Flooding scenarios due to land subsidence and sea‐level rise: a case study for Lipari Island (Italy)          下载免费PDF全文

Marco Anzidei  Alessandro Bosman  Roberto Carluccio  Daniele Casalbore  Francesca D'Ajello Caracciolo  Alessandra Esposito  Iacopo Nicolosi  Grazia Pietrantonio  Antonio Vecchio  Cosmo Carmisciano  Massimo Chiappini  Francesco Latino Chiocci  Filippo Muccini  Vincenzo Sepe 《地学学报》2017,29(1):44-51

Archaeological and instrumental data indicate that the southern sector of the volcanic island of Lipari has been subsiding for the last 2100 years due to isostatic and tectonic factors, at variable rates of up to ~11 mm a^?1. Based on this data, a detailed marine flooding scenario for 2100 AD is provided for the bay of Marina Lunga in the eastern part of the island from (1) an ultra‐high‐resolution Digital Terrain and Marine Model (DTMM) generated from multibeam bathymetry (MB) and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV), (2) the rate of land subsidence from Global Positioning System (GPS) data and (3) the regional sea‐level projections of the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). When land subsidence is considered, the upper bound of sea‐level rise is estimated at 1.36 m and 1.60 m for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate change scenarios, respectively. Here, we show the expected impact of marine flooding at Lipari for the next 85 years and discuss the hazard implications for the population living along the shore.  相似文献   

Identification of standing fronts in steady state fluid flows: exact and approximate solutions for propagating MHD modes     

Filippo Pantellini  Léa Griton 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2016,361(10):335

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Magnetic features of the magmatic intrusion that occurred in the 2007 eruption at Stromboli Island (Italy)     

Rosalba Napoli  Gilda Currenti  Ciro Del Negro  Agnese Di Stefano  Filippo Greco  Enzo Boschi 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2011,73(9):1311-1322

Significant changes in the local magnetic field marked the resumption of eruptive activity at Stromboli volcano on February 27, 2007. After differential magnetic fields were obtained by filtering out external noise using adaptive filters and seasonal thermal noise using temperature data, we identified step-like changes of 1–4 nT coincident with the opening of eruptive fissures in the upper part of the Sciara del Fuoco. The magnetic variations detected at two stations are closely related to the propagation of a shallow NE–SW magmatic intrusion extending beyond the summit craters area. These observations are consistent with those calculated using piezomagnetic models in which stress-induced changes in rock magnetization are produced by the magmatic intrusion. No significant magnetic changes were observed when the first fractures opened along the NE crater rim. Indeed, the stress-induced magnetization caused by this magmatic activity is expected to be too low because of the structural weakness and/or thermal state of the summit area. The continuous long-term decay characterizing the post-eruptive magnetic pattern can be related to a time-dependent relaxation process. A Maxwell rheology was assumed and the temporal evolution of the piezomagnetic field was evaluated. This allowed us to estimate the rheological properties of the medium; in particular, an average viscosity ranging between 10¹⁶ and 10¹⁷ Pa⋅s was a relaxation time τ of about 38 days.  相似文献   

Climate Change over China in the 21st Century as Simulated by BCC_CSM1.1-RegCM4.0   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

GAO Xue-Jie  WANG Mei-Li  Filippo GIORGI 《大气和海洋科学快报》2013,6(5):381-386

Driven by the global model,Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model version 1.1(BCC_CSM1.1),climate change over China in the 21st century is simulated by a regional climate model(RegCM4.0)under the new emission scenarios of the Representative Concentration Pathways—RCP4.5 and RCP8.5.This is based on a period of transient simulations from 1950 to2099,with a grid spacing of 50 km.The present paper focuses on the annual mean temperature and precipitation in China over this period,with emphasis on their future changes.Validation of model performance reveals marked improvement of the RegCM4.0 model in reproducing present day temperature and precipitation relative to the driving BCC_CSM1.1 model.Significant warming is simulated by both BCC_CSM1.1 and RegCM4.0,however,spatial distribution and magnitude differ between the simulations.The high emission scenario RCP8.5 results in greater warming compared to RCP4.5.The two models project different precipitation changes,characterized by a general increase in the BCC_CSM1.1,and broader areas with decrease in the RegCM4.0 simulations.  相似文献   

On the stability of magmatic cordierite and new thermobarometric equations for cordierite-saturated liquids     

Filippo Ridolfi  Alberto Renzulli  Antonio Acosta-Vigil 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2014,167(4):1-20

