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1.
贵州荔波1200年来石笋高分辨率的古气候环境记录 总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3
通过笔者对荔波龙泉洞L2石笋进行高精度的ICP-MS-230Th测年和碳、氧同位素分析, 建立了荔波地区1200 a BP 来高分辨率的古气候变化的时间序列。研究结果表明, 荔波地区1200 a BP以来石笋记录的季风气候经历了1200~1100 a BP(暖)、1100~940 a BP (冷)、940~840 a BP(暖)、840~700 a BP(冷)、700~450 a BP(暖)、450~300 a BP(冷)、300~200 a BP(暖)以及200~70 a BP(冷)等8个阶段百年尺度的干湿、冷暖波动, 并在这些百年尺度的波动上又叠加了一系列数十年尺度的气候变化。石笋记录揭示了1200 a以来东亚季风气候的不稳定性, 呈百年尺度(Gleissberg)的周期性变化。这些气候变化事件, 与冰芯记录极为相似, 反映低纬度地区百年尺度石笋记录的季风气候变化与高纬度及北极地区的气候变化具有极好的相关性, 反映百年尺度石笋记录的季风降水主要受太阳辐射驱动、控制, 而东亚季风的降水事件(或干旱事件)与太阳的辐射强度密切相关。石笋记录的百年尺度季风降水事件对于认识现代气候系统变化以及对未来十年—百年尺度的气候预测和演化的驱动机制, 具有重要的科学意义。 相似文献
2.
中全新世河南南阳石笋记录的百年季风干旱事件 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
基于河南南阳洞1支石笋的5个230 Th 年龄和186个氧碳同位素数据,建立了中全新世持续1 570a( 6 115～ 4 544a B. P. )较高分辨率东亚季风降水序列。在整个研究时段,石笋氧碳同位素曲线记录了3次弱季风事件,分别发生在5 830～5 720a B. P. 、5 350～ 5 080a B. P.、4 770～ 4 640a B. P. ,其中5 350～ 5 080a B. P.时段持续干旱,历时270a。在测年误差范围内,平均分辨率达4～ 5 a 的氧同位素曲线与相应时段树轮14 C残差曲线基本对应。功率谱分析表明: 南阳洞石笋具有显著的130a 周期旋回,与树轮Δ14 C( 132a )以及低纬地区其它石笋记录的周期变化基本一致,说明中全新世东亚季风降水在百年尺度上可能主要受太阳辐射驱动。 相似文献
3.
据南京汤山葫芦洞石笋的23个热电离质谱测年结果和分辨率达100-200a的氧、碳稳定同位素测试数据，讨论了75-35kaBP期间东亚季风气候的高频振荡特征。石笋氧同位素值的波动范围介于-9.165‰～5.456‰之间，相邻峰谷的变幅可达2‰～3‰，由其构成的16个气候不稳定性事件与格陵兰冰心δ^18o记录中IS8-IS20和北大西洋冰漂碎屑事件H4-H6有良好的对比关系，揭示了东亚季风气候变化与高纬极地大气温度变化存在着动力机制上的联系。石笋碳同位素记录呈现类似于δ^18O记录的高频振荡形式，反映了洞穴了覆植被类型对存在着动力机制上的联系。石笋碳同位素记录呈现类似于δ^18O记录的高频振荡形式，反映了洞穴上覆植被类型对气候变化的快速响应。石笋稳定同位素曲线上72ka BP左右的快速降温事件与印度尼西亚Toba火山喷发事件基本一致。有可能说明是更新世全球气候事件的发生并非单一源于北大西洋深层水体的变化。 相似文献
4.
云南宣威4.6万年以来洞穴石笋古气候变化记录 总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7
石笋是高分辨地记录古气候环境变化的主要信息载体之一。本文通过对宣威下水龙洞 1号石笋进行α能谱铀系测年及碳、氧同位素分析,获得了距今 46.1ka至 2.75ka高分辨率的古气候演变信息。其年龄与δ18O值的记录在纵向上的变化具有明显的韵律性特征,可与深海岩芯V2 8～ 2 3 8同位素记录所揭示的第 3阶段、2阶段和 1阶段进行对比。反映 46.1ka以来宣威地区的气候波动与全球的气候变化具有明显的一致性。但是,区内是气候变化的敏感区,是东亚季风与印度洋季风交互作用的特殊区域,存在有明显的地区性气候变化特征,在整个末次冰期时段 (4 6.1～8.1ka)气候总体偏温暖,10.2 5ka为新仙女木冷事件的最冷终止点。在全新世大暖期时段的 7.1～ 3.7ka间显示气候温暖湿润,而在 3.7～ 2.75ka间伴随太阳辐射和印度洋西南季风强度的减弱,气候有明显的降温趋势。此外,石笋的碳、氧同位素显示的气候冷暖变化是,主沉积旋回以万年级、千年级和百年级为周期性变化;亚旋回以千年级和百年级为周期性变化。 相似文献
5.
