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151.
Children are considered particularly important in debates about the possibilities and dangers of information and communication technologies (ICT). Discourses on ICT contain paradoxical representations of childhood. On the one hand, unlike most other understandings of child/adult relations, these discourses assume children to be equally, if not more, technologically competent than adults. On the other hand, children’s very competence at using ICT is alleged to be putting them “at risk” of abuse or corruption. This paper addresses these moral panics about children and ICT by exploring to what extent and why parents are concerned about their children’s safety in on-line space. In doing so the paper reflects on the extent to which anxieties about children in cyberspace replicate concerns about public outdoor space and the way networked computers emerge as different tools in different households. 相似文献
152.
In this article, we draw attention to trends in land transformation in the West Bank since the Second Intifada, after which a surge of investment from Gulf countries entered Palestine, almost exclusively in the West Bank. The occupied Palestinian territories have attracted a great deal of attention from media and academics, yet the vast majority of scholarship focuses on the conflict and the variety of social, economic, and political repercussions of the on-going Israeli occupation. While the occupation has undeniably serious impacts on every aspect of life for Palestinians, the near-exclusive focus on the conflict means that significant new trends, such as urban mega-developments and emerging market-based urbanisation processes, have been largely overlooked. We outline three directions for future research: the assemblage of “neglected city-builders” shaping current urbanization processes in Palestine; the ideas, policies, and norms circulating in the West Bank; and the social, spatial, economic, and other impacts of these new urban developments. 相似文献
153.
Sarah Mubareka Christine Estreguil Claudia Baranzelli Carla Rocha Gomes Carlo Lavalle Barbara Hofer 《International journal of geographical information science》2013,27(9):1740-1763
This article details the process of integrating models to answer a specific policy-driven question: ‘What could be the impact of proposed Natural Water Retention Measures (NWRMs) on Europe’s Green Infrastructure (GI)?’ It describes the new Land Use Modelling Platform (LUMP), now enabling a high spatial scale (100-m) and large coverage (pan-European), whereby several sector-specific models contribute to assessing the impact of regional-level policy on a given spatial topic of concern. The configuration (land claims and land allocations modules) and calibration (accessibility and biophysical suitability) of the LUMP are explained. Four NWRM scenarios (riparian areas, afforestation, grassland and baseline scenario) are configured to run the simulations. For the reference: year 2006, the spatial representation of GI is based on land-use features of a refined version of the CORINE Land Cover (CLC), and resumed as connected components made of nodes and links.Mathematical morphological image processing and network graph theory model, available from the free software package GUIDOS (the Joint Research Center of the European Commission), enabled the measurement of the GI connectivity and identified most critical links. Results show that the competition for land claimed by different economic sectors, combined with policy-driven rule-sets for the implementation of different NWRMs, yields very different results for the 2030 land-use projections, and subsequently for the morphology of GI. Three indicators associated with the morphology of GI are computed in order to assess the model outputs for 2030. The indicators are computed to answer the following questions: (1) How is the quantity of GI affected by each of the NWRM, and what proportion of that GI is most valuable? (2) What is the location of the most critical nodes and connectors of GI, and what land-use conversions occur under these? (3) Are the average components getting larger or smaller?Whereas the grassland measure results in the largest net increase of GI, the afforestation measure results in the overall largest number of hectares of key nodes and links within the network. Land conversions occur under the critical GI nodes and links, with a large increase in agricultural areas, especially for the riparian measure under critical nodes and the grassland measure under critical links. Also predominant is the swapping of land from pasture to forest under critical links with the afforestation measure. The riparian measure most increases the average size of GI components, and all three measures contribute to bridging two large components which were divided in the 2006 land-use map, thus increasing the size of the largest component by more than 50%. 相似文献
154.
Kim Hanjun Kang Sarah M. Takahashi Ken Donohoe Aaron Pendergrass Angeline G. 《Climate Dynamics》2021,56(1-2):17-27
Climate Dynamics - We investigate the possible causes for inter-model spread in tropical zonal-mean precipitation pattern, which is divided into hemispherically symmetric and anti-symmetric modes... 相似文献
155.
Elizabeth Holcombe Sarah Smith Edmund Wright Malcolm G. Anderson 《Natural Hazards》2012,61(2):351-385
Despite the recognition of the need for mitigation approaches to landslide risk in developing countries, the delivery of ‘on-the-ground’
measures is rarely undertaken. With respect to other ‘natural’ hazards, it is widely reported that mitigation can pay. However,
the lack of such an evidence base in relation to landslides in developing countries hinders advocacy amongst decision makers
for expenditure on ex-ante measures. This research addresses these limitations directly by developing and applying an integrated
risk assessment and cost–benefit analysis of physical landslide mitigation measures implemented in an unplanned community
in the Eastern Caribbean. In order to quantify the level of landslide risk reduction achieved, landslide hazard and vulnerability
were modelled (before and after the intervention), and project costs, direct and indirect benefits were monetised. It is shown
that the probability of landslide occurrence has been substantially reduced by implementing surface-water drainage measures
and that the benefits of the project outweigh the costs by a ratio of 2.7–1. This paper adds to the evidence base that ‘mitigation
pays’ with respect to landslide risk in the most vulnerable communities—thus strengthening the argument for ex-ante measures.
This integrated project evaluation methodology should be suitable for adoption as part of the community-based landslide mitigation
project cycle, and it is hoped that this resource, and the results of this study, will stimulate further such programmes. 相似文献
156.
Sarah Wolf 《Natural Hazards》2012,61(3):1099-1113
The concepts vulnerability and risk are of great importance in the fields of climate change and natural hazards. Confusion
is asserted in the terminology used by the respective communities, and a large conceptual literature has not solved this problem.
