Transposed Climates for Study of Water Supply Variability on the Laurentian Great Lakes   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Kenneth E. Kunkel  Stanley A. Changnon  Thomas E. Croley II  Frank H. Quinn 《Climatic change》1998,38(4):387-404

Hydrological models of the Great Lakes basin were used to study the sensitivity of Great Lakes water supplies to climate warming by driving them with meteorological data from four U.S. climate zones that were transposed to the basin. Widely different existing climates were selected for transposition in order to identify thresholds of change where major impacts on water supplies begin to occur and whether there are non-linear responses in the system. The climate zones each consist of 43 years of daily temperature and precipitation data for 1,000 or more stations and daily evaporation-related variables (temperature, wind speed, humidity, cloud cover) for approximately 20–35 stations. A key characteristic of these selected climates was much larger variability in inter-annual precipitation than currently experienced over the Great Lakes. Climate data were adjusted to simulate lake effects; however, a comparison of hydrologic results with and without lake effects showed that there was only minor effects on water supplies.  相似文献   

Quantitative description of the geomagnetic field during the Matuyama-Brunhes polarity transition     

Kenneth A. Hoffman 《Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors》1981,24(4):229-235

A model of the reversing geodynamo based on the assumptions (1) that reversals start in a localized region of the core and (2) that upon its onset this reversed region extends, or “floods”, both north-south and east-west until the entire core is affected, has recently been shown to provide a generally successful simulation of existing paleomagnetic records of the Matuyama-Brunhes transition (Hoffman, 1979). In this paper the modelled solution is analyzed so as to reveal the behavior of the dominant Gauss coefficients during the transition. At the time of total axial dipole decay the controlling components are found to be a zonal octupole (g₃⁰) and a non-axisymmetric quadrupole (g₂¹, h₂¹). Given the distribution of sites corresponding to the available records of the Matuyama-Brunhes, the existence of a significant zonal quadrupole field component cannot be ruled out; however, the role of any equatorial dipole component can be neglected.Due to the presence of a significant low-order non-axisymmetric term in the analyzed transition field, the predicted minimum intensity experienced during the Matuyama-Brunhes is found to be dependent on both site latitude and longitude. In particular, over a mid-northern circle of latitude, the predicted minimum intensity is found to vary by more than a factor of three, averaging about 10% of the full polarity field strength.Although not a unique solution, the applicability of the findings from this analysis is not tied to the phenomenological model from which they were derived. More specifically, whether the above two-component non-dipole transitional field arises from assumed configurational changes of the reversing geodynamo (as is the case for the flooding model) or, alternatively, is considered to be a stationary (non-reversing) portion of the field during axial dipole decay and regeneration, has little effect on either the calculated path locality of the virtual geomagnetic pole or the minimum intensity experienced at a given site. These two possible situations, in principle, should be distinguishable given the future attainment of detailed paleomagnetic data corresponding to back-to-back (R → N and N → R) polarity transitions.  相似文献   

Hanford tank residual waste – Contaminant source terms and release models     

William J. Deutsch  Kirk J. Cantrell  Kenneth M. Krupka  Michael L. Lindberg  R. Jeffery Serne 《Applied Geochemistry》2011,26(9-10):1681-1693

Residual waste is expected to be left in 177 underground storage tanks after closure at the US Department of Energy’s Hanford Site in Washington State, USA. In the long term, the residual wastes may represent a potential source of contamination to the subsurface environment. Residual materials that cannot be completely removed during the tank closure process are being studied to identify and characterize the solid phases and estimate the release of contaminants from these solids to water that might enter the closed tanks in the future. As of the end of 2009, residual waste from five tanks has been evaluated. Residual wastes from adjacent tanks C-202 and C-203 have high U concentrations of 24 and 59 wt.%, respectively, while residual wastes from nearby tanks C-103 and C-106 have low U concentrations of 0.4 and 0.03 wt.%, respectively. Aluminum concentrations are high (8.2–29.1 wt.%) in some tanks (C-103, C-106, and S-112) and relatively low (<1.5 wt.%) in other tanks (C-202 and C-203). Gibbsite is a common mineral in tanks with high Al concentrations, while non-crystalline U–Na–C–O–P ± H phases are common in the U-rich residual wastes from tanks C-202 and C-203. Iron oxides/hydroxides have been identified in all residual waste samples studied to date. Contaminant release from the residual wastes was studied by conducting batch leach tests using distilled deionized water, a Ca(OH)₂-saturated solution, or a CaCO₃-saturated water. Uranium release concentrations are highly dependent on waste and leachant compositions with dissolved U concentrations one or two orders of magnitude higher in the tests with high U residual wastes, and also higher when leached with the CaCO₃-saturated solution than with the Ca(OH)₂-saturated solution. Technetium leachability is not as strongly dependent on the concentration of Tc in the waste, and it appears to be slightly more leachable by the Ca(OH)₂-saturated solution than by the CaCO₃-saturated solution. In general, Tc is much less leachable (<10 wt.% of the available mass in the waste) than previously predicted. This may be due to the coprecipitation of trace concentrations of Tc in relatively insoluble phases such as Fe oxide/hydroxide solids.  相似文献   