中全新世十～百年降水波动的江苏宜兴石笋δ18O记录 总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3
据江苏宜兴茗岭洞穴M L石笋的Th230测年结果、年层计数以及与树轮14 C残差曲线的对比,建立了该石笋记录的中全新世持续561年的氧同位素时间序列( 5. 13～ 5. 69kaB. P. )。分辨率达3～ 4年的氧同位素曲线与相应时段树轮14 C残差呈显著的正相关( r= 0.54) ,揭示了中全新世东亚季风降水百年尺度上受太阳辐射驱动。从石笋δ18O功率谱中识别出类似树轮14 C的28～25a、10a 等周期成分,表明该地区十年尺度季风降水也受太阳活动的影响。 相似文献
6.
对贵州荔波董歌洞D4石笋的再次高密度230Th测年及碳、氧同位素分析，在16 ka 以来的部分，平均分辨率达 18a 。研究表明，氧同位素记录除反映季风的强弱变化外，能更好地揭示 H1，BA，YD以及全新世中 9.1ka，8.2ka、4.6ka 气候突变事件。碳同位素记录和沉积速率则能更好地反映气候干湿的变化。石笋记录对气候期的正确划分及突变事件的准确定位及定年，可为全球变化其他记录的研究提供一个可靠时间系列的基准标尺。 相似文献
7.
早全新世季风演化的高分辨率石笋δ18O记录研究--以河南老母洞石笋为例 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
基于豫西老母洞LM2石笋8个高精度230Th年龄,449个氧碳同位素,建立了达十年际分辨率的8.2~10.9 ka B.P.亚洲季风变化的δ18O记录序列.老母洞石笋δ18O值最为偏负达-12.0‰,最偏正为-8.2‰,振幅达3.8‰.早全新世10.13~10.9 ka B.P.时段内,河南西部老母洞石笋和东石崖石笋,陕西九仙洞C996-2石笋δ18O曲线揭示该时段内季风稳定,而中国南方的衙门洞石笋、三宝洞石笋和极地冰芯GRIP记录揭示该时段季风逐渐增强;同时季风达到顶峰的时期也不相同,进一步说明中国南北方早全新世10.13~10.9 ka B.P.时段季风演变过程的差异,可能与中国南北方气候的响应机制有关.从早全新世平均分辨率10年的LM2石笋记录中识别出8.2 ka,9.5 ka,10.2 ka和10.9 ka显著弱季风事件,尤其是8.2 ka和9.5 ka事件.对比分析老母洞与已发表的高分辨率石笋δ18O记录发现:石笋所揭示的某些冷事件发生时间在亚洲季风区存在差异,主要表现在事件内部变化特征及趋势上.LM2石笋δ18O曲线并没有明显记录9.3 ka弱季风事件,而是在9.3~9.6 ka B.P.左右记录了一个弱季风事件,与DSY09(2009)、Y1、HS-4记录相似,表明在该时段内存在季风的减弱事件,但是氧同位素传输的复杂性,使其在南北方表现不同.此外,在LM2石笋δ18O的8.2 ka B.P.开始时段,氧同位素曲线阶段性下降,且变幅达3‰,与Zhang等研究万象洞石笋提出的“中国8 200阶段”吻合,表明中国北方地区的8.2 ka事件是阶段性的事件,而南方的石笋氧同位素记录揭示的8.2 ka事件并未表现出阶段性特征,其原因有待于更多北方高精度石笋记录来进一步研究.LM2石笋氧同位素记录进行功率谱分析发现:在短尺度上季风变化与太阳活动密切相关,这与近年来对早全新世极端气候变化研究的驱动机制是一致的,早全新世亚洲季风的演化与太阳活动变化引起的太阳辐射能量的变化和北半球高纬气候的变化状况有关. 相似文献
8.
