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1.
In application to numerical analysis of geotechnical problems, the limit-state surface is usually not known in any closed form. The probability of failure can be assessed via the so-called reliability index. A minimization problem can naturally be formed with an implicit equality constraint defined as the limit-state function and optimization methods can be used for such problems. In this paper, a genetic algorithm is proposed and incorporated into a displacement finite element method to find the Hasofer–Lind reliability index. The probabilistic finite element method is then used to analyse the reliability of classical geotechnical systems. The performance of the genetic algorithm (GA) is compared with simpler probability methods such as the first-order-second-moment Taylor series method. The comparison shows that the GA can produce the results fairly quickly and is applicable to evaluation of the failure performance of geotechnical problems involving a large number of decision variables.  相似文献   

2.
In this study, a new reliability analysis method was developed based on the adaptive high-dimensional model representation (HDMR) and applied to geotechnical engineering problems. For practical problems requiring finite element (FE) analysis or other numerical methods to evaluate system responses such as stresses and deformations, an efficient and accurate metamodeling technique is needed because it is not efficient or straightforward to directly adopt the conventional sampling-based or gradient-based reliability analysis approaches. In this work, an adaptive metamodeling approach was created and studied based on the HDMR framework and augmented radial basis functions (ARBFs). In this adaptive ARBF-HDMR technique, a simple and inexpensive first-order ARBF-HDMR metamodel was first constructed to explicitly express a performance function, and an alternate first-order reliability method (FORM) was applied to locate the design point and compute the reliability index. A local window was then defined such that additional sample points were generated and a higher-order HDMR component function was created using ARBF and added to the existing ARBF-HDMR metamodel. The accuracy of the ARBF-HDMR metamodel was improved through this adaptive process, especially in the region surrounding the design point. One mathematical and four geotechnical engineering problems were studied and solved using the proposed adaptive ARBF-HDMR approach. The proposed method was found to be capable of obtaining accurate reliability indices within a few iterations in all test problems.  相似文献   

3.
传统有限元强度折减法在边坡稳定性数值分析中取得了一定的成功,但由于未考虑岩土体材料参数的变异性等不确定性因素,尚不能直接应用于边坡稳定性特别是动力稳定性可靠性分析问题。为此提出了基于有限元强度折减法的地震边坡动力稳定性可靠性分析方法。将有限元极限分析法、动力分析法和可靠性分析法三者耦合,分析求解边坡在地震作用下的动力稳定性可靠性问题,并将这一过程在数值计算程序中得以实现。在计算分析过程中,克服了原方法需不断人工试算才能得到边坡安全系数而无法量化处理问题,并对边坡动力失效准则进行了适用于程序化的改进,使其计算过程完全实现自主运行。结合典型算例分析结果表明,该方法显著的特点是能较全面地反映岩土体的动力特性和边坡岩土体材料强度参数的变异性及相关性,所得结果相对更加合理且更符合工程实际。该方法既是对有限元强度折减法的应用范围的有益推广,也为边坡动力稳定性可靠性问题研究提供了一条新的有效途径。  相似文献   

4.
对岩土工程数值分析的几点思考   总被引:6,自引:1,他引:5  
龚晓南 《岩土力学》2011,32(2):321-325
首先,介绍了笔者对我国岩土工程数值分析现状的调查结果及分析,然后,分析了采用连续介质力学分析岩土工程问题的关键,并讨论分析了岩土本构理论发展现状,提出对岩土本构理论发展方向的思考,最后对数值分析在岩土工程分析中的地位作了分析。分析表明,岩土工程数值分析结果是岩土工程师在岩土工程分析过程中进行综合判断的重要依据之一;采用连续介质力学模型求解岩土工程问题的关键是如何建立岩土的工程实用本构方程;建立多个工程实用本构方程结合积累大量工程经验才能促使数值方法在岩土工程中由用于定性分析转变到定量分析。  相似文献   

5.
A method based on the linearization of the limit state functions (LSFs) is applied to evaluate the reliability of series geotechnical systems. The approach only needs information provided by first order reliability method (FORM) results: the vector of reliability indices, β, of the LSFs composing the system; and their correlation matrix, R. Two common geotechnical problems—the stability of a slope in layered soil and a circular tunnel in rock—are employed to demonstrate the simplicity, accuracy and efficiency of the suggested procedure, and advantages of the linearization approach with respect to alternative computational tools are discussed. It is also found that, if necessary, the second order reliability method (SORM)—that approximates the true LSF better than FORM—can be employed to compute better estimations of the system’s reliability.  相似文献   

