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1.
上海地区地震动参数衰减关系的建立及其在地震烈度预测中的应用 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
在缺乏强震地面运动观测资料的上海地区用烈度资料建立该区的地震烈度和峰值加速度衰减关系，采用一种新方法——比例系数法计算其标准偏差，并通过实例验证这一关系。最后对该区未来百年内可能遭遇的最大地震烈度进行预测 相似文献
2.
在缺乏强震地面运动观测资料的上海地区用烈度资料建立该区的地震烈度和峰值加速度衰减关系，采用一种新方法－比例系数法计算其标准偏差，并通过实例验证这一关系。最后对该区未来百年内可能遭遇的最大地震烈度进行预测。 相似文献
3.
香港地区地震风险评价和设防区划 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
香港地区隶属于中国板内地震区中的东南沿海块缘地震带。港-九块体为晚中生代至早第三纪以来以持续稳定上升为主的块体, 块体活动性明显地低于其周边相对下沉的中新生代盆地。为此, 赋予港-九块体为最大可信震级M=5.5级潜在震源区, 而其周边中新生代断陷盆地则为最大可信震级M6.0潜在震源。从大陆地震构造成因的环境、潜在震源可信震级范围M=5.0～7.5和近源地震动饱和等三个方面的可比性, 结合中国大陆地震震源破裂尺度和地震烈度影响场, 所建立的反映中国地震构造和震源破裂及地震烈度影响场特点的PGA和反应谱地震动衰减预测关系式可用于香港地区。以50%概率时的中值对中国强震记录的对比, 本研究所提供的经验期望预测关系式, 能包络实际的资料。因此, 用此地震动衰减预测模式对香港地区地震危险性进行评估, 将会得到相对保守地震动预测值。通过香港地区基岩地震动危险性分析和计算, 参照中国大陆地震设防标准, 进行了基岩设计参数确定和区划。以年概率P=0.02、P=0.002、P=0.0004三个概率标准, 对应的地震动重复周期大约分别约为50a, 500a, 2500a的基岩PGA和反应谱, 作为香港地区基岩上构筑物和建筑物可选的基 相似文献
4.
华北地区距雄安新区300 km范围内包括唐山、邢台和张北三个典型强震区,近50年来,先后发生1966年邢台7.2级、1976年唐山7.8级和1998年张北6.2级强震活动,未来仍具发生破坏性地震的风险。在现今构造应力环境下,3个典型强震区内断裂活动危险性如何、再次发生中强地震对雄安新区地面稳定性有怎样的影响,这些都是要回答的问题。对此,本文首先基于唐山、邢台和张北强震区关键构造部位深孔水压致裂地应力测量数据,依据Byerlee断层滑动失稳摩擦准则,计算各强震区内潜在发震断层的临界失稳状态,探讨断裂活动危险性;之后依据中华人民共和国第五代《中国地震动参数区划图》之《中国大陆及邻区潜在震源区划分图》,厘定雄安新区外围300 km范围内主要潜在震源区和震级上限;最后选取适宜的地震烈度衰减模型,定量计算主要潜在震源区未来发生震级上限地震时对雄安新区地震烈度的影响,进而为雄安新区及重大工程抗震设防提供科学参考。结果表明：(1)唐山、邢台和张北强震区内主要潜在震源区未来发生震级上限地震产生的地震烈度衰减至雄安新区时均位于Ⅳ~Ⅶ度;(2)北京通州及邻区发生8.0级地震、涞水—高碑店沿线发生6.5级地震会在雄安新区产生Ⅶ度地震烈度,震害较轻;(3)其他潜在震源区在雄安新区产生的地震烈度均小于V度,并不会产生显著震害效应。鉴于此,雄安新区抗震设防烈度建议由原Ⅶ度调至Ⅷ度为宜。 相似文献
5.
