Variability and alterations of water temperatures across the Elbe and Danube River Basins     

Danijela Markovic  Ulrike Scharfenberger  Stefan Schmutz  Florian Pletterbauer  Christian Wolter 《Climatic change》2013,119(2):375-389

Climate change is predicted to be a major threat to river ecosystems in the 21st century, but long-term records of water temperature in streams and rivers are rare. This study uses long-term water temperature series from the Elbe and the Danube River Basin to quantify the variability, magnitude, and extent of temperature alterations at different time scales. The observed patterns in monthly and daily water temperatures have been successfully described through statistical models based on air temperature, river discharge and the North Atlantic Oscillation Index. These models reveal that air temperature variability describes more than 80 % of the total water-temperature variability, linking anticipated changes in water temperature mainly to those in air temperature. The North Atlantic Oscillation effect deteriorates with decreasing latitude, while the discharge effect becomes more important and increases with the increase in discharge amount. The detected water temperature alterations include a phase shift in spring warming of almost 2 weeks, an increase in the number of days with temperatures above 25 °C and an increase in the duration of summer heat stress. These findings underline a significant risk for fundamental changes in river ecosystems, specifically in disruption of established patterns in food-web synchrony, and may lead to significant distortions in community structure and composition.  相似文献   

A transition from CMIP3 to CMIP5 for climate information providers: the case of surface temperature over eastern North America     

Marko Markovic  Ramón de Elía  Anne Frigon  H. Damon Matthews 《Climatic change》2013,120(1-2):197-210

The release of new data constituting the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project—Phase 5 (CMIP5) database is an important event in both climate science and climate services issues. Although users’ eagerness for a fast transition from CMIP3 to CMIP5 is expected, this change implies some challenges for climate information providers. The main reason is that the two sets of experiments were performed in different ways regarding radiative forcing and hence continuity between both datasets is partially lost. The objective of this research is to evaluate a metric that is independent of the amount and the evolution of radiative forcing, hence facilitating comparison between the two sets for surface temperature over eastern North America. The link between CMIP3 and CMIP5 data sets is explored spatially and locally (using the ratio of local to global temperatures) through the use of regional warming patterns, a relationship between the grid-box and the global mean temperature change for a certain time frame. Here, we show that local to global ratios are effective tools in making climate change information between the two sets comparable. As a response to the global mean temperature change, both CMIP experiments show very similar warming patterns, trends, and climate change uncertainty for both winter and summer. Sensitivity of the models to radiative forcing is not assessed. Real inter-model differences remain the largest source of uncertainty when calculating warming patterns as well as spatially-based patterns for the pattern scaling approach. This relationship between the datasets, which may escape users when they are provided with a single radiative forcing pathway, needs to be stressed by climate information providers.  相似文献   

Investigating Propagation of Short-Period Ocean Waves Into the Periphery of Arctic Pack Ice Using High-Resolution Upward-Looking Sonar     

Matthew G. Asplin  John Marko  David B. Fissel  Keath Borg 《大气与海洋》2018,56(3):152-161

Springtime fetch in the Cape Bathurst Polynya System may present opportunities for winds to generate waves capable of propagating into the thick pack ice formed over the winter. A waves-in-ice event at a study site located on the Canadian Shelf in the southern Beaufort Sea that occurred 22–23 May 2011 is presented and analyzed for wave energy attenuation and dissipation characteristics. The event was monitored near the ice edge and, therefore, presents information on attenuation of waves from the ice edge into the pack. Waves of T?=?5?s, λ?=?37.5?m were observed up to approximately 143?m and approximately 77?m away from the ice edge during two separate observation periods of ice edge wave propagation. We estimated reflection coefficients of 53% and 52% and wave attenuation coefficients of α?=?2.4?×?10^?2?m^?1 and α?=?5.4?×?10^?2?m^?1, respectively, for the two periods. Estimated attenuation rates are an order of magnitude greater than in comparable studies and are inconsistent with previous findings of a “rollover” effect in attenuation rates for short-period waves.  相似文献   

Fluid inclusion evidence for deep burial of the Tertiary accretionary wedge of the Carpathians     

Vratislav Hurai  Franti&#x;ek Marko  Antoni K. Tokarski  Anna wierczewska  Júlia Kotulov  Adrin Biro&#x; 《地学学报》2006,18(6):440-446

