绿色交通目标下集装箱“公转铁”的CO2减排潜力评估     

陶学宗  吴琴  尹传忠 《气候变化研究进展》2019,15(6):660-669

为提高集装箱“公转铁”减排潜力评估结果的准确性,在分析“公转铁”减排原理的基础上,综合考虑空箱调运和重箱运输“门到门”运输链的干线运输、端点装卸、电力设备作业、集卡短驳、公铁中转等排放,引入反映活动类型、设备结构、能源生命周期排放的参数,对作业活动-方式结构-能耗强度-排放因子（ASIF）方法进行改进,建立“公转铁”减排潜力评估框架。以义乌—宁波港域出口集装箱运输为例,通过实地调研和公开文献获取数据,进行实证研究。结果表明,如果忽略必要因素将会导致每TEU运输需求“公转铁”的CO₂减排率被高估0.50~36.73个百分点;最佳“公转铁”情景可减排3.42万t CO₂,相应减排率为13.58%。研究结果可为政府相关部门客观评估“公转铁”的减排潜力、制定有效的“公转铁”政策措施提供理论支持。  相似文献   

台风“尤特”登陆后复杂路径的环境场特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

覃武  罗小莉  钟利华  林宗桂  林开平  林墨 《气象与环境科学》2019,42(1):110-118

台风"尤特"(1311)2013年8月13—19日登陆减弱后直达桂东北并停留打转,其后又转向西南移动,"尤特"残涡在广西境内生存活动了112 h,造成了大范围强降雨。使用常规与非常规观测资料,研究了"尤特"登陆后的环境场与其长生命期及复杂移动路径的关系。结果发现:"尤特"登陆北上阶段主要受大尺度环境场的引导气流主导,后因引导气流转向减弱,与变压梯度力近似达到平衡导致停留打转;南下弱冷空气卷入与西南气流辐合形成负变压槽,负变压槽中风向气旋性切变产生正涡度效应向"尤特"残涡输送,与西南气流充沛的水汽输送共同作用使"尤特"残涡得以长时间维持。弱冷空气卷入使中尺度变压场中的正变压加强,在变压梯度力与引导气流共同作用下,"尤特"残涡沿负变压槽向西南移动。  相似文献   

百色气候变化特征及城市适应策略建议     

何洁琳  陆甲  李艳兰  谢敏  黄卓  周美丽  黄雪松  秦川 《气象研究与应用》2019,(1):34-37

利用气候观测数据分析表明,近60a来,百色出现了与全球气候变化背景一致的增暖变化,主要变化特征有:气温明显升高,年降水日数减少,冬季降水量增多,年日照时数减少;高温和干旱频率高,20世纪90年代以来暴雨日数偏多。与广西平均气候变化状况相比,百色的气候变化程度风险低于广西平均水平。预估到本世纪中期,百色气温仍将缓慢升高,干旱和强降水的强度可能加剧。建议科学规划,统筹协调,科学评估城市气候承载力,开展城市适应气候变化风险管理,提升生态气候环境监测及自然灾害预警应急能力,建设生态气候宜居城市。  相似文献   

Thermal depolymerization of kerogen and formation of immature oil     

Qin Kuangzong 《Organic Geochemistry》1988,13(4-6)

Two Chinese immature oil shales from the continental deposits of kerogen type I and II have been thermally treated combined with the technique of supercritical fluid extraction at 630–650 K and 15–25 MPa in a semi-continuous laboratory scale apparatus. Toluence is selected as the solvent. Up to 70–80% of the kerogen matrix can be converted to a thermal bitumen and extracted simultaneously. The chemical structural parameters from the NMR, IR, XRD, ESR and EA analyses of the kerogen and the thermal bitumen show striking resemblance in nature. It implies that the thermal bitumen is primarily a depolymerized product of the kerogen. Based on the GC/MS spectra of the aliphatic eluate of the thermal bitumen, the predominance of the odd/even ratio of the alkanes and the epimeric ratios, such as 20S(20S + 20R) of C-29 steranes and 22S/(22S + 22R) of C-32 terpanes, show that the maturity of the thermal bitumen from these oil shales is comparable to that of commercial immature oils from East China. The thermal bitumen is thought to be an intermediate product of the thermal degradation of kerogen.Since the thermal bitumen is mainly composed of asphaltenes and resins, it has a structure of gel. The gel-state bitumen may turn to sol-state readily due to its low aromaticity and polarity, or due to selective adsorption of asphaltenes by clay minerals. Then the migration potential of the bitumen is enhanced.Consequently, under favorable geological conditions, the thermal depolymerization of kerogen seems to be a probable mechanism to explain the formation of immature oils.  相似文献   