本文利用海峡两岸地震系统对台湾花莲、台东等六个地区近几年的地震资料进行震级差异的统计,得出台湾的地震系统记录的震级一般都比福建台网的大。它与福建台网的震级差最大1.2级,最小为0级。平均结果在0.4级左右。(本文利用的是福建台网中心编目室的资料与台湾中央气象局的资料进行统计对比得出结论)。 相似文献
6.
贵州地震活动图像及烈度区划 总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1
笔者对贵州历史地震记载和仪器测量地震资料进行总结和分析，从公元１３０８～１９４８年有地震记载近两百条，级以上破坏性地震３３次，其中最高震级为级的强震，最高地震烈度Ⅷ为度．１９５５～１９９３年省境内能记录的３．０～５．４级地震２３５余次，解放后最大地震为５．４级。贵州与四省（区）接壤县份发生破坏性地震２３次。因此，贵州地震活动的频度和强度均属于全国中等水平。在此基础上，研究了贵州地震活动的主要图像，概略地把贵州地区划分为黔东、黔中和黔西三个不同形态的断块，显示了贵州地震活动似中国南北地震带中南端兴衰而兴衰，且由东向西逐渐增强，这是符合地理空间结构演进的客观规律的。因此，贵州省地震活动是＂以地质构造地震为主体，以诱发地震和岩溶类地震为两翼的独特的活动格局。＂又据最新＂中国地震烈度区划图＂，简介贵州地区的地震烈度区划，提出了烈度区划的基本特点，贵州有一半的县市处在地震烈度Ⅵ－Ⅶ度区内，约占全省国土面积的５０％。应依次指导与加强贵州省的防震减灾工作。 相似文献
7.
矿山地震是矿山开采诱发的一种地震活动,为矿山开采的伴生动力地质现象之一。抚顺煤田矿震事件频繁发生,1968年12月开始对矿震作监测记录,截止2002年12月31日,共记录到ML>0级的矿震81522次。其中ML>3.0级64次,最大震级为ML3.7级。研究预测,抚顺煤田矿震的最大震级可能达到ML3.9~4.2级。当发生ML4.2级极值矿震时,极震区的烈度将超过Ⅶ度。文章依据以往矿震调查资料及地震烈度衰减理论,推导出抚顺煤田矿震烈度衰减模型,用该模型预测了极值矿震事件发生时的影响范围。有望为矿山及矿山城市减灾防灾决策提供参考。 相似文献
8.
近源地震动峰值加速度衰减关系影响因素分析 总被引：6，自引：1，他引：5
本文收集了丰富的强震资料, 以峰值加速度为例, 采用简单且体现近场峰值加速度PGA震级饱和和距离饱和特性的衰减模型, 研究了表征震级与距离饱和效应的R0(M)的性质。R0与震级相关, 同时与震源性质、地震波频谱有关。在单个地震的R0(M)的求取中, 由于R0与系数d几乎呈线性关系, 所以要求单个地震R0的值, 必须先根据理论约束确定d的大小。在检验衰减方程的预测效果时, 不仅要判断衰减曲线是否反映了实测资料的平均变化趋势, 而且要判断实测资料是否绝大多数落在84%及16%概率水平的预测曲线之内(之间). 相似文献
9.
《福建地震》2000,(Z1)
一、地震基本参数表1 地震基本参数表发震时间年月日时分秒震 中 位 置微 观宏 观东经北纬东经北纬参考地名震级(ＭＬ)震源深度(Ｋｍ)震中烈度 地震类型 199604211341391118°40′26°22′118°41′26°22′闽清湾口417Ⅴ水库诱发地震 现场调查所确定的宏观震中位于闽清湾口前洋村附近(见图22-1),与微观震中基本吻合,仅有2公里的误差。二、地震烈度分布自1993年3月底水口水库开始蓄水,5月份起就有诱发地震发生,后逐渐频繁,且震级加大。本次41级地震是震级最高的一次地震。经过现场考察,绘制出地震烈度分布图(图22-1)。图22-1 水… 相似文献
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11.