基于黔西南雾露洞高分辨率石笋同位素记录,重建了62.0～58.2 ka BP和20.9～15.5 ka BP期间亚洲夏季风水文历史和洞穴岩溶环境变化过程。两支石笋(Wu58和Wu60)实测16个~(230)Th年龄和966组氧、碳同位素数据。结果显示,深海氧同位素3阶段(MIS 3)早期和2阶段(MIS 2)期间,千年尺度δ~(18)O变化非常显著,而δ~(13)C则在稳定的背景值下,呈百年尺度波动。去趋势发现,δ~(18)O指示的百年尺度弱季风事件与δ~(13)C指示的土壤CO_2产率衰减过程变化一致。两组同位素变化呈相似的百年尺度波动,共同周期约300 a,说明本区域土壤CO_2产率变化与百年尺度亚洲夏季风变化密切相关。在变化幅度上,δ~(13)C的振幅远大于δ~(18)O(约1.5～3.5倍),表明碳同位素变化对于气候响应具有放大效应,或者δ~(13)C与δ~(18)O变化具有不同的地球化学行为。通过与大气~(14)C、冰芯~(10)Be记录对比,发现百年尺度季风强弱及岩溶过程变化与太阳活动指标具有相似性,说明太阳活动对百年尺度季风强弱和土壤CO_2产率起到主控作用。可能的途径是,太阳活动通过海-陆热力差,影响夏季风强度和当地土壤湿度水平,并经生态效应进一步放大。然而,在百年尺度上,δ~(18)O振幅仅为0.4‰,远小于千年尺度变化(1.5‰)。因此,千年尺度亚洲夏季风突变的诱发因子可能不直接受控于太阳活动,需要其他驱动因素或者气候系统内部放大机制来解释。 相似文献
9.
具有精准年代控制的高分辨率气候记录对于深入研究小冰期气候变化规律具有重要意义。文章基于黔南荔波县董哥洞D41石笋(研究部分长约11.7 cm)的24个U-Th绝对定年和1165组碳、氧稳定同位素测试数据,得到明清小冰期期间(公元1400~1880年)平均分辨率高于0.5年的洞穴上游水汽传输路径的空间集成降雨量变化记录。重建记录表明小冰期内部气候变化存在着多年代际-百年尺度变化趋势和年际-年代际波动;次级波动与干旱事件、火山活动的响应表明石笋δ^18O能够反映一定的大尺度气候信号。D41石笋的δ^18O序列功率谱分析结果显示出160年、11.5年、9年以及14~16、4~7年周期,可能反映了太阳活动和ENSO等地球气候系统内部变率的影响。中国南北方多根石笋氧同位素记录的对比表明崇祯大旱期间(公元1628~1643年)石笋记录显示出与历史文献资料类似的干旱边界,从南方至北方水汽传输路径上,干旱状态反映的空间集成降雨量减少可能是引起北方石笋氧同位素偏重的主要原因。另外,石笋氧同位素记录在年际-年代际尺度上明显的区域差异表明在短尺度上将单个洞穴石笋氧同位素记录用作亚洲季风强度指标时需要谨慎。 相似文献
10.
研究小冰期的结构特征及动力机理有助于理解全球增暖和极端气候事件的原因。基于湖北永兴洞总长为120 mm的YX275石笋7个高精度230Th年龄和120个氧同位素数据,重建了1361~1955 A.D.时段分辨率达5 a的东亚夏季风降水变化序列。该石笋δ^18O值在-7.8 ‰^-9.3 ‰范围内波动,长期趋势呈现出先缓慢增大后减小的变化特征,整体呈下凹形态。该记录与中国季风区北部和南部石笋记录变化大体一致,指示小冰期发生时东亚夏季风水循环发生减弱变化。在百年-数十年尺度上,YX275石笋记录的小冰期内5次显著季风降水减弱事件与南部贵州董哥洞、织金洞石笋记录变化一致,但不同于北方大鱼洞、九仙洞、黄爷洞和万象洞石笋记录的5次小幅度季风旋回特征,表明小冰期时中国南北部夏季风降水在短时间尺度上可能存在着区域差异。该记录与太阳总辐照度记录和北半球温度记录变化一致,表明太阳总辐照度和北半球温度变化对东亚夏季风水文变化有重要驱动作用。 相似文献
11.
