共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 62 毫秒
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水资源信息的预测可以为水资源的合理调配、管理和规划提供依据,为提高拟合和预测精度,建立基于支持向量机的水资源信息预测模型,采用捕鱼算法对其参数优化,并应用于地下水水位预测的实例分析,且拟合及预测精度均较高,与神经网络模型方法所取得的结果进行比较,能取得更好效果,表明将回归支持向量机用于水资源信息的拟合、预测是可行的。 相似文献
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提出一种基于灰色最小二乘支持向量机的大坝变形预测新算法。通过对原始大坝序列进行一次累加,弱化序列中随机扰动的影响,增强数据的规律性,进而建立最小二乘支持向量机预测模型,并采用网格搜索法选取最优参数。算法充分利用了最小二乘支持向量机泛化能力强、非线性拟合性好等优良特性,避免了灰色方法及模型存在的理论缺陷。与灰色GM(1,1)和单一最小二乘支持向量机对比表明,新算法能保证较优的局部预测值和较好的全局预测精度,应用于短期大坝变形预测是可行的。 相似文献
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为建立高精度的边坡位移预测模型，采用相空间重构（PSR）将边坡位移时间序列数据转换为多维数据，同时构造小波核函数改进的支持向量机模型，建立PSR-WSVM模型并应用于边坡位移预测。将PSR-WSVM模型预测结果与传统支持向量机（SVM）模型、小波支持向量机（WSVM）模型和基于相空间重构的支持向量机（PSR-SVM）模型预测结果进行对比，通过平均绝对误差（MAE）、平均绝对误差百分比（MAPE）和均方根误差（RMSE）3个精度评价指标验证PSR-WSVM模型的可行性。工程实例结果表明，PSR-WSVM模型预测结果的3个精度评价指标都优于另外3种模型，边坡位移预测的精度明显提升。 相似文献
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建立大坝变形预测的支持向量机模型,并用遗传算法对支持向量机模型的核函数参数、惩罚参数和损失参数进行优化。将同一优化方法不同支持向量机核函数、不同优化方法同种支持向量机核函数进行横向对比,将BP神经网络、自回归AR(p)模型、多元回归分析法和周期函数拟合法进行纵向对比。结果表明,该GA-SVM(RBF)模型不仅能较好地预测大坝的变形趋势,而且能大幅提高预测精度。 相似文献
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针对高铁变形监测数据的非线性特征，构建一种基于小波与灰色支持向量机的高铁变形预测组合模型。利用小波分析获取不同时频尺度上的随机序列和近似序列，通过嵌入维数的确定和高低频数据的相关性分析，将重构后的随机序列作为遗传算法优化SVR模型的输入，对近似序列则采用灰色支持向量机来描述其演变特征，最后将二者预测结果进行耦合叠加，得到小波灰色支持向量机的组合模型预测结果。以贵广高铁实测数据为例，将均方差、平均绝对误差、平均绝对相对误差作为评判指标对预测效果进行评价，结果表明该模型较好地拟合了近似分量，同时避免了细节分量的过拟合，为高铁变形预测提供了新途径。 相似文献
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为解决多输出边坡变形预测问题,提高预测模型的精度及计算效率,提出基于多输出相关向量机（MRVM）的边坡变形预测新模型。通过将标准RVM的单输出功能拓展到多维输出功能的方式建立MRVM,并利用PSO算法优化其参数。以某大型干坞边坡变形为例,基于MRVM建立边坡坡顶水平变形与沉降变形预测模型,并对其精度及计算效率进行分析。实验结果表明,MRVM的精度高于BP 神经网络、支持向量机（SVM）、RVM,证实拓展RVM所采用的方法可行,并具有较好的边坡预测精度;MRVM的计算时间远小于BP 神经网络、支持向量机（SVM）、RVM,具有较高的计算效率,并简化了建模程序,实现了对边坡的多个变形量进行同时预测。 相似文献
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针对GM(1,1)模型在建筑物变形预测中精度和泛化能力较低的缺陷,提出一种基于LS-SVM的灰色补偿RBF神经网络的建筑物变形组合预测方法。利用最小二乘支持向量机训练由灰色GM(1,1)模型预测得到的一组结果的残差值,直接获得RBF网络的中心函数训练RBF网络,得到RBF误差补偿器,去补偿GM(1,1)模型。实验证明,最小二乘支持向量机、灰色系统以及神经网络3者相结合的方法,能有效提高建筑物变形沉降预测的精度。 相似文献
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针对平面拟合、二次曲面拟合和GA-BP神经网络3种模型的各自特点和适用范围,为综合各模型优点、提高高程拟合的精度与可靠性,对比分析了不同非线性组合和线性组合方法,即RBF神经网络组合、加权最小二乘支持向量机（WLSSVM）组合和最优加权组合、最优非负变权组合等对GPS高程拟合精度的影响。理论分析和算例结果表明,不同组合方法对GPS高程拟合精度的影响不同,WLSSVM组合和最优非负变权组合的拟合效果较好,可靠性较强|最优非负变权组合能较好地控制残差极值,有效减小误差区间,且转换精度较高。 相似文献
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文章针对大坝变形受多种不确定性因素的影响,提出一种基于小波分解和最小二乘支持向量机的大坝变形预测方法。利用小波将大坝位移序列分解成不同频率特征的子序列,根据分解得到的子序列特点,同时考虑水位和温度的影响,构造不同的最小二乘支持向量机模型对子序列进行预测,最后对各子序列预测值进行重构得到最终的预测值。实验对比分析表明,该方法对大坝变形的预测具有较高的精度。 相似文献
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参数优化问题直接影响着支持向量机的预测精度和泛化能力,粒子群优化算法具有全局最优搜索能力,因此通过粒子群算法优化支持向量机参数可以有效提高预测精度.以延长县历史滑坡数据为基础,分析了岩性、地貌类型、土壤厚度、坡度、坡向、坡高与滑坡分布的关系,并利用滑坡密度值对各定性或定量因子进行了归一化处理;在此基础上,通过区域内所划分的１６３００个斜坡单元作为评价单元,采用粒子群优化支持向量机(PSOＧSVM)算法完成了延长县滑坡的易发性评价.从滑坡密度指标角度来看,评价结果中高易发区和极高易发区的历史滑坡数占比７２．１９％,通过滑坡面积百分比(LAR)等指标进行了有效的验证,均显示出对滑坡易发性评价效果良好. 相似文献