6.
岩土工程可靠度分析中,功能函数往往呈隐式且具有强非线性性质,而目前最为实用的矩方法,如JC法、二次二阶矩法,主要适用于显式功能函数情形。为此,将高效的统计矩估计方法和可靠度分析的高阶矩法相结合,提出了一种岩土工程可靠度分析的改进四阶矩方法。首先,通过引入变量的独立化变换和线性变换将功能函数转换为参考变量的函数,并结合多变量函数的单变量降维近似方法和参考变量计算节点与权系数的确定方法,建立了功能函数前四阶矩的高效点估计法。然后,将上述统计矩与立方正态变换假设相结合,提出了易于实现的岩土工程可靠度分析的改进四阶矩方法。最后,由数学算例验证了统计矩估计方法的效率和精度,并通过经典的岩土工程算例验证了建议的改进四阶矩方法具有高效率、高精度且操作简单等特点。  相似文献   

7.
High-steep slopes in open pit mines are much more likely to collapse due to mining operations. Challenges such as data acquisition, precise numerical models and adaptable methodologies have impeded more reliable results of slope stability analysis based on the current methods. Within this context, this paper proposes a combined methodology using light detection and ranging technology to capture high-resolution slope geometry, three-dimensional geological and geotechnical modeling technologies for creating high-quality numerical simulation models and finite-element slope stability analyses combined with a new automatic strength reduction technique to analyze complex geotechnical problems. At the end, the methodology introduces a time series analysis to improve the reliability of the calculated factor of safety. A case study in the deepest open pit mine in Hambach, Germany, was conducted to test and demonstrate the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed methodology.  相似文献   

8.
《地学前缘(英文版)》2018,9(6):1631-1638
To meet the high demand for reliability based design of slopes, we present in this paper a simplified HLRF(Hasofere Linde Rackwitze Fiessler) iterative algorithm for first-order reliability method(FORM). It is simply formulated in x-space and requires neither transformation of correlated random variables nor optimization tools. The solution can be easily improved by iteratively adjusting the step length. The algorithm is particularly useful to practicing engineers for geotechnical reliability analysis where standalone(deterministic) numerical packages are used. Based on the proposed algorithm and through direct perturbation analysis of random variables, we conducted a case study of earth slope reliability with complete consideration of soil uncertainty and spatial variability.  相似文献   

9.
现行的抗滑桩滑坡推力以及抗滑桩内力计算方法本质上属于定值方法,由于该方法未考虑边坡岩土体材料参数的变异性等不确定性因素,存在着抗滑桩支护不足或过度支护等问题,因此提出基于有限元强度折减法(SRFEM)的抗滑桩滑坡推力及抗滑桩内力可靠性分析方法。将极限分析法、有限元方法和可靠性分析法三者耦合,用2结点梁单元模拟抗滑桩受力状态,采用拉丁超立方抽样法(LHS)进行可靠度计算,分析求解边坡抗滑桩可靠性问题,并将该过程在数值计算程序中得以实现。对抗滑桩滑坡推力以及抗滑桩内力进行概率统计,得出函数分布关系,并根据已给定的失效概率控制值,反算出滑坡推力以及抗滑桩内力设计值。结合典型算例分析结果表明该法显著区别于一般方法,能较全面地反映出边坡整体现状特征和岩土体材料强度参数的变异性,相对更加合理,且更符合工程实际。  相似文献   

10.
Summary In mining and geotechnical engineering, it is usually necessary to carry out field measurements in order to obtain information. Parameters are often measured indirectly and calculated based on certain relationships to the measured quantities. More often, the number of measurements taken is greater than the minimum required, in order to increase the reliability of results. However, some data points are less reliable than others for reasons such as measurement errors; a solution which best fits the measurement data is obtained accordingly. As a result, there is a residual or a difference between the individual quantities measured and those predicted from the best-fit solution. This brings about a question of how big a residual is acceptable for a solution to be reliable. It is also important to know whether the data point with the largest residual is the most erroneous, whether those data points with large residuals should be deleted and how many of them should be deleted. Standard deviation may provide a measure of the data divergence but it is questionable if this parameter can be used as a measure of the reliability of solution. In order to solve these problems, the author has done extensive study in this area, especially as part of geotechnical data analysis. In this paper, the statistical multiple regression method is introduced to analyse the measurement data. The method is applied to the analysis ofin situ stress measurement and can be easily adopted to analyse data from other field measurements and laboratory tests. An example is included which illustrates the analysis procedure and shows the advantages of the method.  相似文献   