河北坝上地区位于东亚季风边缘区和农牧交错带,季风强弱的变化深刻影响着该地区人类文明的发展.为了重建河北坝上地区中-晚全新世以来的气候演化过程,剖析气候变化与人类文明发展的关系,以坝上地区安固里淖湖为研究对象,通过对该湖沉积剖面植硅体的分析,并结合孢粉组合特征,恢复了安固里淖地区5 000 cal.a BP以来的气候演变历史.结果显示,在千年尺度上该区域气候总体呈冷干趋势,但在5 030~3 070 cal.a BP时期气候相对湿润,千年尺度上气候的变化主要受控于北半球太阳辐射量的变化.在百年尺度上安固里淖地区经历了7次冷干事件,分别发生于4 500 cal.a BP、4 100~3 800 cal.a BP、3 500 cal.a BP、3 000 cal.a BP、2 100 cal.a BP、1 100 cal.a BP和800~270 cal.a BP左右,这7次冷干事件对应于东亚季风减弱阶段,主要受到了北半球高纬气候和太阳活动的共同影响.该区人类文明的演化敏感响应于气候变化,气候温湿期以农业文明为主,气候冷干期以草原文明为主. 相似文献
12.
YONGBO WANG ENLOU ZHANG WEIWEI SUN JIE CHANG XINGQI LIU ZHENYU NI DONGLIANG NING 《第四纪科学杂志》2019,34(6):463-474
A continuous sediment record since 12.3 cal ka bp from Lake Wuxu (south‐eastern Tibetan Plateau) was investigated in terms of the Holocene evolution of the Indian Summer Monsoon. The molar C/N ratio and stable C isotope were used to identify the source of the organic matter as well as climate conditions. The evolution of Lake Wuxu was summarized wihtin two periods. During the first period (early to mid‐Holocene), the lake received increased fluvially transported materials, reflecting variation in the summer monsoon with solar insolation. The lake level declined and water residence time increased because of reduced river discharge during the second period (late Holocene) corresponding to a weakening of the summer monsoon. The organic material revealed a major contribution from lake primary productivity, which showed identical patterns with a high‐resolution isotope record from Dongge Cave, as well as total solar irradiance. Our record from Lake Wuxu indicates that the Holocene evolution of the Indian Summer Monsoon has been driven by the solar forcing at decadal/centennial to millennial time scales. Furthermore, an abrupt decline in the monsoon was detected at around 4.0 cal ka bp , which is probably caused by an increased frequency of EI Nino‐Southern Oscillation events. Copyright © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
13.
Climatic changes since the last deglaciation inferred from a lacustrine sedimentary sequence in the eastern Nanling Mountains,south China 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Wei Zhong Jibin Xue Yanming Zheng Jun Ouyang Qiaohong Ma Ying Cai Xiaohong Tang 《第四纪科学杂志》2010,25(6):975-984
Two sediment cores recovered from Dahu Swamp, which is located in eastern Nanling Mountains in south China, were selected for investigation of palaeoclimatic changes. Multi‐proxy records of the two cores including lithological variation, organic carbon isotope ratio, dry bulk density, organic matter content, magnetic susceptibility, humification degree, median grain size and geochemical proxies reveal that during the last deglaciation three drier phases correspond to the Oldest, Older and Younger Dryas cooling events, and the intercalated two wetter phases synchronise with the Bølling and Allerød warming events. The Holocene Optimum, which was resulted from a strengthening of the East Asian (EA) summer monsoon, occurred in the early and mid Holocene (ca. 10–6 cal. ka BP). In the mid and late Holocene (ca. 6–3 cal. ka BP), a prevailing dry climate suggested a weakening of the EA summer monsoon. The general trend of Holocene climatic changes in this study agrees with the 25° N summer solar insolation, suggesting that orbitally induced insolation may have played an important role in the Holocene climate in the study region. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
14.
黔西高原的长时间序列孢粉记录比较少,限制了对该地区末次冰期晚期古植被及西南季风演化过程和机制的认识。本研究通过对黔西高原一个连续的古湖泊沉积物孢粉记录的分析,并结合AMS14C测年,重建黔西高原末次冰期晚期古植被及西南季风演化。结果表明: 轨道尺度上,MIS3(氧同位素3阶段)中晚期,黔西高原主要为木本、草本植物,喜湿的针叶树种较多,西南季风较强。MIS2(氧同位素2阶段)期间,喜湿的针叶树种减少,而草本、蕨类植物增多,指示气候冷干,西南季风减弱。千年尺度上,黔西高原西南季风响应于北大西洋冰漂碎屑事件及H3(Heninrich 3)、H2(Heninrich 2)和LGM(Last Glacial Maximum)事件,导致西南季风减弱,喜湿的针叶树种减少。通过对比发现,东亚夏季风和西南季风在轨道及千年尺度上协同演化,二者均响应于北半球高纬度太阳辐射变化及北大西洋冰漂碎屑事件。在19~18 cal ka BP,黔西高原经历最冷干气候,西南季风减弱,木本、草本植物近乎消失,而同期东亚夏季风增强,说明西南季风和东亚夏季风在冰后期上存在反相位关系。 相似文献
15.
