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防波堤是港口工程的重要组成部分,在港口工程总投资中占有较大的比重。准确地计算防波堤的可靠性具有重大的理论和经济意义。随着数理统计理论的快速发展,直接积分法在结构可靠性计算中的应用逐渐得到重视。应用直接积分法计算直立式防波堤的可靠性,概率意义明确,计算精度高。以秦皇岛典型直立堤为算例,采用直接积分法对直立式防波堤进行可靠性分析时,将无限积分区域转换成有限积分区域,分析选择了波浪力和浮托力的联合密度函数,采用数值积分的办法计算失效概率,并将计算结果与独立变量JC法和相关变量JC法的计算结果进行了对比。结果表明:直接积分法和相关变量JC法计算结果相近,而比独立变量JC法计算结果偏低。 相似文献
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《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2015,(7)
防波堤一旦破坏,会严重影响港口的正常使用功能,准确计算防波堤的可靠度指标对港口工程意义重大。防波堤所受主要荷载为水平波浪力及波浪浮托力,计算可靠度应考虑两者的相关性。结合Gumbel-Houggard Copula函数与对数正态边缘分布构造二维的Copula分布可以很好地描述荷载间的相关性。本文以秦皇岛直立式防波堤为例,用二维Copula分布计算防波堤的可靠度,并与JC独立法、JC相关法进行了比较,结果显示:用Copula分布计算的结构可靠度指标远小于JC独立法计算结果,与JC相关法接近。 相似文献
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荷载变量相关下直立式防波堤的可靠度 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
为了探讨独立或相关荷载变量对结构可靠指标(β)值的影响,利用广义随机空间极限状态曲面上任一点处切平面法线来确定可靠指标,从而将在欧洲通用的确定直立式防波堤可靠指标的Hasofer和Lind方法推广至适用于波浪水平力与浮托力之间相关的情况.对一座直立堤实例的核算表明,在变量相关情况下采用改进的JC法或推广的HL法得出可靠指标值符合良好,而荷载相关时的可靠指标值则明显低于假定荷载独立时的结果. 相似文献
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板桩码头是港口工程的一种常用结构,计算其可靠度指标对港口工程的安全意义重大。由于板桩结构的设计计算复杂,功能函数表达难度较大。Monte-Carlo法是解决此类问题的一种方法,但需要大量的抽样与数值计算,很不经济。人工神经网络模型可以用来逼近功能函数,在此基础上可平行地建立一次二阶矩法进行可靠度分析。但传统的BP神经网络模型有着容易陷入局部极小及预测精度低等问题。针对上述问题,引入Adaboost算法来改进BP神经网络模型,提出一种基于Adaboost的BP神经网络法来计算板桩结构的可靠度。以天津某板桩码头为例,采用新方法对板桩结构进行可靠度分析,并将计算结果与传统BP神经网络法及Monte Carlo法进行比较。结果表明:新方法的计算精度高于传统BP神经网络法,且计算结果与Monte Carlo法接近。 相似文献
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应用椭圆余弦波的绕射理论,推导了V形防波堤的浅水波浪绕射解析解,从而对现有的Airy微幅波理论进行了有效拓展。据此理论对V形防波堤的浅水波绕射作用进行了解析计算,并与几何形状相近的圆弧型防波堤结果加以了对比。结果表明:椭圆余弦波理论计算的V形防波堤最大波浪力和最大绕射波面明显大于微幅波理论的对应值。本方法适用于张角180°的有限长直立薄壁防波堤的浅水波绕射作用计算,从而将无限长直立薄壁堤的反射波理论加以有效拓展。张角同为120°的V形堤与圆弧堤的堤后防浪效果相近,而180°圆弧堤的堤后防浪效果优于张角90°的V形堤。 相似文献
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基于可靠度理论的防波堤设计方法 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
文中综合了不规则波试验和统计分析的结果,提出一个以可靠度理论为基础的新的直立式防波堤设计方法。频率分析表明,对数正态和极值Ⅰ型[耿贝尔(Gumbel)]分布可用来描述直立堤上波浪力的长期分布。 相似文献
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直立式防波堤可因堤前海底被冲刷的影响而发生破坏。过去对于在立波作用下的直立堤,一般认为由于在堤前四分之一波长,即波节点处发生最大底流速,将引起海底泥沙的被冲刷,因此要求堤前护底块石层的宽度采用为1/4~3/8倍设计波长。然而一些模型试验表明,冲刷并不一定发生在节点位置。而且我们认为即使是在节点发生冲刷的情况下,也不应当简单地规定必须防止在第一个节点处形成冲刷坑。在确定直立堤前的护底措施时,应当首先判断冲刷坑可能发生的位置,估计冲刷坑的深度及大小,然后在地基整体稳定计算(如圆弧滑动方法)中,具体考虑存在冲刷坑后对稳定安 相似文献
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为使防波堤同时具有良好的掩护效果和水体交换能力,提出了两种带有透浪通道的新型直立式防波堤。基于Fluent求解器建立了三维数值波浪水槽,通过与试验结果对比,验证了该数值水槽求解波浪与透空堤作用具有较高的精度。对两种防波堤在规则波作用下的透浪特性进行了研究,结果表明:透射系数K_t与透空率呈正线性相关,且可通过调整透浪通道间距,使相同透空率下K_t降低20%~30%。对同一结构,K_t随相对波长的增大而显著增大,但受相对波高的影响较小。在透空率大于0.16后,异型沉箱防波堤的消浪性能明显优于错位沉箱。基于数值计算结果,给出了以上两种透空堤波浪透射系数的经验公式。 相似文献
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It is assumed that the storm wave takes place once a year during the design period, and N histories of storm waves are generated on the basis of wave spectrum corresponding to the N-year design period. The responses of the breakwater to the N histories of storm waves in the N-year design period are calculated by mass-spring-dashpot mode and taken as a set of samples. The failure probability of caisson breakwaters during the design period of N years is obtained by the statistical analysis of many sets of samples. It is the key issue to improve the efficiency of the common Monte Carlo simulation method in the failure probability estimation of caisson breakwaters in the complete life cycle. In this paper, the kernel method of importance sampling, which can greatly increase the efficiency of failure probability calculation of caisson breakwaters, is proposed to estimate the failure probability of caisson breakwaters in the complete life cycle. The effectiveness of the kernel method is investigated by an example. It is indicated that the calculation efficiency of the kernel method is over 10 times the common Monte Carlo simulation method. 相似文献
