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采用1984年8月28日19时—29日24时黄浦江米市;渡至吴淞口水位和流量资料,根据描述河道中水流非恒定流动的Saini-Venant方程组,建立了模拟黄浦江潮位和潮量特征变化的数值模式。考虑未来海平面上升,预测了黄浦江潮位和潮量的变化及对周围环境的影响。计算结果表明,随着海平面的上升,黄浦江潮位相应增加,高潮位的上升值大于海平面上升值;低潮位的上升值小于海平面上升值,潮差增大。在同一海平面上升值下,潮差增量由下游向上游渐渐增大,随着海平面的上升,涨潮量和落潮量都相应增加。 相似文献
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杭州湾潮汐特征时空变化及原因分析 总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0
杭州湾是世界著名的强潮河口湾,一直是研究的热点。基于杭州湾口内外实测潮汐资料,对杭州湾潮汐特征及时空变化进行了系统分析,包括高潮位、低潮位、平均潮位、潮差、涨潮历时以及天文潮变化,同时分析了20世纪80年代以来潮汐特征变化的原因。结果表明:最近50年来,杭州湾年平均高潮位和海平面抬高,潮差增大;澉浦年平均低潮位抬高,涨潮历时缩短,浅海分潮增大;钱塘江河口治江缩窄是造成杭州湾潮汐变化的主要因素;浙江和邻近海域的涉海工程可能是造成浙江沿海海平面上升的主要原因之一。 相似文献
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2012年中国沿海海平面上升显著成因分析 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
2012年,中国沿海海平面变化最突出的特点是海平面升高显著。海平面总体比常年高122mm,较2011年偏高53mm,达1980年以来最高位。本文使用中国沿海及西北太平洋区域近30a的水位、海温、气温、气压和风等水文气象资料,详细分析了中国沿海海平面2012年异常偏高的成因。结果表明:2010-2012年中国沿海海平面处于2~3a、8~9a和准19a周期震荡的高位,几个周期震荡高位叠加,对海平面上升起了明显的影响;2012年,沿海气温和海温分别较常年偏高0.4℃和0.3℃,气压较常年低1.2hPa,气压达历史最低位;2012年,中国南海夏季风爆发时间较常年偏早,结束较常年偏晚,季风持续时间较常年偏长,导致2012年5-6月和8月,在黄海和东海海域,东北风持续偏强,南海海域南风偏强,风场的异常导致黄海、东海和南海沿海海水长时间堆积,是造成海平面升高的原因之一;2012年,热带气旋登陆时间集中,影响范围广,北上和影响东北地区的台风数量均为历史之最,特别是2012年8月,有6个热带气旋相继影响我国沿海,对当月海平面升高影响明显;另外,2012年副热带高压偏北、偏东、偏弱的特点对东海和南海的海平面上升也有一定影响。 相似文献
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介绍了一种新的海洋潮汐分析方法--VAV分析方法.该方法通过带通滤波将原始时间域数据转换为频率域数据,再对该频率域数据应用最小二乘法求解得到各分潮调和常数.VAV方法可分析受有色噪音"污染"的数据,允许缺测,并能检测、剔除异常数据,通过多次迭代提高调和常数估算精度,该方法亦可进行浅水分潮分析、潮位预报和海平面变化分析等.利用VAV方法对闸坡验潮站潮位资料进行分析,得到的各主要分潮调和常数、预报潮位及多年平均海平面和多年海平面平均上升速率结果与传统调和分析结果对比基本一致.同时,VAV方法分析得到闸坡站1975-1997年海平面总体呈先降后升趋势,其中1975-1979年为下降期,1980-1997年为上升期. 相似文献
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基于该系列文章前文建立的高分辨率数据同化模型系统,研究渤、黄海的M_2分潮的潮汐特征、潮混合、潮余流、潮能及其扩散、潮动量平衡。对同潮图结果的分析表明,渤、黄海内共存在4个无潮点,研究区域内M_2分潮振幅的最大值出现在朝鲜半岛西侧。潮流椭圆的分析结果表明,在35°N附近区域潮流椭圆的旋转方向有着比较突然的改变。朝鲜半岛西侧区域潮流的振幅较大,并且由于该区域地形复杂多变导致朝鲜半岛西侧海域存在着比较强烈的潮混合与潮耗散。对M_2分潮动量分析的结果表明,地形等因素在近海潮汐动力学过程中发挥着比较重要的作用。在渤、黄海内大部分区域,主要的动量平衡基本上介于压强梯度力、局地变化项以及科氏力之间,底应力和对流项都可以忽略不计。但是,线性模型对近海尤其是上述强耗散区内潮波活动的模拟还是存在着缺陷和不足。 相似文献
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地壳升降对渤、黄、东海潮波系统的影响 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
利用海平面变化预测模型,预测了渤黄东海未来海平面的上升值。该模型考虑了温室效应和地壳升降。根据潮波运动基本方程和海平面上升的预测值,数值模拟了渤黄东海潮波系统的变化。结果显示,半日分潮(M2,S2)的振幅变化ΔH(或位相变化Δg)有相似的正负分布模式,全日分潮(K1,Q1)的也是如此。考虑和不考虑地壳升降情况下得到的正负分布模式,在黄海存在着较明显的差别,那是由于在黄海存在一个范围很广的海平面变化年速率为负的区域所致。在我国沿岸主要站点,考虑地壳升降情况下获得的主要分潮振幅与不考虑的相比,其中M2分潮的差别最大,其差值范围为-1.8～3.3 cm。在主要站点,利用考虑地壳升降情况下获得的调和常数计算所得的海图深度基准面、最高和最低天文潮位,与利用原调和常数计算所得的相比,海图深度基准面的变化范围为-12.4～14.6 cm,最高天文潮位的变化范围为-11.7～13.0 cm,最低天文潮位的变化范围为-11.9～10.5 cm。 相似文献
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本文利用验潮站观测和卫星高度计数据，以及基于筛选的CMIP6的10个模拟性能较好的地球系统模式结果，对中国海平面的长期变化趋势，以及未来上升幅度进行了分析和预测。结果显示：（1）1960-2021年，中国沿海海平面呈加速上升趋势，上升速率为2.5 mm/a，加速度为0.06 mm/a2;1993-2021年上升速率为4.0 mm/a，高于全球同期3.3 mm/a的上升值。（2）1980-2021年，渤、黄海，东海和南海沿海海平面上升速率分别为3.5 mm/a、3.3 mm/a和3.6 mm/a，渤、黄海和南海沿海海平面上升速率较快，东海偏慢；渤、黄海沿海海平面在20世纪60-70年代上升较慢，80年代之后上升加快。（3）在中等情景（SSP2-4.5）和高情景（SSP5-8.5）下，2050年中国近海海平面将上升0.22 m(0.19～0.28 m)和0.24 m(0.21～0.33 m)；到2100年，中国近海海平面将上升0.59 m(0.47～0.80 m)和0.83 m(0.64～1.09 m)。（4）2021-2040年，统计预测的海平面上升中值略接近数值模式低、中和高情景预测值... 相似文献
