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41.
El-Nino Southern Oscillation simulated and predicted in SNU coupled GCMs   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
The characteristics of the El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) simulated in free integrations using two versions of the Seoul National University (SNU) ocean–atmosphere coupled global climate model (CGCM) are examined. A revised version of the SNU CGCM is developed by incorporating a reduced air–sea coupling interval (from 1?day to 2?h), a parameterization for cumulus momentum transport, a minimum entrainment rate threshold for convective plumes, and a shortened auto-conversion time scale of cloud water to raindrops. With the revised physical processes, lower tropospheric zonal wind anomalies associated with the ENSO-related sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) are represented with more realism than those in the original version. From too weak, the standard deviation of SST over the eastern Pacific becomes too strong in the revised version due to the enhanced air–sea coupling strength and intraseasonal variability associated with ENSO. From the oceanic side, the stronger stratification and the shallower-than-observed thermocline over the eastern Pacific also contribute to the excessive ENSO. The impacts of the revised physical processes on the seasonal predictability are investigated in two sets of the hindcast experiment performed using the two versions of CGCMs. The prediction skill measured by anomaly correlation coefficients of monthly-mean SSTA shows that the new version has a higher skill over the tropical Pacific regions compared to the old version. The better atmospheric responses to the ENSO-related SSTA in the revised version lead to the basin-wide SSTA maintained and developed in a manner that is closer to observations. The symptom of an excessively strong ENSO of the new version in the free integration is not prominent in the hindcast experiment because the thermocline depth over the eastern Pacific is maintained as initialized over the arc of time of the hindcast (7?months).  相似文献   
42.
Forecast skill of the APEC Climate Center (APCC) Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) seasonal forecast system in predicting two main types of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), namely canonical (or cold tongue) and Modoki ENSO, and their regional climate impacts is assessed for boreal winter. The APCC MME is constructed by simple composite of ensemble forecasts from five independent coupled ocean-atmosphere climate models. Based on a hindcast set targeting boreal winter prediction for the period 1982–2004, we show that the MME can predict and discern the important differences in the patterns of tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly between the canonical and Modoki ENSO one and four month ahead. Importantly, the four month lead MME beats the persistent forecast. The MME reasonably predicts the distinct impacts of the canonical ENSO, including the strong winter monsoon rainfall over East Asia, the below normal rainfall and above normal temperature over Australia, the anomalously wet conditions across the south and cold conditions over the whole area of USA, and the anomalously dry conditions over South America. However, there are some limitations in capturing its regional impacts, especially, over Australasia and tropical South America at a lead time of one and four months. Nonetheless, forecast skills for rainfall and temperature over East Asia and North America during ENSO Modoki are comparable to or slightly higher than those during canonical ENSO events.  相似文献   
43.
In this study, we evaluate the fidelity of current climate models in simulating the two types of El Nino events using the pre-industrial output in CMIP3 archives. It is shown that a few climate models simulate the two types of El Nino events to some extent, while most of the models have serious systematic problems in simulating distinctive patterns of sea-surface temperature (SST) and precipitation anomaly associated with the two types of El Nino; that is, they tend to simulate a single type of El Nino. It is shown that the ability of climate models in simulating the two types of El Nino is related to the sensitivity of the atmospheric responses to the SST anomaly patterns. Models whose convective location is shifted to the east (west) as the SST anomaly center moves to the east (west) tends to simulate the two types of El Nino events successfully. On the other hand, models whose location of convective anomaly is confined over the western or central Pacific tends to simulate only the single type of El Nino event. It is also shown that the confinement of the convective anomaly over the western or central Pacific is closely linked to the dry bias and the associated cold bias over the eastern Pacific. That is, because positive El Nino SST anomalies over the eastern Pacific cannot increase local convection effectively when the total SSTs are still too cold due to a cold bias. This implies that the realistic simulation of climatology, especially over the equatorial eastern Pacific, is essential to the successful simulation of the two types of El Nino.  相似文献   
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45.
The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of precipitation physics in a general circulation model (GCM) on a simulated climate. Experiments are performed under the single column model (SCM) framework to examine basic features and under the general circulation model framework to investigate the impact on seasonal simulation. The SCM simulation shows that convection processes in the model have a considerable influence on the change in vertical thermodynamic structure, resulting in a change in precipitation, whereas in the GCM framework stratiform precipitation physics play a distinct role in changing the atmospheric structure. The GCM experiments also show that the overall reduction of precipitation in simulations with prognostic stratiform precipitation physics is highly related to changes in cloudiness and corresponding changes in radiative flux, which in turn leads to the reduction of convective activities.  相似文献   
46.
The first Korean geostationary satellite, the Communication, Ocean, Meteorological Satellite (COMS) carries the Meteorological Imager (MI) that measures solar radiance at 0.675 μm and infrared (IR) brightness temperatures at four spectral bands centered at 3.8, 6.7, 10.8, and 12.0 μm. This study reports the calibration status of the COMS MI solar and four IR channels, based mainly on a comparison with Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) measurements. The results obtained from four months of COMS MI solar channel measurements demonstrate that the solar channel has a dark bias of about 9–10%. On the other hand, the four IR channels appear to be well-calibrated as evidenced by a high correlation and near-unity slope between COMS and MODIS data. Nevertheless, existing biases of tenths of a kelvin are still considered to be substantial. Overall, the interpretation of COMS-derived meteorological products should take into account some uncertainty caused by possible calibration errors.  相似文献   
47.
In this study, we investigated the impact of the Atlantic decadal-scale sea surface temperature (SST) variation on the tropical Pacific climate using a Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM). During the recent decade from 2000 to 2010 when the Atlantic SST has sharply increased, observations have shown that the strong easterly and increased precipitation anomalies appeared over the western-central Pacific. It is different from the conventional Gilltype response in which the easterly due to heating in the Atlantic is expected to be extended to the Indian Ocean. We have found that the warm pool over the western Pacific plays an important role in enhancing the atmospheric response to the Atlantic SST forcing in the Pacific basin. Simplified Aqua planet GCM experiments showed that the central location of the anomalous easterly over the Pacific produced by the Atlantic SST forcing highly depends on the location of the idealized warm pool. The reason for this is because the moisture feedback is strongest over the warm pool region, which leads to additional local anomalous convergence, and therefore the easterly produced by the Atlantic SST forcing is enhanced only over the east of the warm pool region.  相似文献   
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