节气与灾害   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

郭增建  秦保燕 《地震工程学报》1988,10(3):130-130

节气是我国古人的创见,它属于东方科学观点,在农时上具有重大意义。除此之外,我们发现,它在灾害预测上也有价值。我们曾发现上海的龙卷风以及与我国同纬度的美国的龙卷风的发生在节气日占优势。今年以来我们对我国的灾害性天气作了检验,发现绝大多数也发生在节气日或其附近,其余多在期望日或其附近。现列举于下:  相似文献   

Research on the regionalQ values of coda waves for the aftershocks in Luquan,Yunnan of 1985     

Jiazheng Qin  Ning Li  Kejian Hu 《地震科学（英文版）》1988,1(3):16-30

Based on the scattering coda model by which local and regional earthquakes are interpreted (K. Aki, 1969), and using observational coda data of 68 aftershocks of the 1985 Luquan, Yunnan earthquake registered by the VGK seismographs installed at 12 stations in the Yunnan regional short-period network, theQ-values of coda waves are calculated respectively for 6 time intervals. It is observed that within the frequency range of 0.40–1.65 Hz of the observed data, theQ-values are closely related with the frequencies and the calculated codaQ ranges between 80–240 with the coefficient of frequency dependence η=0.45. The calculated source factorsB(f> _p) of the coda waves which indicate the scattering strength are mostly within the order 10^?23–10^?24. Areas with lowQ-values present high scattering. It should be noted that by comparing data obtained before and after the Luquan earthquake, clear changes can be detected in theQ-values measured at stations close to the epicentral region, and that theQ-values of the aftershock coda are less than about one half of the pre-shock values. It may be mentioned that the time-dependent regional variations of theQ-values might possibly bring about practical significance in earthquake prediction. Moreover, aftershock focal parameters are determined. Through discussions on the quantitative relations between the focal parameters, we get: 1gE=1.59M _L+ 11.335;E=(2.10 × 10^?5)M ₀; length of focal rupturea=0.40?0.80 km for 3.0≤M _L<5.0 events; stress drop Δσ=(6.0–130) ×10⁵ Pa. Through interpretation of the data, we have also learned the important characteristics that there is no linear relation between the stress drops and the earthquake magnitudes.  相似文献   

滑坡灾害预报的非线性动力学方法   总被引：29，自引：0，他引：29  

秦四清  张倬元 《水文地质工程地质》1993,20(5):1-4

基于现代反演理论,建立了滑坡灾害预测的非线性动力学模型,给出了可预报时间尺度的确定方法及稳定性判断准则。通过实例分析表明,非线性动力学分析方法是行之有效的。  相似文献   

滇中郝家河砂岩铜矿的地球化学及其成因意义   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

秦德先  马宏 《地质论评》1994,40(2):183-192

本文论术字滇中生代地层与矿区及春外围马头山组中铜的时空分布与迁移富集规律，揭示了矿床的沉积－后期叠加改造成因。成矿作用经历了同生沉积形成矿源层，后期叠加改造形成矿体的过程。后期改造中铜元素发生了大量迁移，矿质主要来自矿体之下伏紫色矿源层。  相似文献   

PAN－S光度法测定水和河泥中微量锰     

魏琴  杜斌  马荣 《矿物岩石》1994,(3)

本文研究了ＰＡＮ－Ｓ与锰的显色反应。配合物的最大吸收峰位于５３８ｎｍ波长处，表观摩尔吸光系数为２．９×１０￣４Ｌ·ｍｏｌ￣（－１）·ｃｍ￣（－１），锰量在０─１．６μｇ／ｍｌ范围内符合比尔定律，方法用于水和河泥中微量锰的测定，结果良好。  相似文献   

水库诱震机制新理论的探索──断层带弱化与岩体软化效应诱震理论   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

秦四清  张倬元 《工程地质学报》1995,3(1):35-44

针对走滑断层诱发的水库地震，建立了尖点突变模型，提出了发震的充要力学条件判据及地震释放能量的简单表达式。以突变理论分析为依据，建立了水库诱震机制的新假说，简称为断层带弱化与岩体软化效应诱震理论，较合理地解释了水库地震与岩性、构造、水位的关系及水库地震序列ｂ值的特征。本文的讨论从整体上深化了对水库诱震机制的认识。  相似文献