Erratum: Editors’ Message: Online re-publication of legacy articles on the occasion of Hydrogeology Journal’s 20th anniversary, 1992–2012, and Editors’ Message: Eminent hydrogeologists profiled in 20 years of Hydrogeology Journal (1992–2012)     

Clifford I. Voss  Sue M. Duncan 《Hydrogeology Journal》2013,21(7):1683-1685

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Co‐seismic deformation and post‐glacial slip rate along the Magallanes‐Fagnano fault,Tierra Del Fuego,Argentina     

Sandrine Roy  Riccardo Vassallo  Joseph Martinod  Matías C. Ghiglione  Christian Sue  Pascal Allemand 《地学学报》2020,32(1):1-10

Across the extreme south of Patagonia, the Magallanes‐Fagnano Fault (MFF) accommodates the left‐lateral relative motion between South America and Scotia plates. In this paper, we present an updated view of the geometry of the eastern portion of the MFF outcropping in Tierra del Fuego. We subdivide the MFF in eight segments on the basis of their deformation styles, using field mapping and interpretation of high‐resolution imagery. We quantify coseismic ruptures of the strongest recorded 1949, M_w7.5 earthquake, and determine its eastern termination. We recognize several co‐seismic offsets in man‐made features showing a sinistral shift up to 6.5 m, greater than previously estimated. Using ¹⁰Be cosmogenic nuclides depth profiles, we date a cumulated offset in post‐glacial morphologies and estimate the long‐term slip rate of the eastern MFF. We quantify a 6.4 ± 0.9 mm/a left‐lateral fault slip rate, which overlaps geodetic velocity and suggests stable fault behaviour since Pleistocene.  相似文献   

Sediment-charged flash floods on Montserrat: The influence of synchronous tephra fall and varying extent of vegetation damage     

Jan Alexander  Jenni Barclay  Janez Sušnik  Sue C. Loughlin  Richard A. Herd  Amii Darnell  Sian Crosweller 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2010

On 20th May 2006 the Soufrière Hills Volcano on the Caribbean island of Montserrat experienced a large dome collapse and intense rainfall generated flash floods. The floods had very high loads of volcanic debris derived both from this and previous eruptions and can thus be classified as lahars. The floods reached unusually high water levels and caused substantial geomorphic change in the Belham Valley. Detailed rainfall and geomorphological data, coupled with the precise timing of events and yewitness accounts have facilitated an assessment of the relative importance of rainfall volume and intensity, older volcanic debris, pre- and syn-flood tephra fall and the extent of pre-flood vegetation damage for the behavior of this and subsequent sediment-laden floods in this setting. The change in runoff behavior was controlled by preexisting vegetation damage and synchronous tephra fall and this was critically important in controlling the impact of these flash floods. Although rainfall intensity and volume have some control on flood occurrence they are not the critical control on flash flood impact on the geomorphology in the Belham Valley. A significant conclusion of this study is that the extreme nature of the flash floods was not caused by extreme rainfall (as is commonly believed to be the primary cause of flash floods) but rather it was the result of changed runoff behaviour caused by the widespread syn-flood tephra deposition and importantly the widespread vegetation damage by volcanic-associated acid rain in the preceding weeks.  相似文献   

A Genetic Algorithm Variational Approach to Data Assimilation and Application to Volcanic Emissions     

Kerrie?J.?Schmehl  Sue?Ellen?HauptEmail author  Michael?J.?Pavolonis 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2012,169(3):519-537

Variational data assimilation methods optimize the match between an observed and a predicted field. These methods normally require information on error variances of both the analysis and the observations, which are sometimes difficult to obtain for transport and dispersion problems. Here, the variational problem is set up as a minimization problem that directly minimizes the root mean squared error of the difference between the observations and the prediction. In the context of atmospheric transport and dispersion, the solution of this optimization problem requires a robust technique. A genetic algorithm (GA) is used here for that solution, forming the GA-Variational (GA-Var) technique. The philosophy and formulation of the technique is described here. An advantage of the technique includes that it does not require observation or analysis error covariances nor information about any variables that are not directly assimilated. It can be employed in the context of either a forward assimilation problem or used to retrieve unknown source or meteorological information by solving the inverse problem. The details of the method are reviewed. As an example application, GA-Var is demonstrated for predicting the plume from a volcanic eruption. First the technique is employed to retrieve the unknown emission rate and the steering winds of the volcanic plume. Then that information is assimilated into a forward prediction of its transport and dispersion. Concentration data are derived from satellite data to determine the observed ash concentrations. A case study is made of the March 2009 eruption of Mount Redoubt in Alaska. The GA-Var technique is able to determine a wind speed and direction that matches the observations well and a reasonable emission rate.  相似文献   

