Resilience and brittleness in the ALERTA RIO system: a field study about the decision-making of forecasters     

Giovanni Dolif  Andre Engelbrecht  Alessandro Jatobá  Antônio José Dias da Silva  José Orlando Gomes  Marcos R. S. Borges  Carlos A. Nobre  Paulo Victor R. de Carvalho 《Natural Hazards》2013,65(3):1831-1847

Natural disasters, particularly those triggered by heavy rainfall, may cause major damage and death. However, if an accurate early warning is issued, the damage can be mitigated. In Latin America and Brazil, characteristics of socioeconomic development often lead to a disorderly growth of cities and, consequently, occupation and irregular construction in risk areas. Therefore, forecasts of heavy rainfall, as well as preventative and mitigatory actions based on meteorological data/alerts, are essential to saving lives and minimizing material loss. An event that would have benefited from such actions is that which occurred in the mountainous region of Rio de Janeiro in January 2011, when over 800 people lost their lives. This work describes the first research initiative on resilience engineering domain in systems to forecast heavy rains in Rio de Janeiro. The results indicate important sources of brittleness in the system that supports the work of meteorologists, mainly related to the technical and organizational framework, and suggests that the main source of resilience in dealing with critical situations is the tacit knowledge of experts.  相似文献   

The petrogenesis of granitoid rocks unusually rich in apatite in the Western Tatra Mts. (S-Poland, Western Carpathians)     

Krzysztof Szopa  Aleksandra Gawęda  Axel Müller  Magdalena Sikorska 《Mineralogy and Petrology》2013,107(4):609-627

In the bottom part of the tongue-shaped, layered granitoid intrusion, exposed in the Western Tatra Mts., apatite-rich granitic rocks occur as pseudo-layers and pockets between I-type hybrid mafic precursors and homogeneous S-type felsic granitoids. The apatite-rich rocks are peraluminous (ASI?=?1.12–1.61), with P₂O₅ contents ranging from 0.05 to 3.41 wt.% (<7.5 vol.% apatite), shoshonitic to high-K calc-alkaline. Apatite is present as long-prismatic zoned crystals (Ap₁) and as large xenomorphic unzoned crystals (Ap₂). Ap₁ apatite and biotite represent an early cumulate. Feldspar and Ap₂ textural relations may reflect the interaction of the crystal faces of both minerals and support a model based on local saturation of (P, Ca, F) versus (K, Na, Al, Si, Ba) in the border zones. Chondrite-normalized REE patterns for the apatite rocks and for pure apatite suggest apatite was a main REE carrier in these rocks. Minerals characteristics and the whole rock chemistry suggest both reduced S-type and I-type magma influenced the apatite-rich rocks. The field observations, mineral and rock chemistry as well as mass-balance calculations point out that the presence of apatite-rich rocks may be linked to the continuous mixing of felsic and mafic magmas, creating unique phosphorus- and aluminium-rich magma portions. Formation of these rocks was initially dominated by the complex flowage-controlled and to some extent also gravity-driven separation of early-formed zoned minerals and, subsequently, by local saturation in the border zones of growing feldspar and apatite crystals. Slow diffusion in the phosphorus-rich magma pockets favoured the local saturation and simultaneous crystallization of apatite and feldspars in a crystal-ladden melt.  相似文献   

Isotope geochemistry of Paleoproterozoic metacarbonates from Itatuba,Borborema Province,Northeastern Brazil: Evidence of marble melting within a collisional suture     

Roberto Ventura Santos  Edilton J. dos Santos  João Adauto de Souza Neto  Luis Christian Montreuil Carmona  Alcides Nóbrega Sial  Luis Henrique Mancini  Lauro Cézar Montefalco de Lira Santos  Gilzênia Henrique do Nascimento  Lucas UpaDafubigin Santos Mendes  Emerson Marcello Ferreira Anastácio 《Gondwana Research》2013,23(1):380-389

