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1.
By using Season-reliant Empirical Orthogonal Function (S-EOF) analysis, three dominant modes of the spatial-temporal evolution of the drought/flood patterns in the rainy season over the east of China are revealed for the period of 1960-2004. The first two leading modes occur during the turnabout phase of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) decaying year, but the drought/flood patterns in the rainy season over the east of China are different due to the role of the Indian Ocean (IO). The first leading mode appears closely correlated with the ENSO events. In the decaying year of El Nino, the associated western North Pacific (WNP) anticyclone located over the Philippine Sea persists from the previous winter to the next early summer, transports warm and moist air toward the southern Yangtze River in China, and leads to wet conditions over this entire region. Therefore, the precipitation anomaly in summer exhibits a ’Southern Flood and Northern Drought’ pattern over East China. On the other hand, the basin-wide Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) plays a crucial role in prolonging the impact of ENSO on the second mode during the ENSO decaying summer. The Indian Ocean basin mode (IOBM) warming persists through summer and unleashes its influence, which forces a Matsuno-Gill pattern in the upper troposphere. Over the subtropical western North Pacific, an anomalous anticyclone forms in the lower troposphere. The southerlies on the northwest flank of this anticyclone increase the moisture transport onto central China, leading to abundant rainfall over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and Huaihe River valleys. The anomalous anticyclone causes dry conditions over South China and the South China Sea (SCS). The precipitation anomaly in summer exhibits a ’Northern Flood and Southern Drought’ pattern over East China. Therefore, besides the ENSO event the IOBM is an important factor to influence the drought/flood patterns in the rainy season over the east of China. The third mode is positively correlated with the tropical SSTA in the Indian Ocean from the spring of preceding year(-1) to the winter of following year(+1), but not related to the ENSO events. The positive SSTA in the South China Sea and the Philippine Sea persists from spring to autumn, leading to weak north-south and land-sea thermal contrasts, which may weaken the intensity of the East Asia summer monsoon. The weakened rainfall over the northern Indian monsoon region may link to the third spatial mode through the ’Silk Road’ teleconnection or a part of circumglobal teleconnection (CGT). The physical mechanisms that reveal these linkages remain elusive and invite further investigation. 相似文献
2.
China is highly susceptible to flood disasters and subjected to great damage every year. Furthermore, the flood frequency has exhibited an increasing trend in recent years. Most flood events, including flash floods and river flood, are induced by rainfall. This study investigates annual variations of rainfall occurrence over China during the period from 2000 to 2015 at the national and regional scale using daily rainfall data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission. The Mann-Kendall test is performed for trend detection, and statistical data of flood damage published by China’s government, including destroyed crop area, damaged buildings, direct economic loss, percentage of GDP (gross domestic product), and death toll are correlatively analysed with rainfall occurrences. The results show that storm rain events show the greatest variation among three rainfall types (moderate rain, heavy rain and storm rain). The variation coefficients of rainfall over Northeast China, North China, and Northwest China are the highest, whereas that for Southwest China is the smallest. Moderate rain, heavy rain over Central China, and moderate rain over Southwest China exhibits decreasing trends, whereas the remaining exhibit increasing trends. The correlation between the rainfall occurrences and these flood damage indices at the national scale shows that only direct economic loss has a strong positive correlation with rainfall occurrences, and the other indices have weaker correlations. The correlation is strong in three north regions, except for death toll in Northwest China. In contrast, the correlation between flood damage and rainfall is weak in East China, Central China, Southwest China, and South China. Overall, death toll is strongly correlated with the number of damaged buildings, implying that flood fatalities in China are likely associated with building collapse, and are dominated by specific extreme events. This study can provide a scientific reference for flood management in China. 相似文献
3.
INTRODUCTIONTheSouthChinaSea(Srs),nearthewestedgeofthetropicalwestPade,istheoTilyquasi-endotaldeepbasinintheworid,hasa相似文献
4.
