Stochastic generation of hourly rainstorm events     

Shiang-Jen Wu  Yeou-Koung Tung  Jinn-Chuang Yang 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2006,21(2):195-212

Occurrence of rainstorm events can be characterized by the number of events, storm duration, rainfall depth, inter-event time and temporal variation of rainfall within a rainstorm event. This paper presents a Monte-Carlo based stochastic hourly rainfall generation model considering correlated non-normal random rainstorm characteristics, as well as dependence of various rainstorm patterns on rainfall depth, duration, and season. The proposed model was verified by comparing the derived rainfall depth–duration–frequency relations from the simulated rainfall sequences with those from observed annual maximum rainfalls based on the hourly rainfall data at the Hong Kong Observatory over the period of 1884–1990. Through numerical experiments, the proposed model was found to be capable of capturing the essential statistical features of rainstorm characteristics and those of annual extreme rainstorm events according to the available data.  相似文献   

Efficient methods of discharge measurements in rivers and streams based on the probability concept     

Chao‐Lin Chiu  Shih‐Meng Hsu  Ning‐Chien Tung 《水文研究》2005,19(20):3935-3946

Regularities exist in fluid flows and can be represented by a set of constants. These constants are functions of the parameter of a probability distribution that exhibits resilience and stability under various flow conditions. Together, these regularities form a network and interact with each other, such that if one is known then the others can be determined from it. The regularities and their network explain the various fluid‐flow phenomena and can be used in analysis of rivers and streams. For example, they can be used as the basis to develop simple and efficient methods of discharge measurements as presented herein, which only require velocity sampling at a single point on a water surface or a few points on a single vertical. Because of their simplicity and the short time requirement, these methods can be easily automated for collecting discharge data in unsteady, high flows that are badly needed for real‐time flow forecasting and design of flood control structures, and for advancing the fundamental, scientific knowledge in hydrology. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Models of rapidly rotating neutron stars: remnants of accretion-induced collapse     

Yuk Tung Liu  Lee Lindblom 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2001,324(4):1063-1073

Equilibrium models of differentially rotating nascent neutron stars are constructed, which represent the result of the accretion-induced collapse of rapidly rotating white dwarfs. The models are built in a two-step procedure: (1) a rapidly rotating pre-collapse white dwarf model is constructed; (2) a stationary axisymmetric neutron star having the same total mass and angular momentum distribution as the white dwarf is constructed. The resulting collapsed objects consist of a high-density central core of size roughly 20 km, surrounded by a massive accretion torus extending over 1000 km from the rotation axis. The ratio of the rotational kinetic energy to the gravitational potential energy of these neutron stars ranges from 0.13 to 0.26, suggesting that some of these objects may have a non-axisymmetric dynamical instability that could emit a significant amount of gravitational radiation.  相似文献   

Observed and simulated sea breeze characteristics over Rayong coastal area, Thailand   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Tung Thanh Phan  Kasemsan Manomaiphiboon 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2012,116(3-4):95-111

This work presents the detailed characterization of sea breeze (SB) over the Rayong coastal area, one of the most rapidly developed and highly industrialized areas during the last decade in Thailand, using observation data analysis and fine-resolution (2?km) mesoscale meteorological modeling with incorporation of new land cover and satellite-derived vegetation fraction data sets. The key characteristics considered include frequency of SB occurrence, sea-breeze day (SBD) identification, degree of inland penetration, and boundary layer development. It was found that SBs occur frequently in the winter due mainly to relatively large land–sea temperature contrasts and minimally in the wet season. Monthly mean SB onset and cessation times are at around 12–15 local time (LT) and 18–21 LT, respectively, and its strength peaks during the early- to mid-afternoon. Monthly SB hodographs generally exhibit clockwise rotations, and SB inland penetration (at PCD-T tower) ranges widely with the monthly means of 25–55?km from the coast. Mesoscale MM5 modeling was performed on two selected SBDs (13 January and 16 March 2006), on which the SBs are under weak and onshore strong influences from background winds, respectively. Simulated near-surface winds and temperature were found to be in fair-to-acceptable agreement with the observations. The SB circulation along the Rayong coast is clearly defined with a return flow aloft and a front on 13 January, while it is enhanced by the onshore background winds on 16 March. Another SB along the Chonburi coast also develops separately, but their fronts merge into one in the mid-afternoon, resulting in large area coverage by the SB. Simulated planetary boundary layer height over the land area is significantly affected by a thermal internal boundary layer (TIBL) induced by an SB, which is found to be low near the coast and increases toward the front (up to 800–1,000?m along the Rayong coast).  相似文献   

Land use and land cover change detection with Landsat MSS and SPOT HRV data in Hong Kong     