Strongly-deformed marbles may be easily confused with linear and elongated carbonatite intrusions. Both rocks may present similar texture and foliation to the host rock, or even cross cutting field relationships, which could be interpreted either as igneous or high-grade metamorphosed marble. Diagnostic criteria are even more complex when there is evidence of melting of the metasedimentary carbonate rock, such as has been described in the Himalayas and in the Eastern Ghats, India.In the Alto Moxotó Terrane, a high-grade gneissic domain of the Borborema Province, Northeastern Brazil, there are metacarbonates associated with banded gneisses and different metaplutonic rocks. Field evidence indicates the absence of other metasedimentary rocks associated with these marbles, thus suggesting that these carbonates were separated from other siliciclastic metasedimentary rocks. The presence of marble also suggests that it may represent the initial stage of a crustal carbon recycling into the mantle. These marbles present many field similarities to carbonatites (e.g., fluid-flow structure) and, together with metagranites and metamafic intrusions, may represent a major collisional tectonic suture.A detailed study of the carbon, oxygen and strontium isotopic composition of these marbles is presented. This study aims to identify the origin of the different isotopic components. It is argued that these rocks were subjected to temperature and pressure conditions that were sufficiently high to have melted them. The isotopic data presented here support this interpretation and indicate the mixing of two components: (i) one characterized by radiogenic Sr isotopes and mantle-like carbon isotopes, which is associated with the gneissic and mafic rocks, and (ii) another characterized by low ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr ratios and highly positive δ¹³C values. Available geochemical data for the upper Paleoproterozoic indicate that the ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr ratio of ocean water, varying between 0.7050 (2.25 ± 0.25 Ga) and 0.7047 (1.91 Ga), falls within the lower range of the samples from Itatuba and thus reinforces the interpretation that these marbles are sedimentary-derived and were partially contaminated by interaction with the host gneissic and mafic rocks.  相似文献   

Seasonal Diet Shifts and Overlap Between Two Sympatric Catfishes in an Estuarine Nursery     

David Valença Dantas  Mario Barletta  Jonas de Assis Almeida Ramos  André Ricardo Araújo Lima  Monica Ferreira da Costa 《Estuaries and Coasts》2013,36(2):237-256

This study describes the seasonal feeding habits of different size classes of Cathorops spixii and Cathorops agassizii along an estuarine ecocline and the food overlap when different size classes occur together. These species were essentially zoobenthivorous, feeding mainly on Polychaeta Nereis sp., Copepoda Pseudodiaptomus acutus, Ostracoda Asterope sp., Gastropoda: Littorinidae, and Bivalvia Mytilus sp. and Anomalocardia brasiliana. However, during their life cycle and between different habitats and seasons, their trophic guild can change to zooplanktivore. The competition for resources was observed among C. spixii and C. agassizii, but was significantly reduced due to the seasonal diference in habitat use by different ontogenetic phases in the main channel of the estuary. The food niche separation was strongly influenced by environmental fluctuations, principally of salinity, resulting from rainfall and river inflow. High abundance of some preys, such as P. acutus (all estuary), Asterope sp. (upper and middle estuary), and Littorinidae (upper and lower estuary), could influence the significant diet overlap, principally during the rainy season, and call for more detailed studies of the benthic community structure. Moreover, dietary overlap was observed mainly between smaller sizes (intraspecific and/or interspecific) or between corresponding ontogenetic phases (interspecific), suggesting some differentiation in the diet in relation to the size class. Differences in prey type and size between the different ontogenetic phases of these ariids, principally among juveniles and adults, could be related to the size of the mouth, since adults are able to successfully capture larger preys or larger quantities of particular items.  相似文献   

Assessing Decomposition Rates of Rhizophora mangle and Laguncularia racemosa Leaves in a Tropical Mangrove     