11.
可靠度分析中梯度求解方法的研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
谭晓慧  刘新荣 《岩土力学》2006,27(6):929-932
在岩土工程的可靠度分析中,功能函数的形式非常复杂,甚至是隐式的。而对于常用的可靠度分析方法,如一阶可靠性方法(FORM)、二阶可靠性方法(SORM)等,一个重要的问题是求功能函数对基本随机变量的梯度。因此,对于隐式的或复杂的显式功能函数,必须采用数值微分方法来求解功能函数的梯度。对于可靠度分析中常用的有限差分法(FDM)及有理多项式法(RPT)这两种数值微分方法,本文详细研究了二者问的异同及其求导结果与步长的关系,指出了对于相同的步长控制系数及取样方式,FDM是RPT在线性情况下的特例;对于连续的线性功能函数,可直接用3点FDM求导:对于连续的非线性功能函数,可用5点RPT求导;对于非连续的功能函数,应采用RPT求导。建议取步长控制系数等于1。  相似文献   

12.
范雷  唐辉明  胡斌  倪俊 《岩土力学》2008,29(3):624-628
极限平衡分析方法是斜坡稳定性评价中的常用方法,在长期的工程实践中积累了丰富的经验,但其不能考虑斜坡岩土体中实际存在的不确定性,在应用中具有一定的局限性。可靠度分析方法可有效地考虑斜坡系统内的不确定性和相关性,但因状态函数偏导数的求解比较困难,使可靠度分析方法在实际中应用不便。为解决上述问题,根据二元函数插值逼近原理,在矩形区域上构造拉格朗日不完全双二次多项式逼近状态函数,从而近似地计算状态函数的偏导数,求得状态函数的均值和方差,并利用精度较高的一次二阶矩方法来计算斜坡的可靠指标和破坏概率。据鄂西恩施地区马堡营滑坡实例分析表明,引入二元函数插值逼近的一次二阶矩方法计算结果与剩余推力法及Monte-carlo模拟方法结果一致,其精度可满足工程需求。  相似文献   

13.
受工程勘察成本及试验场地限制,可获得的试验数据通常有限,基于有限的试验数据难以准确估计岩土参数统计特征和边坡可靠度。贝叶斯方法可以融合有限的场地信息降低对岩土参数不确定性的估计进而提高边坡可靠度水平。但是,目前的贝叶斯更新研究大多假定参数先验概率分布为正态、对数正态和均匀分布,似然函数为多维正态分布,这种做法的合理性有待进一步验证。总结了岩土工程贝叶斯分析常用的参数先验概率分布及似然函数模型,以一个不排水黏土边坡为例,采用自适应贝叶斯更新方法系统探讨了参数先验概率分布和似然函数对空间变异边坡参数后验概率分布推断及可靠度更新的影响。计算结果表明:参数先验概率分布对空间变异边坡参数后验概率分布推断及可靠度更新均有一定的影响,选用对数正态和极值I型分布作为先验概率分布推断的参数后验概率分布离散性较小。选用Beta分布和极值I型分布获得的边坡可靠度计算结果分别偏于保守和危险,选用对数正态分布获得的边坡可靠度计算结果居中。相比之下,似然函数的影响更加显著。与其他类型似然函数相比,由多维联合正态分布构建的似然函数可在降低对岩土参数不确定性估计的同时,获得与场地信息更为吻合的计算结果。另外,构建似然函数时不同位置处测量误差之间的自相关性对边坡后验失效概率也具有一定的影响。  相似文献   

14.
Parameter calibration is one of the most problematic phases of numerical modeling since the choice of parameters affects the model’s reliability as far as the physical problems being studied are concerned. In some cases, laboratory tests or physical models evaluating model parameters cannot be completed and other strategies must be adopted; numerical models reproducing debris flow propagation are one of these. Since scale problems affect the reproduction of real debris flows in the laboratory or specific tests used to determine rheological parameters, calibration is usually carried out by comparing in a subjective way only a few parameters, such as the heights of soil deposits calculated for some sections of the debris flows or the distance traveled by the debris flows using the values detected in situ after an event has occurred. Since no automatic or objective procedure has as yet been produced, this paper presents a numerical procedure based on the application of a statistical algorithm, which makes it possible to define, without ambiguities, the best parameter set. The procedure has been applied to a study case for which digital elevation models of both before and after an important event exist, implicating that a good database for applying the method was available. Its application has uncovered insights to better understand debris flows and related phenomena.  相似文献   

