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1.
近年的研究指出 ,北半球植被的生长季节正在逐渐延长。这一根据大气二氧化碳浓度季节变化、陆地年平均气温和卫星遥感数据的推断 ,尚有待于利用对地面植被的实际观测资料予以检验。由于植物物候现象如开花、展叶、叶变秋色和落叶等客观地描述了陆地植被的季节性生长状况 ,所以 ,利用树木的物候发生期便可确定生长季节的开始与结束时间。文中分析了德国西部 10个自然区域近 30年来物候生长季节长度的时间波动 ,发现在 2 0世纪 70年代中期存在着一次趋势转折 ,从而表明 ,有关近几十年来北半球高纬地区植被生长季节在逐渐延长的结论 ,并不能代表德国西部的实际情况。进一步的研究显示 ,生长季节时间序列与指示其开始的春季物候发生期时间序列呈负相关关系 ,而与 1月或 2月气温时间序列呈正相关关系 ,由此推断 ,春季物候发生期与气温的变化可以作为检测生长季节长度波动的早期征兆。 相似文献
2.
遥感技术在植物物候研究中的应用综述 总被引：24，自引：1，他引：24
通过遥感技术研究植物物候现象的机理分析,认为植被指数可反映植被各物候期的特征。国内外在探测植物生长季始末日期、花期变化、净第一性生产力变化、全球碳收支等方面的研究促进了植物物候的发展;同样物候研究也可提高遥感影像植物分类和作物估产的精度,同时可促进高光谱遥感的发展。通过我国物候研究从传统的农林业应用转向注重遥感探测、生态学应用的现状分析,展望了我国物候发展方向：关注植物生长季始末时间的时空分布规律;遥感监测植物季相变化;遥感监测植物花期;注重探讨植物生理和生态特征;植物高光谱遥感物候研究;重视物候科普普及工作。 相似文献
3.
水分胁迫具有后效应,前期水分胁迫可以影响作物后期叶面积和需水量的增减。以Jensen作物 水模型为基础,引入了水分胁迫后效应影响系数,对原模型进行了修正。修正后的模型可以将阶段水分胁迫与前期胁迫后效应对产量的影响加以区分,避免了原模型中可能产生的虚缺水现象,并可对作物(以玉米为例)前期水分胁迫处理后,后期需水量增加以及苗期胁迫处理可维持较高产量的原因进行合理解释。通过田间试验结果分析,改进后模型的模拟结果符合实际,并具有较好的精度。对模型存在的问题和不足也进行了探讨。 相似文献
4.
Changing growing‐season properties in the northern latitudes are among the most obvious consequences of ongoing global change. Available techniques including satellite monitoring and phenological observations enable the detection of changes over the last few decades to centuries, but the full range of natural variability is still difficult to capture. Here we introduce a new approach to reconstruct growing season properties, by studying imprints of prolonged growing season on epidermal cell growth in Betula nana. A high correlation between cell expansion determined in annually collected B. nana leaves and subfossil leaf fragments collected from recent peat sections in northern Scandinavia, and climatic indices such as budburst date, growing‐season degree‐days and May–September mean temperatures, enable the establishment of a new micro‐phenological proxy for growing season characteristics. The applicability of the epidermal cell undulation index (UI) is tested by comparison with historical instrumental records of growing‐season degree‐days for the last 200 a. The results demonstrate the potential of the new leaf‐morphology‐based technique to reconstruct and quantify past changes in growing degree‐days beyond instrumental data series. Applied to abundant B. nana leaf remains from peat and lake sediments, the UI may enable a reconstruction of growing degree‐days throughout the Holocene and other parts of the late Quaternary. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
5.
青藏高原多年冻土区高寒草甸植物种群物候学定量研究 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
采用青藏高原腹地北麓河多年冻土区高寒草甸14种代表性植物种群2009年和2010年两个生长季的物候观测资料, 进行植物种群物候学特征的定量分析, 划分物候类型并指出影响不同物候期的环境因子主次. 结果表明: 营养期和结实期的物候指数都较大, 分别为32.70和24.39, 其他物候期则相对较小; 整个生长期持续天数较短, 为155 d左右. 14种植物可划分为3种类型和6大类群. 在营养期和整个生长期, 与物候变化最为密切的环境因子为降水量, 其次为日照时数, 温度居第三; 而影响其他物候期的因子均以日照时数为主, 降水量和温度依次居后. 相似文献
6.