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The ability of cell to modulate the fluidity of plasma membrane was crucial to the survival of microorganism at low temperature. Plasma membrane proteins, fatty acids and carotenoids profiles of Antarctic psychrophilc yeast Rhodotorula sp. NJ298 were investigated at -3 ℃, 0 ℃ and 8 ℃. The results showed that plasma membrane protein content was greater at -3 ℃ than that at 8 ℃, and a unique membrane polypeptide composition with an apparent molecular mass of 94.7 kDa was newly synthesized with SDS-PAGE analysis; GC analysis showed that the main changes of fatty acids were the percentage of unsaturated fatty acids (C18∶ 1 and C18∶ 2) and shorter chain saturated fatty acid (C10∶ 0) increased along with the decrease of the culture temperature from 8 ℃ to -3 ℃; HPLC analysis indicated that astaxanthin was the major functional carotenoids of the plasma membrane, percentage of which increased from 54.6±1.5% at 8 ℃ to 81.9±2.1% at -3 ℃. However the fluidity of plasma membrane which was determined by measuring fluorescence anisotropy was similar at -3 ℃, 0 ℃ and 8 ℃. Hence these changes in plasma membrane's characteristics were involved in the cellular cold-adaptation by which NJ298 could maintain normal plasma membrane fluidity at near-freezing temperature. 相似文献
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《极地研究(英文版)》2014,(4)
正1 Aims and Scope Advances in Polar Science(APS)is an international,peer-reviewed journal jointly sponsored by the Polar Research Institute of China and the Chinese Arctic and Antarctic Administration.APS is a comprehensive academic journal dedicated to presentation of multi-disciplinary achievements in Arctic and Antarctic expeditions and research.Its primary purpose 相似文献
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《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2014,(4)
<正>Copyright Submfnion of a roanusatpt inks:that the work described has not been published before(exoept In the form of an abstrW or as part of a published lecture,review,or thesis);that it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere that its publication has been approved by ail 相似文献
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《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2014,(6)
<正>The Journal of Ocean University of China(Oceanic and Coastal Sea Research)is a comprehensive academic quarterly sponsored by the Ocean University of China,published one volume per year.This journal is devoted to the publication of the theoretical and applied research results on oceanography and marine fisheries.The fieldcovered include the physical,chemical,biological,geo- 相似文献
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Massimo GRECO 《山地科学学报》2014,(6):1383-1384
<正>The 35th IAHR World Congress was held in Chengdu,China from September 8 to September 132013.The title of the conference was:"The Wise Finds Pleasure in Water:Meandering through Water Science and Engineering".During the congress,1239 papers were presented in 139sessions for oral presentations and 7 sessions for poster presentations.After the Congress,a Committee was appointed to select some of the best papers presented at the Congress for publication,after a 相似文献
