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Several studies have suggested that geostatistical techniques could be employed to reduce overall transactions costs associated
with contracting for soil C credits by increasing the efficacy of sampling protocols used to measure C-credits. In this paper,
we show how information about the range of spatial autocorrelation can be used in a measurement scheme to reduce the size
of the confidence intervals that bound estimates of the mean number of C-credits generated per hectare. A tighter confidence
interval around the mean number of C-credits sequestered could increase producer payments for each hectare enrolled in a contract
to supply C-credits. An empirical application to dry land cropping systems in three regions of Montana shows that information
about the spatial autocorrelation exhibited by soil C could be extremely valuable for reducing transactions costs associated
with contracts for C-credits but the benefits are not uniform across all regions or cropping systems. Accounting for spatial
autocorrelation greatly reduced the standard errors and narrowed the confidence intervals associated with sample estimates
of the mean number of C-credits produced per hectare. For the payment mechanism considered in this paper, tighter confidence
intervals around the mean number of C-credits created per hectare enrolled could increase producer payments by more than 100
percent under a C-contract. 相似文献
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规范、完善的土地交易市场,不仅是地方经济社会发展与成熟的重要标志,也是保证土地资源参与宏观调控的有利手段。近年来,淄博市国土资源局淄川区分局为进一步加强土地管理,积极发挥有形土地市场的作用,满足地方经济发展用地需求,逐步探索出了土地交易市场建设“一二三四五”的工作思路,不仅扭转了土地需求决定土地供给的局面,而且创造了良好的用地环境,为淄川区的经济发展注入了强大活力。 相似文献
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通过T639模式预报产品在内蒙古地区降水量、2 m温度、相对湿度和10 m风向、风速及降水过程预报效果的适用性研究,得出以下结论,温度和相对湿度预报的准确率较风向、风速明显偏高,温度和相对湿度预报的误差系统偏小,风速预报误差偏大的概率较大;降水量的预报准确率随降水等级增加而递减,对小雨而言,模式漏报率小于空报率,多报降水的偏差和少报降水的偏差相近。在预报要素空间分布上,风向预报的偏差顺时针偏转,其夹角小于45°,温度预报偏差总体偏小,相对湿度预报偏差由西向东表现为“+、-、+、-”的分布特征;小雨和中雨落区预报偏大,暴雨落区预报偏小;贝加尔湖冷涡强度的预报偏强,西太平洋副热带高压的强度预报偏弱,影响范围偏西偏北。 相似文献
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Various ensemble-based schemes are employed in data assimilation because they can use the ensemble to estimate the flow-dependent background error covariance. The most common way to generate the real-time ensemble is to use an ensemble forecast; however, this is very time-consuming. The historical sampling approach is an alternative way to generate the ensemble,by picking some snapshots from historical forecast series.With this approach, many ensemble-based assimilation schemes can be used in a deterministic forecast environment. Furthermore, considering the time that it saves, the method has the potential for operational application.However, the historical sampling approach carries with it a special kind of sampling error because, in a historical forecast, the way to integrate the ensemble members is different from the way to integrate the initial conditions at the analysis time(i.e., forcing and lateral boundary condition differences, and ‘warm start' or ‘cold start' differences). This study analyzes the results of an experiment with the Global Regional Assimilation Prediction System-Global Forecast System(GRAPES-GFS), to evaluate how the different integration configurations influence the historical sampling error for global models. The results show that the sampling error is dominated by diurnal cycle patterns as a result of the radiance forcing difference.Although the RMSEs of the sampling error are small, in view of the correlation coefficients of the perturbed ensemble, the sampling error for some variables on some levels(e.g., low-level temperature and humidity, stratospheric temperature and geopotential height and humidity), is non-negligible. The results suggest some caution must be applied, and advice taken, when using the historical sampling approach. 相似文献
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The physical simulation method of wave groups in a wave flume is proposed and verified by the exper- iments. The experimental results demonstrate that random waves with desired wave groupiness, which simultaneously includes the wave group height and length, can be generated satisfactorily at the specified position in a wave flume using the proposed method. Furthermore, the transformation properties of the wave groupiness along the fiat-bottomed wave flume are investigated based on the physically simulated waves. Associated proposals with the physical simulation of wave groups are given. 相似文献
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