Three-dimensional (3-D) attenuation structures were determined for Taiwan region by inversion of earthquake intensity data set. The seismic intensity which is assumed to be a measure of the maximum acceleration of the S-wave at the seismic station is used to estimate the attenuation structure. The intensity data set consists of about 5500 intensity readings for 1410 earthquakes reported by the Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan from 1987 to 2010. The 3-D attenuation maps consisting of five layers were constructed to a depth of 74 km.The obtained model reveals the following features: first, a high absorption zone exists in the westernmost Okinawa trough. These high-attenuation anomalies seem to extend from upper crust to mantle beneath the Yilan Plain and Kueishantao Island. We interpret the high absorption zone as the presence of the relatively hot lower crust and uppermost mantle in response to the local opening of the Okinawa trough. Second, strong lateral variation of seismic attenuation is observed from the source region of the Chi–Chi earthquake in the central Taiwan. Most aftershocks were occurred beneath the Western Foothills which is characterized by a transition from high attenuation to low attenuation between the Chelungpu fault and Chuchih fault. However, the region east to the Chuchih fault is relatively quiescent. This study suggests that the high Vp/Vs and lateral variation of attenuation features existing beneath the Western Foothills could be associated with porous materials containing fluid which might affect the generation of the Chi–Chi earthquake. 相似文献
12.
Th. De Crook 《Natural Hazards》1989,2(3-4):349-362
From the earthquake catalogue of the region of interest 2–8°E, 49–52°N, only events with intensity > 3 are considered. The fore/aftershocks and the induced seismicity are removed. The completeness and other properties of the remaining data set are investigated. The seismic data, as well as the geological, tectonic, and other geophysical data of the area are used for the determination of the seismotectonic zones. For each zone, the cumulative intensity-frequency relation (taking into account the completeness of the catalogue), the attenuation depending on the direction, the upper bound of intensity and the average depth are calculated. When the seismic activity is changing within a zone, this zone is divided into subzones with an almost constant activity and a b value equal to the value of the whole zone. When necessary for each subzone, a different attenuation coefficient can be used, to take into account more regional effects. Then the seismic hazard is assessed with the modified McGuire program. Annual probability versus intensity for several sites and hazard intensity and probability maps are calculated. Finally, an error discussion of the whole procedure for one test site is given. 相似文献
13.
Macroseismic intensity attenuation for crustal sources on romanian territory and adjacent areas 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
A. Pantea 《Natural Hazards》1994,10(1-2):65-72
The macroseismic intensity attenuation (m.i.a.) laws for the main seismic provinces with crustal foci of the Romanian territory and adjacent areas were established. The input data consist of MSK-64 intensities of 18 earthquakes with epicentral/maximum intensity in the range V to X degrees (MSK scale), whose isoseismal maps were available.The attenuation was analyzed as a function of distance and azimuth and from the three main attenuation formulas (logarithmic, exponential, and power-law) (the last one was preferred, as it best fits the observed data) and, consequently, were used for each seismogenic region. The bulk of derived equations is intended to be further used in the assessment of the seismic hazards of Romania. 相似文献
14.
The assessment of seismic hazard at five selected sites in the Sannio-Matese region is based on the computer program SRAMSC. Owing to the extensive historical data base for the output parameter, the MSK intensiy is chosen. The seismicity model is made up of five narrow area seismic sources. Circular or elliptical macroseismic fields are assigned to individual sources. A generalized Kövesligethy equation is used for this purpose as the attenuation relationship. The study reveals similar and a rather high hazard at the sites at Benevento, Boiano, and Melfi, which are located in the zone of highest seismic activity. At the Pomigliano and Lucera sites, the assessed hazard is much lower. 相似文献
15.
The anisotropic attenuation of macroseismic intensity for a seismogenetic zone is dealt with using a new modelling of intensity distribution. The analysis, carried out starting from the intensity maps of the earthquakes of different seismogenetic zones of Central and Southern Italy, allows the determination of the attenuation coefficients for each seismogenetic zone by an anisotropic attenuation law. The obtained results show the reliability of the proposed modelling within seismic hazard evaluation studies. 相似文献
16.