Drought is a common occurrence in Nebraska and agriculture is the primary economic sector affected. Because of repeated and
widespread severe drought impacts, more emphasis on drought risk management is warranted. This study develops an agricultural
drought risk assessment model using multivariate techniques. The model is specific to corn and soybeans and is able to assess
real-time agricultural drought risk associated with crop yield losses at critical phenological stages prior to and during
the growing season. The assessment results are presented in a Geographic Information System to provide a better visualization.
This model provides information in a timely manner about potential agricultural drought risks on dryland crop yield to decision
makers ranging from agricultural producers to policy makers from local to national levels. 相似文献
7.
采取田间试验方法,研究了南方丘陵典型季节性干旱区节水稻基农田作物轮作与灌溉模式的需水规律和稻田水分利用率.结果表明,节水稻基农田作物轮茬与灌溉模式通过对水稻和油菜等作物产生的生长调控作用和补偿生效应,使植株蒸腾量、棵间蒸发量及稻田渗漏量大幅降低,各阶段的腾发量、需水强度和需水模系均发生显著变化,形成了稻基农田作物轮茬与灌溉模式新的需水规律.与常规双季模式相比,节水灌溉双季稻模式、水旱轮作双季稻模式、稻油轮作模式的需水强度分别减少了0.76、1.15、0.71 mm/d,渗漏强度分别减少了0.12、0.16、0.19mm/d,水分利用率提高了30.14%、47.95%、17.81%. 相似文献
8.
Analysis of extreme low-temperature events during the warm season in Northeast China 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
The trends of global warming are increasingly significant, especially in the middle and high latitude regions of the northern
hemisphere, where the impact of climate change on extreme events is becoming more noticeable. Northeast China is located in
a high latitude region and is sensitive to climate change. Extreme minimum temperatures causing cold damage during the warm
season is a major type of agro-meteorological disaster in Northeast China, which causes serious reductions in crop yield.
In this paper, we analyzed the temporal and spatial trends in the frequency of extreme minimum temperatures during the warm
season (from May to September) during 1956–2005 in Northeast China. Abrupt climatic changes were identified using the Mann–Kendall
test. The results show that the frequency of extreme minimum temperature days during the warm season in Northeast China decreases
significantly from 1956 to 2005 with a background of climate warming. The highest number of extreme minimum temperature days
occurred in the 1970s and 1980s, and there was an abrupt climatic change in 1993. The spatial analysis identified that the
north and southeast of the region experienced a larger decrease in the number of extreme low temperature days than the west
and south of the region. Rice, sorghum, corn, and soybeans are most vulnerable to cold damage. In severe low temperature years,
the average crop yield was reduced by 15.2% in Northeast China. 相似文献
9.
Cynthia H. Paquette Karen L. Sundberg Roelof M. J. Boumans Gail L. Chmura 《Estuaries and Coasts》2004,27(1):82-89
We examine the potential for diurnal variation in elevation of saltmarsh surfaces as a source of error in long-term experiments;
errors particularly critical in high precision studies that employ the surface elevation table (SET) as a means to monitor
elevations. The field study was carried out along the New Brunswick coast of the Bay of Fundy in high and low zones at three
marshes with different tidal ranges. We used a total of 16 benchmark pipes and controlled for daily variability in evapotranspiration
(ET), as well as timing of tidal flooding, two factors that affect soil water storage, and consequently soil volumes. In six
of nine trials we detected significant elevation change over periods as short as 5 d. Marsh-wide averages ranged from 1.2
to 3.0 mm, greater than the yearly increase in relative sea level in many regions. Wood Point marsh had the highest tidal
range, but lowest soil organic matter content, giving its soils the lowest compressibility and little sensitivity to ET during
two of three trials; the average change in elevation in Wood Point high marsh stations was 4.0 mm during the last trial. Greater
differences later in the growing season (while temperature changes were minor) at Wood Point and another site suggest that
plant transpiration drove changes in water storage at those sites. Significantly greater differences in elevation with lower
plant cover in the third marsh suggests that evaporation drove changes in water storage there. Surface elevation change due
to ET should be of greatest concern to SET users in temperate regions where there are large changes in plant biomass and variable
temperatures. Variation due to plant transpiration could be reduced if yearly monitoring is scheduled before the start of
the growing season. 相似文献
10.
