Plant Phenological Anomalies in Germany and their Relation to Air Temperature and NAO   总被引：13，自引：0，他引：13  

Annette Menzel 《Climatic change》2003,57(3):243-263

This paper analyses long-term (1951–2000) phenological observations of20 plant seasonal phases recorded within the phenological network of the German Weather Service in relation to climate data and NAO. Phenological inter-annual variability and temporal trends were determined by using mean anomaly curves for Germany. For all phases, the mean trends derived by this method are similar to German averages of linear trends of single station records. Trend analysis using anomaly curves appears to be effective in relating seasonal phenological trends to climate or satellite data: Spring and summer phenological anomalies, such as leaf unfolding and flowering of different species, strongly correlate with temperature of the preceding months (R² between 0.65 and 0.85, best one-variable model) andtheir onsets have advanced by 2.5 to 6.7 days per ° C warmer spring. Fruit ripening of Sambucus nigra and Aesculus hippocastanum, keyphenophases of early and mid autumn, correlate well with summer temperature (R² 0.74 and 0.84) and also advance by 6.5and 3.8 days per ° C (April–June). But the response of autumn colouringto warmer climate is more complex because two opposing factors influence autumn colouring dates. Higher spring and early summer temperatures advance leaf colouring, whereas warmer autumn temperatures delay leaf colouring. The percentage of variance explained by temperature (R² 0.22 to 0.51,best one-variable model) is less than for spring and summer phases. The length of the growing season is mainly increased by warmer springs (R² 0.48to 0.64, best one-variable model) and lengthened by 2.4 to 3.5 days/° C (February–April). The North Atlantic Oscillation Index (NAO) of January–March correlates with spring phenological anomalies(R² 0.37 to 0.56, best one-variable model), summer to mid autumn phases respond to NAO of February–March (R² 0.23 to 0.36) (both negativecorrelations). Leaf colouring is delayed by higher NAO of (August) September (R² 0.10to 0.18). NAO of January–February explains 0.41 to 0.44% of thevariance of the length of the growing season.  相似文献   

Phenology: Its Importance to the Global Change Community   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10  

Annette Menzel 《Climatic change》2002,54(4):379-385

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Mobilization of colloidal ferrihydrite particles in porous media—An inner-sphere complexation approach     

Annette Hofmann  Liyuan Liang 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2007,71(24):5847-5861

Prediction of colloid release and transport as affected by reactive species remains a significant challenge for field applications. In this paper, we report experimental and modeling results of ferrihydrite colloid release under the influence of citrate species. Using a 3-plane surface complexation model, equilibrium constants were obtained for the three proposed inner-sphere complexes by fitting a citrate adsorption isotherm on ferrihydrite at pH 4, and a pH adsorption envelop with 0.64 mM citrate. The constants were used in a reactive transport model for simulating reaction fronts of dissolved species during injection of citrate in ferrihydrite-coated quartz columns. Simulation results show that sorption alone may not adequately describe the breakthrough curves. Inclusions of ferrihydrite dissolution and re-adsorption of Fe(III) improve the prediction of dissolved species transport. Additionally, matrix diffusion may be needed for improved prediction. For the release of colloidal iron oxides it was shown that both oxide dissolution and interfacial repulsion controlled the process during complete breakthrough. However, the peak release of colloids, which occurred during the actual breakthrough of dissolved species, was mainly brought about by electric double layer forces. These particles underwent detachment-deposition-detachment cycles along the flow path, and emerged in the effluent with the major reaction front. To quantitatively predict colloid release, a semi-empirical linear correlation was established, linking the calculated electric potential to experimental colloid release rates. The model may be applied to the prediction and scaling of aquifer remediation studies involved in the injection of organic ligands to mobilize particle bound contaminants.  相似文献   

Quantitative antimony speciation in shooting-range soils by EXAFS spectroscopy   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Andreas C. Scheinost  Andre Rossberg  Irene Xifra  Ann-Kathrin Leuz  C. Annette Johnson 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2006,70(13):3299-3312

