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921.
The TerraSAR-X (TSX) synthetic aperture radar (SAR) marks the recent emergence of a new generation of spaceborne radar sensors
that can for the first time lay claim to localization accuracies in the sub-meter range. The TSX platform’s extremely high
orbital stability and the sensor’s hardware timing accuracy combine to enable direct measurements of atmospheric refraction
and solid Earth movements. By modeling these effects for individual TSX acquisitions, absolute pixel geolocation accuracy
on the order of several centimeters can be achieved without need for even a single tiepoint. A 16-month time series of images
was obtained over a fixed test site, making it possible to validate both an atmospheric refraction and a solid Earth tide
model, while at the same time establishing the instrument’s long-term stability. These related goals were achieved by placing
trihedral corner reflectors (CRs) at the test site and estimating their phase centers with centimeter-level accuracy using
differential GPS (DGPS). Oriented in pairs toward a given satellite track, the CRs could be seen as bright “points” in the
images, providing a geometric reference set. SAR images from the high-resolution spotlight (HS) mode were obtained in alternating
ascending and descending orbit configurations. The highest-resolution products were selected for their small sample dimensions,
as positions can be more precisely determined. Based on the delivered product annotations, the CR image positions were predicted,
and these predictions were compared with their measured image positions both before and after compensation for atmospheric refraction and systematic solid Earth deviations. It was possible to show that when the atmospheric
distortion and Earth tides are taken into account, the TSX HS products have geolocation accuracies far exceeding the specified
requirements. Furthermore, this accuracy was maintained for the duration of the 16-month test period. It could be demonstrated
that with a correctly calibrated sensor, and after accounting for atmospheric and tidal effects, tiepoint-free geolocation
is possible with TSX with an absolute product accuracy of about 5 cm. 相似文献
922.
923.
The global electrical circuit, which maintains a potential of about 280 kV between the earth and the ionosphere, is thought to be driven mainly by thunderstorms and lightning. However, very few in situ measurements of electrical current above thunderstorms have been successfully obtained. In this paper, we present dc to very low frequency electric fields and atmospheric conductivity measured in the stratosphere (30–35 km altitude) above an active thunderstorm in southeastern Brazil. From these measurements, we estimate the mean quasi-static conduction current during the storm period to be 2.5 ± 1.25 A. Additionally, we examine the transient conduction currents following a large positive cloud-to-ground (+ CG) lightning flash and typical − CG flashes. We find that the majority of the total current is attributed to the quasi-static thundercloud charge, rather than lightning, which supports the classical Wilson model for the global electrical circuit. 相似文献
924.
A bioeconomic model of key fisheries of the Barents Sea is run with scenarios generated by an earth system model of intermediate complexity to assess how the Barents Sea fisheries of cod (Gadus morhua) and capelin (Mallotus villosus) are affected by changes in the Atlantic thermohaline circulation (THC) arising from anthropogenic climate change. Changes in hydrographic conditions have an impact on recruitment success and survival rates, which constitute a lasting effect on the stocks. The economic development of the fisheries is determined for the 21st century, considering a purely stock size based and a coupled stock size-hydrography based harvesting strategy. Results show that a substantial weakening of the THC leads to impaired cod stock development, causing the associated fishery to become unprofitable in the long run. Simultaneous improvements in capelin stock development help the capelin fishery, but are insufficient to offset the losses incurred by the cod fishery. A comparison of harvest strategies reveals that in times of high variability in stock development, coupled stock size-hydrography based management leads to more stable economic results of these fisheries than the stock size based fishing strategy. 相似文献
925.
Lara C. Whitely Binder Jennifer Krencicki Barcelos Derek B. Booth Meriel Darzen Marketa McGuire Elsner Richard Fenske Thomas F. Graham Alan F. Hamlet John Hodges-Howell J. Elizabeth Jackson Catherine Karr Patrick W. Keys Jeremy S. Littell Nathan Mantua Jennifer Marlow Don McKenzie Michael Robinson-Dorn Eric A. Rosenberg Claudio O. Stöckle Julie A. Vano 《Climatic change》2010,102(1-2):351-376
Climate change is expected to bring potentially significant changes to Washington State’s natural, institutional, cultural, and economic landscape. Addressing climate change impacts will require a sustained commitment to integrating climate information into the day-to-day governance and management of infrastructure, programs, and services that may be affected by climate change. This paper discusses fundamental concepts for planning for climate change and identifies options for adapting to the climate impacts evaluated in the Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment. Additionally, the paper highlights potential avenues for increasing flexibility in the policies and regulations used to govern human and natural systems in Washington. 相似文献
926.
