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1.
利用2015—2020年金沙江流域MODIS数据和流域内29个气象站1991—2020年月降水、气温资料,研究不同遥感干旱指数在金沙江流域的适用性,这些指数包括温度状态指数(temperature condition index, TCI)、温度植被干旱指数(temperature vegetation dryness index, TVDI)、植被状态指数(vegetation condition index, VCI)、植被供水指数(vegetation supply water index, VSWI)和标准化降水蒸散指数(standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index, SPEI)。结果表明:TCI与TVDI、VSWI与TCI、VSWI与TVDI、VSWI与VCI各月的相关性均较为显著。TVDI与SPEI和TCI与SPEI全年相关性较好。SPEI与VSWI相关性在1月、10月较低,其余月份均相关性较好。SPEI与VCI在1—3月相关性较低,其余月份均相关性较好。根据4种遥感干旱指数与SPEI的相关性分析,建议金沙江上游地区...  相似文献   

2.
以河南省为研究区,利用2005—2014年间的EOS-MODIS地表温度产品MOD11A2、植被指数产品MOD13A3以及热带降水测量任务(tropical rainfall measuring mission,TRMM)的月降水速率数据集TRMM3B43,计算了植被状态指数(vegetation condition index,VCI)、温度状态指数(temperature condition index,TCI)以及降水状态指数(tropical rainfall condition index,TRCI),同时结合土地利用类型数据及气象站点数据,通过层次分析法确定权重,构建了农业干旱指数监测模型。在此基础上,利用标准化降水指数(standardized precipitation index,SPI)对模型进行验证,并根据SPI的等级划分确定构建的农业干旱指数监测模型的划分等级。以2014年为例,应用构建的农业干旱指数对河南省干旱情况进行时空分析。结果表明,构建的农业干旱指数监测模型能够有效监测河南省干旱时空变化特征,具有较好的监测效果。  相似文献   

3.
有关春旱的时空特征信息对于许多农业应用和决策都至关重要。本研究利用NOAA/AVHRR的植被状态指数(vegetation condition index,VCI)产品,对1995—2010年间青藏地区的植被干旱情况进行了全面的时空分析。针对VCI作为干旱指标的特点,采用了多种方法,其中包括干旱的频率分析、趋势分析和Mann-Kendall实验。研究表明青藏地区受季风影响较小,横断山脉和祁连山地区干旱发生的频率比较低,且多为轻中旱。根据分析表明,该地区干旱的趋势并不是单向变化的,可以将其分为2个阶段:2000年以前VCI指数较高,且波动相对较大; 2000年之后VCI指数相对较低,且相对稳定。  相似文献   

4.
干旱是全球范围内影响最广的自然灾害,它不仅威胁着人类赖以生存的自然环境,而且还严重影响着人类社会、经济的可持续发展。华北地区作为我国重要的农业经济区,出现连年干旱情况,是我国最大的干旱区。分析了MODIS干旱指数对干旱响应的敏感性,依据2008~2017年气象降水资料,初步估算了旱情发展过程和空间分布范围旱情发展过程和空间分布范围,从干旱发生的时段和面积分布对MODIS构建的AVI、AWI、VCI、TCI、VHI 5个干旱指数进行比较,对华北区各分区2008~2017年干旱进行了时空分析。旱情监测结果与实际情况较为符合,说明此方法适用于区域旱情的动态监测。  相似文献   

5.
选取关中平原2008-2016年的条件植被温度指数(vegetation temperature condition index,VTCI)遥感干旱监测结果,基于最优的干旱影响评估方法确定冬小麦各生育时期干旱对其单产的影响权重,构建县域尺度加权VTCI与小麦单产间的一元线性回归模型,并结合求和自回归移动平均模型(autoregressive integrated moving average,ARIMA)对各县(区)的冬小麦单产进行估测及向前一、二、三旬的预测。结果表明,基于改进的层次分析法与熵值法的最优组合赋权法对冬小麦各生育时期的权重确定较合理,以拔节期(0.489)最大,抽穗-灌浆期(0.427)次之,返青期(0.035)与乳熟期(0.049)较小;加权VTCI与小麦单产之间的相关性显著,单产估测精度较高;向前一、二、三旬的单产预测精度均较高,且以向前一旬的预测精度最高,有76.9%的相对误差小于2.0%,71.6%的均方根误差小于75.0 kg/hm2。  相似文献   