Analysis of COADS data (1958–1987) showed that there is obviously interannual SST oscillation including QBO (Quasi-biennial
oscillation) and quasi-3.5 year oscilation, etc., of the SCS (South China Sea), which is the response of the upper mixed layer
of the sea to the impact of the East Asian Monsoon anomaly. Most SST anomalies appear in the central basin of the SCS. The
phase-locked phenomena linking the SST annual cycle and interannual oscillation is an important characteristic of the SCS
climate. There is not only SST response to atmospheric impact, but also feedback to the air. The authors put forward a scheme
of regional air-sea interaction in winter time in the SCS.
Project 49676276 supported by NSFC and also supported by FSEC. 相似文献
5.
THE PRELIMINARY STUDY ON POSSIBLE SCENARIOS OF FLOOD AND DROUGHT IN CHINA IN THE CASE OF GLOBAL WARMING 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
ＴＨＥ ＰＲＥＬＩＭＩＮＡＲＹ ＳＴＵＤＹ ＯＮ ＰＯＳＳＩＢＬＥ ＳＣＥＮＡＲＩＯＳ ＯＦ ＦＬＯＯＤ ＡＮＤ ＤＲＯＵＧＨＴ ＩＮ ＣＨＩＮＡ ＩＮ ＴＨＥ ＣＡＳＥ ＯＦ ＧＬＯＢＡＬ ＷＡＲＭＩＮＧ ＣｈｅｎＪｉａｑｉ（陈家其）（Ｎａｎｊｉｎ... 相似文献
6.
基于AO的洪水灾害风险分析模型设计与构建 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
中国是一个自然灾害尤其是洪涝灾害发生较频繁的国家,洪水灾害的风险分析与评估是抗洪救灾中的一个重要组成部分,洪灾风险分析的时效性、科学性对于防汛抗洪、抢险救灾具有重要的意义。本文针对流域洪水灾害的特点与其复杂的风险分析过程,考虑影响流域洪水灾害的因子,结合层次分析方法(AHP),以COM组件的架构思想为基础,采用ArcObjects语言的相关接口和方法,构建了流域洪水灾害风险分析模型,将各因子对洪水灾害的危险性和风险的影响进行了量化,分别得出洪水灾害风险性分布图和洪水灾害易损性分布情况。通过对洞庭湖试验区域的模型检验,结果表明,所构造的模型简单易操作,能够较好地对区域洪水灾害进行风险分析。 相似文献
7.
使用2001年和2003年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料计算夏季亚洲季风区大气热源（汇）,再用BUTTER-WORTH带通滤波器对原始热源（汇）场进行带通滤波,得到2001与2003年夏季30-60天的大气热源（汇）的低频分量,然后分析两年夏季东亚各区域大气热源（汇）及其低频变化特征、传播特征和传播差异,得出以下结论：（1）2001年呈连续带状分布;2003年热源中心分布零散且位置显著东移,热源（汇）强度比2001年减弱;（2）2001年和2003年低频分量的平均分布有明显差异,且旱年低频分量强度远大于涝年;（3）2001年低频振荡向北传播范围仅到20°N-30°N的华南至江南地区,而2003年低频振荡多数可达30°N以北的江淮流域;（4）2001年低频分量纬向传播均为自西向东,而2003年在6-8月期间自东向西传播,5月和9月则主要由西向东传播。因此,江淮流域典型旱涝年分2001年和2003年在低频分量的配置和低频波的传播上存在明显差异,这可能正是导致这两年气候巨大差异的原因之一。 相似文献
8.
30��N���ණ����ƽ��ĵ�Ƶ�仯������ENSO�Ĺ�ϵ 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
????1992??12???2007??5?μ??????????о???????????仯??????????????????14?????????????30??N??????????????????????????57.7 mm??40.9 mm??????????????????????????????о?????????????????????ζ??????SOI????????????????????????????????????????????SOI???????30??N??????SLA??SOI???????????????γ??????????SLA??SOI???к???????????????????????????糡??????????????????SLA??γ???????????????????????????????30??N ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????SLA??????????·???????u??????????????????????????30??N ?????????????????????????????u??????????????70???????23????????????u????????SLA??SOI????????????????????????????????????????е?????????????30??N ???????????????????u????SOI???????ENSO????????????????????????糡???????????糡???γ????????????????????仯???????????á?????ENSO???????????????????????????? 相似文献
9.
