加权核密度估计在洪水频率分析中的应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

白丽  夏乐天  魏玉华 《水文》2008,28(5)

本文引进加权核密度估计方法,研究洪水频率的分析计算;运用统计试验方法,同目前广泛认同的参数估计方法中线性矩法相比,结果表明:线性矩法及加权核密度估计法推求出的设计值的无偏性相当,但加权核密度估计方法的有效性较线性矩法好.最后还与普通的非参数密度函数估计方法对比,结果表明加权核密度估计方法推求出的设计值的无偏性及有效性都较好;尤其是有效性精度较高.因此,加权核密度估计是一种有应用和研究价值的方法.  相似文献   

浙江省小流域山洪灾害临界雨量确定方法分析   总被引：12，自引：2，他引：10  

叶勇  王振宇  范波芹 《水文》2008,28(1):56-58

小流域山洪灾害具有突发性,预测预警难度较大.本文结合浙江省小流域山洪灾害防御的实践经验,研究提出了以水位反推法计算临界雨量,简单实用,具有较好的实践价值和推广意义.  相似文献   

川西前陆盆地中—新生代沉积迁移与构造转换   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10       下载免费PDF全文

陈竹新 贾 东魏国齐  李本亮雷永良 《中国地质》2008,35(3):472-481

川西前陆盆地中—新生代各构造层的残余厚度展布和沉积特征分析发现,四川克拉通周缘的前陆盆地在晚三叠世时期发育于龙门山山前,明显属于龙门山褶皱逆冲构造载荷所形成的前渊凹陷;侏罗纪早期的沉积地层呈面状分布,没有表现出显著的挠曲沉降,指示了一个构造相对平静的阶段;中侏罗世早期前渊凹陷迁移至龙门山北段和米仓山山前,前渊沉积从晚三叠世的北东向转换为近东西向,广泛的湖泊相沉积预示了前陆盆地的欠充填状态;中侏罗世中晚期,川西盆地沉降中心又迁移到大巴山山前,相应的挠曲变形又从近东西向转化为北西向,构成了大巴山的前渊凹陷;晚侏罗世—早白垩世时期,沉降中心再次回到米仓山山前,巨厚的前渊凹陷沉积指示了米仓山冲断带的主要活动时期;白垩纪末—古近纪的前渊凹陷则跃迁至雅安—名山地区。川西前陆盆地的同造山沉降中心以四川盆地中心为核心在西部和北部呈弧形迁移,沉积序列不断更替和叠加。中生界各构造层底界构造图显示现今的构造低部位位于川西北地区和川西南地区,在川西北地区均有东西走向的等值线分布,而川西南地区等值线走向则为北东-南西向。因此分析认为,晚侏罗世至早白垩世的构造变形可能控制了川西盆地现今的地层变形,形成了川西北地区的南北向构造挤压结构,而晚期的新生代构造变形则主要体现在川西盆地的西南部,形成北东-南西向的地层展布特征。  相似文献   

富P过铝质岩浆体系的研究现状及存在的问题     

唐勇  张辉  刘丛强  饶冰 《矿物学报》2008,28(1):35-42

高度演化的富P过铝质岩浆体系,具有鲜明的、不同于其他体系的地球化学行为.富P过铝质熔体以富P,高ASI,贫Fe、Mg、Ca,强烈亏损REE、Th、Y以及具有W、Sn、Nb、Ta等金属的矿化为特征.富P过铝质岩浆体系中的碱性长石为富P长石,长石中P可以有效地指示过铝质岩浆体系的演化历程;在岩浆演化的晚期,P与Li具强的亲和性,形成锂辉石-磷铝锂石-羟磷铝锂石的组合.已有的实验研究揭示,P能降低简单花岗岩的液相线和固相线温度、粘度以及增加H2O在熔体中的溶解度.然而,这一体系还存在许多问题亟待研究,P能否促进过铝质岩浆的液态不混溶,能否促使等价不相容元素在过铝质岩浆演化过程中的分异,是否在稀有金属成矿过程中起作用等都是值得关注的问题.  相似文献   

青岛液体化工码头苯罐泄漏对大气环境的影响     

尹相淳  战闰  宋树林  魏修华 《海岸工程》2003,22(3):52-58

预测和评价了青岛港液体化工码头苯贮罐苯泄漏对大气环境的影响．结果表明，苯罐一旦发生泄苯事故，会对大气环境造成不同程度的影响；在最不利天气条件下，泄漏挥发量为3375kg，会导致22人死亡；泄漏挥发量为1237kg，会导致4人死亡；如果同样的泄苯挥发量，发生在微风条件下，则分别有4人死亡和无人死亡；若发生33kg泄漏挥发量，无论在何种天气条件下，都不会导致人员伤亡。  相似文献   

Linear magnetic anomalies and tectonic development of the middle Okinawa Trough     

Liang Ruicai  Wu Jinlong  Liu Baohu  Wang Yong  Wang Shugong 《海洋学报(英文版)》2001,20(1):105-116

ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮＴｈｅＯｋｉｎａｗａＴｒｏｕｇｈ (ＯＴ) ,ｌｏｃａｔｅｄｎｏｒｔｈｗｅｓｔｏｆｔｈｅＲｙｕｋｙｕＴｒｅｎｃｈａｎｄｔｈｅＲｙｕｋｙｕｇｕｎｔｏ ,ｅａｓｔｏｆｔｈｅＥａｓｔＣｈｉｎａＳｅａｓｈｅｌｆ,ｉｓａｂａｃｋ ａｒｃｂａｓｉｎｂｕｌｇｅｄｔｏｔｈｅＲｙｕｋｙｕＴｒｅｎｃｈ .ＴｈｅＯＴｅｘｔｅｎｄｓｆｒｏｍＫｙｕｓｈｕｉｎｔｈｅｓｏｕｔｈｗｅｓｔｏｆＪａｐａｎｔｏｔｈｅＩｌａｎＰｌａｉｎｉｎｔｈｅｎｏｒｔｈｅａｓｔｅｒｎＴａｉｗａｎ ,Ｃｈｉｎａｉｎｔｈｅｓｏｕｔｈｗｅｓｔ…  相似文献   

