未来不同气候变化情景下我国玉米产量的初步预测   总被引：21，自引：0，他引：21  

熊伟  杨婕  林而达  许吟隆 《地球科学进展》2008,23(10):1092-1101

玉米是我国重要的粮食和饲料作物,研究气候变化对我国玉米产量的影响有重要意义。采用区域气候模式与CERES Maize模型相结合的方法,模拟了基准气候（BS,1961—1990年）和A2、B2两种温室气体排放方案下2011—2100年我国雨养和灌溉玉米产量,初步预测了未来不同气候情景下玉米产量的变化状况。结果表明,如果保持现有的玉米生产状况,气候变化将导致我国玉米主产区的玉米单产普遍降低,总产下降,给玉米生产带来一定经济损失。A2气候变化情景对我国玉米产量的负面影响要大于B2情景。CO2肥效作用可以在一定程度上缓解这种负面影响,其缓解作用对雨养玉米更明显。未来全国玉米主产区的雨养和灌溉玉米的稳产风险及低产出现的概率将会增大,总产的年际波动更剧烈。由于目前研究结果是未考虑农业生产的适应措施而得出的,可能会高估气候变化的负面影响。  相似文献   

GVG采样线代表性检验     

吴胜军  李涛  吴炳方  宋月君  冯奇 《遥感学报》2008,12(2):263-269

通过在实验区内设置不同类型的采样线,对GVG采样线的代表性进行检验.结果表明,高速公路和乡村道路类型的采样线对区域代表性的精度在95%以上;国道为86.726%;省道为65.447%.对于不同的缓冲区,高速公路、省道和乡村道路类型采样线,以200m缓冲区的代表性最好.而国道则以800m缓冲区的代表性最好.对于不同的作物而言,无论何种类型的采样线或者缓冲区,种植面积最大的棉花的精度是最好的.最低的是省道采样线1000m缓冲区,精度是78.146%,最好的是国道采样线800m缓冲区,精度是99.974%.除省道外,其他精度都在94.8%以上.这说明GVG采样线所获得的成数对于区域主要作物的代表性是很好的.  相似文献   

点质模型求定月球重力场及其特征分析     

邢乐林  李建成  沈飞  刘冬至  林剑  邹正波 《测绘科学》2008,33(1):37-39,54

利用Lunar-Prospector扩展任务的视线加速度数据,根据点质模型恢复了月球近区的重力场,将其与LP165月球重力场模型进行了比较和分析,并利用恢复的重力场联合月球地形数据对Mas-con进行分析,总结了月球重力场的主要特征及其研究方向发展趋势,将重力场恢复技术与我国的探月计划-"嫦娥"工程结合起来,为建立高精度的月球重力场和地形模型提供了一种有效而实用的方法。  相似文献   

山东三山岛金矿床流体包裹体特征及其地质意义   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

周国发  吕古贤  邓军  申玉科  郭涛 《现代地质》2008,22(1):24-33

三山岛金矿床位于莱州市三山岛—仓上断裂带内,矿石主要为蚀变岩和含金石英脉2种类型。随着胶东金矿床研究的深入和三山岛金矿资源的不断减少,对三山岛金矿床的成矿作用及深部开发前景问题研究具有更重要的意义。针对上述问题,对三山岛金矿床2种类型矿石的成矿流体特征进行对比研究,认为代表成矿早—中期的蚀变岩型矿石形成于中温(均一温度为325～240℃)、低盐度(2.07%～6.88%)、低密度(0.720～0.868g/cm3)、酸碱性不均匀(pH=3.27～10.43)、以氟化物和氯化物为成矿物质载体的还原性流体;代表成矿中—晚期的含金石英脉型矿石形成于中—低温(均一温度为306～160℃)、低盐度(1.05%～9.73%)、低密度(0.739～0.962g/cm3)、碱性(pH=9.25～9.85)、以氯化物和硫化物为成矿物质载体的还原性流体。成矿流体性质的转变反映了成矿流体处于由比较封闭到比较开放的构造环境的转变期,且成矿流体早期以原生岩浆水为主,后期有变质水、大气降水以及海水的参与作用。三山岛金矿成矿深度为2.5～5km,根据目前的开采深度推算其深部还有一定的资源量可供开发。  相似文献   