The Sb speciation in soil samples from Swiss shooting ranges was determined using Sb K-edge X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) and advanced statistical data analysis methods (iterative transformation factor analysis, ITFA). The XAS analysis was supported by a spectral data set of 13 Sb minerals and 4 sorption complexes. In spite of a high variability in geology, soil pH (3.1-7.5), Sb concentrations (1000-17,000 mg/kg) and shooting-range history, only two Sb species were identified. In the first species, Sb is surrounded solely by other Sb atoms at radial distances of 2.90, 3.35, 4.30 and 4.51 Å, indicative of metallic Sb(0). While part of this Sb(0) may be hosted by unweathered bullet fragments consisting of PbSb alloy, Pb L_III-edge XAS of the soil with the highest fraction (0.75) of Sb(0) showed no metallic Pb, but only Pb²⁺ bound to soil organic matter. This suggests a preferential oxidation of Pb in the alloy, driven by the higher standard reduction potential of Sb. In the second species, Sb is coordinated to 6 O-atoms at a distance of 1.98 Å, indicative of Sb(V). This oxidation state is further supported by an edge energy of 30,496-30,497 eV for the soil samples with <10% Sb(0). Iron atoms at radial distances of 3.10 and 3.56 Å from Sb atoms are in line with edge-sharing and bidentate corner-sharing linkages between Sb(O,OH)₆ and Fe(O,OH)₆ octahedra. While similar structural units exist in tripuhyite, the absence of Sb neighbors contradicts formation of this Fe antimonate. Hence the second species most likely consists of inner-sphere sorption complexes on Fe oxides, with edge and corner-sharing configuration occurring simultaneously. This pentavalent Sb species was present in all samples, suggesting that it is the prevailing species after weathering of metallic Sb(0) in oxic soils. No indication of Sb(III) was found.  相似文献   

Snow goose population explosion may threaten Arctic ecosystems     

Annette Woodham 《Marine pollution bulletin》1997,34(12):990

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Near-IR Integral Field Spectroscopy of High-z Galaxies     

Andrew Bunker  Annette Ferguson  Rachel Johnson  Richard McMahon  Ian Parry  Max Pettini  Alfonso Aragón-Salamanca  Rachel Somerville  Nicole Vogt 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2002,281(1-2):529-529

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Stratal architecture and platform evolution of an early Frasnian syn‐tectonic carbonate platform,Canning Basin,Australia     

Nancy Chow  Annette D. George  Kate M. Trinajstic  Zhong‐Qiang Chen 《Sedimentology》2013,60(7):1583-1620

Facies architecture and platform evolution of an early Frasnian reef complex in the northern Canning Basin of north‐western Australia were strongly controlled by syn‐depositional faulting during a phase of basin extension. The margin‐attached Hull platform developed on a fault block of Precambrian basement with accommodation largely generated by movement along the Mount Elma Fault Zone. Recognition of major subaerial exposure and flooding surfaces in the Hull platform (from outcrop and drillcore) has enabled comparison of facies associations within a temporal framework and led to identification of three stages of platform evolution. Stage 1 records initial ramp development on the hangingwall dip slope with predominantly deep subtidal conditions that prevented any cyclic facies arrangements. This stage is characterised by basal siliciclastic deposits and a major deepening‐upward facies pattern that is capped by a sequence boundary towards the footwall (north‐west) and a major flooding surface towards the hangingwall. Stage 2 reflects the bulk of platform aggradation, significant platform growth towards the hangingwall and the development of reef margins and cyclic facies arrangements. Thickening of this stage towards the hangingwall indicates that accommodation was generated by rotation of the fault block and overlying platform. Stage 3 records a major flooding and backstep of the platform margin. The Hull platform illustrates important elements of margin‐attached carbonate platforms in a half‐graben setting, including: (i) prominent, but limited, coarse siliciclastic input that does not have a major detrimental effect on carbonate production near the rift margin in arid to semi‐arid settings; (ii) wedge‐shaped accommodation created by syn‐depositional rotation of fault blocks and tilting of the hangingwall dip slope, resulting in shallow‐water facies and subaerial exposure up‐dip of the rotational axis and deeper water facies down‐dip; and (iii) evolution of a ramp to rimmed shelf, coincident with a sequence boundary–flooding surface, that is accelerated by tilting of the hangingwall dip slope during fault‐block rotation.  相似文献   

A multidimensional fuzzy least-squares regression approach for estimating hydraulic gradients in unconfined aquifer formations and its application to the Gulf Coast aquifer in Goliad County,Texas     

Venkatesh Uddameri  E. Annette Hernandez  Felipe Estrada 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2014,71(6):2641-2651

