共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Predicting plausible impacts of sets of climate and land use change scenarios on water resources 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
Susanna T.Y. Tong Yu SunThushara Ranatunga Jie HeY. Jeffrey Yang 《Applied geography (Sevenoaks, England)》2012,32(2):477-489
Our world is changing at an unprecedented rate in terms of climate and land use, but these changes can affect our water resources. Hence, we need a methodology that can predict both their individual and agglomerative ramifications. Using the Little Miami River (LMR) watershed as a case study, this paper describes a spatial analytical approach integrating mathematical modeling and geographical information sciences to quantitatively examine the relative importance of the separate and combined hydrologic and water quality impacts of climate and land use changes.The Hydrologic Simulation Program - Fortran (HSPF) model was chosen in this study to simulate stream flow and nutrient transport process. Five hypothetical climate change scenarios were used to cover the possible ranges of variability in the year 2050. An enhanced population-coupled Markov-Cellular Automata (CA-Markov) land use model was developed to predict the 2050 land use pattern. When these scenarios were incorporated into the HSPF model, the future conditions in the LMR basin were postulated. The findings demonstrated that: 1) the LMR watershed would experience an increase in flow and nutrients under the 2050 land use projection, 2) stream flow and water quality impacts would be amplified when both climate and land use changes were simultaneously considered, 3) land use change (and in the case of the LMR watershed, urbanization) could help to alleviate water shortage during the dry years, 4) total phosphorus and nitrogen would increase under all future climate and land use scenarios; the highest increase was found under the combined wettest and future land use scenarios, and 5) the described approach is effective in simulating the hydrologic and water quality effects of climate and land use changes in a basin scale. These results are relevant to planners; they can be useful in formulating realistic watershed management policies and mitigation measures. 相似文献
2.
半干旱区流域水文的景观生态研究与设计:地理信息系统辅助的过程模拟 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
人类正在面临严重的社会危机和环境危机,而这些危机均与人口的无节制增长及人类过分消耗能量有关。为了缓解或扭转这种危机,除了减缓人口的增长外,必须提高能量使用和土地空间使用的有效性。实现这个目标的根本在于掌握好经济的可计量价值与生态的不可计量价值的平衡。掌握这个平衡的有效手段便是景观生态规划。景观生态规划的关键在于:各类相互冲突的土地利用要在空间上做合理的安排,以致于各利用单元之间的负作用得以避免,生态系统的基本功能得以保存。景观生态规划的目的是寻求最佳土地管理措施。流域土地管理的核心是:保护生态景观,保护生物食物链的健康有序,增加土壤的储水和渗水能力,增加地表水的分散性分布和地下水的有效补给。为了达到这些目标,流域土地的管理和生态价值的恢复必须对人文与自然因子进行细致的调查和统筹地考虑。为了具体地实现这些目标,我们计划对兰州市及其潜在的生态依赖——马衔山/兴隆山进行整体的景观生态调查。建立一个适合于半干旱区的景观生态模式。 相似文献
3.
流域LUCC水文效应研究中的若干问题探讨 总被引：21，自引：2，他引：21
随着全球变化研究的深入,土地利用/覆被变化(LUCC)的水文效应研究日益成为热点问题。综合国内外研究进展,论文就流域土地利用/覆被变化水文效应研究中的几个问题进行了总结和探讨：子流域和水文响应单元是分布式水文模型对流域基本空间单元的理想划分;对国内外现有的土地利用分类系统进行了适当的调整和归并,建立了基于水文响应研究的土地利用分类系统,将土地利用分为9个Ⅰ级类和21个II级类;土地利用/覆被变化情景分析的常用方法有参照对比法、历史反演法、模型预测法、极端土地利用法、土地利用空间配置法等。 相似文献
4.