我国南极陨石研究的新进展   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

缪秉魁  欧阳自远  林杨挺  肖龙  黄定华  何琦 《地质科技情报》2008,27(1):13-19,30

近年来,因在南极发现了大量的陨石样品,我国天体化学和陨石学研究得到了快速发展,并取得了一系列可喜的成果,如:①在南极已收集了近万块南极陨石样品,使我国已成为南极陨石拥有大国;②大量的陨石发现和研究成果表明格罗夫山地区为我国发现的新的陨石富集区,填补了我国在南极陨石领域的空白;③发现了许多我国奇缺的陨石类型,如火星陨石、CR型碳质球粒陨石等;④开展了较深入的CAI研究等.这些都将为我国天体化学和比较行星学的发展展示广阔的前景.提出了一些南极陨石研究工作中存在的问题和今后的工作方向.  相似文献   

Benthic nutrient fluxes in the intertidal flat within the Changjiang （Yangtze River） Estuary   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

GAO Lei    LI Daoji  WANG Yanming  YU Lihua  KONG Dingjiang  LI Mei  LI Yun  and FANG Tao State Key Laboratory of Marine Geology  Tongji University  Shanghai  China State Key Laboratory of Estuarine  Coastal Research  East China Normal University  Shanghai  China 《中国地球化学学报》2008,27(1):58-71

In an annual cycle from March 2005 to February 2006, benthic nutrient fluxes were measured monthly in the Dongtan intertidal flat within the Changjiang （Yangtze River） Estuary. Except for NH4^＋, there always showed high fluxes from overlying water into sediment for other four nutrients. Sediments in the high and middle marshes, covered with halophyte and consisting of macrofauna, demonstrated more capabilities of assimilating nutrients from overlying water than the low marsh. Sampling seasons and nutrient concentrations in the overlying water could both exert significant effects on these fluxes. Additionally, according to the model provided by previous study, denitrification rates, that utilizing NO3- transported from overlying water （Dw） in Dongtan sediments, were estimated to be from -16 to 193 μmol·h^-1·m^-2 with an average value of 63 μmol·h^-1·m^-2 （n=18）. These estimated values are still underestimates of the in-situ rates owing to the lack of consideration of DN, i.e., denitrification supported by the local NO3^- production via nitrification.  相似文献   

Changes in nutrient uptake of phytoplankton under the interaction between sunlight and phosphate in the Changjiang （Yangtze） River Estuary     

FANG Tao LI Daoji YU Lihua LI Yun 《中国地球化学学报》2008,27(2):161-170

We conducted ship-board incubation experiments to investigate changes in nutrient uptake of phytoplankton under different phosphate concentrations and irradiances in the Changjiang River Estuary and its adjacent waters in China. Under 100% natural irradiance the uptake rates of phosphate, silicate, and nitrate were accelerated at high phosphate levels （1.84 μM）, while under low irradiance （about 50% natural irradiance） their uptake rates were restrained at the high but stimulated greatly at the intermediate phosphate concentrations （1.26 μM）, as the growth of phytoplankton, changes in nitrite and ammonium uptake didn＇t follow an obvious pattern. Our results also showed that there were linear relationships between nitrate, silicate and phosphate uptake at different phosphate concentrations under low and high irradiances, and the growth period of phytoplankton was prolonged both at the high phosphate concentrations under high irradiance and at the intermediate concentrations under low irradiance, suggesting that the limitation of phytoplankton growth mainly reflected changes in its growth period, and because no such environment （low irradiance and low phosphate concentrations） actually existed in a high turbidity zone, phytoplankton blooms hardly occurred there. In the absence of irradiance, denitrification occurred readily and phytoplankton was kept decreasing, which resulted in phosphate regeneration.  相似文献   

