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Based on the method of "two-dimensional depth structure of the crust" proposed by Horiuchi et al., about 5000 arrival times of 303 local shallow earthquakes recorded by the Beijing Seismographic Network from 1990 ~ 1993 are used to investigate the depth distribution of Moho discontinuity beneath Beijing and its adjacent area. We simultaneously determined the hypocenter parameters and P- and S-wave station corrections. The data of the North China Network were also investigated. The results are as follows: (1) The depth distribution of Moho discontinuity becomes shallower from the northwest to the southeast, i.e., in Zhangjiakou area, the Moho discontinuity is located at a depth range from 40~42 km. In the Beijing area, it is 36~39 km. However, at the eastern and southeastern part of this area, it is only 28-30 km and 30~32 km, respectively. (2) Beneath the Tangshan area, there is another elliptic interface shallower than the Moho discontinuity. Separately, its major and minor axis is approximately along 相似文献
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长江三峡库区地震地形变监测研究 总被引:8,自引:4,他引:4
三峡地壳形变监测网络结合空间大地测量(GPS、InSAR)和传统大地测量的优点,在1998年以来的三峡工程建设期间和2003年水库首次蓄水中获取了大量监测成果。结果显示库区地壳运动的基本图像:垂直形变较为显著,主要来自因蓄水荷载而产生的形变,水平形变不明显.库区主要断层的活动性在蓄水期间有明显加强迹象。水准测量反映从1998年首期观测至2003年10月首次蓄水后的库区垂直位移.沉降范围较大;GPS给出了2003年蓄水前后库区的垂直位移,形变的范围主要集中在水库近岸区域。水准测量与GPS观测反应的垂直位移的量级基本一致,沉降的最大幅度在3~4cm左右。水准监测、GPS观测与重力监测结果有一定的对应性。从地壳形变监测与研究结果分析,近期负荷改变而诱发中强地震的可能性不大。 相似文献
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Li Zhixiong Zhang Guomin Fu Zhengxiang and Zhang YongxianState Seismological Bureau Beijing China Center for Analysis Prediction SSB Beijing China 《中国地震研究》1996,(4)
In this paper,characteristics of spatial and temporal variation of linear fitting goodness before some moderately strong earthquakes(Ms≥5.0)in the eastern part of China(east of longitude 180)are studied according to the famous Gutenberg-Richter's relation expressed as lgN=a-bM,by using the moderate and small events that occurred in and around the source area.The results show that the linear goodness of fitting varies abnormally prior to these moderately strong earthquakes.In the early stage of the earthquake preparatory process,distribution of the energy released through small events in and around the source area is isostatic and the fitting goodness approximates 1,while the distribution of the energy turns to be isostatic before moderately strong earthquakes,leading to the obvious decrease of the linear goodness of fitting.This phenomenon could be a medium term anomaly and a medium term criterion for moderately strong earthquake prediction. 相似文献
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青藏块体及周缘潜在震源与强震关系研究 总被引:7,自引:3,他引:4
利用1993-1999、1999-2001年青藏块体东北以及1991-2000年中国大陆GPS水平运动年速率资料,基于单一力源模型,反演获得了青藏块体及其周缘地区2000-2001年10次地震的震前资料反映的潜在震源参数,所得力源中心位置距实际震中的距离相对较小,其中2000年景泰5.9、2001年宁蒗5.8、昆仑8.1及格尔木3次5.7、5.8级地震均在50km左右;2000年兴海6.6、2001年年施甸5.9、永胜6.0级地震不到100km;2001年雅江6.0级地震最远(121km)。此外,1999-2001年青藏块体东北缘地区的反演结果表明,沿东昆仑构造带的昆仑山口-达日及库玛断裂向东至甘东南、甘青交界区域,可能仍存在潜在震源。 相似文献
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一个考虑SST变化的月数值预报结果分析 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
山西省气候预报研究课题组 《气象学报》1999,57(2):168-179
根据陈隆勋等对海温月季变化研究的结果提出除了从冬到春的过渡月份外,SST距平的相邻月的月际变化不大。在此基础上,选了1996年6月并利用CCM1动力气候模式作了月数值预报。在预报中,利用1996年6月1日00Z中国国家气象中心T64的客观分析资料作初值,利用1996年5月的SST距平加到6月气候SST作为6月的SST,作了一个月数值预报。结果表明,考虑了SST变化的数值预报优于用气候海温作的数值预报。前者的500hPa高度场预报距平、850hPa纬向风预报距平、中国地区气温预报距平和降水预报距平分布均十分接近于实际观测分布。 相似文献
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"地震预报发展规划"工作组 《中国地震》2010,26(1)
本文简要回顾了以往地震预报实验场的经验教训,讨论了新一代地震预报实验场的实施策略。汲取汶川地震的经验启示,本文提出"地震博弈"策略,即考虑中长期地震预测的可用性与不确定性,在监测与实验系统设计中考虑地震活动和地震构造相依的区域模型。对于特定的活动断裂或活动地块边界带的潜在强震段落,设置适应多种孕震模型的"想定地震破裂",针对地震孕育的"想定模式"设计观测项目和监测系统。这一系统以地震成因和孕震模型的有效约束、"预期"前兆的有效监测、预测/预报效能的有效检验为导向。从技术角度,本文提出将地震预报实验场作为一个"大科学工程",强调复杂的多层次、多组分技术系统性能的稳健性,以及为确保与地震有效的"近距离接触"的系统可持续性。 相似文献
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CHEN Yongliang Comprehensive Information Institute of Mineral Resources Prediction Jilin University Changchun China 《东北亚地学研究》2009,12(1):46-56
An extended self-organizing map for supervised classification is proposed in this paper. Unlike other traditional SOMs, the model has an input layer, a Kohonen layer, and an output layer. The number of neurons in the input layer depends on the dimensionality of input patterns. The number of neurons in the output layer equals the number of the desired classes. The number of neurons in the Kohonen layer may be a few to several thousands, which depends on the complexity of classification problems and the classification precision. Each training sample is expressed by a pair of vectors : an input vector and a class codebook vector. When a training sample is input into the model, Kohonen's competitive learning rule is applied to selecting the winning neuron from the Kohouen layer and the weight coefficients connecting all the neurons in the input layer with both the winning neuron and its neighbors in the Kohonen layer are modified to be closer to the input vector, and those connecting all the neurons around the winning neuron within a certain diameter in the Kohonen layer with all the neurons in the output layer are adjusted to be closer to the class codebook vector. If the number of training sam- ples is sufficiently large and the learning epochs iterate enough times, the model will be able to serve as a supervised classifier. The model has been tentatively applied to the supervised classification of multispectral remotely sensed data. The author compared the performances of the extended SOM and BPN in remotely sensed data classification. The investigation manifests that the extended SOM is feasible for supervised classification. 相似文献