This affects the communication within and between the two communities and the comparison of results from vulnerability and
risk assessments. This paper argues that the main difference between methods to assess vulnerability and risk in the climate
and the disaster communities is not a conceptual one, but rather different terminologies are used. This point is made using
a formal framework of vulnerability to climate change that makes the structure of vulnerability and risk assessments explicit.
The framework distinguishes three assessment approaches in the field of vulnerability to climate change, which recur—under
different labels—in the risk assessment approaches analysed. While within each community, the same terms are ambiguously used
to refer to more than one assessment approach, the confusion is enhanced between the two communities by using different labels
for very similar approaches. As an application of the results, similarities and differences between two assessment tools are
analysed: the Dynamic Interactive Vulnerability Assessment model (DIVA) for the case of vulnerability to climate change and
the CATastrophe SIMulation model (CatSim) for risk of natural hazards. 相似文献
157.
Shoreline armoring is extensive in urban areas worldwide, but the ecological consequences are poorly documented. We mapped
shoreline armoring along the Duwamish River estuary (Washington State, USA) and evaluated differences in temperature, invertebrates,
and juvenile salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) diet between armored and unarmored intertidal habitats. Mean substrate temperatures were significantly warmer at armored
sites, but water temperature similar to unarmored habitats. Epibenthic invertebrate densities were over tenfold greater on
unarmored shorelines and taxa richness double that of armored locations. Taxa richness of neuston invertebrates was also higher
at unarmored sites, but abundance similar. We did not detect differences in Chinook (O. tshawytscha) diet, but observed a higher proportion of benthic prey for chum (O. keta) from unarmored sites. Given that over 66% of the Duwamish shoreline is armored—similar to much of south and central Puget
Sound—our results underscore the need for further ecological study to address the impacts of estuary armoring. 相似文献
158.
Leesun Kim Ian E. Galbally Nichola Porter Ian A Weeks Sarah J Lawson 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2011,68(3):265-279
Emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs) from mechanical wounding of leaves and branches of plants can contribute
to the atmospheric burden of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in both (a) urban airsheds (from urban garden maintenance)
and (b) the global atmosphere (from large scale forest harvesting). These emissions of BVOCs are poorly understood and quantified,
and their role in urban and global emissions inventories neglected. This paper presents measurements of the magnitude, duration
and composition of emissions of BVOCs, carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) from freshly cut leaf mulch and wood chips derived from a common eucalypt tree, Eucalyptus sideroxylon (red ironbark), found in southeastern Australian forests and gardens. The emissions of BVOCs from freshly cut and shredded
leaves and wood of E. sideroxylon were found to be 2.3 ± 0.6 and 0.05 ± 0.04 mg g-1 DM (Dry Mass) from leaf mulch and wood chips respectively and to last typically for 1 day following cutting. Three sampling
techniques were used for VOC speciation and the 12 most abundant BVOCs released from the mulch materials were identified.
The specific BVOCs emitted in order of decreasing abundance from leaf mulch are: (a) stored plant oils, 1,8-cineole, α–pinene
and o-cymene which make up the major part of the emissions, (b) a minor contribution from chemicals associated with environmental
stress and wound defence, (Z)–3–hexenyl acetate, (E)-2-hexenal and (Z)-3-hexen-1-ol, and (c) a second minor contribution from
metabolic products, acetaldehyde and acetone. The observed integrated emissions of BVOCs from leaves following mulching are
equivalent to more than half and perhaps all of the likely stored plant oils in the leaves. For the two comparable studies
available, one of a plant with stored oils (this study) and one of a plant without stored plant oils, the emissions of leaf
wound defence BVOCs are in the same range for both plants. In the plant with stored plant oils, the plant oil emissions are
about a factor of 11 larger in emission rate than the plant wound defence BVOCs. A compilation of available leaf wounding
BVOC emission studies indicates that for plants with stored plant oils, plant oil emissions dominate, whereas with other plants,
leaf wound defence BVOCs dominate the emissions. 相似文献
159.
Stratospheric circulation in seasonal forecasting models: implications for seasonal prediction 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Amanda C. Maycock Sarah P. E. Keeley Andrew J. Charlton-Perez Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes 《Climate Dynamics》2011,36(1-2):309-321
Accurate seasonal forecasts rely on the presence of low frequency, predictable signals in the climate system which have a sufficiently well understood and significant impact on the atmospheric circulation. In the Northern European region, signals associated with seasonal scale variability such as ENSO, North Atlantic SST anomalies and the North Atlantic Oscillation have not yet proven sufficient to enable satisfactorily skilful dynamical seasonal forecasts. The winter-time circulations of the stratosphere and troposphere are highly coupled. It is therefore possible that additional seasonal forecasting skill may be gained by including a realistic stratosphere in models. In this study we assess the ability of five seasonal forecasting models to simulate the Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical winter-time stratospheric circulation. Our results show that all of the models have a polar night jet which is too weak and displaced southward compared to re-analysis data. It is shown that the models underestimate the number, magnitude and duration of periods of anomalous stratospheric circulation. Despite the poor representation of the general circulation of the stratosphere, the results indicate that there may be a detectable tropospheric response following anomalous circulation events in the stratosphere. However, the models fail to exhibit any predictability in their forecasts. These results highlight some of the deficiencies of current seasonal forecasting models with a poorly resolved stratosphere. The combination of these results with other recent studies which show a tropospheric response to stratospheric variability, demonstrates a real prospect for improving the skill of seasonal forecasts. 相似文献
160.