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It is assumed that the storm wave takes place once a year during the design period, and N histories of storm waves are generated on the basis of wave spectrum corresponding to the N-year design period. The responses of the breakwater to the N histories of storm waves in the N-year design period are calculated by mass-spring-dashpot mode and taken as a set of samples. The failure probability of caisson breakwaters during the design period of N years is obtained by the statistical analysis of many sets of samples. It is the key issue to improve the efficiency of the common Monte Carlo simulation method in the failure probability estimation of caisson breakwaters in the complete life cycle. In this paper, the kernel method of importance sampling, which can greatly increase the efficiency of failure probability calculation of caisson breakwaters, is proposed to estimate the failure probability of caisson breakwaters in the complete life cycle. The effectiveness of the kernel method is investigated by an example. It is indicated that the calculation efficiency of the kernel method is over 10 times the common Monte Carlo simulation method. 相似文献
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Risk Assessment of Vertical Breakwaters -A Case Study in Turkey 总被引:1,自引:2,他引:1
In the reliability-risk assessment, the second order reliability index (βⅡ ) method and the Conditional Expectation Monte Carlo (CEMC) simulation are interrelated as a new Level Ⅲ approach for the analysis of the safety level of the Dalaman yacht harbor vertical wall breakwater in Turkey. The missing wave data of the Dalaman measurement station are hindcasted by use of multi-layer feed-forward neural networks with the steepest descent and conjugate gradient algorithms. The structural failure probabilities of sliding and overturning failure modes are forecasted by approximation of the failure sur-face with a second-degree polynomial of an equal curvature at the design point. in the new approach, for each randomly generated load and tide combination, the joint failure probability reflects both the occurrence probability of loading condition and the structural failure risk at the limit state. The approach can be applied to risk assessment of vertical breakwaters in short CPU durations of portable comput 相似文献
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In the dynamic stability analysis of a caisson breakwater, most of current studies pay attention to the motion characteristics of caisson breakwaters under a single periodical breaking wave excitation. And in the lifetime stability analysis of caisson breakwater, it is assumed that the caisson breakwater suffers storm wave excitation once annually in the design lifetime. However, the number of annual severe storm occurrence is a random variable. In this paper, a series of random waves are generated by the Wen Sheng-chang wave spectrum, and the histories of successive and long-term random wave forces are built up by using the improved Goda wave force model. It is assumed that the number of annual severe storm occurrence is in the Poisson distribution over the 50-year design lifetime, and the history of random wave excitation is generated for each storm by the wave spectrum. The response histories of the caisson breakwater to the random waves over 50-year design lifetime are calculated and taken as a set of samples. On the basis of the Monte Carlo simulation technique, a large number of samples can be obtained, and the probability assessment of the safety of the breakwater during the complete design lifetime is obtained by statistical analysis of a large number of samples. Finally, the procedure of probability assessment of the breakwater safety is illustrated by an example. 相似文献
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In the dynamic stability analysis of a caisson breakwater, most of current studies pay attention to the motion characteristics of caisson breakwaters under a single periodical breaking wave excitation. And in the lifetime stability analysis of caisson breakwater, it is assumed that the caisson breakwater suffers storm wave excitation once annually in the design lifetime. However, the number of annual severe storm occurrence is a random variable. In this paper, a series of random waves are generated by the Wen Sheng-chang wave spectrum, and the histories of successive and long-term random wave forces are built