Alexandra Bomfim de Oliveira  Alexandra Elaine Rizzo  Erminda da Conceição Guerreiro Couto 《Estuaries and Coasts》2013,36(6):1354-1362

Studies exploring leaf decomposition in mangroves in the Brazilian northeast are scarce. Therefore, in a mangrove of the Cachoeira River estuary at Ilhéus, Bahia, the decomposition of senescent leaves of Rhizophora mangle L. and Laguncularia racemosa Gaertn was studied. The litter-bag method and the Olson exponential model were applied to estimate the decomposition rates. The decay pattern of leaf material of both species was similar to those reported in the literature, with rapid initial weight loss, followed by a deceleration and period of slow weight loss. L. racemosa had the highest decay constants at all the study sites which suggest that their leaves are more easily degraded than those of R. mangle. The constantly submerged site presented the highest decay constants of 0.022 g g^?1 day^?1 for R. mangle and 0.031 g g^?1 day^?1 for L. racemosa. Most (95 %) of the leaf material of the two species was lost in 135 and 98 days, respectively. Benthic macrofauna organisms were recorded in the litter bags from the fifth day after the start of the experiment. Such organisms play a key role in the first phase of decomposition in this mangrove system. The decay constants of the leaf litter were generally higher than those reported in other tropical and subtropical regions. This suggests that differences in the process of decomposition are in response to environmental conditions at each location.  相似文献   

北太行山安妥岭早白垩世碱性玄武岩的发现及地质意义     

梁涛  罗照华  卢仁  杨宗锋  樊秉鸿 《华北地质》2013,36(1):10-22

以岩墙状产出的安妥岭玄武岩形成于早白垩世(K-Ar表观年龄为122.31±1.34 Ma),其内发现橄榄岩包体、碳酸盐矿物集合体以及歪长石、刚玉、金云母巨晶.安妥岭玄武岩中可见橄榄石的碳酸盐化、绿泥石化和蛇纹石化以及单斜辉石的绿泥石化和碳酸盐化.安妥岭玄武岩样品的Si02含量介于46.50％～50.20％,Zr/TiO2-Nb/Y图解投点均落于碱性玄武岩区,微量元素蛛网图解中显示出明显的Nb、Ta和Ti的负异常,具有右倾平滑的稀土配分模式,(La/Yb)PM=33.4～40.1.两件安妥岭玄武岩样品的87Sr/86Sr比值分别为0.71 1300和0.706233,相应的143Nd/144Nd比值和εNd(122 Ma)分别为0.511848及0.511897和-13.73及-12.76.部分熔融源区组成和部分熔融作用控制着安妥岭玄武岩的成分变异,安妥岭玄武岩岩浆在上升过程中没有发生明显的结晶分异和地壳混染作用.运用地幔熔融柱模型,反演获得了安妥岭熔融柱就位于82.5～75.3 km深度范围内,即122.31 Ma时安妥岭岩石圈的厚度为75.3km,并认为安妥岭玄武岩是安妥岭岩石圈拆沉作用的产物.结合邻区南大岭和南口熔融柱深度位置,认为安妥岭-南大岭-南口岩石圈厚度经历小规模减薄(J2)-增厚(J2-K1)-拆沉(K1)-稳定(K1-今)的演化过程,安妥岭岩石圈拆沉作用为安妥岭斑岩钼矿形成的深部控制因素.  相似文献   

Effect of the addition of granitic powder to an acidic soil from Galicia (NW Spain) in comparison with lime   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Benita?Silva  Remigio?ParadeloEmail author  Nuria?Vázquez  Eduardo?García-Rodeja  María?Teresa?Barral 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2013,69(2):429-441