Hydrothermal quartz from mineralized joints of the Carpathian accretionary wedge contains immiscible aqueous, oil‐condensate, methane and carbon dioxide‐rich fluid inclusions. Distribution patterns of the inclusion trapping PT parameters point to a crack‐seal mechanism during upward and lateral migration of hot methane‐rich fluids from overpressured sediments at the base of the accretionary wedge. A simple equation is proposed to calculate depths from densities and trapping pressures of the buoyant inclusion fluids. In the Carpathian accretionary wedge, the paleofluid pressures of 52–306 MPa correspond to a 5‐ to 11‐km‐thick overburden. Prior to exhumation, thickness of the wedge must have attained 10–25 km, of which only c. 50% was preserved until recently. Anomalously high methane densities (up to 0.43 g cm^?3) recorded in the lowermost nappe sheets are provisionally interpreted as a result of supralithostatic overpressure due to thermal cracking of oil and kerogen to methane and pyrobitumen at temperatures above 200 °C.  相似文献   

Rainfall thresholds for rainfall-induced landslides in Slovenia   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

Ascanio Rosi  Tina Peternel  Mateja Jemec-Auflič  Marko Komac  Samuele Segoni  Nicola Casagli 《Landslides》2016,13(6):1571-1577

In Slovenia, rainfall-induced landslides lead to considerable damages, even causing human losses. In order to reduce the impact of this kind of landslide, several researchers analyzed rainfall-induced landslides in this country, but to date, no rainfall thresholds have been developed for a landslide warning system at national scale. In this paper, the definition of rainfall thresholds for rainfall-induced landslides in Slovenia is presented. The thresholds have been calculated by collecting approximately 900 landslide data and the relative rainfall amounts, which have been collected from 41 rain gauges. To define the thresholds, an existing procedure characterized by a high degree of objectiveness has been used. This approach is based on a software that was developed for a test site with very different characteristics (Tuscany, central Italy). At first, a single national threshold has been defined; subsequently, the country was divided into four zones, on the basis of the major river basins. The effectiveness of the thresholds has been verified by the use of several statistical parameters and it resulted in quite good performances, even if with some uncertainties, probably due to the quality of the available data. Besides the setting of a threshold system, usable for civil protection purposes at national scale, an additional outcome of this work was the possibility of applying, with good results, a methodology defined for another region, therefore testing its degree of exportability in different settings.  相似文献   

Coupling of GPS/GNSS and radar interferometric data for a 3D surface displacement monitoring of landslides   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Marko Komac  Rachel Holley  Pooja Mahapatra  Hans van der Marel  Miloš Bavec 《Landslides》2015,12(2):241-257

  相似文献   

Changes in fish mercury concentrations over 20 years in an acidified lake subject to experimental liming     

Martti Rask  Roger I. Jones  Marko Järvinen  Anna Paloheimo  Maiju Salonen  Jari Syväranta  Matti Verta 《Applied Geochemistry》2007

Lake Iso Valkjärvi (southern Finland, Europe) was divided in two with a plastic curtain in 1991. One half was neutralized with CaCO₃, and the other acted as a control. Mercury concentrations of perch (Perca fluviatilis) and northern pike (Esox lucius) in the limed and control side of the lake were studied both before and after the treatment. Average Hg concentrations of perch and pike were 0.40 and 1.2 μg g⁻¹ (ww) in the early 1980s and 0.25 and 0.72 μg g⁻¹ (ww) a decade later at the time of liming. Ten years after the liming the Hg concentrations of perch in the limed and control sides of the lake were 0.21 and 0.28 μg g⁻¹ (ww) and those of pike were 0.69 and 0.43 μg g⁻¹ (ww), respectively. Nitrogen isotope ratios (δ¹⁵N) for perch in the sampling period 2002–2004 showed wide variation suggesting variable trophic positions for individual fish. Pike formed two groups according to their δ¹⁵N-values, suggesting that zoobenthos dominated the diet of pike around 20 cm in length and fish that of the larger pikes. Because the δ¹⁵N-values of fish were at similar levels in the limed and control sides of L. Iso Valkjärvi, differences in food web structure cannot account for the different fish Hg concentrations. A more likely explanation is water quality induced differences in the dynamics and bioavailability of Hg, leading to decreased formation of methyl Hg.  相似文献   

Miocene emplacement and rapid cooling of the Pohorje pluton at the Alpine-Pannonian-Dinaridic junction,Slovenia     

László I. Fodor  Axel Gerdes  István Dunkl  Balázs Koroknai  Zoltán Pécskay  Mirka Trajanova  Péter Horváth  Marko Vrabec  Bogomir Jelen  Kadosa Balogh  Wolfgang Frisch 《Swiss Journal of Geoscience》2008,101(1):255-271

