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991.
十堰市气候干旱分析及预报指标 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
利用十堰市7个代表站1953-2006年的降水资料和气温资料,用降水距平百分率(R指标)这一传统的干旱等级划分方法,并考虑到气温引入了P指标对干旱等级进行了划分,揭示了该区域干旱发生的基本特征。结果表明:十堰是我国中部地区干旱频发地区之一,干旱存在自身的周期性和连续发生的规律,地理分布是北部重于南部。造成十堰干旱的主要天气系统是东亚大槽、副热带高压和青藏高压(大陆高压)。这3个系统交替影响并控制该市:春季主要是东亚大槽稳定;夏季副热带高压控制为主、大陆高压控制次之;秋季大陆高压控制为主、副热带高压控制次之。根据不同季节和不同类型的干旱,给出了具体的预报指标。 相似文献
992.
993.
考虑到山区水库库面气象要素受周围地形影响, 结合前人的研究, 库区气温计算方法采用回归余项法并计入地形影响, 而对于库区水面上的太阳辐射计算, 则采用了平行山脊坡地上的简化算法。应用结果表明:由经度、纬度、海拔高度和大地形影响等4项建立的多元线性回归气温方程拟合效果显著; 并用同时期盐边气象站的资料进行检验, 检验精度在0.5℃以内。与平地相比, 在山区地形影响下的二滩库区水面太阳辐射有一定程度的改变量, 同时不同河岸坡度对水库水面接收的太阳辐射有较大影响。该方法有效揭示了山区月平均温度和太阳辐射的时空变化。修正后的气温和太阳辐射符合山区实际情况。 相似文献
994.
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996.
Potential changes in summertime hydroclimatology over the northeastern (NE) region of the USA induced by increases in greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations are investigated using a state-of-the-art regional climate modeling system. Results for a higher emissions scenario illustrate changes that may occur if dependence on fossil fuels continues over the coming century. Summertime precipitation is projected to decrease across much of the central NE, but increase over the southernmost and northernmost portions of the domain. Evaporation is expected to increase across the entire domain. The balance between these two results in a decrease in soil moisture content across most of the domain (by approximately 10 mm) and an increase in the summertime soil-moisture depletion rate (by approximately 10 mm/month). At the same time, an increase in both atmospheric near-surface specific and saturation specific humidity is projected, resulting in an increase in relative humidity across the southern portion of the domain, with slight decreases over the northern portion. Combined with an average increase in summer temperatures of 3.5°C, the projected increase in relative humidity results in a marked increase in the average daily maximum heat index for the region on the order of 3.9°C, as well as a 350–400% increase in the number of days with heat index values exceeding 32.2°C (90°F)—the level of “extreme caution”. Taken together, these high-resolution, dynamically-generated projections confirm the potential for significant summertime climate change impacts on the NE over the coming century as suggested by previous studies. 相似文献
997.
Size Distributions and Elemental Compositions of Particulate Matter on Clear, Hazy and Foggy days in Beijing, China 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Total suspended particulates(TSP)samples were collected using low pressure impactors(Andersen Series 20-800,USA)on typical clear,hazy and foggy days in Beijing in order to investigate the characteristics of size distributions and elemental compositions of particulate matter(PM)in different weather conditions. The concentrations of sixteen elements,including Na,Mg,Al,K,Ca,Mn,Fe,Ni,Cu,Zn,As,Se,Cd,Ba,Tl and Pb were detected using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry(ICP-MS).The results showed that Ca,Al,Fe,Mg and Ba on foggy days were 2.0-2.6 times higher than on clear days,and 2.3-2.9 times higher than on hazy days.Concentrations of Cu,Zn,As,Se and Pb on foggy days were 163.5,1186.7,65.9,32.0 and 708.2 ng m-3,respectively,in fine particles,and 68.1,289.5,19.8,1.6 and 103.8 ng m-3,respectively,in coarse particles.This was 1.0-8.4 times higher and 1.4-7.4 times higher than on clear and hazy days,respectively.It is then shown that Mg,Al,Fe,Ca and Ba were mainly associated with coarse particles,peaking at 4.7-5.8μm;that Cd,Se,Zn,As,Tl and Pb were most dominant in fine particles,peaking at 0.43-1.1μm;and that Na,K,Ni,Cu and Mn had a multi-mode distribution,with peaks at 0.43-1.1μm and 4.7-5.8μm.The enrichment factors indicated that coal combustion along with vehicle and industry emissions may be the main sources of pollution elements. 相似文献
998.