Early Uplift History of the Tibetan Plateau:Records from Paleocurrents and Paleodrainage in the Hoh Xil Basin     

YI Haisheng  WANG Chengshan  SHI Zhiqiang  LIN Jinhui  ZHU Lidong 《《地质学报》英文版》2008,82(1):206-213

Paleocurrent indicator data collected in field work were used to study the early Cenozoic regional paleodrainage patterns in the Hob Xil basin in northern Tibetan plateau. The paleocurrent directions of the Eocene Fenghuoshan Group obviously show that the flows were northward with a unidirectional dispersal pattern. This probably reflects the uplift of the Qiangtang terrain during the initial basin deposition period and indicates that the Tanggula Moutains occurred as topographic highlands at least in the Eocene. Paleoflows of the Oligocene Yaxicuo Group were dominantly oriented to the north and then flowed eastwards during its late deposition. This regional variability of paleodrainage patterns of the Yaxicuo Group is interpreted to record the dispersal style of sediments from transverse rivers to longitudinal river systems. It is inferred that the Oligocene uplift of the Kunlun Mountains obstructed by northward paleoflows and created longitudinal river systems parallel to the orogenic belts. The temporal and spatial changes of the paleodrainage patterns suggest that the northern boundary of the Tibetan plateau during the early Cenozoic was situated in the Hoh Xil area and its uplift has progressed northwards through time.  相似文献   

<Superscript>40</Superscript>Ar-<Superscript>39</Superscript>Ar dating of lamprophyre dykes in the Baimazhai nickel deposit,Yunnan Province,China, and its geological significance     

Bo Li  Zhilong Huang  Tao Guan  Wei Ding 《中国地球化学学报》2008,27(4):351-355

The Baimazhai nickel deposit, Yunnan Province, China, is located in the southern part of the Sanjiang （Tri-river） alkali-rich intrusive rock belt （Sanjiang ARIR）. In this paper was conducted ^40Ar-^39Ar dating of two phlogopites in lamprophyres which are, as dikes, widely distributed in the orefield, and two plateau ages were acquired, i.e., 32.46±0.62 Ma and 32.01±0.60 Ma, respectively （averaging 32.23±0.60 Ma）. The ages are obviously younger than those of the ore-hosted complex and mineralization of the Baimazhai nickel deposit. In combination with the characteristics, it is indicated that lamprophyres in the orefield and those in the Sanjiang ARIR are similar in tectonic setting, mineral assemblage and geochemistry. It is considered that lamprophyres in the orefield are the important component of the Sanjiang ARIR, and the lamprophyres and ore-hosted complex in the orefield represent the products of two times of different magmatic activity from different mantle sources. On the other hand, the age of lamprophyres in the orefield is older than that of the strike-slip shearing of the Ailaoshan-Honghe fault belt, suggesting that the strike-slip shearing of the Ailaoshan-Honghe fault belt is not the factor leading to magmatic activity of lamprophyres in the orefield, while it is more possible that magmatic activity of the Sanjiang ARIR promoted strike-slip shearing of the fault belt.  相似文献   

地震瞬时属性分析技术在岩溶勘查中的应用   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

钟韬  肖宏跃  雷宛 《物探化探计算技术》2008,30(1):30-33

介绍地震瞬时属性分析技术的原理及处理方法,分别对岩溶在地震剖面、瞬时振幅剖面、瞬时频率剖面、瞬时相位剖面上的表现特征作了说明.并结合实际资料进行多参数解释,进而确定地下岩溶的发育情况、分布范围和规模,同时对异常进行钻井验证,结果表明,地震瞬时属性分析技术比常规地震处理方法能更好地排除干扰,确定岩溶异常.  相似文献