6.
全国干旱遥感监测运行系统的研制   总被引:11,自引:2,他引:11  
该研究利用1981-1994的NOAA AVHRR 8km分辨率的NDVI资料,以及对应时段全国102个固定农业观测站的20cm深的土壤湿度资料,建立了植被状态指数(VCI)与土壤湿度之间的统计模型,由土壤湿度旱情等级标准来换算出每旬用VCI进行干旱监测的旱情等级标准,以确定出全国的旬旱情分布状况,在此工作的基础上建成了“全国干旱遥感则运行系统”,该运行系统使遥感手段监测全国干旱成为可能,将能提供每年3-9月每旬全国的干旱监测情况,为国家有关决策部门提供干旱减灾的决策依据。  相似文献   

7.
为提高农业干旱监测效果和精度,在对传统干旱监测模型对比分析基础上,本文提出将温度植被干旱指数(TVDI)和植被供水指数(VSWI)加权联合构建温度供水干旱指数(TSWDI)的研究思路。以京津冀2006—2012年5月份数据作为实验统计数据,以京津冀2006—2016年3—5月份春旱监测为例进行了模型实验。实验结果证实,TSWDI指数相对其他两个指数与10、20和50 cm深处的土壤水分相关性更高,能够更精准地反映农业干旱状况。TSWDI计算结果显示,京津冀干旱分布具有如下特征:从时间角度看,2006—2016年整体干旱状况逐渐缓解,特别是自2010年至今,研究区域干旱程度逐步减轻;从空间角度看,京津冀区域整体干旱面积逐步减少。  相似文献   

8.
以辽西北为研究区域,选取典型干旱年2009年作物(春玉米)主要生长季,采用表观热惯量(apparent thermal inertia,ATI)、距平植被指数(anomalies of vegetation index,AVI)和植被供水指数(vegetation supply water index,VSWI)3种基于不同理论的遥感干旱指数方法对土壤水分进行反演,分析其监测效果。结果表明,3种指数分别在一定程度上反映出了辽西北地区2009年的旱情趋势,但得到的反演结果并不一致;ATI在中高植被覆盖率下的监测效果高于预期结果,比较符合历史气象资料;AVI可以有效反映当年作物主要生长季各时期相对的受旱状况;VSWI夸大了植被的影响作用,存在严重的滞后性。  相似文献   

9.
利用遥感手段,在短波角度斜率指数(shortwave angle slope index,SASI)的基础上,采用全局植被湿度指数(global vegetation moisture index,GVMI)获取单位面积的植被冠层水分含量(EWT<,canopy>),建立了农作物水分含量的相关统计模型,并对黄淮海平原农作物水分含量进行反演研究.结果表明,该角度指数模型与EWTcanopy之间有很强的相关性,由此模型计算得到的黄淮海平原农作物水分含量,与同期的土壤相对湿度有较强的一致性.  相似文献   

10.
基于2008-2013年关中平原冬小麦单产数据和条件植被温度指数(vegetation temperature condition index,VTCI)的干旱监测结果,分别采用Morlet、Mexican Hat和Paul(m=4)3种非正交小波的功率谱分析冬小麦单产和主要生育期VTCI和单产的多时间尺度特征,借助小波互相关度进一步确定两个时间序列在时频域局部相关的密切程度,并以此构建主要生育期加权VTCI与冬小麦单产间的线性回归模型。结果表明,基于同一小波函数确定的主要生育期VTCI的振荡能量不同,而基于不同小波函数确定的同一生育期VTCI的主振荡周期及其与单产对应的小波互相关系数也存在差异,但各生育时期VTCI均存在着6 a左右的主振荡周期。基于Paul(m=4)小波的各生育时期VTCI与单产时间序列的多尺度相关性分析的效果最佳(R2=0.521),且Paul(m=4)对应的模型的单产估测结果与实测单产的平均相对误差较之于Morlet和Mexican Hat小波函数获得的相对误差分别降低了0.78%和0.30%,表明Paul(m=4)小波函数能更好地用于干旱对冬小麦单产的影响评估研究,也可用于多尺度的干旱影响评估研究。  相似文献   