15.
This study concerns the identification of constitutive models from geotechnical measurements by inverse analysis. Soil parameters are identified from measured horizontal displacements of sheet pile walls and from a measured pressuremeter curve. An optimization method based on a genetic algorithm (GA) and a principal component analysis (PCA), developed and tested on synthetic data in a previous paper, is applied. These applications show that the conclusions deduced from synthetic problems can be extrapolated to real problems. The GA is a robust optimization method that is able to deal with the non‐uniqueness of the solution in identifying a set of solutions for a given uncertainty on the measurements. This set is then characterized by a PCA that gives a first‐order approximation of the solution as an ellipsoid. When the solution set is not too curved in the research space, this ellipsoid characterizes the soil properties considering the measured data and the tolerate margins for the response of the numerical model. Besides, optimizations from different measurements provide solution sets with a common area in the research space. This intersection gives a more relevant and accurate identification of parameters. Finally, we show that these identified parameters permit to reproduce geotechnical measurements not used in the identification process. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

16.
Two advanced Kriging metamodeling techniques were used to compute the failure probability of geotechnical structures involving spatially varying soil properties. These methods are based on a Kriging metamodel combined with a global sensitivity analysis that is called in literature Global Sensitivity Analysis-enhanced Surrogate (GSAS) modeling for reliability analysis. The GSAS methodology may be used in combination with either the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) or importance sampling (IS) method. The resulting Kriging metamodeling techniques are called GSAS-MCS or GSAS-IS. The objective of these techniques is to reduce the number of calls of the mechanical model as compared with the classical Kriging-based metamodeling techniques (called AK-MCS and AK-IS) combining Kriging with MCS or IS. The soil uncertain parameters were assumed as non-Gaussian random fields. EOLE methodology was used to discretize these random fields. The mechanical models were based on numerical simulations. Some probabilistic numerical results are presented and discussed.  相似文献   

17.
The first order reliability method (FORM) is efficient, but it has limited accuracy; the second order reliability method (SORM) provides greater accuracy, but with additional computational effort. In this study, a new method which integrates two quasi-Newton approximation algorithms is proposed to efficiently estimate the second order reliability of geotechnical problems with reasonable accuracy. In particular, the Hasofer–Lind–Rackwitz–Fiessler–Broyden–Fletcher–Goldfarb–Shanno (HLRF–BFGS) algorithm is applied to identify the design point on the limit state function (LSF), and consequently to compute the first order reliability index; whereas the Symmetric Rank-one (SR1) algorithm is nested within the HLRF–BFGS algorithm to compute good approximations, yet with a reduced computational effort, of the Hessian matrix required to compute second order reliabilities. Three typical geotechnical problems are employed to demonstrate the ability of the suggested procedure, and advantages of the proposed approach with respect to conventional alternatives are discussed. Results show that the proposed method is able to achieve the accuracy of conventional SORM, but with a reduced computational cost that is equal to the computational cost of HLRF–BFGS-based FORM.  相似文献   

18.
Reliability analysis and multivariate statistical fitting are valuable techniques that enhance the scientific basis of regulatory decisions in geotechnical problems. This study introduces the use of several R packages specifically developed to assist risk assessors in their geotechnical projects. Firstly, the fitting of parameterised models either to the distribution of observed samples or to characterise the dependence structures among variables, or both is presented. Secondly, the most popular reliability analysis methods, such as the first- and second-order reliability methods and the random sampling simulation method, are implemented in R. The efficiency of implementing these classical approximation methods is demonstrated through two example problems.  相似文献   

19.
隧道围岩弹塑性随机有限元分析及可靠度计算   总被引:14,自引:2,他引:12  
徐军  郑颖人 《岩土力学》2003,24(1):70-74
在弹塑性有限元分析的初应力法基础上,推导了弹塑性随机有限元增量初应力法的计算迭代格式,结合可靠度理论,给出了围岩稳定的可靠度分析方法,在计算出可靠度的同时还给出了围岩和锚喷支护结构的应力特征值。并对一工程算例进行了详细的分析和讨论,得出了一些有益的结论。  相似文献   

20.
First order reliability method (FORM) is generally used for reliability analysis in geotechnical engineering. This article adopts generalized regression neural network (GRNN) based FORM, Gaussian process regression (GPR) based FORM and multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) based FORM for reliability analysis of quick sand condition. GRNN is related to the radial basis function (RBF) network. GPR is developed based on probabilistic framework. MARS is a nonparametric regression technique. A comparative study has been carried out between the developed models. The performance of GPR based FORM and MARS based FORM match well with the FORM. This article gives the alternative methods for reliability analysis of quick sand condition.  相似文献   

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