黄土高原小流域土地利用优化调控 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
At present, land use optimization at small watershed scale is the key measure to control soil erosion, restore the eco-environment
and improve the farmers’ living standard on the Loess Plateau, China. Based on the land use survey maps of 1966, 1988, 1997,
2003 and the digital topographic map of 1984 in Yangou watershed, and assisted by spatial techniques of GIS, the basic characteristics
and driving forces of land use change in Yangou watershed are analyzed. According to the summarization of land-use optimization
characteristics since 1997, and with the help of continuous monitoring data for years and farmer investigation data, this
paper appraises eco-environmental benefits, economic benefits and sustainability of Yangou watershed. We have used sediment
reduction benefits, coverage ratio of permanent vegetation, per capita food production and per capita income of farmers as
indices. The results show that Yangou watershed project has successfully controlled the soil and water loss and the farmers’
living standard has been improved markedly by reasonable adjustment to land use structure. The benefit of sediment reduction
is higher than 80% and the coverage ratio of permanent vegetation reaches 61.03%. In 2006, the per capita income increased
by 1493 yuan compared with the year 1998. The successful measures and experiences of Yangou watershed are worth promoting
on the Loess Plateau. 相似文献
5.
At present, land use optimization at small watershed scale is the key measure to control soil erosion, restore the eco-environment and improve the farmers’ living standard on the Loess Plateau, China. Based on the land use survey maps of 1966, 1988, 1997, 2003 and the digital topographic map of 1984 in Yangou watershed, and assisted by spatial techniques of GIS, the basic characteristics and driving forces of land use change in Yangou watershed are analyzed. According to the summarization of land-use optimization characteristics since 1997, and with the help of continuous monitoring data for years and farmer investigation data, this paper appraises eco-environmental benefits, economic benefits and sustainability of Yangou watershed. We have used sediment reduction benefits, coverage ratio of permanent vegetation, per capita food production and per capita income of farmers as indices. The results show that Yangou watershed project has successfully controlled the soil and water loss and the farmers’ living standard has been improved markedly by reasonable adjustment to land use structure. The benefit of sediment reduction is higher than 80% and the coverage ratio of permanent vegetation reaches 61.03%. In 2006, the per capita income increased by 1493 yuan compared with the year 1998.The successful measures and experiences of Yangou watershed are worth promoting on the Loess Plateau. 相似文献
6.
Sean Cornell 《The Professional geographer》2013,65(1):131-133
The fluvial system represents a nested hierarchy that reflects the relationship among different spatial and temporal scales. Within the hierarchy, larger scale variables influence the characteristics of the next lower nested scale. Ecoregions represent one of the largest scales in the fluvial hierarchy and are defined by recurring patterns of geology, climate, land use, soils, and potential natural vegetation. Watersheds, the next largest scale, are often nested into a single ecoregion and therefore have properties that are indicative of a given ecoregion. Differences in watershed morphology (relief, drainage density, circularity ratio, relief ratio, and ruggedness number) were evaluated among three ecoregions in eastern Oklahoma: Ozark Highlands, Boston Mountains, and Ouachita Mountains. These ecoregions were selected because of their high-quality stream resources and diverse aquatic communities and are of special management interest to the Oklahoma Department of Wildlife Conservation. One hundred thirty-four watersheds in first- through fourth-order streams were compared. Using a nonparametric, two-factor analysis of variance (α= 0.05) we concluded that the relief, drainage density, relief ratio, and ruggedness number all changed among ecoregion and stream order, whereas circularity ratio only changed with stream order. Our study shows that ecoregions can be used as a broad-scale framework for watershed management. 相似文献
7.