J. Elizabeth Jackson Michael G. Yost Catherine Karr Cole Fitzpatrick Brian K. Lamb Serena H. Chung Jack Chen Jeremy Avise Roger A. Rosenblatt Richard A. Fenske 《Climatic change》2010,102(1-2):159-186
Illness and mortality related to heat and worsening air quality are core public health concerns associated with climate change projections. We examined the historical relationship between age- and cause-specific mortality rates from 1980 through 2006 and heat events at the 99th percentile of humidex values in the historic period from January 1, 1970 to December 31, 2006 in the greater Seattle area (King, Pierce and Snohomish counties), Spokane County, the Tri-Cities (Benton and Franklin counties) and Yakima County; the relative risks of mortality during heat events were applied to population and climate projections for Washington State to calculate number of deaths above the baseline (1980–2006) expected during projected heat events in 2025, 2045 and 2085. Three different warming scenarios were used in the analysis. Relative risks for the greater Seattle area showed a significant dose-response relationship between heat event duration and daily mortality rates for non-traumatic deaths for persons ages 45 and above, typically peaking at four days of exposure to humidex values above the 99th percentile. The largest number of projected excess deaths in all years and scenarios for the Seattle region was found for age 65 and above. Under the middle warming scenario, this age group is expected to have 96, 148 and 266 excess deaths from all non-traumatic causes in 2025, 2045 and 2085, respectively. We also examined projected excess deaths due to ground-level ozone concentrations at mid century (2045–2054) in King and Spokane counties. Current (1997–2006) ozone measurements and mid-twenty-first century ozone projections were coupled with dose-response data from the scientific literature to produce estimates overall and cardiopulmonary mortality. Daily maximum 8-h ozone concentrations are forecasted to be 16–28% higher in the mid twenty-first century compared to the recent decade of 1997–2006. By mid-century in King County the non-traumatic mortality rate related to ozone was projected to increase from baseline (0.026 per 100,000; 95% confidence interval 0.013–0.038) to 0.033 (95% CI 0.017–0.049). For the same health outcome in Spokane County, the baseline period rate of 0.058 (95% CI 0.030–0.085) was estimated increase to 0.068 (95% CI 0.035–0.100) by mid-century. The cardiopulmonary death rate per 100,000 due to ozone was estimated to increase from 0.011 (95% CI 0.005–0.017) to 0.015 (0.007–0.022) in King County, and from 0.027 (95% CI 0.013–0.042) to 0.032 (95% CI 0.015–0.049) in Spokane County. Public health interventions aimed at protecting Washington’s population from excessive heat and increased ozone concentrations will become increasingly important for preventing deaths, especially among older adults. Furthermore, heat and air quality related illnesses that do not result in death, but are serious nevertheless, may be reduced by the same measures. 相似文献
927.
We investigate the effect of source distribution on the bulk transfer of passive scalars between rough, vegetated land surfaces
and the atmosphere, using data from a wind-tunnel experiment in which passive heat was emitted from both the underlying surface
and canopy elements of a three-dimensional regular bluff-body array. The experimental results are compared with a simple one-dimensional,
two-source model for scalar transfer. We find that: (1) the observed scalar transfer resistance across the boundary layer
at the underlying surface is simply related to flat-plate theory by a constant of 0.62, despite the complexity of the turbulent
flow within the wind-tunnel canopy; (2) one-dimensional gradient-transfer theory, even with extensions to account for the
non-local nature of turbulent transfer within the canopy, does not describe the observed details of scalar concentration gradients
in the highly three-dimensional canopy flow, but does provide a reasonable framework for bulk scalar transfer between the
composite ground-canopy surface and the flow above the canopy; (3) the kB
−1 parameter (which accounts for bulk excess resistance to scalar transfer over momentum transfer) is highly sensitive to scalar
source partition between ground and canopy. 相似文献
928.
The effect of horizontal resolution on simulation of very extreme US precipitation events in a global atmosphere model 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We investigate the ability of a global atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) to reproduce observed 20 year return values of the annual maximum daily precipitation totals over the continental United States as a function of horizontal resolution. We find that at the high resolutions enabled by contemporary supercomputers, the AGCM can produce values of comparable magnitude to high quality observations. However, at the resolutions typical of the coupled general circulation models used in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the precipitation return values are severely underestimated. 相似文献
929.
930.
This study presents a 44-year climatology of potential vorticity (PV) streamers in the Northern Hemisphere based upon analyses of the ERA-40 reanalysis data set. A comparison to an existing 15-year climatology yields very good agreement in the locations of PV streamer frequency maxima, but some differences are found in the amplitude of frequencies. The climatology is assessed with the focus on links between PV streamer frequencies and the synoptic- and planetary-scale variability of the dynamical tropopause.
A comprehensive overview is provided on where (zonally) and when (seasonally) short-term variability throughout the extra-tropical and sub-tropical tropopause is enhanced or reduced. Several key processes that influence this variability are discussed. Baroclinic processes, for example, determine the variability in the storm-track areas in winter, whereas the Asian summer monsoon significantly influences the variability over Asia.
The paper also describes links between the frequency of PV streamers in the extra-tropical and subtropical tropopause and three major northern hemisphere teleconnection patterns. The observed changes in the PV streamer frequencies are closely related to concomitant variations of PV and its gradient within the tropopause region. During opposite phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation the location of the streamer frequency maxima shifts significantly in the Atlantic and European region in both the extra-tropics and subtropics. The influence of ENSO on the streamer frequencies is most pronounced in the subtropical Pacific. 相似文献
A comprehensive overview is provided on where (zonally) and when (seasonally) short-term variability throughout the extra-tropical and sub-tropical tropopause is enhanced or reduced. Several key processes that influence this variability are discussed. Baroclinic processes, for example, determine the variability in the storm-track areas in winter, whereas the Asian summer monsoon significantly influences the variability over Asia.
The paper also describes links between the frequency of PV streamers in the extra-tropical and subtropical tropopause and three major northern hemisphere teleconnection patterns. The observed changes in the PV streamer frequencies are closely related to concomitant variations of PV and its gradient within the tropopause region. During opposite phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation the location of the streamer frequency maxima shifts significantly in the Atlantic and European region in both the extra-tropics and subtropics. The influence of ENSO on the streamer frequencies is most pronounced in the subtropical Pacific. 相似文献