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41.
Suresh Tiwari Atul K. Srivastava Deewan S. Bisht Tarannum Bano Sachchidanand Singh Sudhamayee Behura Manoj K. Srivastava D. M. Chate B. Padmanabhamurty 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2009,62(3):193-209
The concentrations of PM10, PM2.5 and their water-soluble ionic species were determined for the samples collected during January to December, 2007 at New Delhi
(28.63° N, 77.18° E), India. The annual mean PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations (± standard deviation) were about 219 (± 84) and 97 (±56) μgm−3 respectively, about twice the prescribed Indian National Ambient Air Quality Standards values. The monthly average ratio
of PM2.5/PM10 varied between 0.18 (June) and 0.86 (February) with an annual mean of ∼0.48 (±0.2), suggesting the dominance of coarser in
summer and fine size particles in winter. The difference between the concentrations of PM10 and PM2.5, is deemed as the contribution of the coarse fraction (PM10−2.5). The analyzed coarse fractions mainly composed of secondary inorganic aerosols species (16.0 μgm−3, 13.07%), mineral matter (12.32 μgm−3, 10.06%) and salt particles (4.92 μgm−3, 4.02%). PM2.5 are mainly made up of undetermined fractions (39.46 μgm−3, 40.9%), secondary inorganic aerosols (26.15 μgm−3, 27.1%), salt aerosols (22.48 μgm−3, 23.3%) and mineral matter (8.41 μgm−3, 8.7%). The black carbon aerosols concentrations measured at a nearby (∼300 m) location to aerosol sampling site, registered
an annual mean of ∼14 (±12) μgm−3, which is significantly large compared to those observed at other locations in India. The source identifications are made
for the ionic species in PM10 and PM2.5. The results are discussed by way of correlations and factor analyses. The significant correlations of Cl−, SO42−, K+, Na+, Ca2+, NO3− and Mg2+ with PM2.5 on one hand and Mg2+ with PM10 on the other suggest the dominance of anthropogenic and soil origin aerosols in Delhi. 相似文献
42.
A computer simulation approach to modelling the structure,thermodynamics and oxygen isotope equilibria of silicates 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Atul Patel Geoffrey D. Price Monica J. Mendelssohn 《Physics and Chemistry of Minerals》1991,17(8):690-699
We use an atomistic model to simulate the structure, lattice dynamics and thermodynamics of silicate minerals. Our approach uses the Born model of a solid, in which the interaction between atoms is described by an interatomic pair potential. We have extended the study of thermodynamics to its very limit by looking at the subtle reaction of oxygen isotope exchange. We have modelled equilibria involving the important metamorphic minerals; albite, diopside, forsterite, pyrope, quartz and wollastonite. The predicted structural and thermodynamic data for these silicates are in very good agreement with the observed values. In addition, we predict not only the correct direction for the phase equilibria for oxygen isotope exchange, but also fractionation factors for the reaction to within a factor of two of the available experimental data. Hence, the potentials used in our approach have shown excellent transferability and have performed very well against the most stringent of tests. 相似文献
43.
44.
On the recent strengthening of the relationship between ENSO and northeast monsoon rainfall over South Asia 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1
The southeastern parts of India and Sri Lanka receive substantial rainfall from the northeast monsoon (NEM) during October through December. The interannual variability in NEM rainfall is known to be significantly influenced by the El-Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Unlike the southwest monsoon (SWM), the NEM rainfall is enhanced during the warm ENSO events, and vice versa. In the context of the recent weakening of the inverse relationship between Southwest Monsoon (SWM) and ENSO, we examine the secular variations in the positive relationship between ENSO and NEM rainfall over South Asia, showing that their relationship has strengthened over the recent years. Based on the analysis of GISST, IMD/CRU precipitation and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, we suggest that this secular variation of the relationship is due to epochal changes in the tropospheric circulation associated with ENSO over the region. 相似文献
45.
J. MacDougall M.A. Abdu I. Batista P.R. Fagundes Y. Sahai P.T. Jayachandran 《Journal of Atmospheric and Solar》2009,71(17-18):2013-2016
This paper deals with how atmospheric gravity waves produce the traveling ionospheric disturbances (TIDs) that are observed by ionosondes. It is shown that, rather than directly producing variations of ionospheric height, a likely mechanism involves changes in ionization density by gradients in the horizontal atmospheric gravity wave air motion. These density changes can be observed as variations of the height of an ionospheric isodensity surface (the usual way of measuring TIDs). This mechanism involving enhancement/depletion of ionospheric density requires quite moderate atmospheric gravity wave air motion speeds, and works well at almost all latitudes. 相似文献
46.
The prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) on a seasonal time scales has been attempted by various research
groups using different techniques including artificial neural networks. The prediction of ISMR on monthly and seasonal time
scales is not only scientifically challenging but is also important for planning and devising agricultural strategies. This
article describes the artificial neural network (ANN) technique with error- back-propagation algorithm to provide prediction
(hindcast) of ISMR on monthly and seasonal time scales. The ANN technique is applied to the five time series of June, July,
August, September monthly means and seasonal mean (June + July + August + September) rainfall from 1871 to 1994 based on Parthasarathy
data set. The previous five years values from all the five time-series were used to train the ANN to predict for the next
year. The details of the models used are discussed. Various statistics are calculated to examine the performance of the models
and it is found that the models could be used as a forecasting tool on seasonal and monthly time scales. It is observed by
various researchers that with the passage of time the relationships between various predictors and Indian monsoon are changing,
leading to changes in monsoon predictability. This issue is discussed and it is found that the monsoon system inherently has
a decadal scale variation in predictability.
Received: 13 March 1999 / Accepted: 31 August 1999 相似文献
47.
