基于天气分型的夏季逐时用电负荷预报     

臧传花  赵敏芬  卢兆民 《气象》2007,33(11):107-111

用2004年和2005年6—8月用电负荷资料和气象资料,分月建立了日平均气象负荷预报方程。讨论了用气象负荷的日变化量来代替总用电负荷的日变化量进而预报逐日总负荷的可行性。分5种天气类型统计了各天气类型下逐时负荷与日平均负荷的比率,日平均用电负荷预报值与该天气类型的逐时比率相乘得到逐时用电负荷的预报值。经2006年试用,日平均用电负荷预报的平均相对误差为2.0%,逐时用电负荷预报的平均相对误差为2.9%,对日平均用电负荷起伏较大的变化过程做出了准确预报。  相似文献   

THE LANDSCAPE ECOLOGICAL ，ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING IN THE CONTOL WATERSHED BY RESERVOIR OF ERLKONG MOUNTAIN     

ZANGShu－ying  YUANHui 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2002,12(2):176-181

Based on the theories of landscape ecology,landscape eco-environment in the coutrol watershed by reser-voir of Erlong Mountain in Heilogjiang Province was analyzed and assessed by using GIS technique and statistical model of Principal Component Analysis and Spatial Cluster Analysis.It is found that 100.08km^2(36%) of the total area is in the state of kilter,85.73km^2(31%) of the total area is in the state of general,and 47.26km^2(17%) and 15.48km^2(16%) is in the relatively poor state and ideal state.According to landscape ecological structure,there are three land-scape function areas being planned and designed.1) Agricultural landscape function area:its developmental direction is tour agriculture and high-benefit agriculture.2)Eco-environment protected function area:the direction of development and utilization of this region is to develop vigorously forest for soil and water conservation ,and try to increase the rate of vegetation cover.3)Forest landscape function area:rational cut and utilization of forest resources,space optimization disposal of category of forest ,foster of forest and protection of wildwood will become the main development directions for this region.This study trys to provide scientific foundation for ecological restoration of the whole valley and its sustain-able development.  相似文献   

Method of Separating Cosmic-Ray Positrons from Electrons in the DAMPE Experiment     

Hao-Ting Dai  Jing-Jing Zang  Ying Wang  Chuan-Ning Luo  Yun-Long Zhang  Zhi-Yong Zhang  Yi-Feng Wei  Li-Bo Wu  Cheng-Ming Liu  Cong Zhao  Xiao-Lian Wang  Zi-Zong Xu  Guang-Shun Huang 《天文和天体物理学研究(英文版)》2022,(3):115-121

A method of identifying positron/electron species from the cosmic rays was studied in the DArk Matter Particle Explorer(DAMPE)experiment.As there is no onboard ...  相似文献   

新疆卡特巴阿苏金铜矿区二长花岗岩锆石SHRIMPU-Pb年龄及地质意义   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

邢令  杨维忠  藏梅  林泽华  陈威 《新疆地质》2015,(1):1-6

新疆卡特巴阿苏金铜矿床是在那拉提中天山构造带内发现的首个特大型金铜矿床,矿床赋存于二长花岗岩体的脆性断裂破碎带内。通过对二长花岗岩的锆石进行SHRIMP U-Pb测年,获得25粒锆石加权平均值为(359.3±5.3)Ma,表明该岩体侵位时间为晚泥盆世末期,同时限定了卡特巴阿苏金矿金铜矿床的形成年龄上限为(359.3±5.3)Ma。  相似文献   

Water conservancy projects in China: Achievements,challenges and way forward   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Junguo Liu  Chuanfu Zang  Shiying Tian  Jianguo Liu  Hong Yang  Shaofeng Jia  Liangzhi You  Bo Liu  Miao Zhang 《Global Environmental Change》2013,23(3):633-643

China's water policies in the past decades have relied heavily on the construction of massive water conservancy projects in the form of dams and reservoirs, water transfer projects, and irrigation infrastructure. These facilities have brought tremendous economic and social benefits but also posed many adverse impacts on the eco-environment and society. With the intensification of water scarcity, China's future water conservancy development is facing tremendous challenge of supporting the continuous economic development while protecting the water resources and the dependent ecosystems. This paper provides an overview of China's water conservancy development, and illustrates the socioeconomic, environmental and ecological impacts. A narrative of attitude changes of the central government towards water conservancy, as well as key measures since the 1950s is presented. The strategic water resources management plan set by the central government in its Document No. 1 of 2011 is elaborated with focus on the three stringent controlling “redlines” concerning national water use, water use efficiency and water pollution and the huge investments poised to finance their implementation. We emphasize that realizing the goals set in the strategic plan requires paradigm shifts of the water conservancy development towards maximizing economic and natural capitals, prioritizing investment to preserve intact ecosystems and to restore degraded ecosystems, adapting climate change, balancing construction of new water projects and rejuvenation of existing projects, and managing both “blue” (surface/groundwater) and “green” water (soil water).  相似文献   

Free-surface evolution and wave kinematics for nonlinear uni-directional focused wave groups     

D.Z. Ning  J. Zang  S.X. Liu  R. Eatock Taylor  B. Teng  P.H. Taylor 《Ocean Engineering》2009,36(15-16):1226-1243