The impact of diffuse pollution, agricultural land use and climate change on the long-term response of subsurface–surface water quality is not well understood, but is a prerequisite for evaluation of water management options. The goal of this study is to model geochemical evolution of water chemistry from the infiltration through soil into the unsaturated zone, transport through bedrocks and granular aquifers to a river in order to identify zones of steep concentration gradients and high dynamics under transient flow conditions. A numerical model was constructed comprising a 2-D 1,500 m × 150 m vertical cross-section of typical sedimentary rock formations, a glacio-fluvial quaternary gravel aquifer in the valley and soil layers. The model coupled saturated/un-saturated flow and reactive transport under steady state and transient conditions. Geochemical interactions, include intra-aqueous kinetic reactions of oxygen with dissolved organic matter, as well as kinetics of carbonate dissolution/precipitation. This model section was chosen to provide insight in to the principal processes and time scales affecting water chemistry along different flow paths. The numerical simulator MIN3P was used, a finite volume program for variably saturated subsurface flow and multi-component reactive transport. The results show that subsurface water residence times range from approximately 2 to 2,000 years. Different zones are to be expected with respect to the development of mineral equilibria; namely, purely atmospherically influenced, as well as open and closed system carbonate dissolution. Short-term responses to daily averaged changes in precipitation, however, are only visible to some extent in the shallower and near-river parts of flow system and solute loads. This can most likely be explained by directional changes in flow paths, indicating that equilibrium geochemical condition predominate at the hillslope scale, i.e. water quality depends on transport pathways rather than on kinetic effects. The extent of reducing conditions is controlled by the presence of organic-rich layers (i.e. peat deposits), the dissolution kinetics of aquifer organic matter and the subsequent mixing with oxygenated water by hydrodynamic dispersion.  相似文献   

Chloride contamination in construction aggregates due to periodic saline water intrusion: a case study in the Kaluganga River Estuary, Sri Lanka     

N. P. Ratnayake  K. B. A. Silva  I. G. I. K. Kumara 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2013,69(8):2529-2540

The Kaluganga River Estuary is one of the main sources of construction sand in Sri Lanka. Salt water intrusion along this estuary due to extensive sand mining has increased over the years. Thus, the focus of the current research is to understand the relationship between river sand mining, salt water intrusion, and the resultant effects on construction sand. Two surveys were conducted along the Kaluganga Estuary along an 11 km stretch from the river mouth at predetermined intervals to measure depth water quality profiles, and to collect sediment samples. These surveys were carried out during maximum spring tide; first in a dry period and then in a wet period, to understand hydrographic effects on the quality of river sands. Sand samples were analysed for absolute chloride content and grain size distribution. Results showed significant salt water intrusion during the dry period, averaging 2,307 μS cm^?1 in surface waters throughout the surveyed 11 km stretch along with 3,818 μS cm^?1 (average) in bottom waters up to 5.6 km upstream from the river mouth causing above normal chloride content in the bottom sandy sediments. The high chloride content in bottom sands was recorded up to 5.5 km from the river mouth making them unsuitable for construction purposes. However, during wet period, salt water intrusion levels in the bottom waters were insignificant (average 61 μS cm^?1) and the chloride content in bottom sediments was very low. This study highlighted the requirement for regulations on river estuary sandmining for construction purposes.  相似文献   

North American terrestrial CO2 uptake largely offset by CH4 and N2O emissions: toward a full accounting of the greenhouse gas budget     

Hanqin Tian  Guangsheng Chen  Chaoqun Lu  Xiaofeng Xu  Daniel J. Hayes  Wei Ren  Shufen Pan  Deborah N. Huntzinger  Steven C. Wofsy 《Climatic change》2015,129(3-4):413-426

  相似文献   

大气污染物含量分布与环境气象条件的关系   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

梁汉明  董保群  任阵海  吴中勇  陈隆勋 《气象》1992,18(10):10-16

将1981—1986年我国大气降尘量、SO_2、NO_x及降水物pH平均值的分布特征与同期的平均雨量、雨日、相对湿度和地面风场等的分布作了对照,发现其间存在一定关系,当上述环境气象场发生变动或出现反常时,这些大气污染物的分布也将发生变化。  相似文献