利用GRACE监测中国区域干旱及其影响因素分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
利用2003-01~2012-12的GRACE时变地球重力场模型计算我国长江中下游平原、西南地区和华北平原陆地水储量变化的时间序列。结果表明，长江中下游平原和华北平原的陆地水储量变化量最低值在2011-05，西南地区最低值在2010-03。根据陆地水储量变化的水平衡原理计算3个区域地下水储量变化情况。结果表明，长江中下游平原和西南地区地下水储量呈缓慢增长的趋势，增长速率分别为0.54 mm/月和0.34 mm/月；华北地区呈缓慢减小的趋势，减小速率为0.33 mm/月。3个区域干旱时期地下水储量的亏损情况分别为：长江中下游平原-21.31 mm/月，华北平原-19.88 mm/月，西南地区-15.72 mm/月。最后，用NOAA发布的月降雨和气温数据对3个区域干旱期间的降雨量和蒸发量进行量化，分析3次干旱产生的原因。结果表明，西南地区2010年春季干旱的主要原因是气温异常，长江中下游平原和华北平原2011年干旱的主要原因是降雨量偏少。 相似文献
10.
钱步东 《中国地理科学(英文版)》1997,(3)
I.I~IOXENds(EINabs/SouthernOscillation)eventsaretheintensivesignalsofair-seainteractionintropicalarea.PlentyOfresultsfromdifferentresearchersshoWthattheENdssignalcanbedetectedoninterannualvallationsoflargescaleatmOSPhericcirculationandclimateregimeSovermostpartsoftheworld.SeveralkindsofrelationShipbetweenENdsandprecipitationoverChinahavebeenrevealedbydifferentreSearcherS,buttherearemanydifferencesamongthepublishedreSults.Itmayberesulted*fromthatdifferentreSearchersuseddifferentindic… 相似文献
11.
12.
The aim of the study was 1)to determine the relation between the Kuroshio meander and the intensity of the subtropic high
pressure over the Pacific Ocean, and then to obtain statistical validity for the observational conclusion that the occurrence
time of the Kuroshio meander leads the time of strengthened C-circulation of Europe by one or more years; 2) to develop a
method to predict the occurrence time of flood or drought periods in the Changjiang River Valley from the occurrence time
of the Kuroshio meander, since there is a close relation between the occurrence time of the drought or flood periods in the
Changjiang River Valley and the occurrence time of the strong or weak periods of C-circulation of Europe; and 3) to develop
a logical explanation verifiable by remote sensing technique and other means that the warm species phytoplanktons collected
recently in the Jiaozhou Bay of Shandong Peninsula in China were carried there by a new warm current branch of the Kuroshio
in the East China Sea.
This paper was presented at the Conference on Western Pacific Circulation Influence on the China Seas in Qingdao, 1987, and
approved for publishing as a monograph. 相似文献
13.
Budong Qian 《中国地理科学(英文版)》1997,7(3):220-228
The precipitation patterns in flood season over China associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are investigated, especially in the eastern China, using the rather long period rainfall data in this century. The results show that there were remarkable differences between the precipitation patterns in flood seasons of ENSO warm phase (El Niño year) and cold phase (La Niña year), as well as between the patterns in El Niño years and their following years. The most parts of China received below normal rainfall in flood season of the onset years of El Niño events, but the coastal area of Southeast China received above normal amounts. Comparatively, the most parts of China received above normal rainfall in flood season of the following years of El Niño events, but the eastern part of the reaches among the Huanghe (Yellow) River, the Huaihe River and the Haihe River, and the Northeast China received less. During ENSO cold phase, the reaches of the Changjiang (Yangtze) River and the North China received more amounts than normal rainfall in flood season of the onset years of La Niña events, and the other regions of China received less. In the following years of La Niña events, the coastal area of the Southeast China, the most part of the Northeast China and the regions between the Huanghe River and the Huaihe River received more precipitation during flood seasons, but the other parts received below normal precipitation. 相似文献
14.