基于新疆阿勒泰地区5个国家气象站的逐日平均气温、 最高气温和最低气温气象数据, 利用一元线性回归、 9 a滑动平均等方法分析了该地区近52年极端气温的时空变化规律。结果表明： （1）阿勒泰地区平均气温、 平均最高气温、 平均最低气温均显著上升, 上升速率为0.40、 0.29、 0.58 ℃·（10a）-1; 秋、 冬季上升幅度最大。（2）极端最高气温、 最低气温极高值、 暖昼、 暖夜以不同的速率上升（增加）, 分别为0.19 ℃·（10a）-1、 0.58 ℃·（10a）-1、 1.45 d·（10a）-1、 3.37 d·（10a）-1。气温日较差以-0.29 ℃·（10a）-1的速率下降; 生长季长度呈上升趋势, 增加速率为3.31 d·（10a）-1。暖日、 暖夜在四季均呈上升趋势。除极端最高气温和生长季长度外, 其他指数均有50%以上的站点呈上升趋势。（3）极端最低气温、 最高气温极低值分别以0.68、 0.48 ℃·（10a）-1的速率上升; 冷昼、 冷夜、 冰日、 霜日均呈下降趋势, 减少速率分别为-1.57、 -3.69、 -1.79、 -4.40 d·（10a）-1。仅冷夜、 霜日两个指数在所有站点显著下降。（4）冷指数的减小幅度大于暖指数的增大幅度, 夜指数的减小幅度大于昼指数的增大幅度。 相似文献
11.
1961 - 2016年秦岭山区冷季积雪日数变化特征及其影响因子 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
根据1961 - 2016年秦岭地区32个气象站点的气温、 降水及积雪等相关数据, 运用REOF、 M-K检验和小波分析等方法, 对秦岭地区冷季积雪日数的时空变化和影响因子进行分析。结果表明： 秦岭地区冷季多年平均积雪日数表现为北坡比南坡积雪日数多。在全球气候变暖的背景下, 海拔越高积雪日数减少的越多。秦岭冷季积雪日数呈现显著减少的趋势, 5个区的积雪日数年代际变化特征显著, 在20世纪末到21世纪初发生了由积雪日数偏多到偏少的突变。各区冷季积雪日数的周期变化主要集中在10 ~ 20 a, 秦岭南坡同时也显示了较为明显的4 a左右的周期变化。西北太平洋海温阶段性增暖是导致秦岭冷季积雪日数减少的外强迫因素。秦岭地区冷季平均气温的显著增暖和冷季降水量的显著减少直接造成积雪日数的减少。秦岭冷季积雪日数减少的突变要比气温增暖的突变大约滞后4 ~ 7 a。 相似文献
12.
Apple orchard phenology response to desiccation and temperature changes in Urmia Lake region 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
V. Eisavi S. Homayouni E. Rezaei-Chiyaneh 《International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology》2017,14(9):1865-1878
Agricultural production activities, such as those for various fruits and cereals, play a significant role in the local economy and food security of the Urmia Lake region. In particular, this region has thousands of hectares of apple orchards, which have an important socioeconomic impact on the life of people. Climate and land cover changes over the past several decades threaten the apple orchards phenology (AOP). Recent studies have emphasized the effect of temperature on plant phenology; however, they have overlooked the influence of land cover changes, such as Lake Desiccation, on plant phenology. Meanwhile, how climate change and Lake Desiccation will affect the AOP is still not very well understood. Therefore, in this study, we used the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) extracted from remote sensing images acquired by the MODIS sensor spanning from 2003 to 2014, in order to extract the AOP events. Furthermore, we used a random forest regression (RFR) for analyzing the relationship between temperature changes/Lake Desiccation and AOP. The results revealed that EVI is a very useful tool for estimating the AOP with a mean root-mean-square error of 6.25 days. Moreover, there is a linear trend toward the early start of season in this region. The end of season (EOS) and the growing season length have also increased in the areas closer to the lake until 2008. This seems that the delayed EOS in the area closest to Urmia Lake has been associated with the lake microclimate since 2008. 相似文献
13.
