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991.
Diagnostic metrics for evaluation of annual and diurnal cycles 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Two sets of diagnostic metrics are proposed for evaluation of global models?? simulation of annual and diurnal cycles of precipitation. The metrics for the annual variation include the annual mean, the solstice and equinoctial asymmetric modes of the annual cycle (AC), and the global monsoon precipitation domain and intensity. The metrics for the diurnal variation include the diurnal range, the land?Csea contrast and transition modes of the diurnal cycle (DC), and the diurnal peak propagation in coastal regions. The proposed modes for the AC and DC represent faithfully the first two leading empirical orthogonal functions and explain, respectively, 82% of the total annual variance and 87% of the total diurnal variance over the globe between 45°S and 45°N. The simulated AC and DC by the 20-km-mesh MRI/JMA atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) are in a wide-ranging agreement with observations; the model considerably outperforms any individual AMIP II GCMs and has comparable performance to 12-AMIP II model ensemble simulation measured by Pearson??s pattern correlation coefficient. Comparison of four versions of the MRI/JMA AGCM with increasing resolution (180, 120, 60, and 20?km) reveals that the 20-km version reproduces the most realistic annual and diurnal cycles. However, the improved performance is not a linear function of the resolution. Marked improvement of the simulated DC (AC) occurs at the resolution of 60?km (20?km). The results suggest that better represented parameterizations that are adequately tuned to increased resolutions may improve models?? simulation on the forced responses. The common deficiency in representing the monsoon domains suggests the models having difficulty in replicating annual march of the Subtropical Highs that is largely driven by prominent east-west land?Cocean thermal contrast. Note that the 20-km model reproduces realistic diurnal cycle, but fails to capture realistic Madden-Julian Oscillation. 相似文献
992.
Su-Jong Jeong Chang-Hoi Ho Tae-Won Park Jinwon Kim Samuel Levis 《Climate Dynamics》2011,37(3-4):821-833
This study examines the potential impact of vegetation feedback on the changes in the diurnal temperature range (DTR) due to the doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentrations during summer over the Northern Hemisphere using a global climate model equipped with a dynamic vegetation model. Results show that CO2 doubling induces significant increases in the daily mean temperature and decreases in DTR regardless of the presence of the vegetation feedback effect. In the presence of vegetation feedback, increase in vegetation productivity related to warm and humid climate lead to (1) an increase in vegetation greenness in the mid-latitude and (2) a greening and the expansion of grasslands and boreal forests into the tundra region in the high latitudes. The greening via vegetation feedback induces contrasting effects on the temperature fields between the mid- and high-latitude regions. In the mid-latitudes, the greening further limits the increase in T max more than T min, resulting in further decreases in DTR because the greening amplifies evapotranspiration and thus cools daytime temperature. The greening in high-latitudes, however, it reinforces the warming by increasing T max more than T min to result in a further increase in DTR from the values obtained without vegetation feedback. This effect on T max and DTR in the high latitude is mainly attributed to the reduction in surface albedo and the subsequent increase in the absorbed insolation. Present study indicates that vegetation feedback can alter the response of the temperature field to increases in CO2 mainly by affecting the T max and that its effect varies with the regional climate characteristics as a function of latitudes. 相似文献
993.
Six sediment samples collected from the Gulf of Mexico were analyzed. Total concentrations of the PAHs ranged from 52 to 403 ng g−1 dry weight. The lowest PAH concentration without 5–6 rings PAHs appeared in S-1 sample associated with gas hydrate or gas venting. Moreover, S-1 sample had the lowest organic carbon content with 0.85% and highest reduced sulfur level with 1.21% relative to other samples. And, analysis of the sources of PAHs in S-1 sample indicated that both pyrogenic and petrogenic sources, converserly, while S-8, S-10 and S-11 sample suggested petrogenic origin. The distribution of dibenzothiophene, fluorine and dibenzofuran and the maturity parameters of triaromatic steranes suggested that organic matters in S-1 sample were different from that in S-8, S-10 and S-11 sample. This study suggested that organic geochemical data could help in distinguish the characteristic of sediment associated with gas hydrate or with oil seepage. 相似文献
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The evaluation of shear strains under multi-directional shaking is an important issue in interpreting dynamic soil behavior for both laboratory physical modeling and in situ monitoring. Shear strain components evaluated from Cartesian coordinates in undrained conditions have limitations to fully capture the coupled shear strain-pore pressure responses with an individual expression. In the present study, radial and rotational shear strain components derived from particle motions described with cylindrical polar coordinates are proposed. The proposed radial and rotational shear strains are verified with data from a bi-directional laminar shear box and a free field downhole array. Comparison results show that the proposed expressions of shear strain effectively capture the coupled strain-pore pressure responses in terms of the frequency content, amplitude variation, phase difference, and oscillation behavior. Comparison results reveal that the radial shear strain is the dominant shearing mode and the amplitude of the rotational shear strain is only 6.5–14.5% of the radial component. This provides quantitative data for the correction factor for multi-directional shaking and suggests that a simple shear system capable of inducing the radial shear strain on the vertical plane is a better approach than other shearing modes for physically modeling the behavior of soil subjected to undrained seismic loadings. 相似文献
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Md. Sharwar Murshed Sangil Kim Jeong-Soo Park 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2011,25(7):897-911
The beta-κ distribution is a distinct case of the generalized beta distribution of the second kind. In previous studies, beta-p and beta-κ distributions have played important roles in representing extreme events, and thus, the present paper uses the
beta-κ distribution. Further, this paper uses the method of moments and the method of L-moments to estimate the parameters
from the beta-κ distribution, and to demonstrate the performance of the proposed model, the paper presents a simulation study
using three estimation methods (including the maximum likelihood estimation method) and beta-κ and non beta-κ samples. In
addition, this paper evaluates the performance of the beta-κ distribution by employing two widely used extreme value distributions
(i.e., the GEV and Gumbel distributions) and two sets of actual data on extreme events. 相似文献