11.
Although poor precipitation due to delayed arrival and/or early retreat of the southwest monsoon is considered the chief architect of drought in India, heat waves may also play a crucial role in the intensification of droughts. In the Indian subcontinent, occurrence of heat waves during the pre-monsoon and high air-temperature in the subsequent monsoon season imparts thermal stress on vegetation causing degradation of vegetation health (VH). In the present study, various vegetation indices and land-use/land-cover data derived from multi-sensor satellite have been used to assess VH and agricultural drought in Gujarat during 1981–2010. This Geographical Information Systems-based study has also used heat wave and temperature data to analyze the adverse effects of high temperature on VH. The time series of Vegetation Condition Index and Temperature Condition Index (TCI) has shown that the combined influence of moisture-stress and thermal stress determines the occurrence and severity of drought, which is reflected in the Vegetation Health Index (VHI). A strong correlation among aboveground air-temperature, the TCI and the VHI indicates definite influence of thermal stress on VH. Further, a systematic variation and strong resemblance between temperature, crop yield, TCI and VHI has established the impact of thermal stress on agricultural productivity.  相似文献   

12.
Monitoring agricultural drought effectively and timely is important to support drought management and food security. Effective drought monitoring requires a suite of drought indices to capture the evolution process of drought. Thermal infrared signals respond rapidly to vegetation water stress, thus being regarded useful for drought monitoring at the early stage. Several temperature-based drought indices have been developed considering the role of land surface temperature (LST) in surface energy and water balance. Here, we compared the recently proposed Temperature Rise Index (TRI) with several agricultural drought indices that also use thermal infrared observations, including Temperature Condition Index (TCI), Vegetation Health Index (VHI) and satellite-derived evapotranspiration ratio anomaly (ΔfRET) for a better understanding of these thermal infrared drought indices. To do so, we developed a new method for calculating TRI directly from the top-of-atmosphere brightness temperatures in the two split-window channels (centered around ∼11 and 12 μm) rather than from LST. TRI calculated using the Himawari-8 brightness temperatures (TRI_BT) and LST retrievals (TRI_LST), along with the other LST-based indices, were calculated for the growing season (July–October) of 2015−2019 over the Australian wheatbelt. An evaluation was conducted by spatiotemporally comparing the indices with the drought indices used by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology in the official drought reports: the Precipitation Condition Index (PCI) and the Soil Moisture Condition Index (SMCI). All the LST-based drought indices captured the wet conditions in 2016 and dry conditions in 2019 clearly. Ranking of Pearson correlations of the LST-based indices with regards to PCI and SMCI produced very similar results. TRI_BT and TRI_LST showed the best agreement with PCI and SMCI (r > 0.4). TCI and VHI presented lower consistency with PCI and SMCI compared with TRI_BT and TRI_LST. ΔfRET had weaker correlations than the other LST-based indices in this case study, possibly because of outliers affecting the scaling procedure. The capability of drought early warning for TRI was demonstrated by comparing with the monthly time series of the greenness index Vegetation Condition Index (VCI) in a case study of 2018 considering the relatively slow response of the greenness index to drought. TRI_BT and TRI_LST had a lead of one month in showing the changing dryness conditions compared with VCI. In addition, the LST-based indices were correlated with annual wheat yield. Compared to wheat yields, all LST-based indices had a peak correlation in September. TRI_BT and TRI_LST had strong peak and average correlations with wheat yield (r ≥ 0.8). We conclude that TRI has promise for agricultural drought early warning, and TRI_BT appears to be a good candidate for efficient operational drought early warning given the readily accessible inputs and simple calculation approach.  相似文献   