A Closure Study of Aerosol Hygroscopic Growth Factor during the 2006 Pearl River Delta Campaign 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
LIU Xingang ZHANG Yuanhang WEN Mengting WANG Jingli Jinsang JUNG CHANG Shih-yu HU Min ZENG Limin Young Joon KIM 《大气科学进展》2010,27(4):947-956
Measurements of aerosol physical, chemical and optical parameters
were carried out in Guangzhou, China from 1 July to 31 July 2006 during the
Pearl River Delta Campaign. The dry aerosol scattering coefficient was measured
using an integrating nephelometer and the aerosol scattering coefficient for
wet conditions was determined by subtracting the sum of the aerosol absorption
coefficient, gas scattering coefficient and gas absorption coefficient from the
atmospheric extinction coefficient. Following this, the aerosol hygroscopic
growth factor, f(RH), was calculated as the ratio of wet and dry aerosol
scattering coefficients. Measurements of size-resolved chemical composition,
relative humidity (RH), and published functional relationships between particle
chemical composition and water uptake were likewise used to find the aerosol
scattering coefficients in wet and dry conditions using Mie theory for
internally- or externally-mixed particle species [(NH4)2SO4, NH4NO3, NaCl, POM, EC and residue]. Closure was obtained by comparing
the measured f(RH) values from the nephelometer and other in situ optical
instruments with those computed from chemical composition and thermodynamics.
Results show that the model can represent the observed f(RH) and is
appropriate for use as a component in other higher-order models. 相似文献
999.
为了改进青藏高原东北部土壤湿度的观测和模拟效果,利用AMSR-E(Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-EOS)亮度温度资料,估算了高原东北部的土壤湿度值;还利用耦合了Noah陆面模型的WRF中尺度模式WRF-Noah,结合牛顿松驰逼近同化法对AMSR-E估算的土壤湿度进行了同化试验。结果表明:与实测及NCEP再分析值土壤湿度相比,估算的高原东北部的土壤湿度值虽小些,但能够体现土壤湿度随降水事件等的影响。使用牛顿松弛逼近法同化后比没有同化或采用直接替代法模拟的土壤湿度的效果要好。在区域尺度上,通过对牛顿松弛逼近法中质量因子的详细控制,采用该同化方法后对沙漠地区土壤湿度的模拟改善最为明显,其次是草地以及灌木丛与草地混合区;在时间尺度上,采用牛顿松弛逼近同化方法后模拟值与实测值的均方根误差得到减少。 相似文献
1000.
采用2004年Casati提出的强度-尺度检验技术,选取2008年汛期代表不同类型降水(对流云降水、层状云降水、混合云降水)的4个降水过程,从尺度分解角度入手,对"世界气象组织天气研究计划——北京奥运会预报示范项目"(WWRP B08FDP)项目中4个I临近预报参加系统(BJANC,GRAPES-SWIFT,STEPS,CARDS)的1h定量降水预报进行时空尺度分解检验,研究降水预报技巧与降水时空尺度和强度之间的关系。结果表明:尽管目前国际先进的临近预报系统的水平分辨率已高达1~2km,但其有技巧的临近预报能力主要集中于空间尺度大于32km、时间尺度大于1h的降水系统,而对小于这些尺度的降水系统预报能力仍非常有限;在不同时空尺度的临近预报降水误差中,60%以上的误差来自于空间尺度小于8km的降水,85%以上的误差来自于时间尺度小于1h的降水,传统的外推技术不能满足这些较小时空尺度降水预报的需求,要发展有效的预报方法来提高较小时空尺度降水的预报能力。将基于外推的临近预报和基于稠密观测资料、快速更新的数值预报的潜势预报相结合可能是一条有效的解决途径。 相似文献