Late-Holocene paleoenvironmental change at mid-elevation on the Caribbean slope of the Cordillera Central,Dominican Republic: a multi-site,multi-proxy analysis     

Chad S. Lane  Sally P. Horn  Claudia I. Mora  Kenneth H. Orvis 《Quaternary Science Reviews》2009,28(23-24):2239-2260

High-resolution proxy records from the circum-Caribbean region indicate significant variation in Late Holocene climate, especially precipitation, attributed primarily to shifts in the mean annual position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). The paleoenvironmental and cultural impacts of this Late-Holocene climate variability have been analyzed intensively in the western Caribbean, and to a lesser extent in the southern Caribbean. However, the occurrence and impacts of Late Holocene climate shifts in the eastern Caribbean, especially in island interiors, has not been well documented. Here we present sediment records of Late-Holocene paleoenvironmental change from two lakes located on the Caribbean slope of the Cordillera Central in the Dominican Republic that span the last ～3000 years. Sediment characteristics, pollen, charcoal, biogenic carbonate assemblages and isotopic composition, and bulk sedimentary carbon isotope values in Laguna Castilla and Laguna de Salvador indicate extreme shifts in hydrology, vegetation, and disturbance regimes in response to climate change and human activity in the lake watersheds. Close correspondence between the hydrological histories of the lakes and trace metal concentrations in sediments of the Cariaco Basin indicate that precipitation variability here responds to the same controls, and may similarly reflect shifts in the mean annual position of the ITCZ. Human occupation of the watersheds appears to be closely linked to severe dry periods and may indicate larger scale cultural responses to precipitation variability on the island of Hispaniola. Prehistoric human populations strongly affected vegetation and disturbance regimes in the lake watersheds. Impacts may have lasted several centuries and may have been more severe than impacts of modern populations.  相似文献   

Reconstruction of the Sunspot Group Number: The Backbone Method     

Leif Svalgaard  Kenneth H. Schatten 《Solar physics》2016,291(9-10):2653-2684

  相似文献   

Informed selection of future climates     

Channing Arndt  Charles Fant  Sherman Robinson  Kenneth Strzepek 《Climatic change》2015,131(1):21-33

  相似文献   

Meteorites at Meridiani Planum provide evidence for significant amounts of surface and near‐surface water on early Mars     

Alberto G. FAIRÉN  James M. DOHM  Victor R. BAKER  Shane D. THOMPSON  William C. MAHANEY  Kenneth E. HERKENHOFF  J. Alexis P. RODRÍGUEZ  Alfonso F. DAVILA  Dirk SCHULZE‐MAKUCH  M. Ramy EL MAARRY  Esther R. UCEDA  Ricardo AMILS  Hirdy MIYAMOTO  Kyeong J. KIM  Robert C. ANDERSON  Christopher P. McKAY 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2011,46(12):1832-1841

Abstract– Six large iron meteorites have been discovered in the Meridiani Planum region of Mars by the Mars Exploration Rover Opportunity in a nearly 25 km‐long traverse. Herein, we review and synthesize the available data to propose that the discovery and characteristics of the six meteorites could be explained as the result of their impact into a soft and wet surface, sometime during the Noachian or the Hesperian, subsequently to be exposed at the Martian surface through differential erosion. As recorded by its sediments and chemical deposits, Meridiani has been interpreted to have undergone a watery past, including a shallow sea, a playa, an environment of fluctuating ground water, and/or an icy landscape. Meteorites could have been encased upon impact and/or subsequently buried, and kept underground for a long time, shielded from the atmosphere. The meteorites apparently underwent significant chemical weathering due to aqueous alteration, as indicated by cavernous features that suggest differential acidic corrosion removing less resistant material and softer inclusions. During the Amazonian, the almost complete disappearance of surface water and desiccation of the landscape, followed by induration of the sediments and subsequent differential erosion and degradation of Meridiani sediments, including at least 10–80 m of deflation in the last 3–3.5 Gy, would have exposed the buried meteorites. We conclude that the iron meteorites support the hypothesis that Mars once had a denser atmosphere and considerable amounts of water and/or water ice at and/or near the surface.  相似文献   