13.
自2000年国家决策实施水量统一调度以来,黑河中下游生态环境得到好转,但缺乏一个客观公正的评价方法加以验证。本文考虑黑河中下游区域面积大、数据资料缺乏等特点,提出了基于卫星遥感影像提取生长季植被指数计算植被覆盖度(VFC),并对VFC的空间分布特征、面积占比、变化趋势等进行了分析。研究表明,2000—2017年18年间,黑河中下游区域均存在低覆盖植被向其他类型覆盖植被转化现象,高植被覆盖区域面积增加,植被覆盖情况整体趋好。该结论与黑河中下游区域生态环境变化现状相符,证明本文方法可以作为区域生态环境评价的重要方法支撑。  相似文献   

14.
With the development of global changes, researchers from all over the world increasingly pay attention to drought detection, and severe droughts that may have resulted from climate change. In this paper, spatial and temporal variability of drought is evaluated based on precipitation data and remotely sensed images. The standard precipitation index (SPI) and vegetation condition index (VCI) are used to evaluate the spatial and temporal characteristics of meteorological and vegetative drought in Tigray, Northern Ethiopia. Based on the drought critical values of SPI and VCI defining drought, the spatial and temporal extent of droughts in the study area is established. We processed 396 decadal images in order to produce the multi-temporal VCI drought maps. The results of the SPI and VCI analysis reveal that the eastern and southern zones of the study region suffered a recurrent cycle of drought over the last decade. Results further show that there is a time lag between the period of the peak VCI and precipitation values obtained from the meteorological stations across the study area. A significant agreement was observed between VCI values with the current plus last two-months of precipitation. The study demonstrates the utility of the vegetation condition index in semi-arid and arid regions.  相似文献   

15.
本文对2001年—2010年的MODIS光谱反射率数据进行时空聚类,得到2001年—2010年8天合成的色调信息,并初步分析了中国地表色调的时空分布格局及变化趋势,得出以下主要结论:(1)中国地表主色调主要由代表植被的绿色、裸土的褐色、裸土与植被混合的黄色、水体的蓝色以及冰雪的白色这5种颜色组成。分布在西北地区的褐色在一年中4个季节都为主色调。NDVI值较低的绿色光谱簇在春秋冬3个季节都为主色调,分布在南方的热带、亚热带针叶林以及灌木区。NDVI值较高的绿色光谱簇只在夏季一个季节为主色调,分布在长江中下游、华南、西南以及东北部分地区。永久白色主要分布在西藏、青海、四川等多年积雪地区。(2)黄淮海平原农业区色调在一年中呈现褐色—绿色—褐色—绿色—褐色的变化,与第一轮生长—间歇—第二轮生长物候历一致。长江中下游以及华南水稻播种和插秧时节有独特的光谱簇,呈现出植被与水体混合的特征。从华南地区、长江中下游地区到河北、陕西、甘肃、宁夏再到黑龙江,从南到北呈现出作物播种时间推迟、收割时间提早、生长期变短的现象。(3)甘肃北部、四川北部、山西北部、河北北部是年际主色调在绿色和黄色之间变化最为频繁的区域。这些年际主色调变化频繁区域也是中国绿度变化最显著的区域,也是在LUCC分类中易产生错误的地区。  相似文献   

16.
The hard-rock hilly Aravalli terrain of Rajasthan province of India suffers with frequent drought due to poor and delayed monsoon, abnormally high summer-temperature and insufficient water resources. In the present study, detailed analysis of meteorological and hydrological data of the Aravalli region has been carried out for the years 1984–2003. Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI) has been used to quantify the precipitation deficit. Standardised Water-Level Index (SWI) has been developed to assess ground-water recharge-deficit. Vegetative drought indices like Vegetation Condition Index (VCI) and Temperature Condition Index (TCI) and Vegetation Health Index (VHI) have been computed using NDVI values obtained from Global Vegetation Index (GVI) and thermal channel data of NOAA AVHRR satellite. Detailed analyses of spatial and temporal drought dynamics during monsoon and non-monsoon seasons have been carried out through drought index maps generated in Geographic Information Systems (GIS) environment. Analysis and interpretation of these maps reveal that negative SPI anomalies not always correspond to drought. In the Aravalli region, aquifer-stress shifts its position time to time, and in certain pockets it is more frequent. In comparison to hydrological stress, vegetative stress in the Aravalli region is found to be slower to begin but quicker to withdraw.  相似文献   