陈海龙 《中国地理科学(英文版)》1992,2(2):145-158
According to historical records, there are 264 drought and flood years, occurred in the upper and middle reaches of the Changjiang (Yangtze) River during last 1020 years from 961 to 1980. The evolutionary law and developing trend of drought and flood years are studied. The distribution of drought and flood years are non-uniform and the dry and flood seasons in a year are concentrated. At the angle of monsoon circulation, at present the climate in the upper and middle reaches of the Changjiang River is just in the late stage of frequent drought period and the early stage of least flood period. In addition, the cycle of drought and flood and the feature of drought and flood occurred in the upper, middle and lower reaches of the Changjiang River are analyzed. It shows that the short period less than 10 years is in the majority, and the drought and flood occurred most frequently in the middle and lower reaches of the Changjiang River. 相似文献
15.
谢国文 《中国地理科学(英文版)》1997,7(3):236-242
EastChinaisoneoftherichestregionsinplantlifeinEastAsiaanditsfloraisthemainpartofSino-Japanesefloristicregion,whichhasattractedtheattentionofmanybotanistsbothathomeandabroad,suchasHuXiansu(1936),LiHuilin(1950,1953),StewardA.N.(1958),WangJingkiang(1988),WangWencai(1992),Wusugong(1987),WuZhengyi(1979)andXieGuowen(1991a,1993),etal.AnumberofpapersdealingwithEastAsian-EasternNorthAmericanphytogeographicalrelationshipshavebeenpublished(Bouffordf1983).However,thefloristicrelationsbetweenEas… 相似文献
16.
Yiqian Jiang Chi Zhang Zhenjiang Ye Binduo Xu Yongjun Tian Yoshiro Watanabe 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2020,19(2):446-452
The Japanese Spanish mackerel Scomberomorus niphonius(Cuvier,1832)is widely distributed in the subtropical and temperate waters of the northwestern Pacific Ocean,supporting one of the most important commercial fisheries in China.However,ignoring the potential population structure changes induced by fishing pressure and climate change may undermine the population stability under the current management strategy.In this study,the population structure of the Japanese Spanish mackerel was investigated based on a morphometric truss network system.A total of 534 individuals were randomly collected from commercial gill nets spanning eight major spawning grounds in the Bohai,Yellow,and East China Seas during the peak spawning seasons respectively.A total of 17 measurements(including eye diameter)were conducted in each specimen and subjected to principal component analysis(PCA)and discriminant function analysis(DFA).The results of PCA indicated that the first two factors cumulatively caused 78.38%of the total morphometric variation and observable differences,primarily fin the caudal and trunk areas.The results of DFA revealed that the eight spawning groups can be divided into three stocks,i.e.,southern,middle,and northern stocks,with 68.7%of total accuracy.In contrast to previous studies,the spawning groups of the Japanese Spanish mackerel demonstrated a tendency to disperse to northern regions.In conclusion,this study found that to maintain the stability of the population structure and the total production of Japanese Spanish mackerel S.niphonius(Cuvier,1832),a newly revised management method should be developed and implemented. 相似文献
17.
Soil behavior can reflect the characteristics of principal stress rotation under dynamic wave and traffic loads. Unequal amplitudes of tensile and compressive stresses applied to soils have complex effects on foundation soils in comparison with the pure principal stress rotation path. A series of undrained cyclic hollow torsional shear tests were performed on typical remolded soft clay from the Hexi area of Nanjing, China. The main control parameters were the tensile and compressive stress amplitude ratio(α) and the cyclic dynamic stress ratio(η). It was found that the critical η tended to remain constant at 0.13, when the value of the compressive stress amplitude was higher than the tensile stress amplitude. However, the influence of the tensile stress was limited by the dynamic stress level when α= 1.For obvious structural change in the soil, the corresponding numbers of cyclic vibration cycles were found to be independent of α at low stress levels and were only related to η. Finally, a new method for evaluating the failure of remolded soft clay was presented. It considers the influence of the tensile and compressive stresses which caused by complex stress paths of the principal stress rotation. This criterion can distinguish stable, critical, and destructive states based on the pore-water-pressure-strain coupling curve while also providing a range of failure strain and vibration cycles. These results provide the theoretical support for systematic studies of principal stress rotation using constitutive models. 相似文献
18.
