californian coast across which water depth increased from 35 to 70 m and seafloor sediment type varied from sand to silty-sand, respectively. A towed seafloor sled device was used to collect shear wave refraction data, and a marked, systematic decrease in velocity was observed along the line, ranging from 35-70 m/s for the coarse, near-shore material to 25-40 m/s for the finer, offshore deposits. Void ratios predicted from these velocities were compared with data measured directly from box-core samples. Of the formulae used for prediction, two agree remarkably well with the control data. Both predicted and control values increase from 0.6-0.8 for the sandy material to 1.1-1.5 for the silty-sand. Thus, this study does not disprove the hypothesis set and demonstrates the potential of field shear wave velocity-depth data as a means of delineating spatial variation in void ratio for surficial marine sediments in a remote, nondestructive manner.  相似文献   

20.
Particulate samples were collected from the Changjiang river system during a flood period, in May 1997, and POC, stable isotope and lipids associated with particles were examined. Results showed the decrease (0.84% ~ 1.88%) of organic carbon content from the upper reaches to the estuary.δ13C values of particulate organic carbon was in the range of -24.9×10-3 to -26.6×10-3, which were close to the isotopic signature of continental C3 vegetation. Total particulate n-alkanes concentrations varied from 1.4 to 10.1μg/dm3,or from 23.7 to 107μg/g of total suspended matter. Fatty acids were present in all the samples, from 1.4 to 5.4μg/dm3, with saturated and unsaturated straight-chain and branched compounds in the carbon number range from C12 to C30. Both δ13C and the ratio of carbon content to nitrogen content indicate the predominance of terrestrial inputs (soil organic matter) among the particles. The biomarker approach has been used to identify the relative portion of terrigenous and autochthonous fraction in the particulate samples. The distribution of fatty acids suggests a striking phytoplanktonic and microbial signal in most particle samples. The terrestrial alkanes are used to estimate the contribution of terrestrial inputs along the mainstream.  相似文献   

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