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As an important component of the cryosphere,sea ice is very sensitive to the climate change.The study of the sea ice physics needs accurate sea ice thickness.This paper presents an electromagnetic-induction(EM) technique which can be used to measure the sea ice thickness distribution efficiently,and the successful application in Bothnian Bay.Based on the electromagnetic field theory and the electrical properties of sea ice and seawater,EM technique can detect the distance between the instrument and the ice/water interface accurately,than the sea ice thickness is obtained.Contrastive analysis of the apparent conductivity data obtained by EM and the value of drill-hole at same positions allows a construction of a transformable formula of the apparent conductivity to sea ice thickness.The verification of the sea ice thickness calculated by this formula indicates that EM technique is able to get reliable sea ice thickness with average relative error of only 12%.The statistic of all ice thickness profiles shows that the level ice distribution in Bothnian Bay was 0.4-0.6 m. 相似文献
18.
Based on the hydrographic data in austral summer during the 22nd Antarctic Expedition of China(2005/2006),some features can be found about the northern margin of Emery ice shelf as follows.The heat content in the surface layer(0-50 m) at the eastern end and the western end of the ice-shelf margin is much higher than that at the middle.The upper mixing-layer depth and the seasonal thermocline depth at the middle of the ice-shelf northern margin are much shallower than those at the both ends.However there is much less difference between the middle and the ends in the bottom layer.The remote sensing photos show that the inhomogeneity in the surface-layer water is closely related to the spatial distribution of the floes and polynia in the area. 相似文献
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Phylogenetic analysis based on 16S rDNA of 8 strains of cultivable bacteria isolated from Arctic sea-ice was studied.The results showed that strain BJ1 belonged to genus Planococcus,which was a genus of low mole percent G C gram-positive bacteria;strain BJ6 belonged to genus Burkholderia of β-proteobacteria and the rest 6 strain all belonged to γ-proteobacteria,of which strain BJ8 was a species of Pseudoalteromonas,strain BJ2-BJ5 and BJ7 were members of genus Psychrobacter.Phylogenetic analysis also indicated that bacteria of genus Psychrobacter of the isolates formed a relatively independent phylogenetic cluster in comparison with other bacteria belonged to genus Psychrobacter. 相似文献
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正Rapid changes of Arctic sea ice cover have been in the focus of the international climate research community in recent years.Quite a few of nations have completed a large number of related surveys and research projects in the Arctic Ocean.Up to now,China has performed six research cruises to the Arctic Ocean resulting in a significant volume of research output.Improved knowledge on the atmospheree-sea ice-ocean interactions in the Arctic is a 相似文献