《Quaternary Science Reviews》2007,26(1-2):170-188
High-resolution oxygen isotope (δ18O) profiles of Holocene stalagmites from four caves in Northern and Southern Oman and Yemen (Socotra) provide detailed information on fluctuations in precipitation along a latitudinal transect from 12°N to 23°N. δ18O values reflect the amount of precipitation which is primarily controlled by the mean latitudinal position of the ITCZ and dynamics of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). During the early Holocene rapidly decreasing δ18O values indicate a rapid northward displacement in the mean latitudinal position of the summer ITCZ and the associated ISM rainfall belt, with decadal- to centennial-scale changes in monsoon precipitation correlating well with high-latitude temperature variations recorded in Greenland ice cores. During the middle to late Holocene the summer ITCZ continuously migrated southward and monsoon precipitation decreased gradually in response to decreasing solar insolation, a trend, which is also recorded in other monsoon records from the Indian and East Asian monsoon domains. Importantly, there is no evidence for an abrupt middle Holocene weakening in monsoon precipitation. Although abrupt monsoon events are apparent in all monsoon records, they are short-lived and clearly superimposed on the long-term trend of decreasing monsoon precipitation. For the late Holocene there is an anti-correlation between ISM precipitation in Oman and inter-monsoon (spring/autumn) precipitation on Socotra, revealing a possible long-term change in the duration of the summer monsoon season since at least 4.5 ka BP. Together with the progressive shortening of the ISM season, gradual southward retreat of the mean summer ITCZ and weakening of the ISM, the total amount of precipitation decreased in those areas located at the northern fringe of the Indian and Asian monsoon domains, but increased in areas closer to the equator. 相似文献
16.
三大自然区过渡地带近50年来气候类型变化及其对气候变化的响应 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
The transition area of three natural zones (Eastern Monsoon Region, Arid Region of Northwest China, Qinghai Tibet Plateau Region) is influenced by the Asian monsoon and middle latitude westerly circulation because of its special geographical position. And it is more sensitive to global climate change. The Koppen climate classification, which is widely used in the world, and the accumulated temperature-dryness classification, which is usually used in China, were used to study the climate zones and changes in the region of longitude 97.5°~108°E, latitude 33°~41.5°N, from 1961 to 2010. The changing areas of each climate zone were compared to the East Asian Summer Monsoon index, the South Asian Summer Monsoon index, the Summer Westerly index, the East Asian Winter Monsoon index, the Plateau Summer Monsoon index, the North Atlantic Oscillation index, the Southern Oscillation index, NINO3.4 index, to explore the response of the transition area of three natural zones to each climate system. According to the results, this region will become wetter when the Summer Westerly or the East Asian Winter Monsoon is relatively strong. When the East Asian Summer Monsoon or the South Asian Summer Monsoon becomes strong, the climate in low altitude region of the study area will easily become drier, and the climate in high altitude region of the study area is easily to become wetter. When the Plateau Summer Monsoon is relatively strong, the climate in the study area will easily become drier. When the North Atlantic Oscillation is relatively strong, the study area will easily become wetter. And when the El Niño is relatively strong, or the Southern Oscillation is relatively weak, the study area will easily become drier. In general, the moisture status of this region is mainly controlled by the middle latitude westerly circulation. The enhancement of the Asian summer monsoon could increase the precipitation in the southeast part of this regional, but, according to the degrees of dryness and the types of climate change in this paper, warming effects could offset precipitation increasing and make the area drier. The transition area of three natural zones is influenced by multiple interactions of climate systems from East Asia. A single climatic index, such as air temperature or precipitation, can not completely represent the regional features of climate change. As a result, areas of climate zones can be used as an important index in the regional climate change assessment. 相似文献
17.