up by using the improved Goda wave force model. It is assumed that the number of annual severe storm occurrence is in the Poisson distribution over the 50-year design lifetime, and the history of random wave excitation is generated for each storm by the wave spectrum. The response histories of the caisson breakwater to the random waves over 50-year design lifetime are calculated and taken as a set of samples. On the basis of the Monte Carlo simulation technique, a large number of samples can be obtained, and the probability assessment of the safety of the breakwater during the complete design lifetime is obtained by statistical analysis of a large number of samples. Finally, the procedure of probability assessment of the breakwater safety is illustrated by an example. 相似文献
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Dong Hyawn KIM 《中国海洋工程》2014,(6):739-748
A new load surface based approach to the reliability analysis of caisson-type breakwater is proposed. Uncertainties of the horizontal and vertical wave loads acting on breakwater are considered by using the so-called load surfaces, which can be estimated as functions of wave height, water level, and so on. Then, the first-order reliability method(FORM) can be applied to determine the probability of failure under the wave action. In this way, the reliability analysis of breakwaters with uncertainties both in wave height and in water level is possible. Moreover, the uncertainty in wave breaking can be taken into account by considering a random variable for wave height ratio which relates the significant wave height to the maximum wave height. The proposed approach is applied numerically to the reliability analysis of caisson breakwater under wave attack that may undergo partial or full wave breaking. 相似文献
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In this study,an advanced probabilistic neural network(APNN)method is proposed to reflect the global probability density function(PDF)by summing up the heterogeneous local PDF which is automatically determined in the individual standard deviation of variables.The APNN is applied to predict the stability number of armor blocks of breakwaters using the experimental data of van der Meer,and the estimated results of the APNN are compared with those of an empirical formula and a previous artificial neural network(ANN)model.The APNN shows better results in predicting the stability number of armor blocks of breakwater and it provided the promising probabilistic viewpoints by using the individual standard deviation in a variable. 相似文献
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Babloo Chaudhary Hemanta Hazarika Siavash Manafi Khajeh Pasha 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2018,36(3):308-322
Coastal protective structures, such as composite breakwaters, are generally vulnerable to earthquake. It was observed that breakwaters damage mainly due to failure of their foundations. However, the seismically induced failure process of breakwater foundation has not been well understood. This study describes failure mechanism of breakwater foundation as well as a newly developed reinforcing model for breakwater foundation that can render resiliency to breakwater against earthquake-related disasters. Steel sheet piles and gabions were used as reinforcing materials for foundation. The experimental program consisted of a series of shaking table tests for conventional and reinforced foundation of breakwater. Numerical analyses were conducted using finite difference method, and it was observed that the numerical models were capable to elucidate the seismic behavior of soil–reinforcement–breakwater system. This paper presents an overview of the results of experimental and numerical studies of the seismic response of breakwater foundation. Overall, the results of these studies show the effectiveness of the reinforced foundation in mitigating the earthquake-induced damage to the breakwater. Moreover, numerical simulation was used for parametric study to determine the effect of different embedment depths of sheet piles on the performance of breakwater foundation subjected to seismic loading. 相似文献