Fluxes and sources of suspended organic matter in an estuarine turbidity maximum region during low discharge conditions   总被引：6，自引：1，他引：6  

Miguel A. Goni  Mary W. Cathey  Yong H. Kim  George Voulgaris 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2005,63(4):683-700

Water column concentrations of total suspended solids (TSS), particulate organic carbon (POC) and particulate nitrogen (PN) were measured at three different depths in four different locations bracketing the estuarine turbidity maximum (ETM) along the main channel of a temperate riverine estuary (Winyah Bay, South Carolina, USA). Measurements were carried out over full tidal cycle (over 24 h). Salinity, temperature, current magnitude and direction were also monitored at the same time throughout the water column. Tidally averaged net fluxes of salt, TSS, POC and PN were calculated by combining the current measurements with the concentration data. Under the extreme low river discharge conditions that characterized the study period, net landward fluxes of salt were measured in the lower part of the study area, suggesting that the landward transport through the main channel of the estuary was probably balanced by export out through the sides. In contrast, the net fluxes of salt in the upper reaches of the study area were near zero, indicating a closed salt balance in this part of the estuary. In contrast to salt, the net fluxes of TSS, POC and PN in the deeper parts of the water column were consistently landward at all four sites in Winyah Bay indicating the non-conservative behavior of particulate components and their active transport up the estuary in the region around the ETM.The carbon contents (%POC), carbon:nitrogen ratios (org[C:N]a) and stable carbon isotopic compositions (δ¹³C_POC) of the suspended particles varied significantly with depth, location and tidal stage. Tidally averaged compositions showed a significant increase up the estuary in the %POC and org[C:N]a values of suspended particles consistent with the preferential landward transport of carbon-rich particles with higher vascular plant debris content. The combination of tidal resuspension and flood-dominated flow appeared to be responsible for the hydrodynamic sorting of particles along the estuary that resulted in denser, organic-poor particles being transported landward less efficiently. The elemental and isotopic compositions indicated that vascular C₃ plants and estuarine algae were the major sources of the particulate organic matter of all the samples, without any significant contributions from salt marsh C₄ vegetation (Spartina alterniflora) and/or marine phytoplankton.  相似文献   

合浦珠母贝26S蛋白酶体S4,S7亚基基因片段的分离与分析     

姜铁民  张勇  黄洁  谢莉萍  吴移谋  张荣庆 《海洋科学》2003,27(4):28-34

26S蛋白酶体是真核生物中一种具有ATP依赖性的蛋白酶复合体,主要通过泛肽途径选择性降解细胞内与代谢调控、细胞周期有关的功能蛋白及异常蛋白,参与多种细胞活动的调控过程。26S蛋白酶体由具有催化活性的20S亚复合体和一个具有调节作用的19S亚复合体组成,其中19S亚复合体中的ATP酶亚基是调节26S蛋白酶体活性的重要组件。本通过简并引物PCR手段,从软体动物合浦珠母贝(Pinctada fucata)中扩增到参与构成19S亚复合体的S4和S7(MSS1)两个亚基的基因片段。这两个基因片段所编码的ATP酶组件包含有Gx4GKT,DEID,SAT和H／QRxGRxxR等26S蛋白酶体ATP酶亚基的共同功能基序。这是首次在软体动物中报道26S蛋白酶体的ATP酶亚基基因序列,为研究软体动物中26S蛋白酶体的结构与功能奠定了分子基础。  相似文献   

太湖表面定振波的数值计算和最大熵谱分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

逄勇  濮培民 《海洋与湖沼》1996,27(2):157-162

利用水动力学方程对太湖表面的定振波进行计算，算得定振波周期约为４５２ｍｉｎ，另外，利用１９９２年８月２９－３１日在太湖西山观测到的水位资料，采用最大熵谱法，分析太湖表面的定振波，得周期值约为４５０ｍｉｎ。计算和分析的周期值基本吻合，取熵谱分析结果得太湖表面的单节点定振波周期值为４５０ｍｉｎ。  相似文献   

Nonlinear tidal waves in a kind of estuary with gradually varying cross-section     

Du Yong  Chen Zongyong  Ye Anle 《海洋学报(英文版)》1990,9(1):37-50

-Nonlinear tidal waves in a kind of estuary are studied in the paper using one-dimensional nonlinear hydrody-namic equations with friction. The estuary has exponentially varying width B=B0 e-bx and uniform depth h. The one-dimensional hydrodynamic equations are solved by perturbation method. It was found that our solution included two special cases, Pelisenpeki's solution and Airy's solution. The former can be got by letting b=0 in our solutions, and the latter by setting 6 = 0 and f= 0 (f is linear frictional coefficient). In terms of the second-order solution, the physical mechanism of nonlinear tidal waves in estuaries with gradually varying cross-section is explored. It is shown that, under the assumption of linear friction coefficient, shallow water constituent waves consist of two parts, one is produced by shallow water nonlinear effect outside the estuary, the other is generated by shallow water nonlinear effect inside estuary. In addition, the physical mechanism of the residual tidal current and  相似文献