黄河中游多沙粗沙区流域坡面水保措施变化特征 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
选用Landsat TM、环境星CCD、SPOT4 和资源三号卫星影像等多源地学数据,通过人机交互式解译和修订土地利用与梯田数据,提出用相邻图幅递进回归分析法消除NDVI时相差异后反演植被盖度,构建起退耕还林还草面积比例、植被盖度均值变化量和有效梯田累计保存面积比例3 个坡面特征变化指示参数后,运用综合聚类分析和多要素贡献率模型研究黄河中游多沙粗沙区的流域坡面水保措施变化特征。结果表明：（1） 1998-2010 年间研究区内流域坡面水保措施变化显著,平均退耕还林还草面积比例为5.55%,平均林草植被盖度均值增加20.63%,平均有效梯田累计保存面积比例达6.25%;（2） 多要素水保措施变化共同作用下的流域坡面变化特征主要有7 种类型,即植被盖度变化主导型、植被—土地变化主导型、土地—植被变化主导型、植被—梯田变化主导型、梯田—植被变化主导型、梯田面积变化主导型和多要素变化共同主导型;（3） 不同类型的空间分布存在一定的地貌背景差异,后续研究应结合流域坡面变化特征及其地貌格局来优化配置水保措施,并合理估计水沙模型模拟的敏感性参数。 相似文献
8.
Water supply must take into consideration a variety of factors, including consumer habits, options and needs. Little is known about water demands in rural areas of developing regions. Based on data from southern Mali, this paper banks on the hypothesis that water consumption in rural villages can be predicted by combining measurable variables with spatial analyses. A ten-day field campaign was carried out at the end of the dry season 2016. All improved water sources were checked for functionality, flow rate and water quality. Outcomes were coupled with those from over one-hundred household interviews and incorporated into a geographic database. Buffered network analyses were used to quantify the main spatial determinants for water use. Simple and multiple regression models were then developed to establish the main predictors for per capita and household water consumption. Multiple regression reveals that models based on the number of household members, travel time and total travel distance provide robust forecasts for water consumption (R2 > 0.93). Conversely, potentially relevant parameters such as affordability or water quality were not statistically significant. This could be attributed to the presence of free water sources and to the absence of quality-monitoring, respectively. Outcomes also suggest that having access to basic means of transportation, such as pushcarts, doubles water consumption at the household level. In terms of access to improved water sources, coverage was found to be lower in practice than on paper. These outcomes contribute to the growing body of literature that challenges the widely accepted assumption that 90% of the world population has access to safe drinking supplies. 相似文献
9.
10.
典型岩溶农业区地下水质与土地利用变化分析——以云南小江流域为例 总被引：17，自引：0，他引：17
以云南省泸西县小江典型岩溶农业流域为研究单元,利用1982和2004的地下水质数据及1982的航片和2004年的TM影像,在GIS支持下,研究其20年来的地下水质的时空变化及原因。结果表明：20年来流域地下水质在时间、空间分布上均发生较大的变化;流域耕地扩张和大量化肥、农药使用带来的非点源污染,造成地下水中的NH4+、SO42-、NO3-、NO2-、Cl- 离子含量及pH值、总硬度、总碱度明显升高并超标,而林地减少或林地质量的下降,土地发生石漠化时,地下水中的Ca2+、HCO3- 浓度明显降低,同时,地下水各指标的空间变化与土地利用空间格局的变化表现出动态一致性。 相似文献
11.
基于RS和GIS的济宁市土地利用变化及生态安全研究 总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10
在RS/GIS技术的支持下,选择南四湖流域典型市域——济宁市为研究区,基于多源数据,揭示了研究区1987～2008年的土地利用时空变化特点,进一步构建"隐患-状态-免疫"的生态安全评价指标体系,采用组合赋权法确定指标权重,应用改进TOPSIS模型实现了100 m×100 m栅格水平上的生态安全综合评价。结果表明:研究区土地利用变化较为剧烈且具有独特的区域特色,其总体特征为耕地、林地、草地和未利用地的面积持续下降,建设用地急剧扩张,水域面积则先降后升;20 a来,研究区生态安全状况经历了先恶化后改善的变化趋势,南水北调工程的实施、环境治理和生态建设加大是2000年后研究区生态安全好转的主要驱动力;研究区生态安全状态空间差异明显,东部山地丘陵区和南四湖区最好,中部和西北部地区最差,其余区域基本处在预警状态。研究结果可为研究区生态建设和土地生态安全格局的制定提供依据。 相似文献
12.
