Effects of sinuosity factor on hydrodynamic parameters estimation in karst systems: a dye tracer experiment from the Beyyayla sinkhole (Eskişehir,Turkey)     

Harun Aydin  Mehmet Ekmekçi  Mehmet Evren Soylu 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2014,71(9):3921-3933

The sinuosity factor (SF) is a critical value in karst systems in terms of estimating their hydrodynamic parameters including groundwater velocity, coefficient of dispersion, etc., through dye tracer experiments. SF has been used in a number of different dye tracer experiments in karstic systems to estimate a representative flow path. While knowing SF is crucially important in the estimation of hydrodynamic parameters, its calculation is associated with significant uncertainty due to the complexity of subsurface karstic features. And yet, only a few studies have discussed its uncertainties, which might lead some errors in estimation of hydrodynamic parameters from dye tracer experiment. In this study, dye tracer experiments were conducted in two consecutive years (2003 and 2004) representing low and high flow conditions in the Beyyayla sinkhole (Eski?ehir, Turkey) where the flow path is well known. Uranine was used in experiments as a tracer and QTRACER computer program was used to determine the hydrodynamic properties of the Beyyayla karst system as well as to gain insights into the effects of SF from dye tracer experiments on estimated parameters. The results showed that the breakthrough curve follows a unimodal and a bimodal distribution in low and high flow conditions, respectively. These different distributions stem from the water transport mechanisms, where velocities were calculated as 58.2 and 93.6 m h^?1 during low and high flow conditions observed in a spring emerging from the south side of the studied system. The results also show that the coefficient of dispersion, Reynolds number, and Peclet number increased and longitudinal dispersivity decreased with the higher flow rate. Furthermore, the estimated parameters did not vary with either the flow conditions or the tracer transit time, but they have shown some variations with SF. When SF was increased by 50 %, a change in these parameters was obtained in the range of 50–125 %.  相似文献   

Estimation of the maximum credible hazard in Kuala Lumpur and Singapore due to gigantic Sumatran megathrust earthquakes: based on a comparative study on attenuation laws     

Shoushtari  A. V.  Adnan  A.  Zare  M.  Harith  N. S. H. 《Natural Hazards》2015,78(1):725-751

Natural Hazards - This paper has classified nine attenuation laws derived for subduction interface earthquakes through a comparative study based on the peak ground accelerations (PGAs) recorded in...  相似文献   

Investigation of seasonal droughts and related large-scale atmospheric dynamics over the Potwar Plateau of Pakistan     

N. U. Ain  M. Latif  K. Ullah  S. Adnan  R. Ahmed  M. Umar  M. Azam 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2020,140(1):69-89

As a result of climate change and unsustainable land use management in the recent past, droughts have become one of the most devastating climatic hazards whose impacts may prolong from months to years. This study presents analysis of droughts for two major cropping seasons, i.e., Kharif (May–September) and Rabi (October–April), over the Potwar Plateau of Pakistan. The analysis is performed using various datasets viz. observational, reanalysis, and Regional Climate Models (RCMs), for the past (1981–2010) and future (2011–2100) time periods. The following two methods for the identification of dry and wet years, also referred to as drought and wetness, are applied: (1) the percentile rank approach and (2) the drought indices, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI). Future projections of droughts are investigated using RCM (RegCM4.4 and RCA4) outputs from CORDEX South Asia domain under two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Generally, the indices show non-significant decreasing trends of drought severity in the recent past for all cases; however, significant increasing trends are observed for annual (0.006) and Kharif (0.007) cases under RCP4.5 scenario. The analysis of large-scale atmospheric dynamics suggests the significant role of low-level geopotential height anomalies over Tibetan Plateau (northwest of Pakistan) during Kharif (Rabi) season in controlling drought occurrence by transporting moisture from the Bay of Bengal (Arabian Sea). Moreover, composites of vertically integrated moisture transport, moisture flux convergence/divergence, and precipitable water anomalies show their marked contribution in maintaining the drought/wetness conditions over the Potwar region.  相似文献   

The use of watershed geomorphic data in flash flood susceptibility zoning: a case study of the Karnaphuli and Sangu river basins of Bangladesh     

