Short-term forecasting of groundwater levels under conditions of mine-tailings recharge using wavelet ensemble neural network models   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Bahaa Khalil  Stefan Broda  Jan Adamowski  Bogdan Ozga-Zielinski  Amanda Donohoe 《Hydrogeology Journal》2015,23(1):121-141

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Do people “personally experience” global warming,and if so how,and does it matter?   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Karen Akerlof  Edward W. Maibach  Dennis Fitzgerald  Andrew Y. Cedeno  Amanda Neuman 《Global Environmental Change》2013,23(1):81-91

For most people, the direct and personally observable signals of climate change should be difficult to detect amid the variability of everyday weather. Yet, previous research has shown that some people believe they have personally experienced global warming. Through four related studies, our paper sheds light on what signals of global warming some people believe they are detecting, why, and whether or not it matters. These studies were conducted using population survey and climatic data from a single county in Michigan. Study 1 found that 27% of the county's adult residents felt that they had personally experienced global warming. Study 2 – based on content analysis of people's open-ended responses – found that the most frequently described personal experiences of global warming were changes in seasons (36%), weather (25%), lake levels (24%), animals and plants (20%), and snowfall (19%). Study 3 – based on NOAA climatic data – found that most, but not all, of these detected signals are borne out in the climatic record. Study 4 – using the survey data – found that personal experience of global warming matters in that it predicts perceptions of local risk of global warming, controlling for demographics, political affiliation, and cultural beliefs about national policy outcomes. We conclude that perceived personal experience of global warming appears to heighten people's perception of the risks, likely through some combination of direct experience, vicarious experience (e.g., news media stories), and social construction.  相似文献   

Relative sea‐level observations in western Scotland since the Last Glacial Maximum for testing models of glacial isostatic land movements and ice‐sheet reconstructions     

Ian Shennan  Sarah Hamilton  Caroline Hillier  Amanda Hunter  Ruth Woodall  Sarah Bradley  Glenn Milne  Anthony Brooks  Sophie Bassett 《第四纪科学杂志》2006,21(6):601-613

Observations of relative sea‐level change and local deglaciation in western Scotland provide critical constraints for modelling glacio‐isostatic rebound in northern Britain over the last 18 000 years. The longest records come from Skye, Arisaig and Knapdale with a shorter, Holocene, record from Kintail. Biostratigraphic (diatom, pollen, dinoflagellate, foraminifera and thecamoebian), lithological and radiocarbon analyses provide age and elevation parameters for each sea‐level index point. All four sites reveal relative sea‐level change that is highly non‐monotonic in time as the local vertical component of glacio‐isostatic rebound and eustasy (or global meltwater influx) dominate at different periods. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

The color of the Kuiper belt Core     

Amanda A.S. Gulbis  J.L. Elliot  Julia F. Kane 《Icarus》2006,183(1):168-178

Recent dynamical analyses of the Kuiper belt have introduced a rigorous classification scheme, determined the mean orbital plane, and identified “Core” and “Halo” populations as a function of inclination with respect to this plane (Elliot, J.L., Kern, S.D., Clancy, K.B., Gulbis, A.A.S., Millis, R.L., Buie, M.W., Wasserman, L.H., Chiang, E.I., Jordan, A.B., Trilling, D.E., Meech, K.J., 2005. Astron. J. 129, 1117-1162). Here, we use new observations and existing data to investigate the colors of Kuiper belt objects (KBOs) within this framework. With respect to the bulk KBO color distribution (all objects for which we have B-V and V-R colors; median B-R=1.56), we find that the population of objects classified following (Elliot, J.L., Kern, S.D., Clancy, K.B., Gulbis, A.A.S., Millis, R.L., Buie, M.W., Wasserman, L.H., Chiang, E.I., Jordan, A.B., Trilling, D.E., Meech, K.J., 2005. Astron. J. 129, 1117-1162) as Classical tends to be red (B-R>1.56) while the Scattered Near population is mostly neutral (B-R<1.56). Colors of Scattered Extended and Resonant objects are consistent with the bulk distribution. Separating objects into specific resonances demonstrates that the color of the Resonant sample is dominated by KBOs in the 3:2 resonance, which is consistent with previous findings. Unlike the objects in the 3:2 resonance, however, the majority of objects in the 5:2 resonance are neutral and all but one of the objects in the 4:3, 5:3, 7:4, 2:1, and 7:3 resonances are red. In particular, the objects in the 7:4 resonance are remarkably red. We find that the colors of KBOs in the Core (low-inclination) and Halo (high-inclination) are statistically different, with Core objects being primarily red and Halo objects having a slight tendency to be neutral. Notably, virtually all of the non-Resonant Core objects are red. This combination of low inclination, unperturbed orbits and red colors in the Core may be indicative of a relic grouping of objects.  相似文献   