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利用中国沿岸验潮站GNSS和邻近地区陆态网络GNSS基准站观测数据,结合卫星高度计和验潮站海平面观测数据分析了中国沿海验潮站及其邻近地区陆地垂直运动特征。中国沿海海平面观测以及验潮站和陆态网GNSS基准站观测结果显示,中国沿海省区市及沿海验潮站陆地垂直运动总体表现为：辽宁至江苏沿海上升、上海至福建泉州沿海沉降、福建厦门至广西沿海升降交替的格局,局部滨海平原地区如华北平原天津南部、河北平原的沧县则表现出显著的沉降特征。验潮站陆地的抬升与沉降是沿海相对海平面变化的重要组成部分,准确掌握验潮站及其邻近区域的陆地垂直运动特征,可为沿海相对海平面变化分析、海平面变化影响评估以及未来海平面上升预测提供依据。 相似文献
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The analysis of the structure of the cryolithozone, facies, and thicknesses of the Quaternary sediments and the results of the physicochemical mathematical modeling of the modern shelf of the western part of the Laptev Sea support the influence of the Late Pleistocene glaciations on the heat conditions and the distribution of the permafrost in the area. A ～200-m thick glacier formed under aerial conditions from atmospheric precipitation represented the metamorphosed snow cover. According to the modeling, the long-living (from 60?50 to 10?4 ky) glacier reduced the thickness of the permafrost rocks in the reviewed shelf area for 280–360 m. The Holocene marine transgression additionally decreased the thickness from 50–140 m on the inner shelf to 220–350 m on the outer shelf. The modern submarine cryolithozone 450-0 m thick is wide-spread in the studied region from the coast to the shelf boundary (isobaths of 130–140 m), where it pinches out at a distance of ～380 km from the coast at a depth of ～250 m above the sea level. 相似文献
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We analyze the components of the carbon system of the Sevastopol bay waters and the balance of main sediment-forming substances
using the data of field investigations in 1998–2008. The interannual variations of total inorganic carbon and the equilibrium
partial pressure of carbon dioxide in the bay water are noted. An increase in the flux of carbon dioxide into the bay and
in the content of organic carbon in bottom sediments is revealed, and an explanation of this phenomenon is given. The priority
accumulation of organic carbon in the sediments of the bay is established. We assess the interannual variation in the relative
abundances of organic and inorganic carbon as an index of the carbon cycle stability. 相似文献
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We generalize and analyze the state of investigations of the influence of river waters on the hydrologic structure of the
Black Sea. Specific features of the water, regime and hydrography of rivers flowing into the sea, data on the discharge of
rivers, and intrayear and interyear variability of the discharge are presented. We discuss and analyze works studying the
transformation of river waters, routes of desalinized sea waters, and their influence on the thermohaline structure and dynamic
regime of the sea.
Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev 相似文献
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V. A. Ivanov S. P. Lyubartseva N. Mikhailova N. B. Shapiro 《Physical Oceanography》2001,11(6):509-524
We analyze the results of numerical calculations performed according to the three-dimensional interdisciplinary model of an
ecological system of the Black-Sea shelf zone near the estuary of the Danube. The complete system of equations of hydrothermodynamics
is solved together with transport equations of the advection-diffusion-reaction type used to describe the transformation of
a substance (nitrogen) between the components of the characteristic vectors of the ecosystem: plankton, detritus, and biogenic
elements (nitrates). We describe the distinctive features of the circumcontinental distribution of components obtained as
a result of numerical experiments and present arguments for the conclusion that the ecosystem of the Danube estuary water
area plays the role of a buffer zone between the press of the Danubian biogenic pollutions and the neighbouring areas of the
shelf zone and open sea.
Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev 相似文献
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Relationship between the path of the Kuroshio in the south of Japan and the path of the Kuroshio Extension in the east 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
A relationship between paths of the Kuroshio and Kuroshio Extension (KE) is investigated, using the satellite-derived altimetry
dataset of 1993–2008. When the Kuroshio takes the nearshore nonlarge meander path or typical large meander path and resultantly
goes through the deeper channel (about 2500 m) of the Izu-Ogasawara Ridge, the KE path adopts a relatively stable state with
the two quasi-stationary meanders. On the other hand, when the Kuroshio takes the offshore nonlarge meander path and then
passes over the shallower part of the Ridge (about 1000 m), the KE path tends to be convoluted, i.e., an unstable state. 相似文献
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Ten years of semistationary studies of the interaction of the ice cover and the coastal relief of the Kandalakhsa Gulf in the White Sea allowed us to reveal the peculiarities of these processes in the warm and cold years and the mechanisms of the origination of ice forms, including ice tents, which govern the character of the tidal flats. Three dynamic fast ice zones are distinguished by their geomorphological location, morphology, and ice dynamics. The dependence of the mechanisms and volumes of the enrichment of the fast ice in the sediments on the coastal zone??s relief was established. At the coast of the Kindo Peninsula (Velikaya Salma Strait), the ice mostly contains fine-sandy sediments. Coarser sediments, including boulders, are occasional and frozen into the ice at the contact of the fast ice and the bottom. At the expense of the ice??s spreading by 4?C6 times in the warm years and 2?C4 times in the cold years, several thousand tons of sediments mostly from the tidal flat??s surface (100?C700 m3 from 1 km of coast in the wide tidal flats and <50 m3 on the steep coasts) are delivered to the water area. 相似文献
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I. E. Timchenko A. A. Primalenny V. D. Yarin E. F. Vasechkina E. M. Igumnova 《Physical Oceanography》2001,11(4):367-378
We use many-year archival observations of hydrologic and hydrobiologic state of the Sea of Azov for the identification of
the structure of a model of its ecosystem. The ecosystem model, supplemented with expert estimates of bioresource consumption
(fish reserve), contamination level, and possible ecologic fines for violation of the sea natural state, is formalized by
the method of system dynamics. Hereat, the major part of influence functions is found in terms of observational data with
application of self-organization algorithms. We also present the results of simulated experiments with the model of the ecosystem,
which enable us to analyse scenarios of its behaviour under the influence of various external factors (wind, river discharge,
water exchange with the Black Sea, etc.).
Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev 相似文献
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E. L. Vinogradova 《Oceanology》2008,48(4):483-492
The spatiotemporal variability of the hydrochemical composition of the riverine runoff in nearmouth areas is presented using the example of selected rivers of the Arctic Basin. The temporal dynamics of the riverine nutrient runoff are mainly determined by the seasonal and interseasonal variations in the drainage basins. The spatial variations in the chemical composition of riverine waters in the near-mouth areas are mainly caused by the dynamics of the water flow and the river bed relief and, to a lesser degree, by biochemical processes. It is shown that the variations in the nutrient composition of the waters in near-mouth areas are comparable in magnitude to those at the river-sea geochemical barriers. 相似文献
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The methodology and the first results of the computations of the volumes, masses, and growth rates of the sedimentary body of the buried Black Sea basin are presented. Their temporal evolution reflects the regional paleogeodynamics, in particular, the reorientation of the vector of the relative movement of the Arabian and Eurasian lithospheric plates and the related intensification of their collision in the late Miocene-Pliocene. 相似文献
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Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - Analysis of the temporal variations of the virtual heights of the sporadic E layer (h?ES) determined from ionograms with increased accuracy (1... 相似文献