The reconstruction of a glacial lake outburst flood using HEC-RAS and its significance for future hazard assessments: an example from Lake 513 in the Cordillera Blanca,Peru   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Jan Klimeš  Miroslava Benešová  Vít Vilímek  Petr Bouška  Alejo Cochachin Rapre 《Natural Hazards》2014,71(3):1617-1638

In April 2010, an ice/rockfall into Lake 513 triggered a glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) along the Chucchun River in the Cordillera Blanca of Peru. This paper reconstructs the hydrological characteristics of this as yet undocumented event using a 1D flood model prepared with HEC-RAS. The principle model inputs were obtained during detailed field surveys of surface characteristics and topography within the river and across the adjacent floodplain; a total of 120 cross-sections were surveyed. These inputs were refined further by eyewitness accounts and additional geomorphological observations. The flood modelling has enabled us to constrain the extent of the water surface and its elevation at each cross-section in addition to defining the peak discharge (580 m³ s^?1). These modelling results show good agreement with other information about the flood including: flood marks and minimum flood levels; the lake displacement wave height; the extent of the flooded area; and the travel time from Lake 513 to the confluence with the Santa River. This demonstrates that the model offers a reliable reconstruction of the basic hydrological characteristics of the GLOF. It provides important information about the flood intensity and significantly improves our ability to model future flood scenarios along both the studied river and within neighbouring catchments. The flood hazard, defined by the flood depth during peak discharge, shows that the majority of the damaged infrastructure (houses, bridges, and a drinking water treatment plant) was only subjected to low or medium flood intensities (defined by a maximum water depth of less than 2 m). These low flood intensities help to explain why the flooding caused comparatively minor damage despite the significant public attention it attracted.  相似文献   

Estimation of poromechanical and thermal conductivity properties of unsaturated isotropically microcracked cement pastes     

Benoît Bary 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2011,35(14):1560-1586

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Assess hydrological responses to a warming climate at the Lysina Critical Zone Observatory in Central Europe     

Wenjuan Zheng  Anna Lamačová  Xuan Yu  Pavel Krám  Jakub Hruška  Pavel Zahradníček  Petr Štěpánek  Aleš Farda 《水文研究》2021,35(9):e14281

Climate warming is having profound effects on the hydrological cycle by increasing atmospheric demand, changing water availability, and snow seasonality. Europe suffered three distinct heat waves in 2019, and 11 of the 12 hottest years ever recorded took place in the past two decades, which will potentially change seasonal streamflow patterns and long-term trends. Central Europe exhibited six dry years in a row since 2014. This study uses data from a well-documented headwater catchment in Central Europe (Lysina) to explore hydrological responses to a warming climate. We applied a lumped parameter hydrologic model Brook90 and a distributed model Penn State Integrated Hydrologic Model (PIHM) to simulate long-term hydrological change under future climate scenarios. Both models performed well on historic streamflow and in agreement with each other according to the catchment water budget. In addition, PIHM was able to simulate lateral groundwater redistribution within the catchment validated by the groundwater table dynamics. The long-term trends in runoff and low flow were captured by PIHM only. We applied different EURO-CORDEX models with two emission scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways RCP 4.5, 8.5) and found significant impacts on runoff and evapotranspiration (ET) for the period of 2071–2100. Results from both models suggested reduced runoff and increased ET, while the monthly distribution of runoff was different. We used this catchment study to understand the importance of subsurface processes in projection of hydrologic response to a warming climate.  相似文献   

Relativistic Fermi acceleration with shock compressed turbulence     

Martin Lemoine  Benoît Revenu 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2006,366(2):635-644

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A 20cm 2 CCD mosaic camera for a dark matter search part II : Electronics,data acquisition and performance     