In memoriam: Louis A. Capone     

Jeffrey N. Cuzzi  Robert C. Whitten  Owen B. Toon 《Icarus》1984,59(3):303

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Life beyond Earth: The intelligent Earthling's guide to life in the universe: By Gerald Feinberg and Robert Shapiro. Morrow,New York, 1980. 464 pp., $16.95 (hardcover), $9.95 (paperback)     

Tobias Owen 《Icarus》1981,46(1):133-135

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Paleolimnological investigations of anthropogenic environmental change in Lake Tanganyika: V. Palynological evidence for deforestation and increased erosion     

Emma?S.?Msaky  Daniel?Livingstone  Owen?K.?DavisEmail author 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2005,34(1):73-83

Pollen spectra from seven short cores taken from deltaic sites in the central and northern parts of Lake Tanganyika provide information about vegetation changes around the lake during the last 5000 years. Pollen analysis was undertaken to understand the history and timing of catchment deforestation and its causal linkage to excess sedimentation and ecosystem change in Lake Tanganyika. The spectra are dominated by grass pollen at all levels in every core. Grass pollen percentage values range between 40 and 80%. Low values of arboreal pollen taxa (1–20%) were documented from most cores except core LT-98-2M. Core LT-98-2M represents the longest duration vegetation record of this study (close to 5000 years BP), and records the onset of increasingly arid conditions in the Late Holocene, especially after 500 A.D., with the probable replacement of forest by open grassland in the Mahale Mountains region. The pollen/spore content for other cores showed a consistent trend of a decrease in grass pollen and an increase in pteridophyte and forest indicator pollen taxa during the last few centuries, contemporaneous with other indications of increased watershed disturbance from forest clearing (especially isotopes and lake faunal change). The timing or strength of this trend is not tied to specific levels of watershed disturbance. However, increasing fern spore abundance does occur progressively later towards the south, where modern human population densities are lower. Although increasing fern spore abundance is consistent with a land-clearing hypothesis, the rising arboreal pollen percentages are seemingly counterintuitive. One possible explanation is that increasing arboreal pollen proportions reflects the recycling of abundant pollen of this type from rapidly eroding soils. Another likely explanation for this finding is that land clearing involved the replacement of miombo woodland, with its mixture of trees producing little pollen and understory grasses producing large amounts of pollen, by the present day cassava, banana, and legume agricultural systems, all of which are poor pollen producers. This shift in catchment vegetation would increase the relative contribution of Afromontane pollen transported long distances from the surrounding highland regions. This hypothesis is consistent with both the lack of correlation of palynological history with specific watershed deforestation attributes, as well as the broader historical record of human habitation in the Lake Tanganyika region. This study also highlights the need for both modern pollen transect data from the region and comparative cores from low elevation swamps or ponds (wetlands) in the region with smaller catchment areas.  相似文献   

Multi-electrode resistivity survey for groundwater exploration in the Harare greenstone belt, Zimbabwe     

R. J. Owen  O. Gwavava  P. Gwaze 《Hydrogeology Journal》2006,14(1-2):244-252

A multi-electrode resistivity survey, carried out over metasedimentary strata and metavolcanics in the Harare greenstone belt in northeastern Zimbabwe as part of a groundwater resources investigation, illustrates the ability of this technique to produce high-resolution images of the subsurface, which are useful for groundwater resources assessment. The resistivity results provide a clear view of the thickness of the weathered regolith and of the distribution of the various lithological units. Using a combination of apparent formation resistivity and inferred depth of weathering, it is possible to characterize the various lithologies on the geophysical profiles. These assigned lithologies show excellent correlation with the mapped geology, and the main lithologies, metabasalt, meta-arenite, granodiorite and banded iron formation can be clearly identified. The banded iron formation is characterized by low resistivity values, while a combination of the depth of weathering and resistivity values are used to distinguish between the meta-arenite on one hand and the metabasalt and granodiorite on the other. The multi-electrode method is successful in identifying potentially favourable zones for obtaining groundwater, such as areas with a maximum depth of weathered regolith, zones of fracturing and faulting, and high porosity and permeability zones associated with lithological contacts.