Monte Carlo modeling of neutral gas and dust in the coma of Comet 1P/Halley     

Martin Rubin  Valeriy M. Tenishev  Kenneth C. Hansen  Kathrin Altwegg 《Icarus》2011,213(2):655-677

The neutral gas environment of a comet is largely influenced by dissociation of parent molecules created at the surface of the comet and collisions of all the involved species. We compare the results from a kinetic model of the neutral cometary environment with measurements from the Neutral Mass Spectrometer and the Dust Impact Detection System onboard the Giotto spacecraft taken during the fly-by at Comet 1P/Halley in 1986. We also show that our model is in good agreement with contemporaneous measurements obtained by the International Ultraviolet Explorer, sounding rocket experiments, and various ground based observations.The model solves the Boltzmann equation with a Direct Simulation Monte Carlo technique (Tenishev, V., Combi, M., Davidsson, B. [2008]. Astrophys. J. 685, 659-677) by tracking trajectories of gas molecules and dust grains under the influence of the comet’s weak gravity field with momentum exchange among particles modeled in a probabilistic manner. The cometary nucleus is considered to be the source of dust and the parent species (in our model: H₂O, CO, H₂CO, CO₂, CH₃OH, C₂H₆, C₂H₄, C₂H₂, HCN, NH₃, and CH₄) in the coma. Subsequently our model also tracks the corresponding dissociation products (H, H₂, O, OH, C, CH, CH₂, CH₃, N, NH, NH₂, C₂, C₂H, C₂H₅, CN, and HCO) from the comet’s surface all the way out to 10⁶ km.As a result we are able to further constrain cometary the gas production rates of CO (13%), CO₂ (2.5%), and H₂CO (1.5%) relative to water without invoking unknown extended sources.  相似文献   

Bounce Rock—A shergottite‐like basalt encountered at Meridiani Planum,Mars     

Jutta ZIPFEL  Bradley L. JOLLIFF  Ralf GELLERT  Kenneth E. HERKENHOFF  Rudolf RIEDER  Robert ANDERSON  James F. BELL III  Johannes BRÜCKNER  Joy A. CRISP  Philip R. CHRISTENSEN  Benton C. CLARK  Paulo A. De SOUZA Jr.  Gerlind DREIBUS  Claude D’USTON  Thanasis ECONOMOU  Steven P. GOREVAN  Brian C. HAHN  Göstar KLINGELHÖFER  Timothy J. McCOY  Harry Y. McSWEEN Jr.  Douglas W. MING  Richard V. MORRIS  Daniel S. RODIONOV  Steven W. SQUYRES  Heinrich WÄNKE  Shawn P. WRIGHT  Michael B. WYATT  Albert S. YEN 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2011,46(1):1-20

Abstract– The Opportunity rover of the Mars Exploration Rover mission encountered an isolated rock fragment with textural, mineralogical, and chemical properties similar to basaltic shergottites. This finding was confirmed by all rover instruments, and a comprehensive study of these results is reported here. Spectra from the miniature thermal emission spectrometer and the Panoramic Camera reveal a pyroxene‐rich mineralogy, which is also evident in Mössbauer spectra and in normative mineralogy derived from bulk chemistry measured by the alpha particle X‐ray spectrometer. The correspondence of Bounce Rock’s chemical composition with the composition of certain basaltic shergottites, especially Elephant Moraine (EET) 79001 lithology B and Queen Alexandra Range (QUE) 94201, is very close, with only Cl, Fe, and Ti exhibiting deviations. Chemical analyses further demonstrate characteristics typical of Mars such as the Fe/Mn ratio and P concentrations. Possible shock features support the idea that Bounce Rock was ejected from an impact crater, most likely in the Meridiani Planum region. Bopolu crater, 19.3 km in diameter, located 75 km to the southwest could be the source crater. To date, no other rocks of this composition have been encountered by any of the rovers on Mars. The finding of Bounce Rock by the Opportunity rover provides further direct evidence for an origin of basaltic shergottite meteorites from Mars.  相似文献   

Introduction to the High Resolution Imaging Science Experiment (HiRISE) Special Issue of Icarus     

Kenneth E. Herkenhoff  Laszlo P. Keszthelyi 《Icarus》2010,205(1):1

  相似文献