17.
利用1960—2012年间的长江中下游地区75个站点的逐日降水观测资料,基于11个极端降水指标,采用趋势分析、滑动平均、Mann-Kendall检验等方法对长江中下游地区各个子流域的极端降水事件的时空变化以及极端降水的集中度和集中期进行了研究.同时,分析了长江中下游干流区域4个水文站点的极端径流的变化情况,以期综合全面地分析极端事件的演变情况.结果表明:1)极端降水在各个子流域的大部分地区都表现为增加趋势,其中汉江流域西北部、中游干流区域东部、洞庭湖西部、鄱阳湖北部以及下游干流东北部显著增加;2)极端降水在总降水量中所占比例较大,这表明降水的形式更加趋于集聚化,并且比例自西北向东南逐渐减少,这表明越往西北部极端降水造成灾害的概率越大;3)长江中下游干流区域几个主要水文站点的极端径流各项指标均表现为较为显著地减小的趋势,极端降水和极端径流的变化趋势差异较大,这可能与人类活动有关(三峡工程).  相似文献   

18.
Numerous efforts have been made to develop various indices using remote sensing data such as normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), vegetation condition index (VCI) and temperature condition index (TCI) for mapping and monitoring of drought and assessment of vegetation health and productivity. NDVI, soil moisture, surface temperature and rainfall are valuable sources of information for the estimation and prediction of crop conditions. In the present paper, we have considered NDVI, soil moisture, surface temperature and rainfall data of Iowa state, US, for 19 years for crop yield assessment and prediction using piecewise linear regression method with breakpoint. Crop production environment consists of inherent sources of heterogeneity and their non-linear behavior. A non-linear Quasi-Newton multi-variate optimization method is utilized, which reasonably minimizes inconsistency and errors in yield prediction.  相似文献   

19.
ABSTRACT

Agricultural drought threatens food security. Numerous remote-sensing drought indices have been developed, but their different principles, assumptions and physical quantities make it necessary to compare their suitability for drought monitoring over large areas. Here, we analyzed the performance of three typical remote sensing-based drought indices for monitoring agricultural drought in two major agricultural production regions in Shaanxi and Henan provinces, northern China (predominantly rain-fed and irrigated agriculture, respectively): vegetation health index (VHI), temperature vegetation dryness index (TVDI) and drought severity index (DSI). We compared the agreement between these indices and the standardized precipitation index (SPI), soil moisture, winter wheat yield and National Meteorological Drought Monitoring (NMDM) maps. On average, DSI outperformed the other indices, with stronger correlations with SPI and soil moisture. DSI also corresponded better with soil moisture and NMDM maps. The jointing and grain-filling stages of winter wheat are more sensitive to water stress, indicating that winter wheat required more water during these stages. Moreover, the correlations between the drought indices and SPI, soil moisture, and winter wheat yield were generally stronger in Shaanxi province than in Henan province, suggesting that remote-sensing drought indices provide more accurate predictions of the impacts of drought in predominantly rain-fed agricultural areas.  相似文献   

20.
传统基于遥感的气温反演方法往往使用全局模型,从而忽略了气温分布及其时空影响异质性,特别是在较大区域尺度的研究中存在不足。针对长江经济带区域,引入时空地理加权神经网络模型,建立一种高精度的气温估计方法。通过在广义回归网络模型中建立局部模型来顾及时空异质性的影响,融合遥感数据、同化数据、站点数据,获取面域分布的近地表气温信息。采用基于站点的十折交叉验证方法对模型性能进行评估,结果表明,时空地理加权神经网络有效提高了气温估计的精度(均方根误差为1.899℃,平均绝对误差(mean absolute error,MAE)为1.310℃,相关系数为0.976),与多元线性回归和传统的全局神经网络方法相比,MAE值分别降低了1.112℃和0.378℃。气温空间分布制图结果显示,该方法结果能很好地反映长江经济带气温空间上的差异和不同季节的特征信息,具有实际应用价值。  相似文献   

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