Arnaud  M.  Aubourg  E.  Bareyre  P.  Br';ehin  S.  Caridroit  R.  de Kat  J.  Dispau  G.  Djidi  K.  Gros  M.  Lachièze-Rey  M.  Laigneau  Y.  Laurent  B.  Lesquoy  E.  Lavocat  Ph.  Magneville  C.  Mazeau  B.  Milsztajn  A.  Moscoso  L.  Pasquaud  J.  Paul  B.  Perrin  P.  Petibon  J.  Piret  Y.  Queinnec  F.  Rich  J.  Spiro  M.  de Trogoff  J.  Vigroux  L.  Zylberajch  S.  Ansari  R.  Cavalier  F.  Moniez  M.  Beaulieu  J. P.  Ferlet  R.  Grison  Ph.  Vidal-Madjar  A.  Adrianzyk  G.  Berger  J. P.  Burnage  R.  Delclite  J. C.  Kohler  D.  Magnan  R.  Richaud  A.  Guibert  J.  Moreau  O.  Tajahmady  F.  Baranne  A.  Maurice  E.  Prévôt  L.  Gry  C. 《Experimental Astronomy》1994,4(3-4):279-296

Conclusion To summarize, the readout and the control system of the CCD mosaic camera are running since December 1991 at the La Silla Observatory (ESO). The overall performance of the camera has been good. About 12000 pictures (data and flat-fields) have been successfully registered up to now. We will report in the near future preliminary scientific results of the EROS experiment.  相似文献   

Source components and magmatic processes in the genesis of Miocene to Quaternary lavas in western Turkey: constraints from HSE distribution and Hf–Pb–Os isotopes     

Ercan Aldanmaz  Megan Pickard  Thomas Meisel  Şafak Altunkaynak  Kaan Sayıt  Pınar Şen  Barry B. Hanan  Tanya Furman 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2015,169(2):1-20

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Dynamical investigation of minor resonances for space debris     

Alessandra Celletti  Cătălin Galeş 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2015,123(2):203-222

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Long-term evolution of space debris under the J_2 effect,the solar radiation pressure and the solar and lunar perturbations     

Daniel Casanova  Alexis Petit  Anne Lemaître 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2015,123(2):223-238

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Climate and climate change in western canada as simulated by the Canadian regional climate model     

Rene Laprise  Daniel Caya  Michel Giguere  Guy Bergeron  Hélène Côté  Jean‐Pierre Blanchet 《大气与海洋》2013,51(2):119-167

Abstract

A þrst climate simulation performed with the novel Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM) is presented. The CRCM is based on fully elastic non‐hydrostatic þeld equations, which are solved with an efþcient semi‐implicit semi‐Lagrangian (SISL) marching algorithm, and on the parametrization package of subgrid‐scale physical effects of the second‐generation Canadian Global Climate Model (GCMII). Two 5‐year integrations of the CRCM nested with GCMII simulated data as lateral boundary conditions are made for conditions corresponding to current and doubled CO₂ scenarios. For these simulations the CRCM used a grid size of 45 km on a polar‐stereographic projection, 20 scaled‐height levels and a time step of 15 min; the nesting GCMII has a spectral truncation of T32, 10 hybrid‐pressure levels and a time step of 20 min. These simulations serve to document: (1) the suitability of the SISL numerical scheme for regional climate modelling, (2) the use of GCMII physics at much higher resolution than in the nesting model, (3) the ability of the CRCM to add realistic regional‐scale climate information to global model simulations, and (4) the climate of the CRCM compared to that of GCMII under two greenhouse gases (GHG) scenarios.  相似文献   

Light-Time Effect in the Eclipsing Binaries GO Cyg, GW Cep, AR Aur and V505 Sgr     

D. Chochol  T. Pribulla  M. Vaňko  P. Mayer  M. Wolf  P. G. Niarchos  K. D. Gazeas  V. N. Manimanis  L. Brát  M. Zejda 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2006,304(1-4):93-96

Orbital period changes of the eclipsing binaries GO Cyg and GW Cep are explained by the light-time effect for the first time. New minima of the eclipsing binary AR Aur improve the predicted light-time orbit. The light-time orbit with the quadratic ephemeris of the binary matches the new observations of V505 Sgr better than the linear one. As the light-time effect fits in corresponding O − C diagrams of all four systems have been reaching extreme values, the observations of minima times in forthcoming years are highly desirable.  相似文献