Epistemic uncertainties arise during the estimation of hydraulic gradients in unconfined aquifers due to planar approximation of the water table as well as data gaps arising from factors such as instrument failures and site inaccessibility. A multidimensional fuzzy least-squares regression approach is proposed here to estimate hydraulic gradients in situations where epistemic uncertainty is present in the observed water table measurements. The hydraulic head at a well is treated as a normal (Gaussian) fuzzy variable characterized by a most likely value and a spread. This treatment results in hydraulic gradients being characterized as normal fuzzy numbers as well. The multidimensional fuzzy least-squares regression has an exact analytical form and as such can be implemented easily using matrix algebra methods. However, the method was noted to be sensitive to round-off and truncation errors when the epistemic uncertainties are small. A closeness index based on the cardinality of a fuzzy number is used to evaluate how well the regression model fits the fuzzy hydraulic head observations. A fuzzy Euclidian distance measure is used to compare two fuzzy numbers and to evaluate how fuzziness in the observed hydraulic heads affects the fuzziness in the estimated hydraulic gradients. The Euclidian distance measure is also used to ascertain the influence of each well on the fuzzy hydraulic gradient estimation. The fuzzy regression framework is illustrated by applying it to evaluate hydraulic gradients in the unconfined portion of the Gulf Coast aquifer in Goliad County, TX. The results from the case-study indicate that there is greater uncertainty associated with the estimation of the hydraulic gradients in the vertical (Z-axis) direction. The epistemic uncertainties in the hydraulic head data at the wells have a significant impact on the gradient estimates when they are of the same order of magnitude as the most likely values of the observed heads. The influence analysis indicated that 5 of the 13 wells in the network had a critical influence on at least one of the hydraulic gradients. Three wells along the northeastern section of the study area and bordering the Victoria County were noted to have the least influence on the regression estimates. The fuzzy regression framework along with the associated goodness-of-fit and influence measures provides a useful set of tools to characterize the uncertainties in the hydraulic heads and gradients arising from data gaps and planar water table approximation.  相似文献   

A multi-period optimization model for conjunctive surface water–ground water use via aquifer storage and recovery in Corpus Christi,Texas     

E. Annette Hernandez  Venkatesh Uddameri  Marcelo A. Arreola Jr. 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2014,71(6):2589-2604

The present study develops and evaluates a decision support system for the conjunctive management of the current surface and proposed aquifer storage and recovery (ASR) facility of the city of Corpus Christi, TX using a simulation–optimization approach. The objective of the model is to maximize water storage in the surface and subsurface storage units while meeting (1) the freshwater inflow requirements to the Corpus Christi estuary and (2) the water demands of the city and its service area. The model is parameterized using streamflow data from the U. S. Geological Survey gauging stations on the Nueces River and its tributaries as well as long-term climatic data and regional hydrogeologic information. Results indicate that a single-well field ASR facility is capable of storing approximately 925 ha-m (7,500 ac-ft) of water over a 5-year period in the Evangeline Aquifer with a total potential storage of about 2,715 ha-m (22,000 ac-ft) of water over the jurisdictional area of the Corpus Christi Aquifer Storage and Recovery Conservation District. Surplus surface water sources are seen to contribute approximately 49–96 % of the water stored in the ASR during the simulation period. The remaining storage came from either Choke Canyon Reservoir or Lake Corpus Christi, which also resulted in a slight reduction in evapotranspiration in both reservoirs. The analysis indicates that the proposed ASR system is not limited on the supply side but multiple well fields may be required to increase the storage capacity within the aquifer.  相似文献   

Combined optimization of a wind farm and a well field for wind-enabled groundwater production     

E. Annette Hernandez  Venkatesh Uddameri  Sreeram Singaraju 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2014,71(6):2687-2699

Energy requirements constitute a significant cost in groundwater production and can also add to a large carbon footprint when fossil fuels are used for power. Wind-enabled water production is advantageous as it minimizes air pollution impacts associated with groundwater production and relies on a renewable resource. Also, as groundwater extraction represents a deferrable load (i.e., it can be carried out when energy demands within an area are low), it provides a convenient way to overcome the intermittency issue associated with wind power production. Multiple turbine wind farms are needed to generate large quantities of power needed for large-scale groundwater production. Turbines must be optimally located in these farms to ensure proper propagation of kinetic energy throughout the system. By the same token, well placement must reconcile the competing objectives of minimizing interferences between production wells while ensuring the drawdowns at the property boundary are within acceptable limits. A combined simulation–optimization based model is developed in this study to optimize the combined wind energy and water production systems. The wind farm layout optimization model is solved using a re-sampling strategy, while the well field configuration is obtained using the simulated annealing technique. The utility of the developed model is to study wind-enabled water production in San Patricio County, TX. Sensitivity analysis indicated that identifying optimal placement of turbines is vital to extract maximum wind power. The variability of the wind speeds has a critical impact on the amount of water that can be produced. Innovative technologies such as variable flow pumping devices and aquifer storage recovery must be used to smooth out wind variability. While total groundwater extraction is less sensitive to uncertainty in hydrogeological parameters, improper estimation of aquifer transmissivity and storage characteristics can affect the feasibility of wind-driven groundwater production.  相似文献