"8.2 ka BP冷事件"的研究现状展望 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
统计了全新世早期气候突变事件"8.2 ka BP冷事件", 并对其触发机制及区域气候响应做了较深入的分析. 从各种气候记录的分布情况来看, 全新世早期的这次冷事件是全球性气候事件, 并非是一种局部气候变冷事件. 全新世早期Agassiz和Ojibway阻塞湖在大约8.47 cal ka BP时突然排泄, 可能是造成8.4～8.0 cal ka BP时期北大西洋地区突然降温的主要原因;另外, 8.4～8.0 cal ka BP期间的太阳辐射量减小或太阳活动减弱, 也可能对全新世早期的这次冷事件有一定强化作用. 由于西风带南移和季风环流减弱等原因的影响, 使得这次冷事件区域气候响应有明显的不同, 欧洲的中高纬度地区、东亚地区呈现一种冷干的气候状态;北美洲三分之二的地区降水量减少、风力加强;中美洲、非洲的大部分地区和阿拉伯半岛均以干旱为主;东欧、地中海地区呈现普遍的冷湿气候环境, 亚马逊盆地、智利玻利维亚高原呈现低湿的气候状况. 相似文献
18.
Paired stable oxygen isotope and Mg/Ca analyses in calcite tests of the mixed-layer-dwelling planktic foraminifer Globigerinoides ruber has been used to reconstruct equatorial Indian Ocean δ18O of seawater (δ18Osw) over the last ~137 thousand years. On the basis of ice-volume-corrected δ18Osw (δ18Osw–ivc), relative changes in sea surface salinity (SSS) have been estimated. The SSS estimates suggest three episodes of higher SSS (131–113 thousand years before present (kyr BP), 62–58 kyr BP, and 30–24 kyr BP) within the last glacial period as compared with the present. SSS comparison between interglacial episodes reveals that the surface seawater over the core site was significantly saltier during the penultimate interglacial than the Holocene. We suggest that the evolution of a seasonal insolation gradient between the Indian monsoon areas and the equator over the investigated time interval was instrumental in shaping the strength of the Indian winter and summer monsoons that left their imprints on the equatorial Indian Ocean SSS via freshwater input and wind-induced mixing. The study shows that the insolation difference between northern latitudes and the equator during winter affects monsoon strength in the Indian region, especially during cold intervals. 相似文献
19.
Indian Monsoon Variability in a Global Warming Scenario 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) constituted by the World Meteorological Organisation provides expert guidance regarding scientific and technical aspects of the climate problem. Since 1990 IPCC has, at five-yearlyintervals, assessedand reported on the current state of knowledge and understanding of the climate issue. These reports have projected the behaviour of the Asian monsoon in the warming world. While the IPCC Second Assessment Report (IPCC, 1996) on climate model projections of Asian/Indian monsoon stated ``Most climate models produce more rainfall over South Asia in a warmer climate with increasing CO2', the recent IPCC (2001) Third Assessment Report states ``It is likely that the warming associated with increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will cause an increase in Asian summer monsoon variability and changes in monsoon strength.'Climate model projections(IPCC, 2001) also suggest more El Niño – like events in the tropical Pacific, increase in surface temperatures and decrease in the northern hemisphere snow cover. The Indian Monsoon is an important component of the Asian monsoon and its links with the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, northern hemisphere surface temperature and Eurasian snow are well documented.In the light of the IPCC globalwarming projections on the Asian monsoon, the interannual and decadal variability in summer monsoon rainfall over India and its teleconnections have been examined by using observed data for the 131-year (1871–2001) period. While the interannual variations showyear-to-year random fluctuations, thedecadal variations reveal distinct alternate epochs of above and below normal rainfall. The epochs tend to last for about three decades. There is no clear evidence to suggest that the strength and variability of the Indian Monsoon Rainfall (IMR) nor the epochal changes are affected by the global warming. Though the 1990s have been the warmest decade of the millennium(IPCC, 2001), the IMR variability has decreased drastically.Connections between the ENSO phenomenon, Northern Hemisphere surface temperature and the Eurasian snow with IMR reveal that the correlations are not only weak but have changed signs in the early 1990s suggesting that the IMR has delinked not only with the Pacific but with the Northern Hemisphere/Eurasian continent also. The fact that temperature/snow relationships with IMR are weak further suggests that global warming need not be a cause for the recent ENSO-Monsoon weakening.Observed snow depth over theEurasian continent has been increasing, which could be a result of enhanced precipitation due to the global warming. 相似文献