物候对全球变暖响应的研究综述 总被引：73，自引：4，他引：73
近100年来，尤其是在最近20多年，全球平均表面温度出现了显著上升，全球变暖已成为全球关注的重要问题。物候现象与气候等环境因素息息相关，物候对全球变暖的响应研究正在成为物候研究的一个新的热点领域，NDVI正日益成为植被对气候响应研究的重要手段。概述了当前物候对全球变暖响应研究的主要进展。基于实地动植物等物候观测和遥感监测的大量研究表明，近期动植物等物候正发生着显著变化：北半球中高纬度地区植被生长季延长、植物提早开花、昆虫提早出现、鸟类提早产蛋以及冰川退缩、永冻土带融化、江河湖泊结冰推迟而融化提早等，与气候变暖有密切关系，是对全球变暖的明显响应。目前国内的许多研究者在物候对气候变暖响应方面做了一些工作，但与国际研究进展相比，还有许多研究工作有待于进一步开展。 相似文献
14.
Variation in nitrate and calcium as indicators of recharge pathways in Nolte Spring, PA 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
This study documents variations in calcium and nitrate concentrations that suggest changes in recharge pathways in a karst
spring. The nitrate concentrations increased at the end of the growing season, showing the importance of the soil zone in
the recharge pathway. The increase occurred over just a few days, which may be indicative of a change in contribution of baseflow
in different seasons from deep to shallow groundwater. The calcium concentrations decreased several days after storm events.
A change in the carbonate equilibrium is hypothesized because chloride was not diluted during these events. The decrease in
calcium could be due to outgassing and calcite precipitation in the recharge area when older, higher ionic strength matrix
water mixes with stormwater in open conduits. The use of geochemical indicators to better understand recharge pathways benefited
from long-term monitoring and periods of daily sampling. 相似文献
15.
选择长江中下游单季中稻为研究对象,结合45个气象站1961~2010年逐日气象资料,基于统计降尺度模型(SDSM),生成HadCM3气候模式A2和B2两种情景下各站点参考作物腾发量和降水数据。基于联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)推荐的作物系数法,并考虑有效性降雨和不同地区深层渗漏量,分析历史和未来的水稻灌溉需水时空变化特征。结果表明:过去50年,除了太湖流域以外的长江中下游大部分区域的参考作物腾发量和水稻需水量都呈显著下降趋势,而显著下降的水稻灌溉需水量主要位于鄱阳湖流域;未来两种情景下,参考作物腾发量、水稻需水量和水稻灌溉需水量均值都呈下降趋势,但水稻灌溉需水量降幅最小;水稻需水量和水稻灌溉需水量在长江中下游地区的变化趋势具有明显的空间异质性,水稻需水量大幅减少的区域由太湖流域向汉江和洞庭湖流域扩展。未来水稻灌溉需水量减少的区域主要分布在太湖流域、汉江流域东部和洞庭湖流域北部,并随时间推移呈扩大趋势。 相似文献
16.
Tidal freshwater marshes around the world face an uncertain future with increasing water levels, salinity intrusion, and temperature and precipitation shifts associated with climate change. Due to the characteristic abundance of both annual and perennial species in these habitats, even small increases in early growing season water levels may reduce seed germination, seedling establishment, and late-season plant cover, decreasing overall species abundance and productivity. This study looks at the distribution of tidal freshwater marsh plant species at Jug Bay, Patuxent River (Chesapeake Bay, USA), with respect to intertidal elevation, and the relationship between inundation early in the growing season and peak plant cover to better understand the potential impacts and marsh responses to increased inundation. Results show that 62% of marsh plant species are distributed at elevations around mean high water and are characterized by narrow elevation ranges in contrast with species growing at lower elevations. In addition, the frequency and duration of inundation and water depth to which the marsh was exposed to, prior to the growing season (March 15–May 15), negatively affected peak plant cover (measured in end-June to mid-July) after a threshold value was reached. For example, 36 and 55% decreases in peak plant cover were observed after duration of inundation threshold values of 25 and 36% was reached for annual and perennial species, respectively. Overall, this study suggests that plant communities of tidal freshwater marshes are sensitive to even small systematic changes in inundation, which may affect species abundance and richness as well as overall wetland resiliency to climate change. 相似文献
17.