Adnan  Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani  Dewan  Ashraf  Zannat  Khatun E.  Abdullah  Abu Yousuf Md 《Natural Hazards》2019,99(1):425-448

Natural Hazards - The occurrence of heavy rainfall in the south-eastern hilly region of Bangladesh makes this area highly susceptible to recurrent flash flooding. As the region is the commercial...  相似文献   

Space-time kriging of precipitation variability in Turkey for the period 1976–2010     

Raja  Nussaïbah B.  Aydin  Olgu  Türkoğlu  Necla  Çiçek  Ihsan 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2017,129(1-2):293-304

The purpose of this study is to revaluate the changing spatial and temporal trends of precipitation in Turkey. Turkey is located in one of the regions at greatest risk from the potential effects of climate change. Since the 1970s, a decreasing trend in annual precipitation has been observed, in addition to an increasing number of precipitation-related natural hazards such as floods, extreme precipitation, and droughts. An understanding of the temporal and spatial characteristics of precipitation is therefore crucial to hazard management as well as planning and managing water resources, which depend heavily on precipitation. The ordinary kriging method was employed to interpolate precipitation estimates using precipitation records from 228 meteorological stations across the country for the period 1976–2010. A decreasing trend was observed across the Central Anatolian region, except for 1996–2000 which saw an increase in precipitation. However, this same period is identified as the driest year in Eastern and South Eastern Anatolia. The Eastern Black Sea region has the highest precipitation in the country; after 1996, an increase in annual precipitation in this region is observed. An overall reduction is also seen in southwest Turkey, with less variation in precipitation.

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Towards Real‐Time Geodemographics: Clustering Algorithm Performance for Large Multidimensional Spatial Databases     

Muhammad Adnan  Paul A Longley  Alex D Singleton  Chris Brunsdon 《Transactions in GIS》2010,14(3):283-297

Geodemographic classifications provide discrete indicators of the social, economic and demographic characteristics of people living within small geographic areas. They have hitherto been regarded as products, which are the final “best” outcome that can be achieved using available data and algorithms. However, reduction in computational cost, increased network bandwidths and increasingly accessible spatial data infrastructures have together created the potential for the creation of classifications in near real time within distributed online environments. Yet paramount to the creation of truly real time geodemographic classifications is the ability for software to process and efficiency cluster large multidimensional spatial databases within a timescale that is consistent with online user interaction. To this end, this article evaluates the computational efficiency of a number of clustering algorithms with a view to creating geodemographic classifications “on the fly” at a range of different geographic scales.  相似文献   

Analytical derivation of water retention for random monodisperse granular media     

Anthony Ferraro  Adnan Sufian  Adrian R. Russell 《Acta Geotechnica》2017,12(6):1319-1328

The mechanics of water retention in unsaturated granular media is of critical importance to a broad range of disciplines including soil science, geotechnical engineering, hydrology and agriculture. Fundamental to water retention is the relationship between degree of saturation and suction, referred to as the water retention curve (WRC). The majority of WRC models are empirically based and seldom incorporate physically meaningful parameters. This study presents an analytical model for the WRC that considers separate contributions from fully filled pores and partially filled pores containing liquid bridges. A recently established unique k-gamma pore volume distribution function for randomly assembled monodisperse granular materials is adopted to determine the contributions of fully filled pores. Calculation of the contribution of residual pore water retained in partially filled pores is undertaken by representing pores as individual cells shaped as platonic shapes of various sizes and determining the volume of all liquid bridges suspended between particles within the pore cells. Weighting factors for the various cell types are obtained from the pore volume distribution to determine the relative contribution of different pore cell geometries to the total residual pore water. The combined model accurately describes experimental data for monodisperse spherical glass beads for both wetting and drying, even though the underlying assumptions do not reflect exactly the complex, interconnected and highly irregular geometry of the pore space. A single parameter provides the lateral shift between the wetting and drying curves. The results of this study provide a geometric understanding of the mechanisms of water retention in granular media.  相似文献   

HNC-Plot: an excel VBA for visualization of helium,nitrogen and CO<Subscript>2</Subscript> isotope data of crustal and mantle gases     