New laser ablation-inductive coupled plasma-mass spectrometry U-Pb analyses on oscillatory-zoned zircon imply Early Miocene crystallization (18.64 ± 0.11 Ma) of the Pohorje pluton at the southeastern margin of the Eastern Alps (northern Slovenia). Inherited zircon cores indicate two crustal sources: a late Variscan magmatic population (~270–290 Ma), and an early Neoproterozoic one (850–900 Ma) with juvenile Hf isotope composition close to that of depleted mantle. Initial εHf of Miocene zircon points to an additional, more juvenile source component of the Miocene magma, which could be either a juvenile Phanerozoic crust or the Miocene mantle. The new U-Pb isotope age of the Pohorje pluton seriously questions its attribution to the Oligocene age ‘Periadriatic’ intrusions. The new data imply a temporal coincidence with 19–15 Ma magmatism in the Pannonian Basin system, more specifically in the Styrian Basin. K-Ar mineral- and whole rock ages from the pluton itself and cogenetic shallow intrusive dacitic rocks (~18–16 Ma), as well as zircon fission track data (17.7–15.6 Ma), gave late Early to early Middle Miocene ages, indicating rapid cooling of the pluton within about 3 Million years. Medium-grade Austroalpine metamorphics north and south of the pluton were reheated and subsequently cooled together. Outcrop- and micro scale structures record deformation of the Pohorje pluton and few related mafic and dacitic dykes under greenschist facies conditions. Part of the solidstate fabrics indicate E–W oriented stretching and vertical thinning, while steeply dipping foliation and NW–SE trending lineation are also present. The E–W oriented lineation is parallel to the direction of subsequent brittle extension, which resulted in normal faulting and tilting of the earlier ductile fabric at around the Early / Middle Miocene boundary; normal faulting was combined with strike-slip faulting. Renewed N–S compression may be related to late Miocene to Quaternary dextral faulting in the area. The documented syn-cooling extensional structures and part of the strike-slip faults can be interpreted as being related to lateral extrusion of the Eastern Alps and/or to back-arc rifting in the Pannonian Basin.  相似文献   

Laboratory studies into the effect of regolith on planetary X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy     

Jyri Näränen  Hannu Parviainen  James Carpenter  Marko Peura 《Icarus》2008,198(2):408-419

In the analysis of X-ray fluorescence spectra from planetary surfaces, it is traditionally assumed that the observed surface is a plane-parallel, smooth, and homogeneous medium. The spectral and spatial resolutions of the instruments that have been used to measure X-ray emission from planetary surfaces to date have been such that this has been a reasonable assumption, but a new generation of X-ray spectrometers will provide enhanced spectral and spatial resolutions when compared with previous instrumentation. In light of these improvements in performance, it is important to assess how the requirements on the methodology of analysis of spectra may change when the surface is considered as a regolith. At other wavelengths, varying physical properties of planetary regoliths, such as the packing density, are known to have an effect on the observed signal as a function of viewing geometry. In this paper, the results from laboratory X-ray fluorescence measurements of regolith analogue materials at different viewing geometries are presented. Characteristic properties of the regolith such as particle sizes and packing density are found to affect the measured elemental line ratios. A semiempirical function is introduced as a tool for fitting fluorescent line intensity dependences as a function of viewing geometry. The importance of the results is discussed and recommendations are made for the future analysis of planetary X-ray fluorescence data.  相似文献   

The L3–6 chondritic regolith breccia Northwest Africa (NWA) 869: (I) Petrology,chemistry, oxygen isotopes,and Ar‐Ar age determinations     

Knut METZLER  Addi BISCHOFF  Richard C. GREENWOOD  Herbert PALME  Marko GELLISSEN  Jens HOPP  Ian A. FRANCHI  Mario TRIELOFF 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2011,46(5):652-680

Abstract– Northwest Africa (NWA) 869 consists of thousands of individual stones with an estimated total weight of about 7 metric tons. It is an L3–6 chondrite and probably represents the largest sample of the rare regolith breccias from the L–chondrite asteroid. It contains unequilibrated and equilibrated chondrite clasts, some of which display shock‐darkening. Impact melt rocks (IMRs), both clast‐free and clast‐poor, are strongly depleted in Fe,Ni metal, and sulfides. An unequilibrated microbreccia, two different light inclusions and two different SiO₂‐bearing objects were found. Although the matrix of this breccia appears partly clastic, it is not a simple mixture of fine‐grained debris formed from the above lithologies, but mainly represents an additional specific lithology of low petrologic type. We speculate that this material stems from a region of the parent body that was only weakly consolidated. One IMR clast and one SiO₂‐bearing object show Δ¹⁷O values similar to bulk NWA 869, suggesting that both are related to the host rock. In contrast, one light inclusion and one IMR clast appear to be unrelated to NWA 869, suggesting that the IMR clast is contaminated with impactor material. ⁴⁰Ar‐³⁹Ar analyses of a type 4 chondrite clast yield a plateau age of 4402 ± 7 Ma, which is interpreted to be the result of impact heating. Other impact events are recorded by an IMR clast at 1790 ± 36 Ma and a shock‐darkened clast at 2216 ± 40 Ma, demonstrating that NWA 869 escaped major reset in the course of the event at approximately 470 Ma that affected many L–chondrites.  相似文献