Managing crop stubble during fallow period for soil water conservation: field experiment and modelling 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
In the arid and semi-arid environments where the rainfall is limited and variable, fallow period soil moisture conservation using stubble is one of the ways of increasing the soil moisture required for crop sowing and development. However, the effectiveness of moisture conservation using stubble depends on the paddock management, soil water content, and rainfall characteristics. To assess the effect of stubble rate and amount of rainfall on the soil moisture conservation, a two-season field experiment was conducted using four stubble rates (0, 2, 4, 6 t/ha) and two water supply amounts. The soil water dynamics was also analysed using a validated Agricultural Production System Simulator (APSIM). In the relatively wet summer season with a high initial soil water content, the amount of water stored in the 2, 4, and 6 t/ha stubble rate treatment plots was higher than that of the bare plots by 10.4, 15.9, and 17.8 mm, respectively. However, in the summer season with a relatively high amount of in-season water input and low initial soil water content, the soil water storage was increased by 29.4, 35.6, and 43.0 mm, respectively. Comparing the results of the two seasons, the highest increase was observed for the 2 t/ha stubble rate. The amount of conserved soil moisture was found to be the highest when the soil profile water content at the start of the summer-fallow period is low and the amount of rain during the summer season is high. The good agreement between the measured and APSIM-simulated soil water contents (R 2 = 0.812), indicates that the model can be used to assess the soil water dynamics under a fallow condition. The APSIM-simulated soil water balance using the weather data of the past 100 years indicated that in a year with low start-of-fallow period soil water content, a 6 t/ha stubble rate can increase the end-of-fallow period soil moisture by up to 60 %. 相似文献
18.
19.
通过监测三江源玛沁县高寒草甸2017年度植被特征及土壤呼吸通量, 探讨了不同退化阶段植被群落、 土壤呼吸特征及其协同关系, 并分析了土壤呼吸的温度敏感性。结果表明： 随着高寒草甸退化程度加剧, 禾本科植物重要值降低, 毒杂草显著增加（P<0.05）; 植被盖度、 物种数、 多样性指数显著下降（P<0.05）, 重度退化阶段的地上生物量比轻度、 中度退化阶段降低了25.36%、 22.37%（P<0.05）; 在中度退化条件下, 均匀度指数和地下生物量显著增多（P<0.05）。在各退化阶段, 土壤呼吸年内均呈单峰式变化过程, 表现出生长季高、 非生长季低的特征, 植物生长旺季（7 - 8月）最高, 且与5 cm深度处土壤温度之间呈显著指数关系（P<0.05）; 2017年轻度退化、 中度退化和重度退化阶段的土壤呼吸碳排放总量分别为626.89 gC·m-2、 386.66 gC·m-2、 393.81 gC·m-2; 同时, 土壤呼吸与植被群落演替具有显著的协同性, 随着退化程度加剧土壤呼吸速率下降。轻度退化、 中度退化、 重度退化阶段土壤呼吸的温度敏感性系数（Q10）分别为2.82、 3.54和2.35, 表明中度退化条件下的温度敏感性最强, 重度退化条件下最弱。 相似文献
20.
V Prasanna 《Journal of Earth System Science》2014,123(5):1129-1145
The study focuses on understanding the variations of precipitation during summer monsoon season and its impact on Kharif and Rabi foodgrain yield over India. Total foodgrain yield over India during Kharif (summer) season is directly affected by variations in the summer monsoon precipitation (June–September). An increase (decrease) in rainfall is generally associated with an increase (decrease) in foodgrain yield. A similar correspondence during the Rabi (winter) foodgrain yield is not evident. The Rabi crop is not directly affected by variations in the post-monsoon precipitation (October–December) alone, also the summer season precipitation influences the Rabi crop through water and soil moisture availability over many parts of India. Though the reduction of rainfall activity during the entire summer monsoon season leads to reduction in crop yields, the occurrence of prolonged rainfall breaks also causes adverse effect on the crop growth resulting in reduced crop yields. 相似文献