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Resumen Un estudio de resistividad multi-electrodo que se llevó a cabo en estratos meta sedimentarios y metavolcánicos en el cinturón de rocas verdes de Harare, en la parte noreste de Zimbabwe, como parte de una investigación de recursos de agua subterránea, ilustra la capacidad de esta técnica para producir imágenes de alta resolución de la subsuperficie, las cuales son útiles para la evaluación de los recursos da agua subterránea. Los resultados de resistividad suministran una visión clara el espesor del regolito meteorizado y de la distribución de varias unidades litológicas. Mediante el uso de una combinación de resistividad aparente de formación y de una profundidad inferida de meteorización, es posible caracterizar las diferentes litologías en los perfiles geofísicos. Estas litologías asignadas muestran una excelente correlación con la cartografía geológica y se pueden identificar las litologías predominantes como metabasalto, meta-arenita, granodiorita y formación de hierro bandeado. Esta última se caracteriza por valores bajos de resistividad, mientras que se utiliza una combinación de profundidad de meteorización y valores de resistividad, para distinguir entre meta-arenita por un lado y metabasalto y granodiorita por el otro. El método multi-electrodo es exitoso para identificar zonas potencialmente favorables para captar agua subterránea, las cuales pueden ser áreas con una profundidad máxima de regolito meteorizado, o bien zonas de fracturamiento y fallamiento, o también zonas de porosidad y permeabilidad altas asociadas con contactos litológicos.

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Résumé La prospection électrique par la méthode de multiélectrodes, effectuée pour linvestigation des eaux souterraines cantonnés dans des roches métamorphiques dorigine sédimentaire et volcanique de la ceinture de Harare-Zimbabwe a mis en évidence les possibilités de cette technique de réaliser des images à grande résolution du sous-sol qui sont très utiles pour lévaluation de la ressource en eaux souterraines. Daprès la distribution de la résistance il résulte une image très claire de lépaisseur des regolithes altérés ainsi que de la distribution des différentes unités lithologiques. Daprès les profiles géophysiques on peut caractériser les différents lithologies en utilisant les résistivités apparentes de la formation respective et les informations sur la profondeur de la zone altérée. Les lithologies ainsi déterminées montrent une excellente corrélation avec les cartes géologiques et on peut très bien identifier les lithologies principales comme les metabasaltes et les meta-arenites, les granodiorites et les formations de fer rubanées. Cettes dernières sont caractérisées par des faibles valeurs de la résistivité, tandis que en utilisant les résistivité et la profondeur de la zone altérée on peut distinguer les meta-arenites de granodiorites et des metabasaltes. La méthode des multiélectrodes est donc capable didentifier des formations favorables à laccumulation en eau comme les zones de faille et des fractures, ainsi que les zones à grande porosité et perméabilité, associées aux contactes lithologiques.

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Ultraviolet observations of Phoebe from the Cassini UVIS     

Amanda R. Hendrix  Candice J. Hansen 《Icarus》2008,193(2):323-333

Observations of Saturn's distant moon Phoebe were made at far-ultraviolet (FUV) (1100-1900 Å) and extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) (600-1100 Å) wavelengths by the Cassini Ultraviolet Imaging Spectrograph (UVIS) during the Cassini spacecraft flyby on June 11, 2004. These are the first UV spectra of Phoebe and the first detection of water ice on a Solar System surface using FUV wavelengths. The characteristics of water ice in the FUV are presented, and Hapke models are used to interpret the spectra in terms of composition and grain size; the use of both areal and intimate mixing models is explored. Non-ice species used in these models include carbon, ice tholin, Triton tholin, poly-HCN and kerogen. Satisfactory disk-integrated fits are obtained for intimate mixtures of ∼10% H₂O plus a non-ice species. Spatially resolved regions of higher (∼20%) and lower (∼5%) H₂O ice concentrations are also detected. Phoebe does not display any evidence of volatile activity. Upper limits on atomic oxygen and carbon are 5×¹⁰¹¹ and 2×¹⁰¹² atoms/cm², respectively, for solar photon scattering. The UVIS detection of water ice on Phoebe, and the ice amounts detected, are consistent with IR measurements and contribute to the evidence for a Phoebe origin in the outer Solar System rather than in the main asteroid belt.  相似文献   

The albedo dichotomy of Iapetus measured at UV wavelengths     

Amanda R. Hendrix  Candice J. Hansen 《Icarus》2008,193(2):344-351

The dramatic hemispheric dichotomy in albedo displayed by Saturn's moon Iapetus has intrigued astronomers for centuries. Here we report on far-ultraviolet observations of Iapetus' bright and dark terrains from Cassini. We compare the reflectance spectra of Iapetus's dark terrain, Hyperion and Phoebe and find that both Phoebe and Hyperion are richer in water ice than Iapetus' dark terrain. Spectra of the lowest latitudes of the dark terrain display the diagnostic water ice absorption feature; water ice amounts increase within the dark material away from the apex (at 90° W longitude, the center of the dark leading hemisphere), consistent with thermal segregation of water ice. The water ice in the darkest, warmest low latitude regions is not expected to be stable and may be a sign of ongoing or recent emplacement of the dark material from an exogenic source.  相似文献