In this work, we have reviewed a large compositional dataset (571 analyses) for natural and experimental glasses to understand the physico-chemical and compositional conditions of magmatic cordierite crystallization. Cordierite crystallizes in peraluminous liquids (A/CNK ≥1) at temperatures ≥750 °C, pressures ≤700 MPa, variable H₂O activity (0.1–1.0) and relatively low fO₂ conditions (≤NNO ? 0.5). In addition to A/CNK ratio ≥1, a required condition for cordierite crystallization is a Si + Al cation value of the rhyolite liquid of 4 p8O (i.e. calculated on the 8 oxygen anhydrous basis), which is consistent with low Fe³⁺ contents and the absence or low content of non-bridging oxygens (NBO). This geochemical condition is strongly supported by the rare, if not unique, structure of cordierite where the tetrahedral framework is composed almost exclusively of Si and Al cations the sum of which is equal to 4 p8O [i.e. (Mg,Fe)_8/9Al_16/9Si_20/9O₈], indicating that aluminium (and cordierite) saturation is limited by rhyolite liquids with Al = 4 ? Si. Indeed, synthetic or natural systems with Al > 4 ? Si always show metastable glass-in-glass separation or crystallization of refractory minerals such as corundum (Al_16/3O₈) and aluminosilicates (Al_16/5Si_8/5O₈). Multivariate regression analyses of literature data for experimental glasses coexisting with magmatic cordierite produced two empirical equations to independently calculate the T (±13 °C; ME, maximum error = 29 °C) and P (±16 %; ME% = 27 %) conditions of cordierite saturation. The greatest influence on the two equations is exerted by H₂O_melt and Al concentrations, respectively. Testing of these equations with other thermobarometric constraints (e.g. feldspar-liquid, GASP, Grt–Bt and Grt–Crd equilibria) and thermodynamic models (NCKFMASHTO and NCKFMASH systems) was successfully performed for Crd-bearing rhyolites and residual enclaves from San Vincenzo (Tuscany, Italy), Morococala Field (Bolivia) and El Hoyazo (Spain). The reliability of each calculated P–T pair was graphically evaluated using the minimum and maximum P–T–H₂O relationships for peraluminous rhyolite liquids modified after the metaluminous relationships in this work. Both P–T calculations and checking can be easily performed with the attached user-friendly spreadsheet (i.e. Crd-sat_TB).  相似文献   

Numerical simulations of the 1963 Vajont landslide, Italy: application of 1D Lagrangian modelling   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Filippo Zaniboni  Stefano Tinti 《Natural Hazards》2014,70(1):567-592

On 9 October 1963, a rock mass of about 250 millions m³, with a front width of 1,850 m, a mean thickness of about 200 m and a length of 350–400 m, detached from Mt Toc, on the left side of the Vajont valley, NE Italy, and collapsed into the reservoir created by a 261 m high dam. About 40 millions m³ of water was displaced, climbed up 200 m on the opposite side and then destroyed the little town of Longarone causing more than 2,000 casualties. This event is well known and was the object of numerous technical and scientific studies, especially in the two decades following the disaster. This work proposes a re-examination of the matter, focusing on the numerical modelling of the landslide, and is carried out by using a 1D numerical code based on a Lagrangian approach. The model is properly conceived for cases with slide length prevailing on width. When the slide width is comparable or prevailing on length, as is the case of the Vajont slide, the mass is first partitioned into a number of longitudinal long and narrow sub-slides. The Vajont mass was subdivided into six strips and the motion of each sub-slide was computed. The knowledge of the final deposit position allowed us to constrain the value of some relevant parameters characterizing the slide motion, the most interesting being the friction coefficient μ, that we varied in order to obtain the best-fit between calculated and observed deposits. Taking into account the additional constraint that all sub-slides move with the same or at least with similar speed, and introducing a global misfit based on deposit and velocity misfits, we were able to show that solutions minimizing the global misfit exhibit a relevant difference between the basal friction coefficients of the western and of the eastern sides of the sliding surface, with the former being significantly smaller (0.14–0.16) than the latter (0.32–0.34).  相似文献   

Ir Observations Of An Outburst In Comet Hale-Bopp (C/1995 O1)     

Tozzi  Gian Paolo  Mannucci  Filippo  Stanga  Ruggero 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1997,78(1-3):279-284

The comet Hale-Bopp (C/1995 O1) has been observed in the infrared (1–2.5 μm) with the Nordic Optical Telescope (NOT) equipped with the Arcetri NICMOS3 camera (ARNICA). Two observational campaigns, each one lasting about one week, were made when the comet heliocentric distance was about 3 AU. The first campaign was at the end of August and the second at the end of September 1996. During both runs two major outbursts were observed, the more intense of them started the day before the beginning of the second run. In the images recorded during the first three nights (24.8–26.8 Sept.) of the second run a dust shell expanding in the northern quadrant with a projected velocity of 0.14–0.28 km/s is clearly evident. The dust production rate increased by at least a factor ≈3 at the time of the outburst. Also evident on the first night is a change in the IR color that is well correlated with the dust shell. This is an indication that the material released by the outburst has a different composition and/or size distribution than that in the “quiescent” dust coma. In this paper we present preliminary results about the evolution and the photometric characteristics of the dust shell. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

A Simulation Method for Semicollisional Plasmas     

Filippo Pantellini  Simone Landi 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2001,277(1-2):149-152

We present a one dimensional kinetic simulation model which can be used to simulate the stationary state of a semicollisional plasma. Results of a simple simulation are presented and compared to Fokker-Planck calculations. The model is particularly well suited for the diluted solar atmosphere. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

Atmospheric Background Measurement in the 300–400 nm Band with a Balloon Borne Experiment During a Nocturnal Flight     

Giovanni La Rosa  Gaetano Agnetta  Benedetto Biondo  Osvaldo Catalano  Filippo Celi  Renato Di Raffaele  Salvatore Giarrusso  Angelo Mangano  Francesco Russo  John Linsley  Angelo Lo Bue 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2001,276(1):219-226

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Optical properties of Laue lenses for hard X-rays (>60 keV)     

Alessandro Pisa  Filippo Frontera  Gianluca Loffredo  Damiano Pellicciotta  Natalia Auricchio 《Experimental Astronomy》2005,20(1-3):219-228

We report on preliminary results obtained with a Monte Carlo (MC) code developed to study the optical properties of Laue lenses for astro-physical observations. The MC code is written in the Python programming language and uses open source libraries. Among the physical quantities which can be investigated with the MC code, we paid our attention mainly to the estimation of the effective area, field of view (FOV) and point spread function (PSF) of the lens for observation of sources on-axis and off-axis.  相似文献