SARAL carried onboard a radar altimeter that provides very precise measurements of the sea surface height (SSH). Like other altimetric missions, SARAL carries a passive microwave radiometer (PMR) for wet tropospheric correction to SSH. In the present study, new algorithms are developed for the retrieval of cloud liquid water (CLW) and total precipitable water vapor (TPW) over the global oceans from PMR measurements of the brightness temperatures. A radiative transfer and genetic algorithm based retrieval scheme is proposed for the estimation of CLW and TPW from SARAL PMR. The comparisons of CLW from PMR with independent measurements from GPM-GMI and SSMIS within and outside ±40° latitudes show correlation (R) of 0.86 and 0.83, bias of 0.7 and ?3.61?mg/cm2, and root mean square error (RMSE) of 8.42 and 8.07?mg/cm2, respectively. Similarly, TPW from PMR with GPM-GMI and SSMIS show R of 0.99 and 0.98, bias of ?0.04 and ?0.03?g/cm2 and RMSE of 0.17 and 0.17?g/cm2, respectively. The retrieval accuracy of CLW and TPW from the new algorithms is compared with these parameters provided in the SARAL geophysical data records as finished products, which showed substantial improvement in the quality of the parameters from the new algorithm. 相似文献
48.
Even though multi-model prediction systems may have better skill in predicting the interannual variability (IAV) of Indian
summer monsoon (ISM), the overall performance of the system is limited by the skill of individual models (single model ensembles).
The DEMETER project aimed at seasonal-to-interannual prediction is not an exception to this case. The reasons for the poor
skill of the DEMETER individual models in predicting the IAV of monsoon is examined in the context of the influence of external
and internal components and the interaction between intraseasonal variability (ISV) and IAV. Recently it has been shown that
the ISV influences the IAV through very long breaks (VLBs; breaks with duration of more than 10 days) by generating droughts.
Further, all VLBs are associated with an eastward propagating Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) in the equatorial region, facilitated
by air–sea interaction on intraseasonal timescales. This VLB-drought–MJO relationship is analyzed here in detail in the DEMETER
models. Analyses indicate that the VLB-drought relationship is poorly captured by almost all the models. VLBs in observations
are generated through air–sea interaction on intraseasonal time scale and the models’ inability to simulate VLB-drought relationship
is shown to be linked to the models’ inability to represent the air–sea interaction on intraseasonal time scale. Identification
of this particular deficiency of the models provides a direction for improvement of the model for monsoon prediction. 相似文献
49.
Improved understanding of underlying mechanism responsible for Indian summer monsoon (ISM) droughts is important due to their profound socio-economic impact over the region. While some droughts are associated with ‘external forcing’ such as the El-Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO), many ISM droughts are not related to any known ‘external forcing’. Here, we unravel a fundamental dynamic process responsible for droughts arising not only from external forcing but also those associated with internal dynamics. We show that most ISM droughts are associated with at least one very long break (VLB; breaks with duration of more than 10 days) and that the processes responsible for VLBs may also be the mechanism responsible for ISM droughts. Our analysis also reveals that all extended monsoon breaks (whether co-occurred with El-Niño or not) are associated with an eastward propagating Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) in the equatorial Indian Ocean and western Pacific extending to the dateline and westward propagating Rossby waves between 10° and 25°N. The divergent Rossby wave associated with the dry phase of equatorial convection propagates westward towards Indian land, couple with the northward propagating dry phase and leads to the sustenance of breaks. Thus, the propensity of eastward propagating MJO during boreal summer is largely the cause of monsoon droughts. While short breaks are not accompanied by westerly wind events (WWE) over equatorial western Pacific favorable for initiating air–sea interaction, all VLBs are accompanied by sustained WWE. The WWEs associated with all VLB during 1975–2005 initiate air–sea interaction on intraseasonal time scale, extend the warm pool eastward allowing the convectively coupled MJO to propagate further eastward and thereby sustaining the divergent circulation over India and the monsoon break. The ocean–atmosphere coupling on interannual time scale (such as El-Niño) can also produce VLB, but not necessary. 相似文献
50.
Possible role of warm SST bias in the simulation of boreal summer monsoon in SINTEX-F2 coupled model
Susmitha Joseph A. K. Sahai B. N. Goswami Pascal Terray Sebastian Masson J.-J. Luo 《Climate Dynamics》2012,38(7-8):1561-1576
Reasonably realistic climatology of atmospheric and oceanic parameters over the Asian monsoon region is a pre-requisite for models used for monsoon studies. The biases in representing these features lead to problems in representing the strength and variability of Indian summer monsoon (ISM). This study attempts to unravel the ability of a state-of-the-art coupled model, SINTEX-F2, in simulating these characteristics of ISM. The coupled model reproduces the precipitation and circulation climatology reasonably well. However, the mean ISM is weaker than observed, as evident from various monsoon indices. A wavenumber–frequency spectrum analysis reveals that the model intraseasonal oscillations are also weaker-than-observed. One possible reason for the weaker-than-observed ISM arises from the warm bias, over the tropical oceans, especially over the equatorial western Indian Ocean, inherent in the model. This warm bias is not only confined to the surface layers, but also extends through most of the troposphere. As a result of this warm bias, the coupled model has too weak meridional tropospheric temperature gradient to drive a realistic monsoon circulation. This in turn leads to a weakening of the moisture gradient as well as the vertical shear of easterlies required for sustained northward propagation of rain band, resulting in weak monsoon circulation. It is also noted that the recently documented interaction between the interannual and intraseasonal variabilities of ISM through very long breaks (VLBs) is poor in the model. This seems to be related to the inability of the model in simulating the eastward propagating Madden–Julian oscillation during VLBs. 相似文献