Rapid channel erosion in the Rio Puerco watershed of northwest New Mexico has been attributed to land use, climate changes, and internal channel adjustments. The objectives of this study were to assess (1) the impacts of land uses on sediment load, (2) the quantitative relationships between land use and sediment load, and (3) the effectiveness of different erosion control methods. The impacts of land uses on sediment load were assessed via hypotheses that, holding other erosion-related variables constant, sediment load correlates positively with grazing intensity and with density of unpaved roads, and correlates negatively with the number of erosion control treatments. We calculated the average annual sediment load for 17 subbasins of 0.67–17.97 km2 by comparing sediment accumulation at two points in time (mid-1960s and 1999) behind intact sediment retention structures. We assessed land use via grazing records and measurements of unpaved roads generated from aerial photographs. Soil characteristics, vegetation, and physical factors were quantified for each subbasin. Using 18 variables for each subbasin, we employed Mallow's Cp as a selection criterion. We used six statistical models, including multiple regression and principal components analysis, to determine inherent mathematical relationships between significant independent variables and sediment load. The results indicate that sediment load does not correlate with grazing intensity except in small, relatively low-relief basins with fewer bedrock exposures. However, this interpretation may be compromised by the low quality of data available to quantify grazing. Sediment load is highly sensitive to the presence of unpaved roads, which serve as high gradient, channelized conduits of water and sediment during storms. Sediment load does not correlate with erosion control except in the subset of small, relatively low-relief subbasins that also proved sensitive to grazing intensity. Overall, the statistical analyses suggest that the impact of land uses on sediment load can be assessed using the data available although physical factors appear more significant than land use in producing high sediment loads in the Rio Puerco subbasins. Historical erosion control techniques, as implemented in the Rio Puerco watershed, prove largely ineffective against accelerated sediment loads because they have not been appropriately implemented or maintained. 相似文献
13.
黄土高原典型小流域道路特征及影响因素 总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4
通过GPS野外实测黄土高原纸坊沟小流域的道路特征,在GIS空间分析等方法支持下研究了流域内各级道路的分布规律。研究表明:黄土高原道路可分为4级,2级以下的土路是小流域的代表路型。各级别道路总长度都随级别增大而增加且累计总长度与道路级别线性相关,道路平均长度和密度则随级别增大而减小。道路网系和流域水系在结构规律上具有一定的相似性。不同级别道路分布范围受地形特征影响不同。爬坡道路坡度与地表坡度之间存在线性回归关系,且次级道路分布受主路控制;典型爬坡路在大于25°坡度范围内多呈"之"字形弯曲,随坡度的减小道路弯曲跨度和与等高线夹角增大。研究结果有助于定量模拟黄土高原地区道路分布特征,并为土壤侵蚀模型中道路影响因子的确定提供参考。 相似文献
14.
15.
于桥水库流域地表水非点源N时空变化特征 总被引：18，自引：5，他引：18
在野外水样监测（1999年5月－2000年10月）和土地利用调查的基础上，利用遥感影像和数字化地形图，运用GIS的空间分析和图形叠置功能，研究于桥水库域地表水非点源N的时空变化特征。结果表明，在时间上，NH4^ －N的峰值出现在枯水期，而NO3^-N的峰值出现在丰水期；在空间上，NH4^ －N含量在中部平原区最高，南部丘陵和北部山区居其次，NO3^-N含量的变化则不具有明显的规律性。NH4^ －N和NO3^-不同的时空分布特征与它们的化学性质及流域内土地利用格局有关。 相似文献
16.
黄土丘陵区燕沟流域土地利用变化与优化调控 总被引：47，自引：2，他引：47
采用GIS空间分析技术，分析和概括了1966－2000年期间燕沟流域土地利用变化时空过程及其基本特征：解析了土地利用变化的主要成因；总结了1997年以来土地利用结构优化调控的主要特点；评价了土地利用结构优化调控后的生态环境效益、经济效益及其可持续发展性。籍此希望揭示出黄土丘陵区土地利用变化与优化调控所具有的一些共性特点和规律。 相似文献
17.