This paper concerns the propagation of transient wave groups, focused at a point in time and space to produce locally large waves having a range of steepness. The experimental study was carried out in a wave flume at Dalian University of Technology. The numerical simulations were based on a nonlinear boundary integral equation solved by a higher-order boundary element method (HOBEM). Rather than simulate the whole experimental tank, local surface elevation measurements were used to drive the numerical solution from a point less than two wavelengths upstream of the focus position, leading to significant savings in computational time. Excellent agreement is achieved between the water surface elevations and the water particle kinematics measured in the experiments and those predicted numerically at wave group focus, even for near-breaking waves up to a steepness of kA=0.405 for which even locally matched 2nd-order theory is inadequate. Results based on the linear and 2nd-order theory are also presented in the comparisons. When compared with the first- and 2nd-order solutions, the fully nonlinear wave–wave interactions produce a steeper wave envelope in which the central wave crest is higher and narrower, while the adjacent wave troughs are broader and less deep.  相似文献   

2022年9月5日四川泸定MS6.8地震序列重定位研究     

杨文  刘杰  解孟雨  臧阳  孟令媛  张雪梅 《中国地震》2022,38(4):622-631

利用2022年9月5—12日震相报告中的P波和S波到时资料,采用双差定位方法对四川泸定M_S6.8地震序列的主震和余震进行重定位。重新定位后地震序列较重新定位之前震中分布更加集中,线性趋势更加明显。余震主要分布在鲜水河断裂以西地区,总体沿着鲜水河断裂呈NW向展布,余震区长轴约为65km。根据重定位结果,发震断层为鲜水河断裂磨西—石棉段,该断裂走向为331°～340°,倾角较陡。受SW向海螺沟段断裂影响,余震区具有明显的分段特征,总体上呈现北浅南深的特征。随时间的演化,余震区中南段震源深度逐渐变浅,且地震频次逐渐衰减,而北段震源深度变化不大,频次也未明显减弱。不同时段的余震活动表明,本次地震的初始破裂方向为SE向,该破裂随后触发了与主断裂共轭的SW向分支断裂,余震沿这两个方向逐步扩展,最后达到稳定状态。  相似文献   

Spatial-Temporal Variation Characteristics of Snow Cover Days in Northeast China in the Past 40 Years and Their Relationship with Climatic Factors     

Xiaowen Zhang  Shuying Zang  Li Sun 《地球科学进展》2018,33(9):958-968

The snow cover days were extracted out of the snow data on depth distribution from 1979 to 2016 in China, combined with temperature, precipitation, humidity, sunlight and wind speed and other meteorological data, by taking advantage of traditional statistical methods and GIS spatial analysis methods, to study the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of snow cover days in northeast China region in the past 40 years, and to analyze their relationship with climatic factors. It turned out that the average annual snow cover days were 93 d in northeast China region, having an increasing trend, the rate was 0.6 d/10a, and the maximum average annual snow cover days appeared in 2013. Snow cover days in spring dominate the changes of the average snow days all year around. The snow cover days in northeast China region were affected by latitude, geography and land-sea thermal difference, which gradually decreased from north to south, and the maximum value appeared in the Da Hinggan area. Precipitation, humidity and snow cover days are positive correlation, and temperature, wind speed and sunlight are negative correlation. The correlation between climatic elements and snow cover days is as follows: temperature>humidity>wind speed>sunlight>precipitation. The influence of climatic elements on the seasonally frozen ground region is more significant than that in the permafrost region. The results show that temperature is the main factor that affects the average annual snow cover days in northeast China region.  相似文献   

北极新奥尔松地区土壤中生物硅含量及形态特征          下载免费PDF全文

刘森冉祥滨  臧家业王能飞 《极地研究》2015,27(3):237-245

硅循环与碳循环密切相关,生物硅作为硅的重要载体,在全球硅循环中占有十分重要的地位。目前,人们对陆地生态系统的硅循环做了大量研究,但对极地地区硅的研究却极为少见。利用中国第五次北极考察获得的土壤与植物样品,对北极新奥尔松地区中国黄河站站基表层土壤中生物硅的含量及土壤和植被中生物硅(主要为植硅体)的形态进行了初步研究。主要结论为:北极新奥尔松地区中国黄河站站基附近表层土壤中颗粒有机碳的含量为1.00—69.3 mg·g-1,平均值为13.7 mg·g-1;颗粒有机氮含量为0.11—9.84 mg·g-1,平均值为1.43 mg·g-1;可溶态硅含量为3.90—26.3μg·g-1,平均值为10.7μg·g-1;生物硅含量为5.60—9.97 mg·g-1,平均值为7.56 mg·g-1,且其含量与土壤颗粒态有机碳和颗粒有机氮呈正相关关系,表明三者具有相似来源。北极表层土壤生物硅比温带、热带地区生物硅含量要高。植物样品中植硅体形态以帽形、圆形、平滑棒形、齿形、刺棒形和哑铃形等形态为主,大小在10—100μm之间。土壤样品中的植硅体主要来源于植物,形态分别为平滑棒形、刺棒形、圆形、哑铃形、鞍形、尖形和帽形,另外硅藻也是北极土壤中生物硅的组成部分,其中裸露土壤中藻类(羽纹纲硅藻)占生物硅的多数(93.3%)。对比发现,有植被覆盖的土壤中,土壤有机碳、可溶出态硅、生物硅含量和植硅体形态丰富度往往比无植被覆盖或寡植被区土壤高,这表明尽管该地区植被稀少,但植物生长对该地区土壤硅循环存在显著影响,值得进一步关注。  相似文献   

Investigation on Effects of Vertical Degree of Freedom on Gap Resonance Between Two Side-by-Side Boxes Under Wave Actions     

He  Zhi-wei  Gao  Jun-liang  Shi  Hua-bin  Zang  Jun  Chen  Hong-zhou  Liu  Qian 《中国海洋工程》2022,36(3):403-412

China Ocean Engineering - The possible wave resonance in the narrow gap formed by the parallel arrangement of ships will lead to the sharp increase of wave loads and the rapid growth of motion...  相似文献