Assessment of agricultural drought using a simple water balance model in the Free State Province of South Africa   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Mokhele Edmond Moeletsi  Sue Walker 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2012,108(3-4):425-450

Water Requirement Satisfaction Index (WRSI) at three different probability levels (20%, 50%, and 80%) was used to quantify drought affecting rain-fed maize production in the Free State Province of South Africa based on climate data from 227 weather stations. Results showed high spatial variability in the suitability of different areas: the southern and southwestern localities are unsuitable due to high drought incidences; the northern, central, and western regions are marginally suitable; the eastern, northerneastern areas and a few patches in the northwest are highly suitable with relatively low drought severity. Proper choice of maize varieties to suit conditions at different localities is crucial. The Mann–Kendall test and coefficient of variation were further used to determine trends and temporal variability, respectively, in the WRSI, seasonal rainfall, and seasonal maize water requirements. Results of this analysis revealed no significant positive trends in the WRSI, no significant negative trends in seasonal rainfall, and no significant positive trends in maize water requirements, contradicting previous findings of increased drought severity. Seasonal rainfall and the WRSI showed high interseasonal variability, while seasonal maize water requirements showed low variability. In view of these observations, it is apparent that realignment of management practices is an overdue prerequisite for sustainable maize production.  相似文献   

Past major tsunamis and the level of tsunami risk on the Aitape coast of Papua New Guinea     

Davies  Hugh L.  Simeon  Oliver B.  Hope  Geoffrey  Petchey  Fiona  Davies  Jocelyn M. 《Natural Hazards》2019,96(3):1019-1040

Natural Hazards - This paper reports the results of an investigation into past major tsunamis on the Aitape coast of Papua New Guinea. The investigation was mounted to gather information to help...  相似文献   

Potential forC Dating of Biogenic Carbonate in Hackberry (Celtis) Endocarps     

Yang Wang  A.Hope Jahren  Ronald Amundson 《Quaternary Research》1997,47(3):337-343

Hackberry endocarp (Celtissp.) contains significant amounts (up to 70 wt%) of biogenic carbonate that is nearly pure aragonite (CaCO₃). Because of their high mineral content, hackberry endocarps are found abundantly in Tertiary and Quaternary sediments and are very common in many North American archaeological sites. We analyzed the¹⁴C content of different components of modern hackberries including the biogenic carbonate in hackberry endocarps collected at known times over the past century. The¹⁴C content of the endocarp carbonate accurately records the¹⁴C content of the atmosphere.¹⁴C dates of fossil endocarp carbonates compared favorably with dates obtained by other means at archaeological and geological sites ranging in age from the late Pleistocene through the early Holocene. We therefore suggest that hackberry endocarp is a suitable substrate for¹⁴C dating provided that its morphological and mineralogical integrity is preserved.  相似文献   

Carbon isotopic fractionation in lipids from methanotrophic bacteria II: the effects of physiology and environmental parameters on the biosynthesis and isotopic signatures of biomarkers     

Jahnke LL  Summons RE  Hope JM  Des Marais DJ 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1999,63(1):79-93