A disributed, physically-based, watershed hydrologic simulation model, called COASTAL, has been specifically designed for use on watersheds of low relief where streamflow is supplied predominantly by ground water discharge. To use the model, the watershed is divided into square grid elements that are modeled by the lumped parameter approach. I nput data include daily temperature, daily precipitation, topographic elevation, soil field capacity, soil wilting point, aquifer hydraulic conductivity, aquifer thickness and land use for each grid element and a watershed stream rating curve. One or more years of daily streamflow data are needed to calibrate the model. Yearly correlation coefficients between measured and simulated daily streamflow averaged 0.85 and ranged from 0.70–0.91 in tests of the model using 1957-1964 data for the Hurricane Creek watershed, Georgia. Correlation coefficients between measured and predicted annual, monthly, and annual maximum streamflow for the eight years tested were 0.97, 0.93, and 0.82, respectively. 相似文献
18.
基于Dyna-CLUE模型的滇池流域土地利用情景设计与模拟 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
以滇池流域为研究对象,基于1999年、2002年两期TM遥感解译数据和区域自然与社会经济数据,应用Dyna-CLUE模型模拟2008年滇池土地利用空间分布。结合滇池流域土地利用变化趋势与退耕还林政策,设定了三种土地需求情景,模拟2022年区域土地利用空间分布情况。研究结果表明：① 两期模拟结果Kappa系数分别为0.6814与0.7124,具有高度的一致性,表明Dyna-CLUE模型在滇池流域有较强的适用性。② 三种情景的模拟结果显示,至2022年流域内未利用地、耕地显著减少,建设用地、林地显著增加,水域与草地相对变化较小,因加大退耕还林政策实施力度,三种情景中,位于官渡区、呈贡区、嵩明县及晋宁县的耕地与林地呈现不同的变化情况。③ 滇池流域建设用地扩张,增加了滇池非点源污染负荷。不合理的土地利用布局,将会恶化滇池水质,加剧水环境压力。研究结果可为未来滇池流域土地利用合理规划与非点源污染控制提供参考依据和决策支持。 相似文献
19.
干旱区典型流域近30 a土地利用/覆被变化和景观破碎化分析——以玛纳斯河流域为例 总被引：18，自引：6，他引：12
利用1976年、1989年、2005年三期遥感影像,运用GIS和FRAGSTATS景观分析软件对玛纳斯河流域近30 a的土地利用/覆被变化和景观破碎化进行了研究。结果表明：①玛纳斯河流域土地利用/覆被在过去30 a间发生了普遍的变化。耕地、建设用地不断增加,而草地、林地、水域、盐碱地不断减少。耕地主要是在草地上开垦出来的。②绿洲内部的耕地趋于集聚状态,破碎性降低,而绿洲边缘的耕地,破碎性增强。草地面积大减,破碎性增强,退化严重。沙地、水域破碎性也不断增强,林地、未利用土地的破碎化于1989年增强,2005年减缓。③驱动力分析表明,流域变化是自然和人类活动共同作用的结果,其中人口的快速增长、政策环境的变化和自然环境变化如干旱等是最主要的驱动因素。 相似文献
20.
水土流失对山地旅游地水体观光功能影响研究 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
水土流失影响山地旅游景观质量,成为当前山地旅游地普遍性的环境问题之一.通过土壤与水体浊度模拟实验表明,水土流失以改变水体浊度从而影响景观观光质量,20NTU浊度可作为次降雨水土流失对水体景观影响的临界值.以浙江省天台县石梁景区实证研究得到,不同流域降雨侵蚀对水体浊度影响具有差异性,同一流域次降雨侵蚀对观光水体浊度影响受流域降水强度与降水量共同作用. 相似文献