Hüseyin Karakuş  Harun Aydin 《Earth Science Informatics》2017,10(1):115-125

We present HNC-Plot, an Excel Visual Basic Application (Excel VBA) that can easily be used to create graphical plots of fluids associated with volcanic gases or geothermal manifestations, based on their helium, nitrogen and CO₂ isotope data. HNC-Plot has been designed in a simple way; all the user has to do is to input data in an Excel spreadsheet. The spreadsheet also contains buttons which have links to Excel VBA codes that generate plots. Once, the respective button is clicked, and all required variables are defined, Excel VBA generates a plot with labels and axes. Based upon the user preferences, additional tasks such as construction of mixing lines between mantle and crustal gases or calculation of end-member proportions can also be performed. We sincerely believe geoscientists can quickly and easily create these plots, free of charge, with this application. This study also presents previously published data from related literature to show the foundations of the application and to present sample plots created with it.  相似文献   

Evaluation of Gravity and Aeromagnetic Anomalies for the Deep Structure and Possibility of Hydrocarbon Potential of the Region Surrounding Lake Van,Eastern Anatolia,Turkey     

Attila Aydemir  Abdullah Ates  Funda Bilim  Aydin Buyuksarac  Ozcan Bektas 《Surveys in Geophysics》2014,35(2):431-448

The North Anatolian Fault (NAF) is not observed on the surface beyond 40 km southeast of Karliova town toward the western shoreline of Lake Van. Various amplitudes of gravity and aeromagnetic anomalies are observed around the lake and surrounding region. In the gravity anomaly map, contour intensity is observed from the north of Mus city center toward Lake Van. There is a possibility that the NAF extends from here to the lake. Because there is no gravity data within the lake, the extension of the NAF is unknown and uncertain in the lake and to the east. Meanwhile, it is observed from the aeromagnetic anomalies that there are several positive and negative amplitude anomalies aligned around a slightly curved line in the east–west direction. The same curvature becomes much clearer in the analytic signal transformation map. The volcanic mountains of Nemrut and Suphan, and magnetic anomalies to the east of the Lake Van are all lined up and extended with this slightly curved line, provoking thoughts that a fault zone that was not previously mapped may exist. The epicenter of the major earthquake event that occurred on October 23, 2011 is located on this fault zone. The fault plane solution of this earthquake indicates a thrust fault in the east–west direction, consistent with the results of this study. Volcanic mountains in this zone are accepted as still being active because of gas seepages from their calderas, and magnetic anomalies are caused by buried causative bodies, probably magmatic intrusions. Because of its magmatic nature, this zone could be a good prospect for geothermal energy exploration. In this study, the basement of the Van Basin was also modelled three-dimensionally (3D) in order to investigate its hydrocarbon potential, because the first oil production in Anatolia was recorded around the Kurzot village in this basin. According to the 3D modelling results, the basin is composed of three different depressions aligned in the N–S direction and many prospective structures were observed between and around these depressions where the depocenter depths may reach down to 10 km.  相似文献   

Extent and nature of hydrocarbon occurrence in the groundwater of Kuwait     

Eman Al-Awadi  Michael Quinn  Amitabha Mukhopadhyay  Andre Hauser  Adnan Akber  Adel Al-Haddad  Majed Al-Rashedi 《Environmental Geology》2009,56(5):877-889

A study, aimed at characterizing the nature of anthropogenic and biogenic hydrocarbon contamination in the groundwater of Kuwait, was carried out using fluorescence spectroscopy and other analytical techniques. The results of these analyses have demonstrated that the groundwater in certain areas of northern Kuwait has been significantly impacted by contamination originating from the oil-contaminated surface soils. The study revealed that a water-soluble fraction (WSF) of the crude oil surface contamination appeared to be slowly leaching into the freshwater lenses located in the area. The study also showed that hydrocarbon pollutants were practically absent in the brackish water areas of central and southern Kuwait, except for a few isolated sites. However, nonpetroleum hydrocarbons, with ultraviolet-visible absorption characteristics and fluorescence characteristics typically associated with humic substances, were observed at a few sites in the brackish water fields.  相似文献