目前干旱与植被关系的研究主要集中于气候因子与植被时空变化的相关性分析以及植被对气候变化的响应,能够适用于大尺度的植物抗逆性监测方法还较为欠缺。本文基于归一化植被指数（NDVI）、总初级生产力（GPP）、修正花青素含量指数（mACI）、短波红外水分胁迫指数（SIWSI）监测干旱胁迫下的植被变化,综合考虑植物抗逆过程,建立滞后时间、抗逆时差、响应程度与恢复能力4个植物抗逆性监测指标,构建了一种能够适用于大尺度的植物抗逆性综合监测方法。利用各省份作物抗逆性综合评分与绝收比例进行相关性分析,两者呈显著负相关。利用该方法对干旱胁迫下我国不同类型植被的抗逆性进行评估,结果表明：① 从全国整体水平来看,不同季节植物抗逆性差异较大,其中夏季植物抗逆性最弱,冬季最强。我国植物抗逆性空间异质性显著,春季植物抗逆性综合评分低于70分的区域主要位于山西、陕西北部,综合评分高于90分的区域主要集中在内蒙古东北部以及云南的南部地区; ② 不同类型植被的抗逆性有明显差异,夏季落叶针叶林抗逆性最强,类内差异最小,春秋两季草地抗逆性最强但抗逆性类内差异最大。本文提出的植物抗逆性综合监测方法有助于探索干旱胁迫下植物抗逆性规律,对帮助降低灾害风险具有借鉴意义。 相似文献
19.
Bacterial diversity and community structure in the East China Sea by 454 sequencing of the 16S rRNA gene 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
The 454 sequencing method was used to detect bacterial diversity and community structure in the East China Sea. Overall, 149 067 optimized reads with an average length of 454 nucleotides were obtained from 17 seawater samples and five sediment samples sourced in May 2011. A total of 22 phyla, 34 classes, 74 orders, 146 families, and 333 genera were identified in this study. Some of them were detected for the first time from the East China Sea. The estimated richness and diversity indices were both higher in the sediment samples compared with in the seawater samples. All the samples were divided by their diversity indices into four regions. Similarity analysis showed that the seawater samples could be classified into six groups. The groups differed from each other and had unique community structure characteristics. It was found that different water masses in the sampling areas may have had some influence on the bacterial community structure. A canonical correspondence analysis revealed that seawater samples in different areas and at different depths were affected by different environmental parameters. This study will lay the foundation for future research on microbiology in the East China Sea. 相似文献
20.
近30年来中国陆地蒸散量和土壤水分变化特征分析 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
对NOAH陆面模式模拟的近30年中国陆地蒸散量和土壤含水量,按照6大片区和5种生态系统类型进行了统计分析。讨论全国以及各大区不同生态系统类型蒸散和土壤含水量的变化,研究不同类型蒸散和土壤含水量的关系。中国陆地蒸散量总体呈增加的趋势,年内蒸散量最大的月份是7月,年末和年初蒸散量较小。而我国中南、西南、华东、东北和西北蒸散量变化趋势和全国的总趋势一致,呈增加的趋势。华北地区蒸散量近30年来总体趋势是下降的,华北蒸散量最大的年份是上世纪90年代。在所有生态系统类型中,林地蒸散最大的有东北、华东、西南和中南4区;而华北和西北草地在各类型中蒸散量所占比例最高。6大片区对比,林地蒸散水量最大的地区是西南和中南,最小的西北;草地蒸散水量最大的地区是西南,最小的是东北区;农田蒸散水量最高的是华东,最低的是西北;荒漠蒸散量最大的片区是西北;湿地蒸散最大的是东北。80年代以来,全国土壤含水量总体呈下降的趋势。从各片区的情况看,仅西北地区稍有增加,其余5区土壤含水量皆是下降的。植被覆盖度和土壤水分是影响蒸散量最重要的因子,在植被覆盖较差时,土壤水分和蒸散量相关性较好。 相似文献