Controls on the carbon isotopic signatures of methanotroph biomarkers have been further explored using cultured organisms. Growth under conditions which select for the membrane-bound particulate form of the methane monooxygenase enzyme (pMMO) leads to a significantly higher isotopic fractionation than does growth based on the soluble isozyme in both RuMP and serine pathway methanotrophs; in an RuMP type the delta delta 13Cbiomass equaled -23.9% for pMMO and -12.6% for sMMO. The distribution of biomarker lipids does not appear to be significantly affected by the dominance of one or the other MMO type and their isotopic compositions generally track those of the parent biomass. The 13C fractionation behaviour of serine pathway methanotrophs is very complex, reflecting the assimilation of both methane and carbon dioxide and concomitant dissimilation of methane-derived carbon. A limitation in CH4 availability leads to the production of biomass which is 13C-enriched with respect to both carbon substrates and this occurs irrespective of MMO type. This startling result indicates that there must be an additional fractionation step downstream from the MMO reaction which leads to incorporation of 13C-enriched carbon at the expense of dissimilation of 13C-depleted CO2. In these organisms, polyisoprenoid lipids are 13C-enriched compared to polymethylenic lipid which is the reverse of that found in the RuMP types. Serine cycle hopanoids, for example, can vary anywhere from 12% depleted to 10% enriched with respect to the CH4 substrate depending on its concentration. Decrease in growth temperature caused an overall increase in isotopic fractionation. In the total biomass, this effect tended to be masked by physiological factors associated with the type of organism and variation in the bulk composition. The effect was, however, clearly evident when monitoring the 13C signature of total lipid and individual biomarkers. Our results demonstrate that extreme carbon isotopic depletion in field samples and fossil biomarker lipids can be indicative of methanotrophy but the converse is not always true. For example, the hopanoids of a serine cycle methanotroph may be isotopically enriched by more than 10% compared to the substrate methane when the latter is limiting. In other words, hopanoids from some methanotrophs such as M. trichosporium would be indistinguishable from those of cyanobacteria or heterotrophic bacteria on the basis of either chemical structure or carbon isotopic signature.  相似文献   

An assessment of the R-index method for calculating stormflow volumes in Natal, South Africa     

A. S. Hope 《Journal of Hydrology》1983,60(1-4):243-255

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Evidence and Implications of Recent Climate Change in Northern Alaska and Other Arctic Regions   总被引：19，自引：0，他引：19  

Larry D. Hinzman  Neil D. Bettez  W. Robert Bolton  F. Stuart Chapin  Mark B. Dyurgerov  Chris L. Fastie  Brad Griffith  Robert D. Hollister  Allen Hope  Henry P. Huntington  Anne M. Jensen  Gensuo J. Jia  Torre Jorgenson  Douglas L. Kane  David R. Klein  Gary Kofinas  Amanda H. Lynch  Andrea H. Lloyd  A. David McGuire  Frederick E. Nelson  Walter C. Oechel  Thomas E. Osterkamp  Charles H. Racine  Vladimir E. Romanovsky  Robert S. Stone  Douglas A. Stow  Matthew Sturm  Craig E. Tweedie  George L. Vourlitis  Marilyn D. Walker  Donald A. Walker  Patrick J. Webber  Jeffrey M. Welker  Kevin S. Winker  Kenji Yoshikawa 《Climatic change》2005,72(3):251-298

The Arctic climate is changing. Permafrost is warming, hydrological processes are changing and biological and social systems are also evolving in response to these changing conditions. Knowing how the structure and function of arctic terrestrial ecosystems are responding to recent and persistent climate change is paramount to understanding the future state of the Earth system and how humans will need to adapt. Our holistic review presents a broad array of evidence that illustrates convincingly; the Arctic is undergoing a system-wide response to an altered climatic state. New extreme and seasonal surface climatic conditions are being experienced, a range of biophysical states and processes influenced by the threshold and phase change of freezing point are being altered, hydrological and biogeochemical cycles are shifting, and more regularly human sub-systems are being affected. Importantly, the patterns, magnitude and mechanisms of change have sometimes been unpredictable or difficult to isolate due to compounding factors. In almost every discipline represented, we show how the biocomplexity of the Arctic system has highlighted and challenged a paucity of integrated scientific knowledge, the lack of sustained observational and experimental time series, and the technical and logistic constraints of researching the Arctic environment. This study supports ongoing efforts to strengthen the interdisciplinarity of arctic system science and improve the coupling of large scale experimental manipulation with sustained time series observations by incorporating and integrating novel technologies, remote sensing and modeling.  相似文献