Tung Fung 《国际地球制图》2013,28(3):33-40

The objective of this paper is to map urban expansion in Hong Kong from 1979 to 1987 with a Landsat MSS and a SPOT HRV data. The data were radiometrically calibrated and geometrically registered. Three change detection techniques were applied. First, image overlay was used to enhance change areas visually. Second, a standardized principal components analysis was performed to yield minor components which were change related vectors. A thresholding technique was employed to separate the areas of changes from those of no-change. A binary change mask was created. Third, a post-classification comparison was merged with the change mask to identify the nature of specific land use and land cover changes. Major land development in the city can be easily detected and mapped with these techniques.  相似文献   

Risk analysis for flood-control structure under consideration of uncertainties in design flood   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Shiang-Jen Wu  Jinn-Chuang Yang  Yeou-Koung Tung 《Natural Hazards》2011,58(1):117-140

This study presents a risk analysis model to evaluate the failure risk for the flood-control structures in the Keelung River due to the uncertainties in the hydrological and hydraulic analysis, including hydrologic, hydraulic, and geomorphologic uncertainty factors. This study defines failure risk as the overtopping probability of the maximum water level exceeding the levee crown, and the proposed risk analysis model integrates with the advanced first-order and second-moment (AFOSM) method to calculate the overtopping probability of levee system. The proposed model is used to evaluate the effects of the freeboard and flood-diversion channel on the flood-control ability of the levees in the Keelung River, which were designed based on the 3-day, 200-year design rainfall event. The numerical experiments indicate that the hydrologic uncertainty factors have more effect on the estimated maximum water level than hydraulic and geomorphologic uncertainty factors. In addition, the freeboard and the flood-diversion channel can effectively reduce the overtopping probability so as to significantly enhance the flood-control capacity of the levee system in the Keelung River. Eventually, the proposed risk analysis successfully quantifies the overtopping risk of the levee system under a scenario, the increase in the average 200-year rainfall amount due to climate change, and the results could be useful when planning to upgrade the existing levee system.  相似文献   

Dam overtopping risk assessment considering inspection program   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1  

Jan-Tai Kuo  Yung-Chia Hsu  Yeou-Koung Tung  Keh-Chia Yeh  Jian-De Wu 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2008,22(3):303-313

Safety inspection of large dams in Taiwan is conducted every 5 years. The practice does not take into consideration uncertainty of dam conditions. The goal of this study is to determine the optimal dam inspection interval under the consideration of overtopping risk incorporating uncertainty gate availability. In earlier studies, assessment of overtopping risk only considered the uncertainties in reservoir properties and natural randomness of hydrologic events without giving much thought to the availability of spillway gates. As a result, the overtopping risk could be underestimated. In this study, an innovative concept is proposed to evaluate dam overtopping by taking into account spillway gate availability. The framework consists of three parts: (1) evaluation of conditional overtopping risk for different numbers of malfunctioning spillway gates; (2) evaluation of spillway gate availability; and (3) dam inspection scheduling. Furthermore, considerations are given to overtopping risk, inspection cost, and dam break cost for determining the optimal inspection schedule. The methodology is applied to the Shihmen Reservoir in Taiwan and to evaluate its time-dependent overtopping risk. Results show that overtopping risk considering the availability of the spillway gates is higher than the one without considering the availability of the spillway gates.  相似文献   

Hypothesis testing methods to detect spoofing attacks: a test against the TEXBAT datasets     

Troglia Gamba  Micaela  Truong  Minh Duc  Motella  Beatrice  Falletti  Emanuela  Ta  Tung Hai 《GPS Solutions》2017,21(2):577-589

GPS Solutions - The hazardous effects of spoofing attacks on the global navigation satellite system (GNSS) receiver are well known. Technologies and algorithms to increase the awareness of GNSS...  相似文献   

On the optimal risk based design of highway drainage structures   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

Y. -K. Tung  Y. Bao 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1990,4(4):295-308

For a proposed highway bridge or culvert, the total cost to the public during its expected service life includes capital investment on the structures, regular operation and maintenance costs, and various flood related costs. The flood related damage costs include items such as replacement and repair costs of the highway bridge or culvert, flood plain property damage costs, users costs from traffic interruptions and detours, and others. As the design discharge increases, the required capital investment increases but the corresponding flood related damage costs decrease. Hydraulic design of a bridge or culvert using a riskbased approach is to choose among the alternatives the one associated with the least total expected cost.In this paper, the risk-based design procedure is applied to pipe culvert design. The effect of the hydrologic uncertainties such as sample size and type of flood distribution model on the optimal culvert design parameters including design return period and total expected cost are examined in this paper.  相似文献   

A note on the statistics of threshold crossing for a nonlinear wave field     

Norden E. Huang  Chi-Chao Tung  Ronald J. Lai 《Ocean Engineering》1985,12(4):363-368

Based on the non-Gaussian joint elevation and slope density function developed by Huang et al. (1984), the expected number of threshold crossing at an arbitrary level for a nonlinear wave field is derived. The distribution of the expected threshold crossing per unit time as a function of the crossing level is skewed with respect to the mean water level. This skewness also causes the mean zero crossing per unit time to deviate from the expected frequency of the wave field.  相似文献