Multiple approaches are used to study the potential seismic hazard in the North China Craton (NCC, or North China Plain), where approximately 15 % of the Chinese population resides and under which active faults are located. In this study, we develop a new modified Mercalli intensity (MMI) attenuation relationship for the NCC using intensity data from 10 instrumentally recorded events. We then utilize this relationship to infer the magnitude and epicentral location of historic events based on the method proposed by Bakun and Wentworth (Bull Seismol Soc Am 87(6):1502–1521, 1997). In addition, a modified stochastic finite fault model is employed to simulate the strong ground motions caused by these historic events. The simulated peak ground accelerations and velocities are then converted into regional MMI distributions through empirical relationships, and these synthetic MMI maps are compared to field observations. The resultant MMI attenuation versus distance models of the 1976 M w 7.6 Tangshan event and the 1679 M 8.0 Sanhe-Pinggu event are consistent with the empirical attenuation relationships, and the location and size of the meizoseismal area (>VIII) are consistent with observations. The successful modeling of these historic events indicates that a stochastic finite fault model constrained by the regional MMI attenuation relationship can be used to evaluate a wide range of scenarios based on modern computational simulations. These findings may also provide useful information for the estimation and mitigation of potential seismic hazards in this region. 相似文献
17.
Prognostic estimations of the expected number of killed or injured people and about the approximate cost associated with the damages caused by earthquakes are made following a suitable methodology of wide-ranging application. For the preliminary assessment of human life losses due to the occurrence of a relatively strong earthquake we use a quantitative model consisting of a correlation between the number of casualties and the earthquake magnitude as a function of population density. The macroseismic intensity field is determined in accordance with an updated anelastic attenuation law, and the number of casualties within areas of different intensity is computed using an application developed in a geographic information system (GIS) environment, taking advantage of the possibilities of such a system for the treatment of space-distributed data. The casualty rate, defined as the number of killed people divided by the number of inhabitants of the affected region, is also computed and we show its variation for some urban concentrations with different population density. For a rough preliminary evaluation of the direct economic cost derived from the damages, equally through a GIS-based tool, we take into account the local social wealth as a function of the gross domestic product of the country. This last step is performed on the basis of the relationship of the macroseismic intensity to the earthquake economic loss in percentage of the wealth. Such an approach to the human casualty and damage levels is carried out for sites near important cities located in a seismically active zone of Spain, thus contributing to an easier taking of decisions in emergency preparedness planning, contemporary earthquake engineering and seismic risk prevention. 相似文献
18.
Amit Shiuly 《Journal of the Geological Society of India》2018,92(1):54-58
Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) is a very important ground motion parameter which is used to define the degree of ground shaking during an earthquake. It is also very helpful for designing earthquake resistant structure. The PGA can be estimated by attenuation relationships using magnitude, distance, source type etc of a ground motion. In the past, several researchers have developed over 450 attenuation relationships for predicting PGA for a specific region. In the present study an attempt has been made to develop an attenuation relationship on the basis of these available previous relationships in rock site which will be applicable for any region of the world. In the present study, PGA has been expressed as a function of moment magnitude and hypo-central distance in rock site. Chi-square test have also been performed with available earthquake data in American and Indian region for verifying the accuracy of the generated attenuation relationship. Using multiple regression and Genetic Algorithm (GA) the attenuation relationship equations have also been generated. These equations will be very helpful for performing seismic hazard analysis and predicting earthquake force in any region of the world. 相似文献
19.
An anisotropic attenuation law of the macroseismic intensity has been deduced, congruent with an anisotropic modelling of macroseismic fields. The results, obtained by analysing a set of earthquakes in Eastern Sicily and Southern Calabria, show a greater adaptability to the observed data as compared with those deduced using isotropic attenuation laws modified to take the anisotropy into account. 相似文献